Margins varied 65.9% around their average (limit 35%).
- 10y median
- 6.9%
- Worst year
- -1.3%
- Latest · 2026
- 10.8%
# The Kansai Electric Power Company (9503.JP) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/9503.JP Analysis as of: 2026-10-15T07:12:01.688Z. Financial observations: FY2013–FY2026. Listing currency: JPY. Reporting currency: JPY. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: JPY 2,684.00 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low JPY 2,139.51 per share, central JPY 2,354.44 per share, high JPY 2,639.28 per share. Buy at or below the central value JPY 2,354.44 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-15T07:12:01.688Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 8.9% at the stated quote. About 8.9% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; JP 10-year bond 2.9% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: fail - 5 revenue declines in the last 10 years (informational) - operating margin variation exceeds 0.35 - Financial history: 10 years - Years with declining revenue: 5 - Years with a net loss: 0 - Operating margin variation: 0.66× Chart: Operating margin; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: 0.07× - FY2018: 0.07× - FY2019: 0.06× - FY2020: 0.06× - FY2021: 0.05× - FY2022: 0.03× - FY2023: -0.01× - FY2024: 0.18× - FY2025: 0.11× - FY2026: 0.11× ### moat: fail - ROIC median below threshold - ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed) - ROIC, median of available years: 3.3% - ROIC, second-lowest year: 1.3% - Years with nonpositive capital: 0 - Capital spending / revenue: 13.3% - ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: 1.4% Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: 3.6% - FY2018: 3.7% - FY2019: 2.9% - FY2020: 2.9% - FY2021: 2.0% - FY2022: 1.3% - FY2023: -0.7% - FY2024: 8.8% - FY2025: 5.9% - FY2026: 5.0% ### economics: fail - owner earnings cash conversion below threshold - incremental invested capital return below threshold - Owner earnings / net income, 5-yr: 0.65× - Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No - Owner earnings, five-year total: JPY 877B - Net income, five-year total: JPY 1.35T - Return on incremental invested capital: 7.5% - Working capital / revenue, annual change: 0.6 pp - Working capital / revenue, change between three-year averages: 3.8 pp - Working capital / revenue, final three-year average: 12.8% Chart: Annual owner cash / profit; fiscal year observations. - FY2022: -1.87× - FY2023: 1.00× - FY2024: 1.00× - FY2025: 1.00× - FY2026: 0.42× ### management: fail - Historical market-dollar context (not the management verdict): 2017 to 2026 (9 years) - buybacks unrelated to price (informational) - ROIC first 3 years vs last 3 years: 3.6% vs 5.9% - Per-share earnings: 157.59 to 436.09 (three-year endpoint medians) - five-year and ten-year diluted share growth both above threshold - Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes - Ordinary dilution, 10-year annual growth: 2.2% - Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: 4.5% - Market cap gain: JPY 1.66T - Cumulative retained earnings: JPY 1.45T - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 2.2% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 4.5% - $1 test, starting fiscal year: FY2017 - $1 test, ending fiscal year: FY2026 - Per-share value growth: 13.6% - Per-share value change: JPY 278.50 - Per-share value, starting three-year median: JPY 157.59 - Per-share value, ending three-year median: JPY 436.09 - Buyback history: 0 years - Debt-funded buybacks: No - Acquisition spending: JPY 0 - Cumulative net income, 10 years: JPY 1.99T - ROIC, first three-year median: 3.6% - ROIC, last three-year median: 5.9% Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: JPY 157.58 - FY2018: JPY 170.01 - FY2019: JPY 128.83 - FY2020: JPY 145.55 - FY2021: JPY 122.02 - FY2022: JPY 96.14 - FY2023: JPY 19.81 - FY2024: JPY 495.09 - FY2025: JPY 436.09 - FY2026: JPY 341.14 ### accounting: pass - Sloan accruals: -2.8% - Receivables to sales index (DSRI): 0.95× - Restructuring years, last five: 0 - Stock compensation / operating cash flow: 0.0% - Earnings backed by cash: Yes - Operating cash / earnings: 1.72× - Accounting red flags: 0 - Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 0.00× Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: -5.0% - FY2018: -6.7% - FY2019: -4.6% - FY2020: -4.4% - FY2021: -3.2% - FY2022: -3.7% - FY2023: -1.3% - FY2024: -7.9% - FY2025: -1.6% - FY2026: -2.8% ## Holders ## Price story Price needs cash profits to grow 3.1% a year for ten years · sales -6.5% Story as of 2026-10-16T10:00:14.920Z; price observation 2026-10-15. Price needs cash profits to grow 3.1% a year for ten years ### Sales · FY2025–2026 sales -6.5%; source https://disclosure2dl.edinet-fsa.go.jp/searchdocument/pdf/S100YFXZ.pdf; observed 2026-06-24. - FY2017: JPY 3.01T - FY2018: JPY 3.13T - FY2019: JPY 3.31T - FY2020: JPY 3.18T - FY2021: JPY 3.09T - FY2022: JPY 2.85T - FY2023: JPY 3.95T - FY2024: JPY 4.06T - FY2025: JPY 4.34T - FY2026: JPY 4.06T ### Gross margin · FY2026 gross margin 10.8%; source https://disclosure2dl.edinet-fsa.go.jp/searchdocument/pdf/S100YFXZ.pdf; observed 2026-06-24. - FY2024: 18.0% - FY2025: 10.8% - FY2026: 10.8% ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Annual sales are JPY 4.1 trillion. - Source: https://disclosure2dl.edinet-fsa.go.jp/searchdocument/pdf/S100YFXZ.pdf (filed 2026-06-24); FY2026: revenue 4056638000000; grossProfit 437557000000; margin = grossProfit / revenue. ### Why customers stay Margins ranged from 10.8% to 18% during 2024–26; it earns 3.3% on its capital. - Source: https://query2.finance.yahoo.com/ws/fundamentals-timeseries/v1/finance/timeseries/9503.T (filed 2026-06-24); FY2024: grossProfit / revenue = 18%. - Source: https://query2.finance.yahoo.com/ws/fundamentals-timeseries/v1/finance/timeseries/9503.T (filed 2026-06-24); FY2025: grossProfit / revenue = 10.8%. - Source: https://query2.finance.yahoo.com/ws/fundamentals-timeseries/v1/finance/timeseries/9503.T (filed 2026-06-24); FY2026: grossProfit / revenue = 10.8%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-24); 10-year return on capital observations [[2017,0.03625768263276768],[2018,0.03686349691274803],[2019,0.02927281330777267],[2020,0.02948202835878196],[2021,0.019563020378977763],[2022,0.012825565842187801],[2023,-0.006834485398194865],[2024,0.08761024176438428],[2025,0.05899627366039444],[2026,0.05046183659918276]]; median 0.03286985549577482. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-24); FY2017: growth capex 0; upkeep 338126000000; owner earnings 171431000000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-24); FY2018: growth capex 0; upkeep 398028000000; owner earnings 225238000000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-24); FY2023: growth capex 169893000000; upkeep 306067000000; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 17679000000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 9.609876124215171. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-24); FY2024: growth capex 129037000000; upkeep 327298000000; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 441870000000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.2920248036752891. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-24); FY2025: growth capex 163125000000; upkeep 331771000000; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 420364000000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.38805654147358004. - Source: https://disclosure2dl.edinet-fsa.go.jp/searchdocument/pdf/S100YFXZ.pdf (filed 2026-06-24); FY2026: growth capex 0; upkeep 560464000000; owner earnings 157927000000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-24); Dividend observations: [[2017,93000000],[2018,35674000000],[2019,40098000000],[2020,44570000000],[2021,44582000000],[2022,44587000000],[2023,44659000000],[2024,44670000000],[2025,49115000000],[2026,66858000000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. ### What the price says The price assumes cash profits grow 3.1% yearly over ten years; actual growth was 0.7%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-06-24); Ten-year compound average after fade. Initial solved rate 0.030774928560020176. Price 2684; FX 1; discount 0.1; same standard ten-year fade to terminal 0.03. FY2016 owner earnings/share 131.87305802556818 → FY2026 141.75786086604165. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (JPY per share) - 2016-11: JPY 1,128.00 per share - 2016-12: JPY 1,278.00 per share - 2017-01: JPY 1,204.50 per share - 2017-02: JPY 1,245.50 per share - 2017-03: JPY 1,367.00 per share - 2017-04: JPY 1,507.00 per share - 2017-05: JPY 1,550.50 per share - 2017-06: JPY 1,547.00 per share - 2017-07: JPY 1,481.00 per share - 2017-08: JPY 1,540.00 per share - 2017-09: JPY 1,439.50 per share - 2017-10: JPY 1,547.50 per share - 2017-11: JPY 1,484.00 per share - 2017-12: JPY 1,380.00 per share - 2018-01: JPY 1,353.50 per share - 2018-02: JPY 1,305.00 per share - 2018-03: JPY 1,367.00 per share - 2018-04: JPY 1,530.00 per share - 2018-05: JPY 1,566.00 per share - 2018-06: JPY 1,616.00 per share - 2018-07: JPY 1,588.00 per share - 2018-08: JPY 1,592.50 per share - 2018-09: JPY 1,713.00 per share - 2018-10: JPY 1,730.50 per share - 2018-11: JPY 1,704.00 per share - 2018-12: JPY 1,650.00 per share - 2019-01: JPY 1,654.00 per share - 2019-02: JPY 1,665.50 per share - 2019-03: JPY 1,632.00 per share - 2019-04: JPY 1,345.50 per share - 2019-05: JPY 1,265.50 per share - 2019-06: JPY 1,234.50 per share - 2019-07: JPY 1,346.00 per share - 2019-08: JPY 1,292.50 per share - 2019-09: JPY 1,208.50 per share - 2019-10: JPY 1,264.50 per share - 2019-11: JPY 1,248.00 per share - 2019-12: JPY 1,264.50 per share - 2020-01: JPY 1,228.00 per share - 2020-02: JPY 1,164.50 per share - 2020-03: JPY 1,203.50 per share - 2020-04: JPY 1,105.00 per share - 2020-05: JPY 1,073.50 per share - 2020-06: JPY 1,045.00 per share - 2020-07: JPY 1,001.50 per share - 2020-08: JPY 1,044.00 per share - 2020-09: JPY 1,020.00 per share - 2020-10: JPY 950.90 per share - 2020-11: JPY 955.30 per share - 2020-12: JPY 973.70 per share - 2021-01: JPY 1,025.00 per share - 2021-02: JPY 1,062.50 per share - 2021-03: JPY 1,198.00 per share - 2021-04: JPY 1,082.00 per share - 2021-05: JPY 1,038.00 per share - 2021-06: JPY 1,059.50 per share - 2021-07: JPY 1,035.50 per share - 2021-08: JPY 1,105.00 per share - 2021-09: JPY 1,085.50 per share - 2021-10: JPY 1,048.00 per share - 2021-11: JPY 1,027.00 per share - 2021-12: JPY 1,074.00 per share - 2022-01: JPY 1,082.00 per share - 2022-02: JPY 1,162.00 per share - 2022-03: JPY 1,149.00 per share - 2022-04: JPY 1,140.00 per share - 2022-05: JPY 1,254.00 per share - 2022-06: JPY 1,344.00 per share - 2022-07: JPY 1,350.00 per share - 2022-08: JPY 1,346.00 per share - 2022-09: JPY 1,212.00 per share - 2022-10: JPY 1,127.00 per share - 2022-11: JPY 1,166.00 per share - 2022-12: JPY 1,279.00 per share - 2023-01: JPY 1,248.00 per share - 2023-02: JPY 1,282.00 per share - 2023-03: JPY 1,291.00 per share - 2023-04: JPY 1,470.00 per share - 2023-05: JPY 1,596.00 per share - 2023-06: JPY 1,805.50 per share - 2023-07: JPY 1,870.00 per share - 2023-08: JPY 2,074.00 per share - 2023-09: JPY 2,077.50 per share - 2023-10: JPY 1,926.50 per share - 2023-11: JPY 1,971.00 per share - 2023-12: JPY 1,872.00 per share - 2024-01: JPY 2,020.50 per share - 2024-02: JPY 1,920.50 per share - 2024-03: JPY 2,194.00 per share - 2024-04: JPY 2,358.50 per share - 2024-05: JPY 2,837.00 per share - 2024-06: JPY 2,702.00 per share - 2024-07: JPY 2,572.50 per share - 2024-08: JPY 2,585.00 per share - 2024-09: JPY 2,370.00 per share - 2024-10: JPY 2,455.00 per share - 2024-11: JPY 1,925.50 per share - 2024-12: JPY 1,753.50 per share - 2025-01: JPY 1,716.00 per share - 2025-02: JPY 1,732.50 per share - 2025-03: JPY 1,772.50 per share - 2025-04: JPY 1,755.00 per share - 2025-05: JPY 1,641.00 per share - 2025-06: JPY 1,709.00 per share - 2025-07: JPY 1,821.50 per share - 2025-08: JPY 2,057.00 per share - 2025-09: JPY 2,118.50 per share - 2025-10: JPY 2,407.50 per share - 2025-11: JPY 2,669.00 per share - 2025-12: JPY 2,455.00 per share - 2026-01: JPY 2,468.00 per share - 2026-02: JPY 2,823.00 per share - 2026-03: JPY 2,584.50 per share - 2026-04: JPY 2,505.50 per share - 2026-05: JPY 2,335.50 per share - 2026-06: JPY 2,285.50 per share - 2026-07: JPY 2,440.50 per share - 2026-08: JPY 2,810.50 per share - 2026-09: JPY 2,705.50 per share - 2026-10: JPY 2,750.00 per share ## Annual estimated value (JPY per share) - FY2020: low JPY 1,656.15 per share, central JPY 1,851.17 per share, high JPY 2,110.79 per share - FY2025: low JPY 1,117.95 per share, central JPY 1,162.62 per share, high JPY 1,207.80 per share - FY2026: low JPY 2,139.51 per share, central JPY 2,354.44 per share, high JPY 2,639.28 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates ## Sources [Original EDINET filing](https://disclosure2dl.edinet-fsa.go.jp/searchdocument/pdf/S100YFXZ.pdf); period 2026-03-31, filed 2026-06-24. Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
9503 · JP
Nikkei 225
Not a wonderful business
3 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.
Margins varied 65.9% around their average (limit 35%).
Capital return excluding acquisitions: median 3.3% (minimum 15%), and the second-worst year 1.3% (minimum 10%).
Each $1 of profit left $0.65 for owners over five years (minimum $0.80), and new investment earned 7.5% (minimum 12%).
Share growth was 2.2% over ten years and 4.5% over five (either must be at most 1% a year).
Profits were backed by cash: accruals were -2.8% of assets (limit 10%).
Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 10 (at most 2), mean operating margin 7.4%, three-year average owner earnings per share 357.65 JPY.
| Value range | JPY 2,139.51 – JPY 2,639.28 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value JPY 2,354.44 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 2684.00 / 2354.44 = -14.0% |
| Return / year | About 8.9% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Owner cash JPY 141.76/share; 0.0% growth for 5 years, then fades to 3.0%; excess cash JPY 589.09/share today. |
| Required return | 10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value |