Profits were positive in 9 years (at least 9 needed).
- 10y median
- EUR 2.1B
- Worst year
- EUR -158M
- Latest · 2025
- EUR 2.3B
# ABN Amro Group NV (ABN.AS) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/ABN.AS Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:34:08.855Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2025. Listing currency: EUR. Reporting currency: EUR. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: EUR 40.23 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low EUR 21.73 per share, central EUR 25.99 per share, high EUR 32.32 per share. Buy at or below the central value EUR 25.99 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:34:08.855Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 8.2% at the stated quote. About 8.2% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; NL 10-year bond 3.5% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: pass - Financial history: 10 years - Profitable years in the last ten: 9 - Required profitable years: 9 - Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.43× Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: EUR 1.8B - FY2017: EUR 2.7B - FY2018: EUR 2.2B - FY2019: EUR 1.9B - FY2020: EUR -158M - FY2021: EUR 1.1B - FY2022: EUR 1.8B - FY2023: EUR 2.7B - FY2024: EUR 2.4B - FY2025: EUR 2.3B ### moat: fail - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - median return on common equity below threshold - Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 9.2% - Required median return: 12.0% - Return uses tangible common equity: Yes - Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 5.2% - Years with reported combined ratio: 0 Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 9.4% - FY2017: 12.9% - FY2018: 10.4% - FY2019: 9.1% - FY2020: -0.8% - FY2021: 5.2% - FY2022: 7.8% - FY2023: 10.6% - FY2024: 9.3% - FY2025: 8.4% ### economics: pass - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 10.2% - Book return interval: 10 years - Starting book value per share: EUR 18.41 - Ending book value per share: EUR 32.15 Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 12.5% - FY2017: 18.6% - FY2018: 6.6% - FY2019: 14.4% - FY2020: -8.0% - FY2021: 2.9% - FY2022: 16.9% - FY2023: 21.7% - FY2024: 10.5% - FY2025: 8.8% ### management: pass - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: -1.2% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: -2.5% - Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -1.2% - Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -2.5% - Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0 - Book created / earnings retained after dividends and buybacks: 1.66× - Book value created per share: EUR 13.74 - Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: EUR 8.27 Chart: Shares (first year = 100); fiscal year observations. - FY2015: 100 - FY2016: 100 - FY2017: 100 - FY2018: 100 - FY2019: 93 - FY2020: 100 - FY2021: 105 - FY2022: 97 - FY2023: 93 - FY2024: 89 - FY2025: 88 ### accounting: pass - Financial accounting warning count: 0 - Known restatement years: 0 ## Holders ## Price story The price assumes profits grow 6.7% a year forever · "Underlying Costs: Decreased by 5% compared to Q4." (finance.yahoo.com, May 2025) · net income -6.3% Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:59.336Z; price observation 2026-10-15. The price assumes profits grow 6.7% a year forever - 2026-05-14: ABN Amro Shares Jump 7.9% After Profit Tops Analyst Estimates ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/abn-amro-shares-jump-7-040317040.html)) ### Net income · FY2025 net income -6.3%; source https://filings.xbrl.org/BFXS5XCH7N0Y05NIXW11/2025-12-31/ESEF/NL/0/abn-2025-12-31-1-en/reports/abn-2025-12-31-1-en.xhtml; observed 2026-03-18. - FY2016: EUR 1.8B - FY2017: EUR 2.7B - FY2018: EUR 2.2B - FY2019: EUR 1.9B - FY2020: EUR -158M - FY2021: EUR 1.1B - FY2022: EUR 1.8B - FY2023: EUR 2.7B - FY2024: EUR 2.4B - FY2025: EUR 2.3B ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in diversified banking; annual sales are EUR 16.9 billion. - Source: https://filings.xbrl.org/BFXS5XCH7N0Y05NIXW11/2025-12-31/ESEF/NL/0/abn-2025-12-31-1-en/reports/abn-2025-12-31-1-en.xhtml (filed 2026-03-18); FY2025: revenue 16882000000. ### Why customers stay It earns 9.2% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-18); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0.09432043252502542],[2017,0.12879863675092304],[2018,0.10422761158818533],[2019,0.09115671817029071],[2020,-0.00757357875563225],[2021,0.052133351625737415],[2022,0.07822065624311826],[2023,0.10608921406655653],[2024,0.09294859397362008],[2025,0.08439514315694799]]; median 0.0920526560719554. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years; bought back EUR 250 million of shares. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-18); Dividend observations: [[2016,790000000],[2017,1025000000],[2018,1362000000],[2019,1316000000],[2020,117000000],[2021,639000000],[2022,840000000],[2023,1117000000],[2024,1244000000],[2025,1085000000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. - Source: https://filings.xbrl.org/BFXS5XCH7N0Y05NIXW11/2025-12-31/ESEF/NL/0/abn-2025-12-31-1-en/reports/abn-2025-12-31-1-en.xhtml (filed 2026-03-18); FY2025: cash repurchases 250000000 EUR. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 3.5% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); ABN.AS SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 3.531 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What could break it The carrying amount of the stage 3 portfolio (including POCI) increased, while the total risk mitigation decreased. - Source: https://filings.xbrl.org/BFXS5XCH7N0Y05NIXW11/2025-12-31/ESEF/NL/0/abn-2025-12-31-1-en/reports/abn-2025-12-31-1-en.xhtml (filed 2026-03-18); This decrease in risk mitigation was mainly observed in corporate loans, and was caused by a decrease in collateral at Corporate Banking. The carrying amount of the stage 3 portfolio (including POCI) increased, while the total risk mitigation decreased. This led to a EUR 601 million increase in the net exposure, which was EUR 1,022 million as at 31 December 2025. ### What the price says The price assumes profits grow 6.7% a year forever. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-18); Price 40.23; FX 1; original perpetual distributable cash 1.3258565163110907; discount 0.1; growth 0.06704308932858338. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (EUR per share) - 2016-10: EUR 21.03 per share - 2016-11: EUR 20.40 per share - 2016-12: EUR 21.05 per share - 2017-01: EUR 21.75 per share - 2017-02: EUR 21.60 per share - 2017-03: EUR 22.75 per share - 2017-04: EUR 24.10 per share - 2017-05: EUR 22.96 per share - 2017-06: EUR 23.21 per share - 2017-07: EUR 23.91 per share - 2017-08: EUR 23.54 per share - 2017-09: EUR 25.34 per share - 2017-10: EUR 26.52 per share - 2017-11: EUR 24.93 per share - 2017-12: EUR 26.90 per share - 2018-01: EUR 27.29 per share - 2018-02: EUR 25.60 per share - 2018-03: EUR 24.47 per share - 2018-04: EUR 25.73 per share - 2018-05: EUR 22.22 per share - 2018-06: EUR 22.22 per share - 2018-07: EUR 23.70 per share - 2018-08: EUR 23.33 per share - 2018-09: EUR 23.45 per share - 2018-10: EUR 21.70 per share - 2018-11: EUR 22.52 per share - 2018-12: EUR 20.54 per share - 2019-01: EUR 21.72 per share - 2019-02: EUR 21.32 per share - 2019-03: EUR 20.10 per share - 2019-04: EUR 20.97 per share - 2019-05: EUR 18.94 per share - 2019-06: EUR 18.82 per share - 2019-07: EUR 17.96 per share - 2019-08: EUR 16.19 per share - 2019-09: EUR 16.18 per share - 2019-10: EUR 16.69 per share - 2019-11: EUR 15.49 per share - 2019-12: EUR 16.22 per share - 2020-01: EUR 15.72 per share - 2020-02: EUR 12.44 per share - 2020-03: EUR 7.48 per share - 2020-04: EUR 7.00 per share - 2020-05: EUR 7.21 per share - 2020-06: EUR 7.67 per share - 2020-07: EUR 7.02 per share - 2020-08: EUR 7.98 per share - 2020-09: EUR 7.15 per share - 2020-10: EUR 7.05 per share - 2020-11: EUR 8.65 per share - 2020-12: EUR 8.02 per share - 2021-01: EUR 8.61 per share - 2021-02: EUR 9.52 per share - 2021-03: EUR 10.36 per share - 2021-04: EUR 10.75 per share - 2021-05: EUR 10.92 per share - 2021-06: EUR 10.19 per share - 2021-07: EUR 9.82 per share - 2021-08: EUR 11.82 per share - 2021-09: EUR 12.45 per share - 2021-10: EUR 12.73 per share - 2021-11: EUR 12.60 per share - 2021-12: EUR 12.92 per share - 2022-01: EUR 14.23 per share - 2022-02: EUR 11.86 per share - 2022-03: EUR 11.64 per share - 2022-04: EUR 12.00 per share - 2022-05: EUR 10.91 per share - 2022-06: EUR 10.72 per share - 2022-07: EUR 9.98 per share - 2022-08: EUR 9.57 per share - 2022-09: EUR 9.23 per share - 2022-10: EUR 9.96 per share - 2022-11: EUR 12.24 per share - 2022-12: EUR 12.93 per share - 2023-01: EUR 15.21 per share - 2023-02: EUR 16.71 per share - 2023-03: EUR 14.62 per share - 2023-04: EUR 14.52 per share - 2023-05: EUR 13.61 per share - 2023-06: EUR 14.23 per share - 2023-07: EUR 15.46 per share - 2023-08: EUR 13.60 per share - 2023-09: EUR 13.44 per share - 2023-10: EUR 12.69 per share - 2023-11: EUR 12.32 per share - 2023-12: EUR 13.59 per share - 2024-01: EUR 13.66 per share - 2024-02: EUR 14.85 per share - 2024-03: EUR 15.85 per share - 2024-04: EUR 15.09 per share - 2024-05: EUR 15.65 per share - 2024-06: EUR 15.35 per share - 2024-07: EUR 16.12 per share - 2024-08: EUR 15.49 per share - 2024-09: EUR 16.21 per share - 2024-10: EUR 15.19 per share - 2024-11: EUR 14.72 per share - 2024-12: EUR 14.89 per share - 2025-01: EUR 16.22 per share - 2025-02: EUR 18.19 per share - 2025-03: EUR 19.36 per share - 2025-04: EUR 18.20 per share - 2025-05: EUR 22.77 per share - 2025-06: EUR 23.24 per share - 2025-07: EUR 25.36 per share - 2025-08: EUR 24.65 per share - 2025-09: EUR 27.25 per share - 2025-10: EUR 25.91 per share - 2025-11: EUR 29.15 per share - 2025-12: EUR 29.79 per share - 2026-01: EUR 31.06 per share - 2026-02: EUR 28.36 per share - 2026-03: EUR 27.11 per share - 2026-04: EUR 29.59 per share - 2026-05: EUR 34.12 per share - 2026-06: EUR 37.18 per share - 2026-07: EUR 39.00 per share - 2026-08: EUR 41.71 per share - 2026-09: EUR 43.14 per share - 2026-10: EUR 41.12 per share ## Annual estimated value (EUR per share) - FY2016: low EUR 12.41 per share, central EUR 15.51 per share, high EUR 20.68 per share - FY2017: low EUR 15.25 per share, central EUR 19.06 per share, high EUR 25.41 per share - FY2018: low EUR 16.49 per share, central EUR 20.61 per share, high EUR 27.48 per share - FY2019: low EUR 21.25 per share, central EUR 23.37 per share, high EUR 25.97 per share - FY2020: low EUR 19.39 per share, central EUR 21.33 per share, high EUR 23.69 per share - FY2021: low EUR 18.89 per share, central EUR 20.78 per share, high EUR 23.08 per share - FY2022: low EUR 20.81 per share, central EUR 22.89 per share, high EUR 25.43 per share - FY2023: low EUR 22.03 per share, central EUR 26.83 per share, high EUR 34.33 per share - FY2024: low EUR 23.38 per share, central EUR 28.36 per share, high EUR 36.02 per share - FY2025: low EUR 23.99 per share, central EUR 28.70 per share, high EUR 35.69 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:39:54.524Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period. ## Sources [Original ESEF filing](https://filings.xbrl.org/BFXS5XCH7N0Y05NIXW11/2025-12-31/ESEF/NL/0/abn-2025-12-31-1-en/reports/abn-2025-12-31-1-en.xhtml); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-03-18. Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
ABN · AS
STOXX Europe 600 · AEX
Not a wonderful business
1 quality test fails. A lower price would not fix the business.
Profits were positive in 9 years (at least 9 needed).
Earned a median 9.2% on tangible equity (minimum 12%).
Book value plus dividends grew 10.2% a year (minimum 7%).
Ordinary share growth was -1.2% over the full period and -2.5% over five years (either must be at most 2% a year).
0 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).
Profit record · pass 1 loss year in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 2.89 EUR.
| Value range | EUR 21.73 – EUR 32.32 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value EUR 25.99 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 40.23 / 25.99 = -54.8% |
| Return / year | About 8.2% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Book EUR 29.12/share; ROE 9.5%; first payout EUR 1.33/share, growing 4.9% perpetually (4× book payout cap applied). |
| Required return | 10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value |