Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 9 needed).
- 10y median
- TWD 42B
- Worst year
- TWD 28B
- Latest · 2025
- TWD 81B
# CTBC Financial Holding (2891.TW) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/2891.TW Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:34:00.268Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2025. Listing currency: TWD. Reporting currency: TWD. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: TWD 72.90 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low TWD 43.07 per share, central TWD 53.83 per share, high TWD 71.78 per share. Buy at or below the central value TWD 53.83 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:34:00.268Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 9.0% at the stated quote. About 9.0% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; TW 10-year bond 2.0% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: pass - Financial history: 10 years - Profitable years in the last ten: 10 - Required profitable years: 9 - Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.18× Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: TWD 28B - FY2017: TWD 37B - FY2018: TWD 36B - FY2019: TWD 42B - FY2020: TWD 42B - FY2021: TWD 53B - FY2022: TWD 30B - FY2023: TWD 56B - FY2024: TWD 72B - FY2025: TWD 81B ### moat: pass - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 12.5% - Required median return: 12.0% - Return uses tangible common equity: Yes - Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 10.8% - Years with reported combined ratio: 0 Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 10.8% - FY2017: 12.7% - FY2018: 12.4% - FY2019: 11.8% - FY2020: 11.0% - FY2021: 13.6% - FY2022: 9.1% - FY2023: 13.9% - FY2024: 16.2% - FY2025: 16.9% ### economics: pass - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 13.4% - Book return interval: 10 years - Starting book value per share: TWD 13.22 - Ending book value per share: TWD 24.28 Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 6.0% - FY2017: 21.4% - FY2018: 5.8% - FY2019: 29.7% - FY2020: 12.4% - FY2021: 8.6% - FY2022: -9.2% - FY2023: 28.2% - FY2024: 18.6% - FY2025: 17.8% ### management: fail - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - book per share gain below retained common earnings per share - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 0.2% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 0.2% - Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0.2% - Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0.2% - Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0 - Book created / earnings retained after dividends and buybacks: 0.96× - Book value created per share: TWD 11.06 - Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: TWD 11.49 Chart: Shares (first year = 100); fiscal year observations. - FY2015: 100 - FY2016: 101 - FY2017: 101 - FY2018: 101 - FY2019: 101 - FY2020: 101 - FY2021: 101 - FY2022: 101 - FY2023: 101 - FY2024: 102 - FY2025: 102 ### accounting: pass - Financial accounting warning count: 0 - Known restatement years: 0 ## Holders ## Price story The price assumes profits grow 7% a year forever · net income +11.9% Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:58.735Z; price observation 2026-10-15. The price assumes profits grow 7% a year forever ### Net income · FY2025 net income +11.9%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16. - FY2016: TWD 28B - FY2017: TWD 37B - FY2018: TWD 36B - FY2019: TWD 42B - FY2020: TWD 42B - FY2021: TWD 53B - FY2022: TWD 30B - FY2023: TWD 56B - FY2024: TWD 72B - FY2025: TWD 81B ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in regional banking; annual sales are TWD 500.6 billion. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:00.268Z); FY2025: revenue 500611850000. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); 2891.TW: CTBC Financial Holding Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in corporate and personal finance, life insurance, and other businesses in Taiwan, Asia, and North America. The company offers commercial banking and capital market services; customized financing and wealth management and credit services; life insurance services; and designs, provides, and trades in various financial products. It is also involved in deposit and loan; securities and futures; venture capital; asset management; issuance and sale of various types of lottery tickets; prize redemption operations and management, and promotion activities; personal insurance; investment trust; operation of an installment payment sales business; services, leasing business and accounts receivable; cash purchase and sale; guarantee; debt and fund management; securities investment advisory; and wholesale business. In addition, the company provides educational supplies, musical instruments, and recreational products; investment management consulting; financial leasing; product insurance; real estate leasing; elderly housing; home-based businesses and information software services; and hotel business. The company was formerly known as ChinaTrust Financial Holding Co., Ltd. and changed its name to CTBC Financial Holding Co., Ltd. in June 2013. CTBC Financial Holding Co., Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan. ### Why customers stay It earns 12.5% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:00.268Z); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0.10794913394277651],[2017,0.126536847548396],[2018,0.12395022228473526],[2019,0.11810542453517278],[2020,0.10998713546565969],[2021,0.1355867203185255],[2022,0.09147832766437315],[2023,0.13931971149248523],[2024,0.16228031238012897],[2025,0.16871136730333386]]; median 0.12524353491656565. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:00.268Z); Dividend observations: [[2016,14602366000],[2017,19469821000],[2018,21071132000],[2019,20246982000],[2020,20486315000],[2021,21541819000],[2022,25538754000],[2023,20754630000],[2024,36720513000],[2025,46725811000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 6.6% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); 2891.TW SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 6.644 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What the price says The price assumes profits grow 7% a year forever. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:00.268Z); Price 72.9; FX 1; original perpetual distributable cash 2.1533738136485643; discount 0.1; growth 0.07046126455900462. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (TWD per share) - 2016-10: TWD 17.00 per share - 2016-11: TWD 17.50 per share - 2016-12: TWD 17.65 per share - 2017-01: TWD 17.80 per share - 2017-02: TWD 18.35 per share - 2017-03: TWD 18.75 per share - 2017-04: TWD 18.85 per share - 2017-05: TWD 19.15 per share - 2017-06: TWD 19.95 per share - 2017-07: TWD 19.40 per share - 2017-08: TWD 19.55 per share - 2017-09: TWD 19.00 per share - 2017-10: TWD 19.30 per share - 2017-11: TWD 20.00 per share - 2017-12: TWD 20.50 per share - 2018-01: TWD 21.30 per share - 2018-02: TWD 21.35 per share - 2018-03: TWD 21.20 per share - 2018-04: TWD 21.25 per share - 2018-05: TWD 21.60 per share - 2018-06: TWD 21.95 per share - 2018-07: TWD 20.75 per share - 2018-08: TWD 21.60 per share - 2018-09: TWD 23.00 per share - 2018-10: TWD 20.65 per share - 2018-11: TWD 20.45 per share - 2018-12: TWD 20.20 per share - 2019-01: TWD 20.70 per share - 2019-02: TWD 20.85 per share - 2019-03: TWD 20.45 per share - 2019-04: TWD 21.15 per share - 2019-05: TWD 20.95 per share - 2019-06: TWD 21.35 per share - 2019-07: TWD 20.30 per share - 2019-08: TWD 20.35 per share - 2019-09: TWD 20.60 per share - 2019-10: TWD 21.20 per share - 2019-11: TWD 21.85 per share - 2019-12: TWD 22.40 per share - 2020-01: TWD 22.05 per share - 2020-02: TWD 22.70 per share - 2020-03: TWD 17.90 per share - 2020-04: TWD 20.00 per share - 2020-05: TWD 19.95 per share - 2020-06: TWD 20.35 per share - 2020-07: TWD 19.40 per share - 2020-08: TWD 18.95 per share - 2020-09: TWD 18.40 per share - 2020-10: TWD 18.05 per share - 2020-11: TWD 19.15 per share - 2020-12: TWD 19.70 per share - 2021-01: TWD 19.00 per share - 2021-02: TWD 20.00 per share - 2021-03: TWD 22.10 per share - 2021-04: TWD 22.80 per share - 2021-05: TWD 23.05 per share - 2021-06: TWD 22.70 per share - 2021-07: TWD 22.85 per share - 2021-08: TWD 23.00 per share - 2021-09: TWD 22.90 per share - 2021-10: TWD 23.20 per share - 2021-11: TWD 24.40 per share - 2021-12: TWD 25.95 per share - 2022-01: TWD 27.60 per share - 2022-02: TWD 27.15 per share - 2022-03: TWD 29.40 per share - 2022-04: TWD 29.25 per share - 2022-05: TWD 27.15 per share - 2022-06: TWD 25.10 per share - 2022-07: TWD 22.95 per share - 2022-08: TWD 23.50 per share - 2022-09: TWD 19.85 per share - 2022-10: TWD 20.40 per share - 2022-11: TWD 23.00 per share - 2022-12: TWD 22.10 per share - 2023-01: TWD 22.85 per share - 2023-02: TWD 22.75 per share - 2023-03: TWD 21.85 per share - 2023-04: TWD 22.60 per share - 2023-05: TWD 24.30 per share - 2023-06: TWD 24.85 per share - 2023-07: TWD 26.25 per share - 2023-08: TWD 23.85 per share - 2023-09: TWD 24.50 per share - 2023-10: TWD 24.35 per share - 2023-11: TWD 27.35 per share - 2023-12: TWD 28.35 per share - 2024-01: TWD 28.45 per share - 2024-02: TWD 29.40 per share - 2024-03: TWD 32.60 per share - 2024-04: TWD 34.10 per share - 2024-05: TWD 35.40 per share - 2024-06: TWD 37.85 per share - 2024-07: TWD 35.50 per share - 2024-08: TWD 32.65 per share - 2024-09: TWD 34.40 per share - 2024-10: TWD 35.90 per share - 2024-11: TWD 37.40 per share - 2024-12: TWD 39.10 per share - 2025-01: TWD 39.10 per share - 2025-02: TWD 40.75 per share - 2025-03: TWD 39.45 per share - 2025-04: TWD 39.30 per share - 2025-05: TWD 40.85 per share - 2025-06: TWD 43.70 per share - 2025-07: TWD 41.25 per share - 2025-08: TWD 41.15 per share - 2025-09: TWD 42.90 per share - 2025-10: TWD 41.85 per share - 2025-11: TWD 43.45 per share - 2025-12: TWD 50.20 per share - 2026-01: TWD 50.90 per share - 2026-02: TWD 55.90 per share - 2026-03: TWD 51.30 per share - 2026-04: TWD 52.30 per share - 2026-05: TWD 60.50 per share - 2026-06: TWD 71.00 per share - 2026-07: TWD 64.90 per share - 2026-08: TWD 64.70 per share - 2026-09: TWD 68.40 per share - 2026-10: TWD 71.60 per share ## Annual estimated value (TWD per share) - FY2016: low TWD 14.70 per share, central TWD 18.37 per share, high TWD 24.49 per share - FY2017: low TWD 17.77 per share, central TWD 22.21 per share, high TWD 29.62 per share - FY2018: low TWD 18.52 per share, central TWD 23.15 per share, high TWD 30.86 per share - FY2019: low TWD 20.31 per share, central TWD 22.34 per share, high TWD 24.83 per share - FY2020: low TWD 21.67 per share, central TWD 23.84 per share, high TWD 26.49 per share - FY2021: low TWD 22.76 per share, central TWD 25.04 per share, high TWD 27.82 per share - FY2022: low TWD 18.80 per share, central TWD 20.68 per share, high TWD 22.98 per share - FY2023: low TWD 26.66 per share, central TWD 33.32 per share, high TWD 44.43 per share - FY2024: low TWD 29.21 per share, central TWD 36.51 per share, high TWD 48.68 per share - FY2025: low TWD 31.35 per share, central TWD 39.19 per share, high TWD 52.26 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:39:46.769Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period. ## Sources Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
2891 · TW
FTSE TWSE Taiwan 50
Not a wonderful business
1 quality test fails. A lower price would not fix the business.
Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 9 needed).
Earned a median 12.5% on tangible equity (minimum 12%), and the second-worst year 10.8% (minimum 5%).
Book value plus dividends grew 13.4% a year (minimum 7%).
Book value gained 11.06 per share against 11.49 kept (must cover the amount kept).
0 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).
Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 3.55 TWD.
| Value range | TWD 43.07 – TWD 71.78 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value TWD 53.83 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 72.90 / 53.83 = -35.4% |
| Return / year | About 9.0% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Book TWD 33.35/share; ROE 12.5%; first payout TWD 2.15/share, growing 6.0% perpetually (4× book payout cap applied). |
| Required return | 10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value |