# Provident Financial Services (PFS.US)

Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/PFS

Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:31:09.384Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2025.

Listing currency: USD. Reporting currency: USD.

## Verdict

Not a wonderful business

Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no.

Share price: $22.20 per share; close as of 2026-10-15.

Estimated value: low $15.13 per share, central $18.85 per share, high $25.02 per share. Buy at or below the central value $18.85 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:31:09.384Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals.

Expected annual return: 9.4% at the stated quote. About 9.4% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; US 10-year bond 5.1% + 4 points).

## Checklist

### understandable: pass

- Financial history: 10 years

- Profitable years in the last ten: 10

- Required profitable years: 9

- Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.60×

Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: $88M

- FY2017: $94M

- FY2018: $118M

- FY2019: $113M

- FY2020: $97M

- FY2021: $168M

- FY2022: $176M

- FY2023: $128M

- FY2024: $116M

- FY2025: $291M

### moat: fail

- Tangible common book per share

- return on tangible common equity below 5% in more than one year

- Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 12.9%

- Required median return: 12.0%

- Return uses tangible common equity: Yes

- Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 1.3%

- Cost / income, median: 56.0%

- Years with reported combined ratio: 0

Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: 21.0%

- FY2017: 20.1%

- FY2018: 22.4%

- FY2019: 1.4%

- FY2020: 0.9%

- FY2021: 1.3%

- FY2022: 15.5%

- FY2023: 10.4%

- FY2024: 6.5%

- FY2025: 20.4%

### economics: pass

- Tangible common book per share

- Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 13.4%

- Book return interval: 10 years

- Starting book value per share: $5.67

- Ending book value per share: $10.93

Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: 27.7%

- FY2017: 24.8%

- FY2018: 23.9%

- FY2019: 1401.1%

- FY2020: 34.5%

- FY2021: 3.1%

- FY2022: -90.2%

- FY2023: 14.7%

- FY2024: 4.2%

- FY2025: -26.7%

### management: fail

- Tangible common book per share

- ordinary share count growth exceeds 2% annually in both the full and five-year windows

- book per share gain below retained common earnings per share

- Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 7.5%

- Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 13.4%

- Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 7.5%

- Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 13.4%

- Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0

- Book created / earnings retained after dividends and buybacks: 0.84×

- Book value created per share: $5.26

- Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: $6.27

Chart: Shares (first year = 100); fiscal year observations.

- FY2015: 100

- FY2016: 101

- FY2017: 102

- FY2018: 103

- FY2019: 103

- FY2020: 110

- FY2021: 121

- FY2022: 118

- FY2023: 119

- FY2024: 174

- FY2025: 207

### accounting: pass

- Financial accounting warning count: 0

- Deposits, annualized growth: 12.5%

- Known restatement years: 0

- Years loan growth exceeded twice deposit growth: 0

- Years credit losses exceeded peer median: 2

## Holders

## Price story

The price assumes profits grow 6.6% a year forever · "This was partly offset by higher compensation expenses and lower average low-cost deposits." (finance.yahoo.com, Sep 2025) · net income +152%

Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:23.530Z; price observation 2026-10-15.

The price assumes profits grow 6.6% a year forever

- 2026-01-28: PFS Q4 Deep Dive: Commercial Loan Growth and Deposit Momentum Drive Strong Quarter ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/pfs-q4-deep-dive-commercial-200126932.html))

### Net income · FY2025

net income +152%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1178970/000162828026012814/pfs-20251231.htm; observed 2026-02-27.

- FY2016: $88M 

- FY2017: $94M 

- FY2018: $118M 

- FY2019: $113M 

- FY2020: $97M 

- FY2021: $168M 

- FY2022: $176M 

- FY2023: $128M 

- FY2024: $116M 

- FY2025: $291M 

## Owner memo

Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z.

### How it makes money

Operates in regional banking; annual sales are USD 870.4 million.

- Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1178970/000162828026012814/pfs-20251231.htm#000162828026012814 (filed 2026-02-27); FY2025: revenue 870401000.

### Why customers stay

It earns 12.9% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-27); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0.21043322372520634],[2017,0.2012742865345105],[2018,0.2237085271786577],[2019,0.014392428376159986],[2020,0.00861601173507357],[2021,0.013242185288234256],[2022,0.15450941273439472],[2023,0.10416386106725813],[2024,0.0648296807422318],[2025,0.20403772693731076]]; median 0.12933663690082642. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity.

### Where the cash goes

Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-27); Dividend observations: [[2016,45369000],[2017,59980000],[2018,53604000],[2019,72809000],[2020,65823000],[2021,71478000],[2022,72023000],[2023,72447000],[2024,100956000],[2025,125907000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement.

### Are managers owners

Insiders own 2.8% of the company.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); PFS.US SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 2.779 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16.

### What the price says

The price assumes profits grow 6.6% a year forever.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-27); Price 22.2; FX 1; original perpetual distributable cash 0.764836114124278; discount 0.1; growth 0.06554792278719469. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15.

## Monthly share-price history (USD per share)

- 2016-10: $22.69 per share

- 2016-11: $26.94 per share

- 2016-12: $28.30 per share

- 2017-01: $26.47 per share

- 2017-02: $26.55 per share

- 2017-03: $25.85 per share

- 2017-04: $25.69 per share

- 2017-05: $23.34 per share

- 2017-06: $25.38 per share

- 2017-07: $26.52 per share

- 2017-08: $24.85 per share

- 2017-09: $26.67 per share

- 2017-10: $27.20 per share

- 2017-11: $27.34 per share

- 2017-12: $26.97 per share

- 2018-01: $26.31 per share

- 2018-02: $24.88 per share

- 2018-03: $25.59 per share

- 2018-04: $26.12 per share

- 2018-05: $27.94 per share

- 2018-06: $27.53 per share

- 2018-07: $25.54 per share

- 2018-08: $25.23 per share

- 2018-09: $24.55 per share

- 2018-10: $24.40 per share

- 2018-11: $25.68 per share

- 2018-12: $24.13 per share

- 2019-01: $24.71 per share

- 2019-02: $27.45 per share

- 2019-03: $25.89 per share

- 2019-04: $26.52 per share

- 2019-05: $23.84 per share

- 2019-06: $24.25 per share

- 2019-07: $24.18 per share

- 2019-08: $23.81 per share

- 2019-09: $24.53 per share

- 2019-10: $24.95 per share

- 2019-11: $24.32 per share

- 2019-12: $24.65 per share

- 2020-01: $22.81 per share

- 2020-02: $19.98 per share

- 2020-03: $12.86 per share

- 2020-04: $14.35 per share

- 2020-05: $13.03 per share

- 2020-06: $14.45 per share

- 2020-07: $13.65 per share

- 2020-08: $13.18 per share

- 2020-09: $12.20 per share

- 2020-10: $13.57 per share

- 2020-11: $15.67 per share

- 2020-12: $17.96 per share

- 2021-01: $18.52 per share

- 2021-02: $20.23 per share

- 2021-03: $22.28 per share

- 2021-04: $23.57 per share

- 2021-05: $25.26 per share

- 2021-06: $22.89 per share

- 2021-07: $21.60 per share

- 2021-08: $22.07 per share

- 2021-09: $23.47 per share

- 2021-10: $24.76 per share

- 2021-11: $23.54 per share

- 2021-12: $24.22 per share

- 2022-01: $24.17 per share

- 2022-02: $23.73 per share

- 2022-03: $23.40 per share

- 2022-04: $22.13 per share

- 2022-05: $22.99 per share

- 2022-06: $22.26 per share

- 2022-07: $24.36 per share

- 2022-08: $23.23 per share

- 2022-09: $19.50 per share

- 2022-10: $22.42 per share

- 2022-11: $22.53 per share

- 2022-12: $21.36 per share

- 2023-01: $23.46 per share

- 2023-02: $23.35 per share

- 2023-03: $19.18 per share

- 2023-04: $17.48 per share

- 2023-05: $15.88 per share

- 2023-06: $16.34 per share

- 2023-07: $18.54 per share

- 2023-08: $16.48 per share

- 2023-09: $15.29 per share

- 2023-10: $14.05 per share

- 2023-11: $15.22 per share

- 2023-12: $18.03 per share

- 2024-01: $16.55 per share

- 2024-02: $15.08 per share

- 2024-03: $14.57 per share

- 2024-04: $14.68 per share

- 2024-05: $14.40 per share

- 2024-06: $14.35 per share

- 2024-07: $18.54 per share

- 2024-08: $19.07 per share

- 2024-09: $18.56 per share

- 2024-10: $18.68 per share

- 2024-11: $21.12 per share

- 2024-12: $18.87 per share

- 2025-01: $18.57 per share

- 2025-02: $18.25 per share

- 2025-03: $17.17 per share

- 2025-04: $16.37 per share

- 2025-05: $16.70 per share

- 2025-06: $17.53 per share

- 2025-07: $18.22 per share

- 2025-08: $19.84 per share

- 2025-09: $19.28 per share

- 2025-10: $18.29 per share

- 2025-11: $19.18 per share

- 2025-12: $19.75 per share

- 2026-01: $22.14 per share

- 2026-02: $21.04 per share

- 2026-03: $21.16 per share

- 2026-04: $22.68 per share

- 2026-05: $22.19 per share

- 2026-06: $23.64 per share

- 2026-07: $24.68 per share

- 2026-08: $23.40 per share

- 2026-09: $22.15 per share

- 2026-10: $22.20 per share

## Annual estimated value (USD per share)

- FY2016: low $5.69 per share, central $6.85 per share, high $8.60 per share

- FY2017: low $6.95 per share, central $8.45 per share, high $10.78 per share

- FY2018: low $15.38 per share, central $19.22 per share, high $25.63 per share

- FY2019: low $228.71 per share, central $285.89 per share, high $381.19 per share

- FY2020: low $305.75 per share, central $382.19 per share, high $509.59 per share

- FY2021: low $313.35 per share, central $391.69 per share, high $522.25 per share

- FY2022: low $35.84 per share, central $44.80 per share, high $59.74 per share

- FY2023: low $38.82 per share, central $48.52 per share, high $64.70 per share

- FY2024: low $22.45 per share, central $27.99 per share, high $37.14 per share

- FY2025: low $15.12 per share, central $18.84 per share, high $25.01 per share

Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year

Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year

Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates

## Sources

[Original 10-K filing](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1178970/000162828026012814/pfs-20251231.htm); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-02-27.

Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.

## Reported holder observations



# PFS — Provident Financial Services Inc.

Held by 1 investor · USD 257,066 total · 2024 Q4 · reported price USD 18.87 (split-adjusted).
Page: https://gigainvestors.com/s/PFS

## Holders (2024 Q4)

| Investor | Value | % of their portfolio | This quarter |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| David Katz (https://gigainvestors.com/MAVFX) | USD 257,066 | <0.1% | hold |

## Total held by quarter

- 2020 Q3: USD 334,884 · 1 holder · USD 12.19
- 2020 Q4: USD 493,122 · 1 holder · USD 17.95
- 2021 Q1: USD 612,076 · 1 holder · USD 22.28
- 2021 Q2: USD 629,109 · 1 holder · USD 22.90
- 2021 Q3: USD 645,043 · 1 holder · USD 23.48
- 2021 Q4: USD 665,097 · 1 holder · USD 24.21
- 2022 Q1: USD 643,120 · 1 holder · USD 23.41
- 2022 Q2: USD 612,076 · 1 holder · USD 22.28
- 2022 Q3: USD 535,979 · 1 holder · USD 19.51
- 2022 Q4: USD 587,077 · 1 holder · USD 21.37
- 2023 Q1: USD 526,913 · 1 holder · USD 19.18
- 2023 Q2: USD 0 · 0 holders
- 2023 Q3: USD 0 · 0 holders
- 2023 Q4: USD 0 · 0 holders
- 2024 Q1: USD 0 · 0 holders
- 2024 Q2: USD 194,945 · 1 holder · USD 14.31
- 2024 Q3: USD 252,979 · 1 holder · USD 18.57
- 2024 Q4: USD 257,066 · 1 holder · USD 18.87
- 2025 Q1: USD 0 · 0 holders