Margins varied 49.8% around their average (limit 35%).
- 10y median
- 4.8%
- Worst year
- 2.0%
- Latest · 2026
- 10.0%
# NEC (6701.JP) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/6701.JP Analysis as of: 2026-10-15T07:11:04.313Z. Financial observations: FY2013–FY2026. Listing currency: JPY. Reporting currency: JPY. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: JPY 5,240.00 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low JPY 1,915.68 per share, central JPY 2,118.98 per share, high JPY 2,389.63 per share. Buy at or below the central value JPY 2,118.98 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-15T07:11:04.313Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 5.4% at the stated quote. About 5.4% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; JP 10-year bond 2.9% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: fail - 3 revenue declines in the last 10 years (informational) - operating margin variation exceeds 0.35 - Financial history: 10 years - Years with declining revenue: 3 - Years with a net loss: 0 - Operating margin variation: 0.50× Chart: Operating margin; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: 0.02× - FY2018: 0.02× - FY2019: 0.02× - FY2020: 0.04× - FY2021: 0.05× - FY2022: 0.04× - FY2023: 0.05× - FY2024: 0.05× - FY2025: 0.07× - FY2026: 0.10× ### moat: fail - ROIC median below threshold - ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed) - ROIC, median of available years: 11.4% - ROIC, second-lowest year: 4.1% - Typical minus recent gross margin: -2.1 pp - Typical gross margin (annual median): 28.8% - Recent gross margin (lower of latest and 3-year median): 31.0% - Years with nonpositive capital: 0 - Capital spending / revenue: 2.4% - ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: 9.1% Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: 3.7% - FY2018: 4.7% - FY2019: 4.1% - FY2020: 13.1% - FY2021: 15.0% - FY2022: 11.1% - FY2023: 10.3% - FY2024: 11.7% - FY2025: 12.0% - FY2026: 15.7% ### economics: pass - Owner earnings / net income, 5-yr: 1.08× - Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No - Owner earnings, five-year total: JPY 921B - Net income, five-year total: JPY 851B - Return on incremental invested capital: >100% - Working capital / revenue, annual change: -0.5 pp - Working capital / revenue, change between three-year averages: -4.1 pp - Working capital / revenue, final three-year average: 17.3% Chart: Annual owner cash / profit; fiscal year observations. - FY2022: 1.33× - FY2023: 1.34× - FY2024: 1.17× - FY2025: 0.72× - FY2026: 1.03× ### management: pass - Historical market-dollar context (not the management verdict): 2017 to 2026 (9 years) - buybacks leaned toward cheaper years (informational) - ROIC first 3 years vs last 3 years: 4.1% vs 12.0% - Per-share earnings: 35.31 to 131.50 (three-year endpoint medians) - Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes - Ordinary dilution, 10-year annual growth: 0.2% - Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: -0.2% - Market cap gain: JPY 4.42T - Cumulative retained earnings: JPY 981B - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 0.2% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: -0.2% - $1 test, starting fiscal year: FY2017 - $1 test, ending fiscal year: FY2026 - Per-share value growth: 17.9% - Per-share value change: JPY 96.19 - Per-share value, starting three-year median: JPY 35.31 - Per-share value, ending three-year median: JPY 131.50 - Buybacks concentrated in cheaper years (correlation): 0.50 - Average buyback yield: 0.8% - Buyback history: 3 years - Debt-funded buybacks: No - Acquisition spending: JPY 693B - Cumulative net income, 10 years: JPY 1.21T - ROIC, first three-year median: 4.1% - ROIC, last three-year median: 12.0% Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: JPY 21.02 - FY2018: JPY 35.31 - FY2019: JPY 30.55 - FY2020: JPY 77.00 - FY2021: JPY 111.44 - FY2022: JPY 103.71 - FY2023: JPY 84.90 - FY2024: JPY 112.25 - FY2025: JPY 131.50 - FY2026: JPY 202.95 ### accounting: pass - Sloan accruals: -3.8% - Receivables to sales index (DSRI): 1.08× - Restructuring years, last five: 0 - Stock compensation / operating cash flow: 0.0% - Earnings backed by cash: Yes - Operating cash / earnings: 1.62× - Accounting red flags: 0 - Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 0.37× Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: -2.4% - FY2018: -3.0% - FY2019: -0.8% - FY2020: -5.2% - FY2021: -3.4% - FY2022: -0.2% - FY2023: -0.9% - FY2024: -2.9% - FY2025: -3.9% - FY2026: -3.8% ## Holders ## Price story Price needs cash profits to grow 14.2% a year for ten years · sales +4.7% Story as of 2026-10-16T10:00:14.489Z; price observation 2026-10-15. Price needs cash profits to grow 14.2% a year for ten years ### Sales · FY2025–2026 sales +4.7%; source https://disclosure2dl.edinet-fsa.go.jp/searchdocument/pdf/S100YBFV.pdf; observed 2026-06-18. - FY2017: JPY 2.67T - FY2018: JPY 2.84T - FY2019: JPY 2.91T - FY2020: JPY 3.10T - FY2021: JPY 2.99T - FY2022: JPY 3.01T - FY2023: JPY 3.31T - FY2024: JPY 3.48T - FY2025: JPY 3.42T - FY2026: JPY 3.58T ### Gross margin · FY2026 gross margin 33%; source https://disclosure2dl.edinet-fsa.go.jp/searchdocument/pdf/S100YBFV.pdf; observed 2026-06-18. - FY2017: 28.4% - FY2018: 28.0% - FY2019: 28.5% - FY2020: 28.7% - FY2021: 28.8% - FY2022: 29.4% - FY2023: 28.9% - FY2024: 28.9% - FY2025: 31.0% - FY2026: 33.0% ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in information technology services; annual sales are JPY 3.6 trillion. - Source: https://disclosure2dl.edinet-fsa.go.jp/searchdocument/pdf/S100YBFV.pdf (filed 2026-06-18); FY2026: revenue 3582733000000; grossProfit 1181296000000; margin = grossProfit / revenue. ### Why customers stay Margins ranged from 28.9% to 33% during 2024–26; it earns 11.4% on its capital. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-18); FY2024: grossProfit / revenue = 28.9%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-18); FY2025: grossProfit / revenue = 31%. - Source: https://disclosure2dl.edinet-fsa.go.jp/searchdocument/pdf/S100YBFV.pdf (filed 2026-06-18); FY2026: grossProfit / revenue = 33%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-18); 10-year return on capital observations [[2017,0.03671368612904468],[2018,0.04665662057532688],[2019,0.041322933386478265],[2020,0.13052945353555934],[2021,0.15007832898172324],[2022,0.11123281462456565],[2023,0.10280597198094969],[2024,0.11709825078092305],[2025,0.12046351738285939],[2026,0.15673789466042365]]; median 0.11416553270274435. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Can it raise prices Kept about a 29% gross margin through 2022 cost inflation. - Source: https://disclosure2dl.edinet-fsa.go.jp/searchdocument/pdf/S100YBFV.pdf (filed 2026-06-18); Gross margin observations: [[2021,0.2876340629313803],[2022,0.29408927057707207],[2023,0.2892371849473803]]; range within 2 percentage points. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/NEC1.F.json#2017-03-31 (filed 2026-06-18); FY2017: growth capex 0; upkeep 45089000000; owner earnings 62597000000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-18); FY2018: growth capex 0; upkeep 53387000000; owner earnings 78390828831.22496. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-18); FY2019: growth capex 0; upkeep 60693000000; owner earnings 69511088965.91565. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-18); FY2020: growth capex 0; upkeep 89197000000; owner earnings 120846559621.71417. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-18); FY2021: growth capex 0; upkeep 70936000000; owner earnings 185787941124.1397. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-18); FY2022: growth capex 0; upkeep 71106000000; owner earnings 188293301857.6543. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-18); FY2023: growth capex 0; upkeep 77714000000; owner earnings 153420910763.70935. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-18); FY2024: growth capex 0; upkeep 99767000000; owner earnings 174337000000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-18); FY2025: growth capex 0; upkeep 150625000000; owner earnings 126399000000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://disclosure2dl.edinet-fsa.go.jp/searchdocument/pdf/S100YBFV.pdf (filed 2026-06-18); FY2026: growth capex 0; upkeep 91556000000; owner earnings 278284000000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-18); Dividend observations: [[2017,15592000000],[2018,15586000000],[2019,15586000000],[2020,18177000000],[2021,21296000000],[2022,27259000000],[2023,28522000000],[2024,30655000000],[2025,34682000000],[2026,40043000000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. ### What the price says The price assumes cash profits grow 14.2% yearly over ten years; actual growth was 7.4%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-18); Ten-year compound average after fade. Initial solved rate 0.19195084225263404. Price 5240; FX 1; discount 0.1; same standard ten-year fade to terminal 0.03. FY2016 owner earnings/share 102.53767264201888 → FY2026 209.0003175096585. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (JPY per share) - 2016-11: JPY 596.00 per share - 2016-12: JPY 620.00 per share - 2017-01: JPY 522.00 per share - 2017-02: JPY 560.00 per share - 2017-03: JPY 536.00 per share - 2017-04: JPY 554.00 per share - 2017-05: JPY 574.00 per share - 2017-06: JPY 596.00 per share - 2017-07: JPY 600.00 per share - 2017-08: JPY 582.00 per share - 2017-09: JPY 610.00 per share - 2017-10: JPY 620.00 per share - 2017-11: JPY 600.00 per share - 2017-12: JPY 608.00 per share - 2018-01: JPY 658.00 per share - 2018-02: JPY 652.00 per share - 2018-03: JPY 598.20 per share - 2018-04: JPY 601.00 per share - 2018-05: JPY 614.00 per share - 2018-06: JPY 608.00 per share - 2018-07: JPY 620.00 per share - 2018-08: JPY 614.00 per share - 2018-09: JPY 628.00 per share - 2018-10: JPY 648.00 per share - 2018-11: JPY 704.00 per share - 2018-12: JPY 653.00 per share - 2019-01: JPY 730.00 per share - 2019-02: JPY 743.00 per share - 2019-03: JPY 749.00 per share - 2019-04: JPY 749.00 per share - 2019-05: JPY 805.00 per share - 2019-06: JPY 848.00 per share - 2019-07: JPY 896.00 per share - 2019-08: JPY 910.00 per share - 2019-09: JPY 912.00 per share - 2019-10: JPY 860.00 per share - 2019-11: JPY 875.00 per share - 2019-12: JPY 904.00 per share - 2020-01: JPY 984.00 per share - 2020-02: JPY 808.00 per share - 2020-03: JPY 789.00 per share - 2020-04: JPY 833.00 per share - 2020-05: JPY 967.00 per share - 2020-06: JPY 1,034.00 per share - 2020-07: JPY 1,178.00 per share - 2020-08: JPY 1,118.00 per share - 2020-09: JPY 1,228.00 per share - 2020-10: JPY 1,050.00 per share - 2020-11: JPY 1,126.00 per share - 2020-12: JPY 1,108.00 per share - 2021-01: JPY 1,140.00 per share - 2021-02: JPY 1,160.00 per share - 2021-03: JPY 1,304.00 per share - 2021-04: JPY 1,272.00 per share - 2021-05: JPY 1,022.00 per share - 2021-06: JPY 1,144.00 per share - 2021-07: JPY 1,108.00 per share - 2021-08: JPY 1,156.00 per share - 2021-09: JPY 1,214.00 per share - 2021-10: JPY 1,164.00 per share - 2021-11: JPY 1,024.00 per share - 2021-12: JPY 1,062.00 per share - 2022-01: JPY 890.00 per share - 2022-02: JPY 991.00 per share - 2022-03: JPY 1,030.00 per share - 2022-04: JPY 1,010.00 per share - 2022-05: JPY 1,042.00 per share - 2022-06: JPY 1,054.00 per share - 2022-07: JPY 979.00 per share - 2022-08: JPY 1,020.00 per share - 2022-09: JPY 925.00 per share - 2022-10: JPY 985.00 per share - 2022-11: JPY 971.00 per share - 2022-12: JPY 927.00 per share - 2023-01: JPY 935.00 per share - 2023-02: JPY 975.00 per share - 2023-03: JPY 1,020.00 per share - 2023-04: JPY 1,042.00 per share - 2023-05: JPY 1,310.00 per share - 2023-06: JPY 1,393.00 per share - 2023-07: JPY 1,436.60 per share - 2023-08: JPY 1,537.20 per share - 2023-09: JPY 1,652.20 per share - 2023-10: JPY 1,441.00 per share - 2023-11: JPY 1,648.00 per share - 2023-12: JPY 1,670.00 per share - 2024-01: JPY 1,940.00 per share - 2024-02: JPY 2,018.00 per share - 2024-03: JPY 2,193.00 per share - 2024-04: JPY 2,300.00 per share - 2024-05: JPY 2,325.00 per share - 2024-06: JPY 2,649.00 per share - 2024-07: JPY 2,600.00 per share - 2024-08: JPY 2,573.00 per share - 2024-09: JPY 2,750.00 per share - 2024-10: JPY 2,647.00 per share - 2024-11: JPY 2,549.00 per share - 2024-12: JPY 2,744.00 per share - 2025-01: JPY 3,105.00 per share - 2025-02: JPY 2,893.00 per share - 2025-03: JPY 3,145.00 per share - 2025-04: JPY 3,476.00 per share - 2025-05: JPY 3,785.00 per share - 2025-06: JPY 4,219.00 per share - 2025-07: JPY 4,399.00 per share - 2025-08: JPY 4,537.00 per share - 2025-09: JPY 4,739.00 per share - 2025-10: JPY 5,618.00 per share - 2025-11: JPY 5,891.00 per share - 2025-12: JPY 5,310.00 per share - 2026-01: JPY 5,210.00 per share - 2026-02: JPY 4,334.00 per share - 2026-03: JPY 3,846.00 per share - 2026-04: JPY 4,101.00 per share - 2026-05: JPY 4,103.00 per share - 2026-06: JPY 3,925.00 per share - 2026-07: JPY 4,740.00 per share - 2026-08: JPY 4,908.00 per share - 2026-09: JPY 4,759.00 per share - 2026-10: JPY 5,251.00 per share ## Annual estimated value (JPY per share) - FY2018: low JPY 829.24 per share, central JPY 920.18 per share, high JPY 1,041.23 per share - FY2019: low JPY 805.22 per share, central JPY 898.39 per share, high JPY 1,022.43 per share - FY2020: low JPY 921.34 per share, central JPY 1,020.36 per share, high JPY 1,152.18 per share - FY2021: low JPY 990.89 per share, central JPY 1,083.52 per share, high JPY 1,206.82 per share - FY2022: low JPY 1,189.43 per share, central JPY 1,319.62 per share, high JPY 1,492.93 per share - FY2023: low JPY 1,484.62 per share, central JPY 1,673.89 per share, high JPY 1,908.15 per share - FY2024: low JPY 1,736.06 per share, central JPY 1,933.30 per share, high JPY 2,195.87 per share - FY2025: low JPY 1,795.68 per share, central JPY 1,989.85 per share, high JPY 2,248.33 per share - FY2026: low JPY 1,915.68 per share, central JPY 2,118.98 per share, high JPY 2,389.63 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates ## Sources [Original EDINET filing](https://disclosure2dl.edinet-fsa.go.jp/searchdocument/pdf/S100YBFV.pdf); period 2026-03-31, filed 2026-06-18. Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
6701 · JP
Nikkei 225 · TOPIX Large70
Not a wonderful business
1 quality test fails. A lower price would not fix the business.
Margins varied 49.8% around their average (limit 35%).
Capital return excluding acquisitions: median 11.4% (minimum 15%), and the second-worst year 4.1% (minimum 10%).
Each $1 of profit left $1.08 for owners over five years (minimum $0.80).
Per-share value rose from 35.31 to 131.5, comparing three-year medians at each end (must rise and stay positive).
Profits were backed by cash: accruals were -3.8% of assets (limit 10%).
Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 10 (at most 2), mean operating margin 4.8%, three-year average owner earnings per share 144.92 JPY.
| Value range | JPY 1,915.68 – JPY 2,389.63 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value JPY 2,118.98 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 5240.00 / 2118.98 = -147.3% |
| Return / year | About 5.4% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Owner cash JPY 134.90/share; 0.0% growth for 5 years, then fades to 3.0%; excess cash JPY 441.14/share today. |
| Required return | 10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value |