# Ast Spacemobile (ASTS.US)

Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/ASTS

Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:26:38.113Z. Financial observations: FY2019–FY2025.

Listing currency: USD. Reporting currency: USD.

## Verdict

Not a wonderful business

Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: fail; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no.

Share price: $44.46 per share; close as of 2026-10-15.

## Checklist

### understandable: fail

- 1 revenue decline in the last 10 years (informational)

- more than 2 net loss years

- negative average operating margin

- operating margin variation exceeds 0.35

- Financial history: 7 years

- Years with declining revenue: 1

- Years with a net loss: 7

- Operating margin variation: 1.24×

Chart: Operating margin; fiscal year observations.

- FY2019: -7.70×

- FY2020: -3.93×

- FY2021: -6.76×

- FY2022: -10.54×

- FY2024: -54.95×

- FY2025: -4.06×

### moat: fail

- Years with nonpositive invested capital use equity plus debt and leases; positive earnings with no positive capital are shown above 100%.

- ROIC median below threshold

- ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed)

- ROIC, median of available years: -127.4%

- ROIC, second-lowest year: -203.7%

- Years with nonpositive capital: 4

- Capital spending / revenue: 475.6%

- ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: -176.1%

Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations.

- FY2019: -127.4%

- FY2020: -153.9%

- FY2021: -58.4%

- FY2022: -78.7%

- FY2023: -203.7%

- FY2024: -220.1%

- FY2025: -13.0%

### economics: fail

- owner earnings cash conversion below threshold

- incremental invested capital return below threshold

- Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No

- Owner earnings, five-year total: -$910M

- Net income, five-year total: -$792M

- Return on incremental invested capital: -16.5%

- Working capital / revenue, annual change: -16.5 pp

Chart: Owner earnings · five years; fiscal year observations.

- FY2021: -$43M

- FY2022: -$74M

- FY2023: -$152M

- FY2024: -$300M

- FY2025: -$342M

### management: fail

- potential debt-funded buybacks (informational)

- buybacks unrelated to price (informational)

- ROIC first 3 years vs last 3 years: -127.4% vs -203.7%

- Per-share earnings: -0.59 to -1.34 (three-year endpoint medians)

- per-share value declined or ends nonpositive

- Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes

- Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: 54.9%

- Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 54.9%

- Per-share value change: -$0.75

- Per-share value, starting three-year median: -$0.59

- Per-share value, ending three-year median: -$1.34

- Average buyback yield: 0.2%

- Buyback history: 1 years

- Debt-funded buybacks: Yes

- ROIC, first three-year median: -127.4%

- ROIC, last three-year median: -203.7%

Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations.

- FY2019: -$0.38

- FY2020: -$0.84

- FY2021: -$0.59

- FY2022: -$0.51

- FY2023: -$1.07

- FY2024: -$1.94

- FY2025: -$1.34

### accounting: pass

- latest-year receivables to sales index (DSRI) exceeds 1.465

- Sloan accruals: -5.4%

- Receivables to sales index (DSRI): 1.68×

- Restructuring years, last five: 0

- Earnings backed by cash: Yes

- Accounting red flags: 1

- Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 0.13×

Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations.

- FY2019: -27.8%

- FY2020: -1.3%

- FY2021: 11.2%

- FY2022: 28.5%

- FY2023: 17.0%

- FY2024: -18.2%

- FY2025: -5.4%

## Holders

- [David Katz](https://gigainvestors.com/MAVFX): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts.

## Price story

Down 61% since May 2026 · "ASTS Plagued by Competitive Pressure, Macro Risks: Time to Rethink?" (finance.yahoo.com, Jun 2026) · sales +1505.2%

Story as of 2026-10-16T09:58:20.238Z; price observation 2026-10-15.

- 2025-06-24: AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) Rallies 9.27% as $550-Million Deal With Ligado Network Gets Judge OK ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ast-spacemobile-asts-rallies-9-180817870.html))

- 2025-10-08: AST SpaceMobile shares surge after striking space-based network partnership with Verizon ([seekingalpha.com](https://seekingalpha.com/news/4502600-ast-spacemobile-shares-surge-after-striking-space-based-network-partnership-with-verizon?utm_source=feed_news_all&utm_medium=referral&feed_item_type=news))

- 2025-11-11: AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) Shares Fall on Weaker-Than-Expected Earnings ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ast-spacemobile-asts-shares-fall-161158196.html))

- 2025-12-16: AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) Slashes 11% on BlueBird 6 Launch Delay ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ast-spacemobile-asts-slashes-11-154003995.html))

- 2026-01-16: AST SpaceMobile Awarded Prime Contract Position on U.S. Missile Defense Agency SHIELD Program ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ast-spacemobile-awarded-prime-contract-120000038.html))

- 2026-07-16: Stock Market Today, July 16: AST SpaceMobile Falls on $1B Convertible Notes Offering ([nasdaq.com](https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/stock-market-today-july-16-ast-spacemobile-falls-1b-convertible-notes-offering))

### Sales · FY2024–2025

sales +1505.2%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1780312/000178031226000006/asts-20251231.htm; observed 2026-03-02.

- FY2019: $1.4M 

- FY2020: $6.0M 

- FY2021: $12M 

- FY2022: $14M 

- FY2023: $0 

- FY2024: $4.4M 

- FY2025: $71M 

### Gross margin · FY2025

gross margin 53.4%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1780312/000178031226000006/asts-20251231.htm; observed 2026-03-02.

- FY2019: 32.5% 

- FY2020: 49.3% 

- FY2021: 39.0% 

- FY2022: 51.4% 

- FY2025: 53.4% 

## Owner memo

Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z.

### How it makes money

Operates in communication equipment; annual sales are USD 70.9 million.

- Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1780312/000178031226000006/asts-20251231.htm (filed 2026-03-02); FY2025: revenue 70918000; grossProfit 37886000; margin = grossProfit / revenue.

### Where the cash goes

Paid no dividends in 7 years.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-02); Dividend observations: [[2019,0],[2020,0],[2021,0],[2022,0],[2023,0],[2024,0],[2025,0]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement.

### Are managers owners

Insiders own 8% of the company.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); ASTS.US SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 8.033 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16.

### What the price says

The price is 160.5 times annual sales; cash earnings are negative.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-02); Closing price 44.46 USD; reporting-to-trading FX 1; FY2025 annual sales per share 0.2770422763747935; price multiple 160.48092219633944. FY2025 cash earnings/share -1.3357939589892112. Closing-price date 2026-10-15.

## Monthly share-price history (USD per share)

- 2019-11: $9.82 per share

- 2019-12: $9.87 per share

- 2020-01: $10.00 per share

- 2020-02: $9.98 per share

- 2020-03: $9.77 per share

- 2020-04: $9.88 per share

- 2020-05: $9.87 per share

- 2020-06: $10.08 per share

- 2020-07: $10.18 per share

- 2020-08: $10.10 per share

- 2020-09: $10.07 per share

- 2020-10: $10.05 per share

- 2020-11: $10.13 per share

- 2020-12: $13.58 per share

- 2021-01: $13.50 per share

- 2021-02: $13.84 per share

- 2021-03: $11.67 per share

- 2021-04: $8.77 per share

- 2021-05: $7.22 per share

- 2021-06: $12.94 per share

- 2021-07: $10.78 per share

- 2021-08: $12.35 per share

- 2021-09: $10.82 per share

- 2021-10: $11.19 per share

- 2021-11: $9.96 per share

- 2021-12: $7.94 per share

- 2022-01: $5.75 per share

- 2022-02: $7.08 per share

- 2022-03: $9.98 per share

- 2022-04: $7.53 per share

- 2022-05: $8.32 per share

- 2022-06: $6.28 per share

- 2022-07: $7.03 per share

- 2022-08: $12.02 per share

- 2022-09: $7.22 per share

- 2022-10: $7.23 per share

- 2022-11: $5.77 per share

- 2022-12: $4.82 per share

- 2023-01: $5.39 per share

- 2023-02: $6.44 per share

- 2023-03: $5.08 per share

- 2023-04: $5.31 per share

- 2023-05: $5.42 per share

- 2023-06: $4.70 per share

- 2023-07: $4.29 per share

- 2023-08: $3.92 per share

- 2023-09: $3.80 per share

- 2023-10: $3.31 per share

- 2023-11: $4.85 per share

- 2023-12: $6.03 per share

- 2024-01: $2.87 per share

- 2024-02: $3.17 per share

- 2024-03: $2.90 per share

- 2024-04: $2.21 per share

- 2024-05: $8.28 per share

- 2024-06: $11.61 per share

- 2024-07: $20.68 per share

- 2024-08: $29.04 per share

- 2024-09: $26.15 per share

- 2024-10: $23.81 per share

- 2024-11: $23.81 per share

- 2024-12: $21.10 per share

- 2025-01: $20.24 per share

- 2025-02: $27.11 per share

- 2025-03: $22.74 per share

- 2025-04: $23.21 per share

- 2025-05: $23.07 per share

- 2025-06: $46.73 per share

- 2025-07: $53.17 per share

- 2025-08: $48.94 per share

- 2025-09: $49.08 per share

- 2025-10: $80.25 per share

- 2025-11: $56.20 per share

- 2025-12: $72.63 per share

- 2026-01: $111.21 per share

- 2026-02: $79.19 per share

- 2026-03: $82.87 per share

- 2026-04: $73.90 per share

- 2026-05: $113.41 per share

- 2026-06: $88.86 per share

- 2026-07: $58.98 per share

- 2026-08: $59.10 per share

- 2026-09: $58.86 per share

- 2026-10: $44.46 per share

## Annual estimated value (USD per share)

Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year

Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year

Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates

## Sources

[Original 10-K filing](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1780312/000178031226000006/asts-20251231.htm); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-03-02.

Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.

## Reported holder observations

- [David Katz](https://gigainvestors.com/MAVFX): 5,380 ASTS shares; USD 317,000 reported position value; 0.03% of portfolio; hold; quarter 2026 Q3.

# ASTS — AST SpaceMobile Inc.

Held by 1 investor · USD 317,000 total · 2026 Q3 · reported price USD 58.92 (split-adjusted).
Page: https://gigainvestors.com/s/ASTS

## Holders (2026 Q3)

| Investor | Value | % of their portfolio | This quarter |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| David Katz (https://gigainvestors.com/MAVFX) | USD 317,000 | <0.1% | hold |

## Total held by quarter

- 2020 Q4: USD 949,900 · 1 holder · USD 13.57
- 2021 Q1: USD 0 · 0 holders
- 2021 Q2: USD 7,375,800 · 1 holder · USD 12.94
- 2021 Q3: USD 6,167,400 · 1 holder · USD 10.82
- 2021 Q4: USD 4,525,800 · 1 holder · USD 7.94
- 2022 Q1: USD 4,266,450 · 1 holder · USD 9.98
- 2022 Q2: USD 2,684,700 · 1 holder · USD 6.28
- 2022 Q3: USD 0 · 0 holders
- 2022 Q4: USD 0 · 0 holders
- 2023 Q1: USD 0 · 0 holders
- 2023 Q2: USD 0 · 0 holders
- 2023 Q3: USD 0 · 0 holders
- 2023 Q4: USD 0 · 0 holders
- 2024 Q1: USD 0 · 0 holders
- 2024 Q2: USD 0 · 0 holders
- 2024 Q3: USD 0 · 0 holders
- 2024 Q4: USD 0 · 0 holders
- 2025 Q1: USD 0 · 0 holders
- 2025 Q2: USD 276,002 · 1 holder · USD 46.78
- 2025 Q3: USD 289,985 · 1 holder · USD 49.15
- 2025 Q4: USD 428,989 · 1 holder · USD 72.71
- 2026 Q1: USD 446,002 · 1 holder · USD 82.90
- 2026 Q2: USD 478,000 · 1 holder · USD 88.85
- 2026 Q3: USD 317,000 · 1 holder · USD 58.92