# Fukuoka Financial Group (8354.JP)

Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/8354.JP

Analysis as of: 2026-10-15T07:11:44.832Z. Financial observations: FY2016–FY2026.

Listing currency: JPY. Reporting currency: JPY.

## Verdict

Not a wonderful business

Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no.

Share price: JPY 7,153.00 per share; close as of 2026-10-15.

Estimated value: low JPY 1,656.23 per share, central JPY 1,945.65 per share, high JPY 2,357.64 per share. Buy at or below the central value JPY 1,945.65 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-15T07:11:44.832Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals.

Expected annual return: 5.8% at the stated quote. About 5.8% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; JP 10-year bond 2.9% + 4 points).

## Checklist

### understandable: pass

- Financial history: 10 years

- Profitable years in the last ten: 9

- Required profitable years: 9

- Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.92×

Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations.

- FY2017: JPY -54B

- FY2018: JPY 49B

- FY2019: JPY 52B

- FY2020: JPY 111B

- FY2021: JPY 45B

- FY2022: JPY 54B

- FY2023: JPY 31B

- FY2024: JPY 61B

- FY2025: JPY 72B

- FY2026: JPY 85B

### moat: fail

- Tangible common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings

- median return on common equity below threshold

- return on tangible common equity below 5% in more than one year

- Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 6.3%

- Required median return: 12.0%

- Return uses tangible common equity: Yes

- Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 3.5%

- Years with reported combined ratio: 0

Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations.

- FY2017: -7.8%

- FY2018: 6.5%

- FY2019: 6.8%

- FY2020: 13.3%

- FY2021: 4.7%

- FY2022: 5.9%

- FY2023: 3.5%

- FY2024: 6.1%

- FY2025: 8.0%

- FY2026: 8.2%

### economics: fail

- Tangible common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings

- book value per share plus dividends compounded below 7% annually

- Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 5.7%

- Book return interval: 10 years

- Starting book value per share: JPY 4K

- Ending book value per share: JPY 5K

Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations.

- FY2017: 6.5%

- FY2018: 11.3%

- FY2019: 1.5%

- FY2020: 0.9%

- FY2021: 14.7%

- FY2022: -0.2%

- FY2023: -1.2%

- FY2024: 15.2%

- FY2025: -7.7%

- FY2026: 18.8%

### management: fail

- Tangible common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings

- book per share gain below retained common earnings per share

- Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 0.9%

- Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: -0.1%

- Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0.9%

- Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -0.1%

- Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0

- Book created / earnings retained after dividends and buybacks: 0.96×

- Book value created per share: JPY 2K

- Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: JPY 2K

Chart: Shares (first year = 100); fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: 100

- FY2017: 99

- FY2018: 99

- FY2019: 99

- FY2020: 110

- FY2021: 110

- FY2022: 110

- FY2023: 109

- FY2024: 109

- FY2025: 109

- FY2026: 109

### accounting: pass

- Financial accounting warning count: 0

- Loans, annualized growth: 6.6%

- Deposits, annualized growth: 5.5%

- Known restatement years: 0

- Years loan growth exceeded twice deposit growth: 4

## Holders

## Price story

The price assumes profits grow 8.4% a year forever · net income +18.4%

Story as of 2026-10-16T10:00:14.751Z; price observation 2026-10-15.

The price assumes profits grow 8.4% a year forever

### Net income · FY2026

net income +18.4%; source https://disclosure2dl.edinet-fsa.go.jp/searchdocument/pdf/S100YFNB.pdf; observed 2026-06-19.

- FY2017: JPY -54B 

- FY2018: JPY 49B 

- FY2019: JPY 52B 

- FY2020: JPY 111B 

- FY2021: JPY 45B 

- FY2022: JPY 54B 

- FY2023: JPY 31B 

- FY2024: JPY 61B 

- FY2025: JPY 72B 

- FY2026: JPY 85B 

## Owner memo

Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z.

### How it makes money

Operates in regional banking; annual sales are JPY 408.9 billion.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/4FK.F.json#2026-03-31 (filed 2026-06-19); FY2026: revenue 408872000000.

### Why customers stay

It earns 6.3% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-19); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2017,-0.07792431439518964],[2018,0.06467057553655264],[2019,0.06786161480922831],[2020,0.13264886374130072],[2021,0.04746635934607906],[2022,0.058692301935984854],[2023,0.0352977568384305],[2024,0.061375567953241485],[2025,0.08015102205441994],[2026,0.0822106057339944]]; median 0.06302307174489706. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity.

### Where the cash goes

Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years; bought back JPY 680 million of shares.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-19); Dividend observations: [[2017,11299000000],[2018,12022000000],[2019,13740000000],[2020,15855000000],[2021,16151000000],[2022,17098000000],[2023,18890000000],[2024,20709000000],[2025,23177000000],[2026,29325000000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement.

- Source: https://disclosure2dl.edinet-fsa.go.jp/searchdocument/pdf/S100YFNB.pdf (filed 2026-06-19); FY2026: cash repurchases 680000000 JPY.

### What the price says

The price assumes profits grow 8.4% a year forever.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-19); Price 7153; FX 1; original perpetual distributable cash 111.34190279037861; discount 0.1; growth 0.0844342369928172. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15.

## Monthly share-price history (JPY per share)

- 2016-11: JPY 2,475.00 per share

- 2016-12: JPY 2,595.00 per share

- 2017-01: JPY 2,500.00 per share

- 2017-02: JPY 2,620.00 per share

- 2017-03: JPY 2,410.00 per share

- 2017-04: JPY 2,540.00 per share

- 2017-05: JPY 2,490.00 per share

- 2017-06: JPY 2,670.00 per share

- 2017-07: JPY 2,545.00 per share

- 2017-08: JPY 2,415.00 per share

- 2017-09: JPY 2,600.00 per share

- 2017-10: JPY 2,905.00 per share

- 2017-11: JPY 2,910.00 per share

- 2017-12: JPY 3,165.00 per share

- 2018-01: JPY 3,160.00 per share

- 2018-02: JPY 2,755.00 per share

- 2018-03: JPY 2,865.00 per share

- 2018-04: JPY 2,930.00 per share

- 2018-05: JPY 2,910.00 per share

- 2018-06: JPY 2,785.00 per share

- 2018-07: JPY 3,055.00 per share

- 2018-08: JPY 3,115.00 per share

- 2018-09: JPY 3,125.00 per share

- 2018-10: JPY 2,782.00 per share

- 2018-11: JPY 2,589.00 per share

- 2018-12: JPY 2,237.00 per share

- 2019-01: JPY 2,401.00 per share

- 2019-02: JPY 2,408.00 per share

- 2019-03: JPY 2,456.00 per share

- 2019-04: JPY 2,576.00 per share

- 2019-05: JPY 1,861.00 per share

- 2019-06: JPY 1,967.00 per share

- 2019-07: JPY 2,002.00 per share

- 2019-08: JPY 1,828.00 per share

- 2019-09: JPY 2,041.00 per share

- 2019-10: JPY 2,110.00 per share

- 2019-11: JPY 2,085.00 per share

- 2019-12: JPY 2,105.00 per share

- 2020-01: JPY 1,925.00 per share

- 2020-02: JPY 1,644.00 per share

- 2020-03: JPY 1,431.00 per share

- 2020-04: JPY 1,550.00 per share

- 2020-05: JPY 1,753.00 per share

- 2020-06: JPY 1,701.00 per share

- 2020-07: JPY 1,531.00 per share

- 2020-08: JPY 1,755.00 per share

- 2020-09: JPY 1,764.00 per share

- 2020-10: JPY 1,738.00 per share

- 2020-11: JPY 1,863.00 per share

- 2020-12: JPY 1,833.00 per share

- 2021-01: JPY 1,873.00 per share

- 2021-02: JPY 1,915.00 per share

- 2021-03: JPY 2,099.00 per share

- 2021-04: JPY 1,860.00 per share

- 2021-05: JPY 2,002.00 per share

- 2021-06: JPY 1,939.00 per share

- 2021-07: JPY 1,845.00 per share

- 2021-08: JPY 2,033.00 per share

- 2021-09: JPY 2,011.00 per share

- 2021-10: JPY 2,047.00 per share

- 2021-11: JPY 1,838.00 per share

- 2021-12: JPY 1,971.00 per share

- 2022-01: JPY 2,242.00 per share

- 2022-02: JPY 2,281.00 per share

- 2022-03: JPY 2,374.00 per share

- 2022-04: JPY 2,374.00 per share

- 2022-05: JPY 2,199.00 per share

- 2022-06: JPY 2,444.00 per share

- 2022-07: JPY 2,350.00 per share

- 2022-08: JPY 2,486.00 per share

- 2022-09: JPY 2,566.00 per share

- 2022-10: JPY 2,524.00 per share

- 2022-11: JPY 2,691.00 per share

- 2022-12: JPY 3,005.00 per share

- 2023-01: JPY 2,993.00 per share

- 2023-02: JPY 3,040.00 per share

- 2023-03: JPY 2,549.00 per share

- 2023-04: JPY 2,543.00 per share

- 2023-05: JPY 2,590.00 per share

- 2023-06: JPY 2,973.00 per share

- 2023-07: JPY 3,420.00 per share

- 2023-08: JPY 3,447.00 per share

- 2023-09: JPY 3,579.00 per share

- 2023-10: JPY 3,957.00 per share

- 2023-11: JPY 3,433.00 per share

- 2023-12: JPY 3,327.00 per share

- 2024-01: JPY 3,651.00 per share

- 2024-02: JPY 3,884.00 per share

- 2024-03: JPY 4,068.00 per share

- 2024-04: JPY 4,197.00 per share

- 2024-05: JPY 4,579.00 per share

- 2024-06: JPY 4,300.00 per share

- 2024-07: JPY 4,273.00 per share

- 2024-08: JPY 3,832.00 per share

- 2024-09: JPY 3,671.00 per share

- 2024-10: JPY 3,528.00 per share

- 2024-11: JPY 4,145.00 per share

- 2024-12: JPY 3,945.00 per share

- 2025-01: JPY 4,237.00 per share

- 2025-02: JPY 3,924.00 per share

- 2025-03: JPY 3,931.00 per share

- 2025-04: JPY 3,744.00 per share

- 2025-05: JPY 3,958.00 per share

- 2025-06: JPY 3,857.00 per share

- 2025-07: JPY 4,153.00 per share

- 2025-08: JPY 4,464.00 per share

- 2025-09: JPY 4,438.00 per share

- 2025-10: JPY 4,485.00 per share

- 2025-11: JPY 4,807.00 per share

- 2025-12: JPY 5,067.00 per share

- 2026-01: JPY 5,601.00 per share

- 2026-02: JPY 6,843.00 per share

- 2026-03: JPY 5,893.00 per share

- 2026-04: JPY 6,407.00 per share

- 2026-05: JPY 6,556.00 per share

- 2026-06: JPY 6,837.00 per share

- 2026-07: JPY 7,360.00 per share

- 2026-08: JPY 7,881.00 per share

- 2026-09: JPY 7,988.00 per share

- 2026-10: JPY 7,372.00 per share

## Annual estimated value (JPY per share)

- FY2021: low JPY 1,325.23 per share, central JPY 1,588.14 per share, high JPY 1,981.18 per share

- FY2022: low JPY 1,297.66 per share, central JPY 1,547.76 per share, high JPY 1,917.28 per share

- FY2023: low JPY 1,188.90 per share, central JPY 1,406.14 per share, high JPY 1,720.52 per share

- FY2024: low JPY 1,421.40 per share, central JPY 1,673.04 per share, high JPY 2,032.96 per share

- FY2025: low JPY 1,417.04 per share, central JPY 1,666.14 per share, high JPY 2,021.48 per share

- FY2026: low JPY 1,656.03 per share, central JPY 1,945.42 per share, high JPY 2,357.35 per share

Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year

Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year

Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates

Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T07:11:44.832Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period.

## Sources

[Original EDINET filing](https://disclosure2dl.edinet-fsa.go.jp/searchdocument/pdf/S100YFNB.pdf); period 2026-03-31, filed 2026-06-19.

Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
← Companies

Fukuoka Financial Group

8354 · JP

Nikkei 225

Not a wonderful business

3 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.

Share price
JPY 7,153.00
Buy up to
JPY 1,945.65
Expected / yr
5.8% at today's price (10.0% at central value)

The business

How it makes money
Why customers stay
Where the cash goes
What the price says

1. Is this a good business?

Evidence only; not required for Buy

Profits were positive in 9 years (at least 9 needed).

10y median
JPY 53B
Worst year
JPY -54B
Latest · 2026
JPY 85B

Earned a median 6.3% on tangible equity (minimum 12%), and the second-worst year 3.5% (minimum 5%).

10y median
6.3%
Worst year
-7.8%
Latest · 2026
8.2%

Book value plus dividends grew 5.7% a year (minimum 7%).

10y median
4.0%
Worst year
-7.7%
Latest · 2026
18.8%

Book value gained 1628.76 per share against 1700.99 kept (must cover the amount kept).

11y median
109
Worst year
110
Latest · 2026
109

0 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).

accounting warnings
0
Passing bar
≤ 0

Profit record · pass 1 loss year in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 386.1 JPY.

2. Is the price low enough?

Price & return math
Value rangeJPY 1,656.23 – JPY 2,357.64
Buy at or belowCentral value JPY 1,945.65
Discount to value1 − 7153.00 / 1945.65 = -267.6%
Return / yearAbout 5.8% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%)
Cash-flow inputsBook JPY 5498.62/share; ROE 6.3%; first payout JPY 111.34/share, growing 4.3% perpetually (4× book payout cap applied).
Required return10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value
Net incomeJPY 85B
111B-54B20172026
FY2017 · Net income: JPY -54B; FY2018 · Net income: JPY 49B; FY2019 · Net income: JPY 52B; FY2020 · Net income: JPY 111B; FY2021 · Net income: JPY 45B; FY2022 · Net income: JPY 54B; FY2023 · Net income: JPY 31B; FY2024 · Net income: JPY 61B; FY2025 · Net income: JPY 72B; FY2026 · Net income: JPY 85B
Net income
Book / shareJPY 5K
5K020172026
FY2017 · Book / share: JPY 4K; FY2018 · Book / share: JPY 4K; FY2019 · Book / share: JPY 4K; FY2020 · Book / share: JPY 4K; FY2021 · Book / share: JPY 5K; FY2022 · Book / share: JPY 5K; FY2023 · Book / share: JPY 5K; FY2024 · Book / share: JPY 5K; FY2025 · Book / share: JPY 5K; FY2026 · Book / share: JPY 5K
Book / share
Dividend / shareJPY 155.16
155.16020172026
FY2017 · Dividend / share: JPY 65.78; FY2018 · Dividend / share: JPY 69.99; FY2019 · Dividend / share: JPY 80.00; FY2020 · Dividend / share: JPY 83.40; FY2021 · Dividend / share: JPY 84.96; FY2022 · Dividend / share: JPY 89.94; FY2023 · Dividend / share: JPY 100.38; FY2024 · Dividend / share: JPY 109.93; FY2025 · Dividend / share: JPY 122.59; FY2026 · Dividend / share: JPY 155.16
Dividend / share
Return on tangible equity8.2%
13.3%-7.8%20172026
FY2017 · Return on tangible equity: -7.8%; FY2018 · Return on tangible equity: 6.5%; FY2019 · Return on tangible equity: 6.8%; FY2020 · Return on tangible equity: 13.3%; FY2021 · Return on tangible equity: 4.7%; FY2022 · Return on tangible equity: 5.9%; FY2023 · Return on tangible equity: 3.5%; FY2024 · Return on tangible equity: 6.1%; FY2025 · Return on tangible equity: 8.0%; FY2026 · Return on tangible equity: 8.2%
Return on tangible equity
Diluted shares189M
190M020172026
FY2017 · Diluted shares: 172M; FY2018 · Diluted shares: 172M; FY2019 · Diluted shares: 172M; FY2020 · Diluted shares: 190M; FY2021 · Diluted shares: 190M; FY2022 · Diluted shares: 190M; FY2023 · Diluted shares: 188M; FY2024 · Diluted shares: 188M; FY2025 · Diluted shares: 189M; FY2026 · Diluted shares: 189M
Diluted shares
Prices 15 Oct 2026 · FY2026Original filing ↗ ·