# Viking Therapeutics (VKTX.US)

Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/VKTX

Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:32:52.704Z. Financial observations: FY2012–FY2026.

Listing currency: USD. Reporting currency: USD.

## Verdict

Not a wonderful business

Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: fail; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no.

Share price: $27.37 per share; close as of 2026-10-15.

## Checklist

### understandable: fail

- 2 revenue declines in the last 10 years (informational)

- more than 2 net loss years

- Financial history: 10 years

- Years with declining revenue: 2

- Years with a net loss: 10

Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations.

- FY2017: -$21M

- FY2018: -$22M

- FY2019: -$26M

- FY2020: -$39M

- FY2021: -$55M

- FY2022: -$69M

- FY2023: -$86M

- FY2024: -$110M

- FY2025: -$360M

- LTM to Jun 2026: -$535M

### moat: fail

- Years with nonpositive invested capital use equity plus debt and leases; positive earnings with no positive capital are shown above 100%.

- ROIC median below threshold

- ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed)

- ROIC, median of available years: -30.3%

- ROIC, second-lowest year: -96.7%

- Years with nonpositive capital: 9

- Capital spending / revenue: 0.0%

- ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: -1190.8%

Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: -96.7%

- FY2017: -89.1%

- FY2018: -6.9%

- FY2019: -1205.0%

- FY2020: -13.8%

- FY2021: -21.8%

- FY2022: -37.8%

- FY2023: -22.8%

- FY2024: -13.5%

- FY2025: -48.6%

### economics: fail

- owner earnings cash conversion below threshold

- incremental invested capital return below threshold

- Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No

- Owner earnings, five-year total: -$678M

- Net income, five-year total: -$679M

- Return on incremental invested capital: 0.0%

Chart: Owner earnings · five years; fiscal year observations.

- FY2021: -$55M

- FY2022: -$69M

- FY2023: -$86M

- FY2024: -$110M

- FY2025: -$359M

### management: fail

- Historical market-dollar context (not the management verdict): 2016 to 2025 (9 years)

- potential debt-funded buybacks (informational)

- buybacks leaned toward cheaper years (informational)

- ROIC first 3 years vs last 3 years: -89.1% vs -22.8%

- Per-share earnings: -0.90 to -1.01 (three-year endpoint medians)

- per-share value declined or ends nonpositive

- five-year and ten-year diluted share growth both above threshold

- Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes

- Ordinary dilution, 10-year annual growth: 33.3%

- Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: 9.2%

- Market cap gain: $4.0B

- Cumulative retained earnings: -$787M

- Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 33.3%

- Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 9.2%

- $1 test, starting fiscal year: FY2016

- $1 test, ending fiscal year: FY2025

- Per-share value change: -$0.10

- Per-share value, starting three-year median: -$0.90

- Per-share value, ending three-year median: -$1.01

- Buybacks concentrated in cheaper years (correlation): 0.17

- Average buyback yield: 0.2%

- Buyback history: 9 years

- Debt-funded buybacks: Yes

- Acquisition spending: $0

- Cumulative net income, 10 years: -$802M

- ROIC, first three-year median: -89.1%

- ROIC, last three-year median: -22.8%

Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: -$0.90

- FY2017: -$0.79

- FY2018: -$0.38

- FY2019: -$0.36

- FY2020: -$0.54

- FY2021: -$0.71

- FY2022: -$0.90

- FY2023: -$0.91

- FY2024: -$1.01

- FY2025: -$3.19

### accounting: pass

- Sloan accruals: -11.3%

- Restructuring years, last five: 0

- Earnings backed by cash: Yes

- Accounting red flags: 0

- Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 0.00×

Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: -25.2%

- FY2017: -26.3%

- FY2018: -1.1%

- FY2019: -0.4%

- FY2020: -6.9%

- FY2021: -3.5%

- FY2022: -12.1%

- FY2023: -3.4%

- FY2024: -2.4%

- FY2025: -11.3%

## Holders

## Price story

Down 67% since Mar 2024 · "VKTX Q1 Earnings Miss on Higher Phase 3 Development Costs" (finance.yahoo.com, Apr 2026) · net income USD -359.6M

Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:48.128Z; price observation 2026-10-15.

- 2025-07-24: VKTX Stock Down on Wider-Than-Expected Loss in Q2, Nil Sales ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/vktx-stock-down-wider-expected-144500613.html))

- 2025-08-19: Viking Therapeutics Stock Plunges as Oral Obesity Drug Shows Higher Dropout Rates ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/viking-therapeutics-stock-plunges-oral-154722499.html))

- 2025-09-11: Viking Therapeutics (VKTX): Reassessing Valuation After Clinical Trial Setback and Weak Earnings ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/viking-therapeutics-vktx-reassessing-valuation-114828158.html))

- 2026-04-30: VKTX Q1 Earnings Miss on Higher Phase 3 Development Costs ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/healthcare/articles/vktx-q1-earnings-miss-higher-152600863.html))

- 2026-06-25: VKTX Stock Jumps on Phase I Study Initiation for New Obesity Drug ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/healthcare/articles/vktx-stock-jumps-phase-study-135700621.html))

### Net income · FY2025

net income USD -359.6M; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1607678/000119312526046876/vktx-20251231.htm; observed 2026-02-11.

- FY2016: -$15M 

- FY2017: -$21M 

- FY2018: -$22M 

- FY2019: -$26M 

- FY2020: -$39M 

- FY2021: -$55M 

- FY2022: -$69M 

- FY2023: -$86M 

- FY2024: -$110M 

- FY2025: -$360M 

## Owner memo

Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z.

### Why customers stay

It lost 30.3% on its capital.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-11); 10-year return on capital observations [[2016,-0.9670184811440918],[2017,-0.8906804033689358],[2018,-0.0694112174643157],[2019,-12.049803644423706],[2020,-0.13773014634066602],[2021,-0.21786006844532052],[2022,-0.37839174597987557],[2023,-0.2277898586989782],[2024,-0.1352711547690768],[2025,-0.48613996580094776]]; median -0.30309080233942687. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity.

### Where the cash goes

Paid dividends in 1 of 10 years.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-11); FY2018: growth capex 0; upkeep 0; owner earnings 4098000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-11); Dividend observations: [[2016,22288],[2017,0],[2018,0],[2019,0],[2020,0],[2021,0],[2022,0],[2023,0],[2024,0],[2025,0]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement.

### Are managers owners

Insiders own 2.8% of the company.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); VKTX.US SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 2.839 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16.

### What the price says

The price is 4.8 times net assets; cash earnings are negative.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-11); Closing price 27.37 USD; reporting-to-trading FX 1; FY2025 net assets per share 5.672115893286271; price multiple 4.825359797813045. FY2025 cash earnings/share -3.1882186795578127. Closing-price date 2026-10-15.

## Monthly share-price history (USD per share)

- 2016-10: $1.07 per share

- 2016-11: $1.08 per share

- 2016-12: $1.19 per share

- 2017-01: $1.41 per share

- 2017-02: $1.53 per share

- 2017-03: $1.46 per share

- 2017-04: $1.40 per share

- 2017-05: $1.18 per share

- 2017-06: $1.08 per share

- 2017-07: $1.05 per share

- 2017-08: $1.04 per share

- 2017-09: $1.91 per share

- 2017-10: $2.38 per share

- 2017-11: $3.04 per share

- 2017-12: $4.06 per share

- 2018-01: $5.31 per share

- 2018-02: $6.26 per share

- 2018-03: $4.37 per share

- 2018-04: $4.12 per share

- 2018-05: $9.99 per share

- 2018-06: $9.49 per share

- 2018-07: $10.20 per share

- 2018-08: $13.07 per share

- 2018-09: $17.42 per share

- 2018-10: $13.60 per share

- 2018-11: $11.29 per share

- 2018-12: $7.65 per share

- 2019-01: $8.16 per share

- 2019-02: $8.41 per share

- 2019-03: $9.94 per share

- 2019-04: $7.83 per share

- 2019-05: $7.69 per share

- 2019-06: $8.30 per share

- 2019-07: $7.69 per share

- 2019-08: $6.95 per share

- 2019-09: $6.88 per share

- 2019-10: $6.47 per share

- 2019-11: $7.32 per share

- 2019-12: $8.02 per share

- 2020-01: $6.28 per share

- 2020-02: $5.92 per share

- 2020-03: $4.68 per share

- 2020-04: $5.76 per share

- 2020-05: $7.15 per share

- 2020-06: $7.21 per share

- 2020-07: $7.02 per share

- 2020-08: $6.69 per share

- 2020-09: $5.82 per share

- 2020-10: $5.63 per share

- 2020-11: $6.43 per share

- 2020-12: $5.63 per share

- 2021-01: $7.31 per share

- 2021-02: $6.74 per share

- 2021-03: $6.33 per share

- 2021-04: $6.39 per share

- 2021-05: $5.24 per share

- 2021-06: $5.99 per share

- 2021-07: $6.15 per share

- 2021-08: $6.61 per share

- 2021-09: $6.28 per share

- 2021-10: $5.82 per share

- 2021-11: $5.31 per share

- 2021-12: $4.60 per share

- 2022-01: $3.71 per share

- 2022-02: $3.35 per share

- 2022-03: $3.00 per share

- 2022-04: $2.38 per share

- 2022-05: $2.22 per share

- 2022-06: $2.89 per share

- 2022-07: $3.01 per share

- 2022-08: $3.18 per share

- 2022-09: $2.72 per share

- 2022-10: $4.10 per share

- 2022-11: $4.05 per share

- 2022-12: $9.40 per share

- 2023-01: $8.76 per share

- 2023-02: $11.01 per share

- 2023-03: $16.65 per share

- 2023-04: $21.31 per share

- 2023-05: $21.96 per share

- 2023-06: $16.21 per share

- 2023-07: $14.50 per share

- 2023-08: $13.81 per share

- 2023-09: $11.07 per share

- 2023-10: $9.81 per share

- 2023-11: $12.22 per share

- 2023-12: $18.61 per share

- 2024-01: $24.14 per share

- 2024-02: $77.05 per share

- 2024-03: $82.00 per share

- 2024-04: $79.58 per share

- 2024-05: $62.26 per share

- 2024-06: $53.01 per share

- 2024-07: $57.00 per share

- 2024-08: $64.12 per share

- 2024-09: $63.31 per share

- 2024-10: $72.54 per share

- 2024-11: $52.94 per share

- 2024-12: $40.24 per share

- 2025-01: $32.75 per share

- 2025-02: $28.87 per share

- 2025-03: $24.15 per share

- 2025-04: $28.87 per share

- 2025-05: $26.80 per share

- 2025-06: $26.50 per share

- 2025-07: $32.57 per share

- 2025-08: $27.05 per share

- 2025-09: $26.28 per share

- 2025-10: $38.08 per share

- 2025-11: $36.81 per share

- 2025-12: $35.18 per share

- 2026-01: $29.04 per share

- 2026-02: $33.84 per share

- 2026-03: $32.54 per share

- 2026-04: $31.18 per share

- 2026-05: $32.74 per share

- 2026-06: $39.01 per share

- 2026-07: $31.74 per share

- 2026-08: $32.78 per share

- 2026-09: $32.60 per share

- 2026-10: $27.37 per share

## Annual estimated value (USD per share)

Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year

Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year

Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates

## Sources

[Original 10-K filing](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1607678/000119312526046876/vktx-20251231.htm); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-02-11.

Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.

## Reported holder observations



# VKTX — Viking Therapeutics Inc.

Held by 1 investor · USD 45,705,135 total · 2024 Q3 · reported price USD 63.31 (split-adjusted).
Page: https://gigainvestors.com/s/VKTX

## Holders (2024 Q3)

| Investor | Value | % of their portfolio | This quarter |
|---|---:|---:|---|
| Andreas Halvorsen (https://gigainvestors.com/vg) | USD 45,705,135 | 0.2% | reduce -46.7% |

## Total held by quarter

- 2023 Q1: USD 32,551,799 · 1 holder · USD 73.36
- 2023 Q2: USD 57,456,442 · 1 holder · USD 71.43
- 2023 Q3: USD 50,626,608 · 1 holder · USD 48.78
- 2023 Q4: USD 95,750,534 · 1 holder · USD 82.00
- 2024 Q1: USD 89,785,080 · 1 holder · USD 82.00
- 2024 Q2: USD 71,799,395 · 1 holder · USD 53.01
- 2024 Q3: USD 45,705,135 · 1 holder · USD 63.31
- 2024 Q4: USD 0 · 0 holders