Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 9 needed).
- 10y median
- JPY 1.05T
- Worst year
- JPY 528B
- Latest · 2026
- JPY 2.43T
# Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (8306.JP) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/8306.JP Analysis as of: 2026-10-15T06:39:17.094Z. Financial observations: FY2016–FY2026. Listing currency: JPY. Reporting currency: JPY. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: JPY 3,413.00 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low JPY 608.49 per share, central JPY 724.68 per share, high JPY 895.71 per share. Buy at or below the central value JPY 724.68 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-15T06:39:17.094Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 5.9% at the stated quote. About 5.9% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; JP 10-year bond 2.9% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: pass - Financial history: 10 years - Profitable years in the last ten: 10 - Required profitable years: 9 - Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.31× Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: JPY 926B - FY2018: JPY 990B - FY2019: JPY 873B - FY2020: JPY 528B - FY2021: JPY 777B - FY2022: JPY 1.13T - FY2023: JPY 1.12T - FY2024: JPY 1.49T - FY2025: JPY 1.86T - FY2026: JPY 2.43T ### moat: fail - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - median return on common equity below threshold - Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 6.9% - Required median return: 12.0% - Return uses tangible common equity: Yes - Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 5.1% - Years with reported combined ratio: 0 Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: 6.6% - FY2018: 6.7% - FY2019: 5.8% - FY2020: 3.6% - FY2021: 5.1% - FY2022: 7.2% - FY2023: 7.0% - FY2024: 8.3% - FY2025: 10.0% - FY2026: 11.9% ### economics: pass - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 8.2% - Book return interval: 10 years - Starting book value per share: JPY 1K - Ending book value per share: JPY 2K Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: 2.8% - FY2018: 9.5% - FY2019: 5.5% - FY2020: -0.5% - FY2021: 8.7% - FY2022: 4.7% - FY2023: 7.7% - FY2024: 18.9% - FY2025: 10.0% - FY2026: 16.1% ### management: pass - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: -2.0% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: -2.4% - Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -2.0% - Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -2.4% - Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0 - Book created / earnings retained after dividends and buybacks: 1.66× - Book value created per share: JPY 760.96 - Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: JPY 457.68 Chart: Shares (first year = 100); fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 100 - FY2017: 98 - FY2018: 96 - FY2019: 94 - FY2020: 93 - FY2021: 92 - FY2022: 92 - FY2023: 89 - FY2024: 86 - FY2025: 84 - FY2026: 82 ### accounting: pass - Financial accounting warning count: 0 - Loans, annualized growth: 1.6% - Deposits, annualized growth: 4.1% - Known restatement years: 0 - Years loan growth exceeded twice deposit growth: 1 ## Holders ## Price story The price assumes profits grow 8.9% a year forever · net income +30.3% Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:56.562Z; price observation 2026-10-15. The price assumes profits grow 8.9% a year forever ### Net income · FY2026 net income +30.3%; source https://disclosure2dl.edinet-fsa.go.jp/searchdocument/pdf/S100YJQO.pdf; observed 2026-06-24. - FY2017: JPY 926B - FY2018: JPY 990B - FY2019: JPY 873B - FY2020: JPY 528B - FY2021: JPY 777B - FY2022: JPY 1.13T - FY2023: JPY 1.12T - FY2024: JPY 1.49T - FY2025: JPY 1.86T - FY2026: JPY 2.43T ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in diversified banking; annual sales are JPY 11.9 trillion. - Source: https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000067088.json#0001628280-26-047095 (filed 2026-06-24); FY2026: revenue 11867264000000. ### Why customers stay It earns 6.9% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-24); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2017,0.06606861368588184],[2018,0.06696890045205145],[2019,0.058013942401207864],[2020,0.03644323780666704],[2021,0.05056579339113232],[2022,0.07212197238581289],[2023,0.07033857387510799],[2024,0.08320667706930829],[2025,0.09991759643319777],[2026,0.11946226871749642]]; median 0.06865373716357973. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years; bought back JPY 500.2 billion of shares. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-24); Dividend observations: [[2017,246563000000],[2018,241067000000],[2019,276279000000],[2020,304535000000],[2021,321772000000],[2022,334619000000],[2023,380447000000],[2024,439755000000],[2025,532976000000],[2026,848401000000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. - Source: https://disclosure2dl.edinet-fsa.go.jp/searchdocument/pdf/S100YJQO.pdf (filed 2026-06-24); FY2026: cash repurchases 500212000000 JPY. ### Are managers owners Insiders own <0.1% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-09-29); MUFG.US SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 0.003 percentage points; cache date 2026-09-29. ### What the price says The price assumes profits grow 8.9% a year forever. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-24); Price 3413; FX 1; original perpetual distributable cash 37.952096963807655; discount 0.1; growth 0.08888013566838335. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (JPY per share) - 2016-11: JPY 669.80 per share - 2016-12: JPY 720.20 per share - 2017-01: JPY 730.90 per share - 2017-02: JPY 738.40 per share - 2017-03: JPY 699.70 per share - 2017-04: JPY 709.20 per share - 2017-05: JPY 690.90 per share - 2017-06: JPY 754.80 per share - 2017-07: JPY 700.00 per share - 2017-08: JPY 674.10 per share - 2017-09: JPY 730.70 per share - 2017-10: JPY 762.50 per share - 2017-11: JPY 792.10 per share - 2017-12: JPY 826.40 per share - 2018-01: JPY 820.80 per share - 2018-02: JPY 762.30 per share - 2018-03: JPY 697.00 per share - 2018-04: JPY 733.20 per share - 2018-05: JPY 655.80 per share - 2018-06: JPY 631.10 per share - 2018-07: JPY 689.40 per share - 2018-08: JPY 670.80 per share - 2018-09: JPY 709.10 per share - 2018-10: JPY 684.80 per share - 2018-11: JPY 624.50 per share - 2018-12: JPY 537.90 per share - 2019-01: JPY 583.60 per share - 2019-02: JPY 576.70 per share - 2019-03: JPY 550.00 per share - 2019-04: JPY 549.90 per share - 2019-05: JPY 501.10 per share - 2019-06: JPY 512.00 per share - 2019-07: JPY 524.20 per share - 2019-08: JPY 510.40 per share - 2019-09: JPY 548.40 per share - 2019-10: JPY 569.80 per share - 2019-11: JPY 578.10 per share - 2019-12: JPY 593.20 per share - 2020-01: JPY 568.50 per share - 2020-02: JPY 531.90 per share - 2020-03: JPY 403.00 per share - 2020-04: JPY 434.30 per share - 2020-05: JPY 444.20 per share - 2020-06: JPY 421.60 per share - 2020-07: JPY 393.20 per share - 2020-08: JPY 442.50 per share - 2020-09: JPY 416.10 per share - 2020-10: JPY 410.20 per share - 2020-11: JPY 448.50 per share - 2020-12: JPY 456.10 per share - 2021-01: JPY 469.30 per share - 2021-02: JPY 558.00 per share - 2021-03: JPY 591.70 per share - 2021-04: JPY 578.00 per share - 2021-05: JPY 620.00 per share - 2021-06: JPY 600.10 per share - 2021-07: JPY 578.50 per share - 2021-08: JPY 594.40 per share - 2021-09: JPY 657.90 per share - 2021-10: JPY 622.50 per share - 2021-11: JPY 601.40 per share - 2021-12: JPY 624.90 per share - 2022-01: JPY 691.10 per share - 2022-02: JPY 712.80 per share - 2022-03: JPY 760.30 per share - 2022-04: JPY 754.30 per share - 2022-05: JPY 729.70 per share - 2022-06: JPY 729.40 per share - 2022-07: JPY 745.40 per share - 2022-08: JPY 721.10 per share - 2022-09: JPY 651.50 per share - 2022-10: JPY 699.50 per share - 2022-11: JPY 755.10 per share - 2022-12: JPY 889.00 per share - 2023-01: JPY 952.70 per share - 2023-02: JPY 965.10 per share - 2023-03: JPY 847.90 per share - 2023-04: JPY 852.90 per share - 2023-05: JPY 932.50 per share - 2023-06: JPY 1,065.00 per share - 2023-07: JPY 1,146.00 per share - 2023-08: JPY 1,163.50 per share - 2023-09: JPY 1,268.50 per share - 2023-10: JPY 1,257.00 per share - 2023-11: JPY 1,255.00 per share - 2023-12: JPY 1,211.50 per share - 2024-01: JPY 1,395.00 per share - 2024-02: JPY 1,542.00 per share - 2024-03: JPY 1,550.00 per share - 2024-04: JPY 1,579.50 per share - 2024-05: JPY 1,658.00 per share - 2024-06: JPY 1,729.00 per share - 2024-07: JPY 1,750.00 per share - 2024-08: JPY 1,528.00 per share - 2024-09: JPY 1,453.50 per share - 2024-10: JPY 1,628.50 per share - 2024-11: JPY 1,792.00 per share - 2024-12: JPY 1,846.00 per share - 2025-01: JPY 1,978.50 per share - 2025-02: JPY 1,903.00 per share - 2025-03: JPY 2,011.00 per share - 2025-04: JPY 1,803.50 per share - 2025-05: JPY 2,025.50 per share - 2025-06: JPY 1,983.00 per share - 2025-07: JPY 2,110.50 per share - 2025-08: JPY 2,259.00 per share - 2025-09: JPY 2,394.00 per share - 2025-10: JPY 2,330.00 per share - 2025-11: JPY 2,423.50 per share - 2025-12: JPY 2,493.00 per share - 2026-01: JPY 2,804.50 per share - 2026-02: JPY 2,968.50 per share - 2026-03: JPY 2,600.00 per share - 2026-04: JPY 2,817.00 per share - 2026-05: JPY 2,999.00 per share - 2026-06: JPY 3,207.00 per share - 2026-07: JPY 3,571.00 per share - 2026-08: JPY 3,680.00 per share - 2026-09: JPY 3,700.00 per share - 2026-10: JPY 3,486.00 per share ## Annual estimated value (JPY per share) - FY2017: low JPY 628.56 per share, central JPY 691.42 per share, high JPY 768.25 per share - FY2018: low JPY 676.87 per share, central JPY 744.56 per share, high JPY 827.29 per share - FY2019: low JPY 701.36 per share, central JPY 771.50 per share, high JPY 857.22 per share - FY2020: low JPY 323.95 per share, central JPY 387.32 per share, high JPY 481.50 per share - FY2021: low JPY 344.91 per share, central JPY 412.38 per share, high JPY 512.65 per share - FY2022: low JPY 745.97 per share, central JPY 820.57 per share, high JPY 911.74 per share - FY2023: low JPY 392.15 per share, central JPY 467.79 per share, high JPY 579.58 per share - FY2024: low JPY 471.13 per share, central JPY 560.34 per share, high JPY 691.23 per share - FY2025: low JPY 503.98 per share, central JPY 599.41 per share, high JPY 739.43 per share - FY2026: low JPY 600.88 per share, central JPY 715.61 per share, high JPY 884.50 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:39:17.094Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period. ## Sources [Original EDINET filing](https://disclosure2dl.edinet-fsa.go.jp/searchdocument/pdf/S100YJQO.pdf); period 2026-03-31, filed 2026-06-24. Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
8306 · JP
Nikkei 225 · TOPIX Core30
Not a wonderful business
1 quality test fails. A lower price would not fix the business.
Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 9 needed).
Earned a median 6.9% on tangible equity (minimum 12%).
Book value plus dividends grew 8.2% a year (minimum 7%).
Ordinary share growth was -2% over the full period and -2.4% over five years (either must be at most 2% a year).
0 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).
Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 165.74 JPY.
| Value range | JPY 608.49 – JPY 895.71 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value JPY 724.68 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 3413.00 / 724.68 = -371.0% |
| Return / year | About 5.9% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Book JPY 1805.12/share; ROE 6.9%; first payout JPY 37.95/share, growing 4.8% perpetually (4× book payout cap applied). |
| Required return | 10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value |