10 loss years were recorded (limit 2), and average operating margin was negative (must be zero or higher), and margins varied 217.4% around their average (limit 35%).
- 9y median
- -60330.2%
- Worst year
- -1664800.0%
- Latest · 2024
- -1602.9%
# Abivax SA American Depositary Shares (ABVX.US) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/ABVX Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:26:09.018Z. Financial observations: FY2013–FY2025. Listing currency: USD. Reporting currency: EUR. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: fail; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: $92.38 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. ## Checklist ### understandable: fail - 4 revenue declines in the last 10 years (informational) - more than 2 net loss years - negative average operating margin - operating margin variation exceeds 0.35 - Financial history: 10 years - Years with declining revenue: 4 - Years with a net loss: 10 - Operating margin variation: 2.17× Chart: Operating margin; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: -143.59× - FY2017: -1,415.00× - FY2018: -1,061.56× - FY2019: -16,648.00× - FY2020: -603.30× - FY2021: -1,118.92× - FY2022: -14.15× - FY2023: -27.56× - FY2024: -16.03× ### moat: fail - Years with nonpositive invested capital use equity plus debt and leases; positive earnings with no positive capital are shown above 100%. - ROIC median below threshold - ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed) - ROIC, median of available years: -62.4% - ROIC, second-lowest year: -2754.6% - Years with nonpositive capital: 7 - Capital spending / revenue: 567.7% - ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: -106.5% - Typical minus recent gross margin: -731560.9 pp Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: -705.9% - FY2017: -23.1% - FY2018: -2754.6% - FY2019: -66.9% - FY2020: -57.9% - FY2021: -42.2% - FY2022: -5221.2% - FY2023: -39.6% - FY2024: -99.1% - FY2025: -38.8% ### economics: fail - owner earnings cash conversion below threshold - incremental invested capital return below threshold - Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No - Owner earnings, five-year total: EUR -761M - Net income, five-year total: EUR -763M - Return on incremental invested capital: 0.0% - Working capital / revenue, annual change: 1540.4 pp Chart: Owner earnings · five years; fiscal year observations. - FY2021: EUR -42M - FY2022: EUR -61M - FY2023: EUR -147M - FY2024: EUR -176M - FY2025: EUR -335M ### management: fail - buybacks unrelated to price (informational) - ROIC first 3 years vs last 3 years: -705.9% vs -39.6% - Per-share earnings: -1.46 to -3.06 (three-year endpoint medians) - per-share value declined or ends nonpositive - five-year and ten-year diluted share growth both above threshold - Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes - Ordinary dilution, 10-year annual growth: 21.6% - Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: 37.2% - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 21.6% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 37.2% - Per-share value change: EUR -1.60 - Per-share value, starting three-year median: EUR -1.46 - Per-share value, ending three-year median: EUR -3.06 - Buyback history: 0 years - Debt-funded buybacks: No - Acquisition spending: EUR 100K - Cumulative net income, 10 years: EUR -873M - ROIC, first three-year median: -705.9% - ROIC, last three-year median: -39.6% Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: EUR -1.46 - FY2017: EUR -1.11 - FY2018: EUR -1.52 - FY2019: EUR -2.51 - FY2020: EUR -2.62 - FY2021: EUR -2.53 - FY2022: EUR -2.72 - FY2023: EUR -3.06 - FY2024: EUR -2.79 - FY2025: EUR -4.83 ### accounting: pass - Sloan accruals: -30.9% - Restructuring years, last five: 0 - Earnings backed by cash: Yes - Accounting red flags: 0 - Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 0.05× Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 2.1% - FY2017: -5.2% - FY2018: -2.3% - FY2019: -6.1% - FY2020: -10.8% - FY2021: 2.4% - FY2022: -9.0% - FY2023: -14.6% - FY2024: -10.8% - FY2025: -30.9% ## Holders - [Lee Ainslie](https://gigainvestors.com/mc): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts. ## Price story Down 31% since Dec 2025 · sales -100% Story as of 2026-10-16T09:58:13.211Z; price observation 2026-10-15. - 2025-07-23: Abivax's ulcerative colitis drug meets primary goals in Phase 3 trials; shares jump 400% ([investing.com](https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/abivaxs-ulcerative-colitis-drug-meets-primary-goals-in-phase-3-trials-shares-jump-400-93CH-4147964)) ### Sales · FY2024–2025 sales -100%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1956827/000195682726000012/abvx-20251231.htm; observed 2026-03-23. - FY2016: EUR 127K - FY2017: EUR 10K - FY2018: EUR 18K - FY2019: EUR 2K - FY2020: EUR 63K - FY2021: EUR 37K - FY2022: EUR 4.6M - FY2023: EUR 4.6M - FY2024: EUR 11M - FY2025: EUR 0 ### Gross margin · FY2023 gross margin 99%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1956827/000195682726000012/abvx-20251231.htm; observed 2026-03-23. - FY2023: 99.0% ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### Why customers stay It lost 62.4% on its capital. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-23); 10-year return on capital observations [[2016,-7.058520333170015],[2017,-0.23076049708930266],[2018,-27.546204379562045],[2019,-0.6687133596034066],[2020,-0.5786087023548002],[2021,-0.42154512412033096],[2022,-52.21247706422018],[2023,-0.3960852417202642],[2024,-0.9906655551125448],[2025,-0.3880697510994714]]; median -0.6236610309791034. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid no dividends in 10 years. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-23); Dividend observations: [[2016,0],[2017,0],[2018,0],[2019,0],[2020,0],[2021,0],[2022,0],[2023,0],[2024,0],[2025,0]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 0% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); ABVX.US SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 0 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What the price says The price is 12.6 times net assets; cash earnings are negative. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-23); Closing price 92.38 USD; reporting-to-trading FX 1.12128; FY2025 net assets per share 6.54435397318751; price multiple 12.589170068942533. FY2025 cash earnings/share -4.820644495040078. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (USD per share) - 2023-10: $9.20 per share - 2023-11: $10.15 per share - 2023-12: $10.70 per share - 2024-01: $13.18 per share - 2024-02: $13.60 per share - 2024-03: $14.30 per share - 2024-04: $15.00 per share - 2024-05: $14.00 per share - 2024-06: $13.22 per share - 2024-07: $11.81 per share - 2024-08: $12.71 per share - 2024-09: $11.52 per share - 2024-10: $10.32 per share - 2024-11: $8.53 per share - 2024-12: $7.32 per share - 2025-01: $5.97 per share - 2025-02: $7.68 per share - 2025-03: $6.25 per share - 2025-04: $7.12 per share - 2025-05: $6.02 per share - 2025-06: $7.65 per share - 2025-07: $71.77 per share - 2025-08: $81.03 per share - 2025-09: $84.90 per share - 2025-10: $102.42 per share - 2025-11: $124.83 per share - 2025-12: $134.86 per share - 2026-01: $111.15 per share - 2026-02: $121.28 per share - 2026-03: $111.35 per share - 2026-04: $117.38 per share - 2026-05: $132.63 per share - 2026-06: $133.26 per share - 2026-07: $124.92 per share - 2026-08: $111.73 per share - 2026-09: $99.02 per share - 2026-10: $88.15 per share ## Annual estimated value (USD per share) Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:31:44.035Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period. ## Sources [Original 20-F filing](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1956827/000195682726000012/abvx-20251231.htm); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-03-23. Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
ABVX · US
Not a wonderful business
4 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.
10 loss years were recorded (limit 2), and average operating margin was negative (must be zero or higher), and margins varied 217.4% around their average (limit 35%).
Capital return excluding acquisitions: median -62.4% (minimum 15%), and the second-worst year -2754.6% (minimum 10%).
Owners received -761 million over five years (must be positive), and new investment earned 0% (minimum 12%).
Per-share value fell from -1.46 to -3.06, comparing three-year medians at each end (must rise and stay positive), and share growth was 21.6% over ten years and 37.2% over five (either must be at most 1% a year).
Profits were backed by cash: accruals were -30.9% of assets (limit 10%).
Profit record · fail 10 loss years in 10 (at most 2), mean operating margin -233867.9%, three-year average owner earnings per share -3.55 EUR. 10 loss years in the last 10; at most 2 allowed. Mean operating margin over the last ten years is negative. Three-year average owner earnings per share is not positive.