# Agricultural Bank of China (601288.SHG)

Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/601288.SHG

Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:33:30.281Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2025.

Listing currency: CNY. Reporting currency: CNY.

## Verdict

Not a wonderful business

Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no.

Share price: CNY 7.26 per share; close as of 2026-10-15.

## Checklist

### understandable: pass

- Financial history: 10 years

- Profitable years in the last ten: 10

- Required profitable years: 9

- Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.18×

Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: CNY 179B

- FY2017: CNY 188B

- FY2018: CNY 198B

- FY2019: CNY 207B

- FY2020: CNY 206B

- FY2021: CNY 227B

- FY2022: CNY 259B

- FY2023: CNY 269B

- FY2024: CNY 282B

- FY2025: CNY 291B

### moat: fail

- Tangible common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings

- median return on common equity below threshold

- Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 9.7%

- Required median return: 12.0%

- Return uses tangible common equity: Yes

- Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 9.2%

- Years with reported combined ratio: 0

Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: 14.8%

- FY2017: 14.3%

- FY2018: 12.0%

- FY2019: 10.8%

- FY2020: 9.5%

- FY2021: 9.5%

- FY2022: 9.8%

- FY2023: 9.4%

- FY2024: 9.2%

- FY2025: 9.1%

### economics: pass

- Tangible common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings

- Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 14.0%

- Book return interval: 10 years

- Starting book value per share: CNY 3.43

- Ending book value per share: CNY 8.57

Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: 15.5%

- FY2017: 14.2%

- FY2018: 21.5%

- FY2019: 22.0%

- FY2020: 32.6%

- FY2021: 20.4%

- FY2022: -15.0%

- FY2023: 12.5%

- FY2024: 9.9%

- FY2025: 13.0%

### management: pass

- Tangible common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings

- Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 1.5%

- Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 4.6%

- Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 1.5%

- Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 4.6%

- Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0

- Book created / earnings retained after dividends and buybacks: 1.36×

- Book value created per share: CNY 5.14

- Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: CNY 3.77

Chart: Shares (first year = 100); fiscal year observations.

- FY2015: 100

- FY2016: 100

- FY2017: 99

- FY2018: 106

- FY2019: 105

- FY2020: 93

- FY2021: 87

- FY2022: 117

- FY2023: 116

- FY2024: 117

- FY2025: 116

### accounting: pass

- Financial accounting warning count: 0

- Known restatement years: 0

## Holders

## Price story

Up 102% since Oct 2023 · net income +3.2%

Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:56.479Z; price observation 2026-10-15.

### Net income · FY2025

net income +3.2%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16.

- FY2016: CNY 179B 

- FY2017: CNY 188B 

- FY2018: CNY 198B 

- FY2019: CNY 207B 

- FY2020: CNY 206B 

- FY2021: CNY 227B 

- FY2022: CNY 259B 

- FY2023: CNY 269B 

- FY2024: CNY 282B 

- FY2025: CNY 291B 

## Owner memo

Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z.

### How it makes money

Operates in diversified banking; annual sales are CNY 724.2 billion.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:30.281Z); FY2025: revenue 724170000000.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); 601288.SHG: Agricultural Bank of China Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking products and services. The company operates through Corporate Banking, Personal Banking, Treasury operations, and Others segments. The Corporate Banking segment offers corporate loans and advances, trade finance, deposit products, corporate wealth management services, and other corporate intermediary services. The Personal Banking segment provides personal loans, deposit products, card business, and other personal intermediary services. The Treasury Operations segment conducts money market and repurchase transactions, debt instruments investments, precious metals transactions, and derivative transactions. It offers asset and fund management, financial leasing, life insurance, and investment banking services. It also provides inclusive finance, green finance, pension finance, digital and online financial services, and cross-border financial solutions, as well as services for rural revitalization. In addition, it provides demand, personal call, foreign currency call and time, time or demand optional, savings, agreed-term, and negotiated deposit accounts; certificates of deposit; and loans, including housing, consumer, personal auto, business, fixed asset, working capital, real estate, bonds, commercial drafts, entrusted syndicated loans, trade finances, guarantees and commitments, and loans with custody of export rebates accounts. In addition, it offers credit and debit cards, payment and settlement, private banking, cash management, custody, financial market, financial institution services, and trading. Further, it offers agro-related personal and corporate banking products and services; telephone, mobile, self-service, and SMS banking services; asset custodian services; and reinsurance. The company operates domestic and overseas branches, and representative offices. The company was founded in 1951 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

### Why customers stay

It earns 9.7% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:30.281Z); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0.1480142318678625],[2017,0.14263365137058912],[2018,0.12045123859049023],[2019,0.10785526567476984],[2020,0.0946803406005925],[2021,0.09527363017314631],[2022,0.09823803487550282],[2023,0.0942070017658829],[2024,0.0921742875422913],[2025,0.09102404197399894]]; median 0.09675583252432457. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity.

### Where the cash goes

Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years; bought back CNY 18.9 billion of shares.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:30.281Z); Dividend observations: [[2016,58776000000],[2017,59815000000],[2018,62511000000],[2019,65462000000],[2020,73192000000],[2021,78580000000],[2022,87679000000],[2023,95765000000],[2024,100094000000],[2025,232861000000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:30.281Z); FY2025: cash repurchases 18873350475.28 CNY.

### Are managers owners

Insiders own 84.3% of the company.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); 601288.SHG SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 84.273 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16.

### What the price says

The price is 3.7 times annual sales.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:30.281Z); Closing price 7.26 CNY; reporting-to-trading FX 1; FY2025 annual sales per share 1.9408007806485599; price multiple 3.740723969398815. FY2025 cash earnings/share 0.7800000000010184. Closing-price date 2026-10-15.

## Monthly share-price history (CNY per share)

- 2016-10: CNY 3.16 per share

- 2016-11: CNY 3.21 per share

- 2016-12: CNY 3.10 per share

- 2017-01: CNY 3.21 per share

- 2017-02: CNY 3.25 per share

- 2017-03: CNY 3.34 per share

- 2017-04: CNY 3.38 per share

- 2017-05: CNY 3.54 per share

- 2017-06: CNY 3.52 per share

- 2017-07: CNY 3.71 per share

- 2017-08: CNY 3.77 per share

- 2017-09: CNY 3.82 per share

- 2017-10: CNY 3.74 per share

- 2017-11: CNY 3.74 per share

- 2017-12: CNY 3.83 per share

- 2018-01: CNY 4.46 per share

- 2018-02: CNY 4.13 per share

- 2018-03: CNY 3.91 per share

- 2018-04: CNY 3.81 per share

- 2018-05: CNY 3.59 per share

- 2018-06: CNY 3.44 per share

- 2018-07: CNY 3.64 per share

- 2018-08: CNY 3.63 per share

- 2018-09: CNY 3.89 per share

- 2018-10: CNY 3.87 per share

- 2018-11: CNY 3.57 per share

- 2018-12: CNY 3.60 per share

- 2019-01: CNY 3.72 per share

- 2019-02: CNY 3.80 per share

- 2019-03: CNY 3.73 per share

- 2019-04: CNY 3.72 per share

- 2019-05: CNY 3.68 per share

- 2019-06: CNY 3.60 per share

- 2019-07: CNY 3.60 per share

- 2019-08: CNY 3.40 per share

- 2019-09: CNY 3.46 per share

- 2019-10: CNY 3.64 per share

- 2019-11: CNY 3.62 per share

- 2019-12: CNY 3.69 per share

- 2020-01: CNY 3.52 per share

- 2020-02: CNY 3.41 per share

- 2020-03: CNY 3.37 per share

- 2020-04: CNY 3.46 per share

- 2020-05: CNY 3.40 per share

- 2020-06: CNY 3.38 per share

- 2020-07: CNY 3.23 per share

- 2020-08: CNY 3.21 per share

- 2020-09: CNY 3.17 per share

- 2020-10: CNY 3.15 per share

- 2020-11: CNY 3.29 per share

- 2020-12: CNY 3.14 per share

- 2021-01: CNY 3.15 per share

- 2021-02: CNY 3.26 per share

- 2021-03: CNY 3.40 per share

- 2021-04: CNY 3.20 per share

- 2021-05: CNY 3.26 per share

- 2021-06: CNY 3.03 per share

- 2021-07: CNY 2.93 per share

- 2021-08: CNY 2.96 per share

- 2021-09: CNY 2.94 per share

- 2021-10: CNY 2.94 per share

- 2021-11: CNY 2.91 per share

- 2021-12: CNY 2.94 per share

- 2022-01: CNY 2.96 per share

- 2022-02: CNY 2.98 per share

- 2022-03: CNY 3.08 per share

- 2022-04: CNY 3.06 per share

- 2022-05: CNY 3.03 per share

- 2022-06: CNY 3.02 per share

- 2022-07: CNY 2.85 per share

- 2022-08: CNY 2.85 per share

- 2022-09: CNY 2.86 per share

- 2022-10: CNY 2.76 per share

- 2022-11: CNY 2.88 per share

- 2022-12: CNY 2.91 per share

- 2023-01: CNY 2.91 per share

- 2023-02: CNY 2.93 per share

- 2023-03: CNY 3.11 per share

- 2023-04: CNY 3.42 per share

- 2023-05: CNY 3.52 per share

- 2023-06: CNY 3.53 per share

- 2023-07: CNY 3.62 per share

- 2023-08: CNY 3.46 per share

- 2023-09: CNY 3.60 per share

- 2023-10: CNY 3.59 per share

- 2023-11: CNY 3.66 per share

- 2023-12: CNY 3.64 per share

- 2024-01: CNY 3.89 per share

- 2024-02: CNY 4.19 per share

- 2024-03: CNY 4.23 per share

- 2024-04: CNY 4.40 per share

- 2024-05: CNY 4.39 per share

- 2024-06: CNY 4.36 per share

- 2024-07: CNY 4.59 per share

- 2024-08: CNY 4.52 per share

- 2024-09: CNY 4.80 per share

- 2024-10: CNY 4.73 per share

- 2024-11: CNY 4.81 per share

- 2024-12: CNY 5.34 per share

- 2025-01: CNY 5.16 per share

- 2025-02: CNY 5.13 per share

- 2025-03: CNY 5.18 per share

- 2025-04: CNY 5.42 per share

- 2025-05: CNY 5.53 per share

- 2025-06: CNY 5.88 per share

- 2025-07: CNY 6.30 per share

- 2025-08: CNY 7.02 per share

- 2025-09: CNY 6.67 per share

- 2025-10: CNY 7.96 per share

- 2025-11: CNY 8.04 per share

- 2025-12: CNY 7.68 per share

- 2026-01: CNY 6.72 per share

- 2026-02: CNY 6.40 per share

- 2026-03: CNY 6.70 per share

- 2026-04: CNY 6.92 per share

- 2026-05: CNY 6.32 per share

- 2026-06: CNY 6.07 per share

- 2026-07: CNY 6.90 per share

- 2026-08: CNY 6.92 per share

- 2026-09: CNY 6.97 per share

- 2026-10: CNY 7.25 per share

## Annual estimated value (CNY per share)

Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year

Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year

Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates

## Sources

Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
← Companies

Agricultural Bank of China

601288 · SHG

CSI 300

Not a wonderful business

1 quality test fails. A lower price would not fix the business.

Share price
CNY 7.26
Quality tests
Fail
Annual history
24 years
Market value
$376B

The business

How it makes money
Why customers stay
Where the cash goes
Are managers owners
What the price says

1. Is this a good business?

Evidence only; not required for Buy

Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 9 needed).

10y median
CNY 217B
Worst year
CNY 179B
Latest · 2025
CNY 291B

Earned a median 9.7% on tangible equity (minimum 12%).

10y median
9.7%
Worst year
9.1%
Latest · 2025
9.1%

Book value plus dividends grew 14% a year (minimum 7%).

10y median
14.9%
Worst year
-15.0%
Latest · 2025
13.0%

Ordinary share growth was 1.5% over the full period and 4.6% over five years (either must be at most 2% a year).

11y median
105
Worst year
117
Latest · 2025
116

0 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).

accounting warnings
0
Passing bar
≤ 0

Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 0.75 CNY.

Net incomeCNY 291B
291B020162025
FY2016 · Net income: CNY 179B; FY2017 · Net income: CNY 188B; FY2018 · Net income: CNY 198B; FY2019 · Net income: CNY 207B; FY2020 · Net income: CNY 206B; FY2021 · Net income: CNY 227B; FY2022 · Net income: CNY 259B; FY2023 · Net income: CNY 269B; FY2024 · Net income: CNY 282B; FY2025 · Net income: CNY 291B
Net income
Book / shareCNY 8.57
8.57020162025
FY2016 · Book / share: CNY 3.78; FY2017 · Book / share: CNY 4.13; FY2018 · Book / share: CNY 4.84; FY2019 · Book / share: CNY 5.71; FY2020 · Book / share: CNY 7.32; FY2021 · Book / share: CNY 8.53; FY2022 · Book / share: CNY 7.02; FY2023 · Book / share: CNY 7.64; FY2024 · Book / share: CNY 8.14; FY2025 · Book / share: CNY 8.57
Book / share
Dividend / shareCNY 0.62
1.00020162025
FY2016 · Dividend / share: CNY 0.18; FY2017 · Dividend / share: CNY 0.19; FY2018 · Dividend / share: CNY 0.18; FY2019 · Dividend / share: CNY 0.19; FY2020 · Dividend / share: CNY 0.25; FY2021 · Dividend / share: CNY 0.28; FY2022 · Dividend / share: CNY 0.23; FY2023 · Dividend / share: CNY 0.26; FY2024 · Dividend / share: CNY 0.27; FY2025 · Dividend / share: CNY 0.62
Dividend / share
Return on tangible equity9.1%
14.8%0.0%20162025
FY2016 · Return on tangible equity: 14.8%; FY2017 · Return on tangible equity: 14.3%; FY2018 · Return on tangible equity: 12.0%; FY2019 · Return on tangible equity: 10.8%; FY2020 · Return on tangible equity: 9.5%; FY2021 · Return on tangible equity: 9.5%; FY2022 · Return on tangible equity: 9.8%; FY2023 · Return on tangible equity: 9.4%; FY2024 · Return on tangible equity: 9.2%; FY2025 · Return on tangible equity: 9.1%
Return on tangible equity
Diluted shares373B
376B020162025
FY2016 · Diluted shares: 320B; FY2017 · Diluted shares: 320B; FY2018 · Diluted shares: 340B; FY2019 · Diluted shares: 337B; FY2020 · Diluted shares: 298B; FY2021 · Diluted shares: 280B; FY2022 · Diluted shares: 376B; FY2023 · Diluted shares: 374B; FY2024 · Diluted shares: 376B; FY2025 · Diluted shares: 373B
Diluted shares
Prices 15 Oct 2026 · FY2025