Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 9 needed).
- 10y median
- CNY 12B
- Worst year
- CNY 10B
- Latest · 2025
- CNY 13B
# China Zheshang Bank (601916.SHG) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/601916.SHG Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:35:33.538Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2025. Listing currency: CNY. Reporting currency: CNY. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: CNY 2.96 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low CNY 4.50 per share, central CNY 5.58 per share, high CNY 7.36 per share. Buy at or below the central value CNY 5.58 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:35:33.538Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 13.7% at the stated quote. About 13.7% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; CN 10-year bond 1.7% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: pass - Financial history: 10 years - Profitable years in the last ten: 10 - Required profitable years: 9 - Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.27× Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: CNY 10B - FY2017: CNY 10B - FY2018: CNY 11B - FY2019: CNY 12B - FY2020: CNY 11B - FY2021: CNY 12B - FY2022: CNY 12B - FY2023: CNY 15B - FY2024: CNY 15B - FY2025: CNY 13B ### moat: fail - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - median return on common equity below threshold - Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 8.5% - Required median return: 12.0% - Return uses tangible common equity: Yes - Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 7.3% - Years with reported combined ratio: 0 Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 15.2% - FY2017: 11.8% - FY2018: 11.3% - FY2019: 9.7% - FY2020: 8.9% - FY2021: 7.3% - FY2022: 7.4% - FY2023: 8.2% - FY2024: 7.7% - FY2025: 6.5% ### economics: pass - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 13.5% - Book return interval: 10 years - Starting book value per share: CNY 2.72 - Ending book value per share: CNY 7.29 Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 41.8% - FY2017: 35.4% - FY2018: 14.3% - FY2019: 62.1% - FY2020: 9.0% - FY2021: -18.2% - FY2022: 1.3% - FY2023: 6.6% - FY2024: -0.6% - FY2025: 4.6% ### management: fail - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - ordinary share count growth exceeds 2% annually in both the full and five-year windows - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 4.3% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 13.9% - Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 4.3% - Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 13.9% - Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0 - Book created / earnings retained after dividends and buybacks: 1.30× - Book value created per share: CNY 4.58 - Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: CNY 3.51 Chart: Shares (first year = 100); fiscal year observations. - FY2015: 100 - FY2016: 99 - FY2017: 99 - FY2018: 104 - FY2019: 80 - FY2020: 79 - FY2021: 125 - FY2022: 124 - FY2023: 138 - FY2024: 152 - FY2025: 152 ### accounting: pass - Financial accounting warning count: 0 - Known restatement years: 0 ## Holders ## Price story The price assumes profits grow 2.2% a year forever · net income -14.8% Story as of 2026-10-16T10:00:05.545Z; price observation 2026-10-15. The price assumes profits grow 2.2% a year forever ### Net income · FY2025 net income -14.8%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16. - FY2016: CNY 10B - FY2017: CNY 10B - FY2018: CNY 11B - FY2019: CNY 12B - FY2020: CNY 11B - FY2021: CNY 12B - FY2022: CNY 12B - FY2023: CNY 15B - FY2024: CNY 15B - FY2025: CNY 13B ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in regional banking; annual sales are CNY 60.3 billion. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:35:33.538Z); FY2025: revenue 60296000000. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); 601916.SHG: China Zheshang Bank Co., Ltd. provides corporate and retail banking services in Mainland China. The company operates through Corporate Banking, Retail Banking, and Treasury Business segments. The Corporate Banking segment offers corporate loans and advances, trade financing, corporate deposits, credit commitments and financial guarantees, debt instrument underwriting and other corporate, and intermediary banking services to corporate clients, governments, and other institutions. The Retail Banking segment provides personal loans and advances, personal deposits, wealth management, bank card business, and other types of retail banking services to individual customers. The Treasury Business segment is involved in money market transactions, repurchase transactions, debt instrument investments, equity instrument investments, and proprietary business. It also engages in the financial derivatives business. China Zheshang Bank Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China. ### Why customers stay It earns 8.5% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:35:33.538Z); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0.15191243340181487],[2017,0.11779254772428176],[2018,0.11259280792968501],[2019,0.09700083377383617],[2020,0.088576945235982],[2021,0.07279754995183878],[2022,0.07356291786501326],[2023,0.08180661715938373],[2024,0.07727772349780167],[2025,0.0645530062501248]]; median 0.08519178119768286. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:35:33.538Z); Dividend observations: [[2016,2353092000],[2017,3065339000],[2018,4041754000],[2019,885000000],[2020,5780000000],[2021,4313000000],[2022,2000000000],[2023,5683000000],[2024,5469000000],[2025,5278000000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 34.8% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); 601916.SHG SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 34.797 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What the price says The price assumes profits grow 2.2% a year forever. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:35:33.538Z); Price 2.96; FX 1; original perpetual distributable cash 0.23089824182338572; discount 0.1; growth 0.021993837221829154. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (CNY per share) - 2019-12: CNY 4.49 per share - 2020-01: CNY 4.28 per share - 2020-02: CNY 3.94 per share - 2020-03: CNY 3.80 per share - 2020-04: CNY 3.83 per share - 2020-05: CNY 3.63 per share - 2020-06: CNY 3.70 per share - 2020-07: CNY 3.87 per share - 2020-08: CNY 3.92 per share - 2020-09: CNY 3.96 per share - 2020-10: CNY 3.74 per share - 2020-11: CNY 3.87 per share - 2020-12: CNY 3.83 per share - 2021-01: CNY 3.70 per share - 2021-02: CNY 3.86 per share - 2021-03: CNY 3.82 per share - 2021-04: CNY 3.71 per share - 2021-05: CNY 3.78 per share - 2021-06: CNY 3.73 per share - 2021-07: CNY 3.40 per share - 2021-08: CNY 3.33 per share - 2021-09: CNY 3.33 per share - 2021-10: CNY 3.23 per share - 2021-11: CNY 3.22 per share - 2021-12: CNY 3.29 per share - 2022-01: CNY 3.22 per share - 2022-02: CNY 3.22 per share - 2022-03: CNY 3.12 per share - 2022-04: CNY 3.11 per share - 2022-05: CNY 3.05 per share - 2022-06: CNY 3.12 per share - 2022-07: CNY 3.04 per share - 2022-08: CNY 3.05 per share - 2022-09: CNY 2.80 per share - 2022-10: CNY 2.59 per share - 2022-11: CNY 2.77 per share - 2022-12: CNY 2.76 per share - 2023-01: CNY 2.78 per share - 2023-02: CNY 2.74 per share - 2023-03: CNY 2.69 per share - 2023-04: CNY 2.89 per share - 2023-05: CNY 2.70 per share - 2023-06: CNY 2.64 per share - 2023-07: CNY 2.78 per share - 2023-08: CNY 2.57 per share - 2023-09: CNY 2.56 per share - 2023-10: CNY 2.55 per share - 2023-11: CNY 2.53 per share - 2023-12: CNY 2.52 per share - 2024-01: CNY 2.69 per share - 2024-02: CNY 2.78 per share - 2024-03: CNY 2.99 per share - 2024-04: CNY 3.00 per share - 2024-05: CNY 2.98 per share - 2024-06: CNY 2.76 per share - 2024-07: CNY 2.82 per share - 2024-08: CNY 2.62 per share - 2024-09: CNY 2.94 per share - 2024-10: CNY 2.84 per share - 2024-11: CNY 2.90 per share - 2024-12: CNY 2.91 per share - 2025-01: CNY 2.90 per share - 2025-02: CNY 2.86 per share - 2025-03: CNY 2.94 per share - 2025-04: CNY 2.99 per share - 2025-05: CNY 3.22 per share - 2025-06: CNY 3.39 per share - 2025-07: CNY 3.39 per share - 2025-08: CNY 3.24 per share - 2025-09: CNY 2.98 per share - 2025-10: CNY 2.99 per share - 2025-11: CNY 3.07 per share - 2025-12: CNY 3.04 per share - 2026-01: CNY 2.91 per share - 2026-02: CNY 2.98 per share - 2026-03: CNY 3.00 per share - 2026-04: CNY 2.97 per share - 2026-05: CNY 3.00 per share - 2026-06: CNY 2.63 per share - 2026-07: CNY 3.03 per share - 2026-08: CNY 2.90 per share - 2026-09: CNY 2.88 per share - 2026-10: CNY 2.97 per share ## Annual estimated value (CNY per share) - FY2016: low CNY 7.16 per share, central CNY 8.95 per share, high CNY 11.93 per share - FY2017: low CNY 9.16 per share, central CNY 11.45 per share, high CNY 15.26 per share - FY2018: low CNY 9.83 per share, central CNY 12.29 per share, high CNY 16.39 per share - FY2019: low CNY 15.11 per share, central CNY 18.88 per share, high CNY 25.18 per share - FY2020: low CNY 15.01 per share, central CNY 18.76 per share, high CNY 25.01 per share - FY2021: low CNY 10.64 per share, central CNY 13.30 per share, high CNY 17.74 per share - FY2022: low CNY 8.20 per share, central CNY 10.25 per share, high CNY 13.66 per share - FY2023: low CNY 6.92 per share, central CNY 8.65 per share, high CNY 11.53 per share - FY2024: low CNY 5.72 per share, central CNY 7.15 per share, high CNY 9.53 per share - FY2025: low CNY 4.50 per share, central CNY 5.58 per share, high CNY 7.36 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:41:16.776Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period. ## Sources Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
601916 · SHG
CSI 300
Not a wonderful business
2 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.
Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 9 needed).
Earned a median 8.5% on tangible equity (minimum 12%).
Book value plus dividends grew 13.5% a year (minimum 7%).
Ordinary share growth was 4.3% over the full period and 13.9% over five years (either must be at most 2% a year).
0 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).
Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 0.54 CNY.
| Value range | CNY 4.50 – CNY 7.36 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value CNY 5.58 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 2.96 / 5.58 = 47.0% |
| Return / year | About 13.7% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Book CNY 7.29/share; ROE 9.0%; first payout CNY 0.23/share, growing 5.9% perpetually (4× book payout cap applied). |
| Required return | 10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value |