# Aegon NV (AEG.US)

Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/AEG

Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:26:14.953Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2025.

Listing currency: USD. Reporting currency: EUR.

## Verdict

Not a wonderful business

Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no.

Share price: $8.27 per share; close as of 2026-10-15.

Estimated value: low $1.33 per share, central $1.50 per share, high $1.72 per share. Buy at or below the central value $1.50 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:26:14.953Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals.

Expected annual return: 3.6% at the stated quote. About 3.6% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; US 10-year bond 5.1% + 4 points).

## Checklist

### understandable: fail

- positive earnings in fewer than 8 of 10 years

- Financial history: 10 years

- Profitable years in the last ten: 7

- Required profitable years: 8

- Return on common equity variation (informational): 3.77×

Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: EUR 304M

- FY2017: EUR 2.3B

- FY2018: EUR 593M

- FY2019: EUR 1.1B

- FY2020: EUR -184M

- FY2021: EUR 1.6B

- FY2022: EUR -2.6B

- FY2023: EUR -227M

- FY2024: EUR 611M

- FY2025: EUR 924M

### moat: fail

- Common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity

- median return on common equity below threshold

- Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 3.7%

- Required median return: 10.0%

- Return uses tangible common equity: No

- Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: -3.0%

- Years with reported combined ratio: 0

Chart: Return on common equity; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: 1.2%

- FY2017: 9.6%

- FY2018: 2.6%

- FY2019: 4.7%

- FY2020: -0.7%

- FY2021: 6.1%

- FY2022: -18.1%

- FY2023: -3.0%

- FY2024: 6.7%

- FY2025: 12.3%

### economics: fail

- Common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity

- book value per share plus dividends compounded below 7% annually

- Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: -4.0%

- Book return interval: 10 years

- Starting book value per share: EUR 9.74

- Ending book value per share: EUR 4.98

Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: -1.2%

- FY2017: -1.4%

- FY2018: 20.3%

- FY2019: 9.3%

- FY2020: -20.0%

- FY2021: 7.8%

- FY2022: -28.3%

- FY2023: -36.1%

- FY2024: 12.1%

- FY2025: 17.2%

### management: fail

- Common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity

- book per share gain below retained common earnings per share

- Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: -5.6%

- Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: -10.3%

- Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -5.6%

- Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -10.3%

- Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0

- Book value created per share: EUR -4.76

- Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: EUR -2.18

### accounting: pass

- Financial accounting warning count: 0

- Known restatement years: 0

## Holders

- [David Hoeft](https://gigainvestors.com/DAC): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts.

## Price story

The price assumes profits grow 8.6% a year forever · net income +51.2%

Story as of 2026-10-16T09:58:14.757Z; price observation 2026-10-15.

The price assumes profits grow 8.6% a year forever

### Net income · FY2025

net income +51.2%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/769218/000119312526124987/d29563d20f.htm; observed 2026-03-26.

- FY2016: EUR 304M 

- FY2017: EUR 2.3B 

- FY2018: EUR 593M 

- FY2019: EUR 1.1B 

- FY2020: EUR -184M 

- FY2021: EUR 1.6B 

- FY2022: EUR -2.6B 

- FY2023: EUR -227M 

- FY2024: EUR 611M 

- FY2025: EUR 924M 

## Owner memo

Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z.

### How it makes money

Operates in insurance diversified; annual sales are EUR 26.9 billion.

- Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/769218/000119312526124987/d29563d20f.htm (filed 2026-03-26); FY2025: revenue 26864000000.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); AEG.US: Aegon Ltd. provides insurance services in the Americas, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It offers retirement plans, mutual funds, and unit-linked products; and annuities, life, and health insurance. The company provides its products under the Transamerica and World Financial Group brands. Aegon Ltd. was founded in 1844 and is based in Schiphol, the Netherlands.

### Why customers stay

It earns 3.7% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-26); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0.01229872967068533],[2017,0.09595337765739145],[2018,0.02630294965624307],[2019,0.046967773637443186],[2020,-0.007483933946148214],[2021,0.06112543606855756],[2022,-0.1810429880197322],[2023,-0.03007020797456617],[2024,0.06650702079024709],[2025,0.12271252177485059]]; median 0.036635361646843126. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity.

### Where the cash goes

Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years; bought back EUR 527.3 million of shares.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-26); Dividend observations: [[2016,306000000],[2017,294000000],[2018,328000000],[2019,309000000],[2020,63000000],[2021,121000000],[2022,167000000],[2023,494000000],[2024,521000000],[2025,572477485]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement.

- Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/769218/000119312526124987/d29563d20f.htm (filed 2026-03-26); FY2025: cash repurchases 527332448 EUR.

### Are managers owners

Insiders own 0% of the company.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); AEG.US SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 0 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16.

### What the price says

The price assumes profits grow 8.6% a year forever.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-26); Price 8.27; FX 1.12128; original perpetual distributable cash 0.10348988530665953; discount 0.1; growth 0.0859684233861365. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15.

## Monthly share-price history (USD per share)

- 2016-10: $4.34 per share

- 2016-11: $5.10 per share

- 2016-12: $5.53 per share

- 2017-01: $5.48 per share

- 2017-02: $5.34 per share

- 2017-03: $5.13 per share

- 2017-04: $5.15 per share

- 2017-05: $4.95 per share

- 2017-06: $5.11 per share

- 2017-07: $5.57 per share

- 2017-08: $5.70 per share

- 2017-09: $5.79 per share

- 2017-10: $5.87 per share

- 2017-11: $6.19 per share

- 2017-12: $6.30 per share

- 2018-01: $6.79 per share

- 2018-02: $6.92 per share

- 2018-03: $6.77 per share

- 2018-04: $7.26 per share

- 2018-05: $6.21 per share

- 2018-06: $5.92 per share

- 2018-07: $6.55 per share

- 2018-08: $5.95 per share

- 2018-09: $6.43 per share

- 2018-10: $6.08 per share

- 2018-11: $5.52 per share

- 2018-12: $4.65 per share

- 2019-01: $5.17 per share

- 2019-02: $5.36 per share

- 2019-03: $4.79 per share

- 2019-04: $5.20 per share

- 2019-05: $4.56 per share

- 2019-06: $4.95 per share

- 2019-07: $4.92 per share

- 2019-08: $3.78 per share

- 2019-09: $4.13 per share

- 2019-10: $4.32 per share

- 2019-11: $4.47 per share

- 2019-12: $4.53 per share

- 2020-01: $4.01 per share

- 2020-02: $3.38 per share

- 2020-03: $2.49 per share

- 2020-04: $2.60 per share

- 2020-05: $2.67 per share

- 2020-06: $2.94 per share

- 2020-07: $2.90 per share

- 2020-08: $2.74 per share

- 2020-09: $2.56 per share

- 2020-10: $2.70 per share

- 2020-11: $3.64 per share

- 2020-12: $3.95 per share

- 2021-01: $4.09 per share

- 2021-02: $4.73 per share

- 2021-03: $4.73 per share

- 2021-04: $4.59 per share

- 2021-05: $4.72 per share

- 2021-06: $4.13 per share

- 2021-07: $4.21 per share

- 2021-08: $4.90 per share

- 2021-09: $5.09 per share

- 2021-10: $5.05 per share

- 2021-11: $4.40 per share

- 2021-12: $4.94 per share

- 2022-01: $5.67 per share

- 2022-02: $4.97 per share

- 2022-03: $5.29 per share

- 2022-04: $5.14 per share

- 2022-05: $5.37 per share

- 2022-06: $4.38 per share

- 2022-07: $4.40 per share

- 2022-08: $4.49 per share

- 2022-09: $3.96 per share

- 2022-10: $4.61 per share

- 2022-11: $4.87 per share

- 2022-12: $5.04 per share

- 2023-01: $5.48 per share

- 2023-02: $5.17 per share

- 2023-03: $4.30 per share

- 2023-04: $4.53 per share

- 2023-05: $4.33 per share

- 2023-06: $5.07 per share

- 2023-07: $5.39 per share

- 2023-08: $5.08 per share

- 2023-09: $4.80 per share

- 2023-10: $4.83 per share

- 2023-11: $5.49 per share

- 2023-12: $5.76 per share

- 2024-01: $5.78 per share

- 2024-02: $5.92 per share

- 2024-03: $6.05 per share

- 2024-04: $6.17 per share

- 2024-05: $6.46 per share

- 2024-06: $6.13 per share

- 2024-07: $6.45 per share

- 2024-08: $6.11 per share

- 2024-09: $6.39 per share

- 2024-10: $6.28 per share

- 2024-11: $6.49 per share

- 2024-12: $5.89 per share

- 2025-01: $6.50 per share

- 2025-02: $6.28 per share

- 2025-03: $6.59 per share

- 2025-04: $6.43 per share

- 2025-05: $7.19 per share

- 2025-06: $7.24 per share

- 2025-07: $7.10 per share

- 2025-08: $7.79 per share

- 2025-09: $7.99 per share

- 2025-10: $7.57 per share

- 2025-11: $8.02 per share

- 2025-12: $7.71 per share

- 2026-01: $7.79 per share

- 2026-02: $7.50 per share

- 2026-03: $7.26 per share

- 2026-04: $8.23 per share

- 2026-05: $8.41 per share

- 2026-06: $8.44 per share

- 2026-07: $9.44 per share

- 2026-08: $9.14 per share

- 2026-09: $8.63 per share

- 2026-10: $8.27 per share

## Annual estimated value (USD per share)

- FY2016: low $1.12 per share, central $1.28 per share, high $1.49 per share

- FY2017: low $0.83 per share, central $0.95 per share, high $1.11 per share

- FY2018: low $3.92 per share, central $4.31 per share, high $4.79 per share

- FY2019: low $1.52 per share, central $1.74 per share, high $2.05 per share

- FY2020: low $3.45 per share, central $3.79 per share, high $4.22 per share

- FY2021: low $1.41 per share, central $1.61 per share, high $1.89 per share

- FY2022: low $2.38 per share, central $2.62 per share, high $2.91 per share

- FY2023: low $1.22 per share, central $1.35 per share, high $1.50 per share

- FY2024: low $1.30 per share, central $1.43 per share, high $1.59 per share

- FY2025: low $1.29 per share, central $1.46 per share, high $1.67 per share

Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year

Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year

Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates

## Sources

[Original 20-F filing](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/769218/000119312526124987/d29563d20f.htm); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-03-26.

Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
← Companies

Aegon NV

AEG · US

Not a wonderful business

3 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.

Share price
$8.27
Buy up to
$1.50
Expected / yr
3.6% at today's price (10.0% at central value)

The business

How it makes money
Why customers stay
Where the cash goes
Are managers owners
What the price says

1. Is this a good business?

Evidence only; not required for Buy

Profits were positive in 7 years (at least 8 needed).

10y median
EUR 602M
Worst year
EUR -2.6B
Latest · 2025
EUR 924M

Earned a median 3.7% on equity (minimum 10%).

10y median
3.7%
Worst year
-18.1%
Latest · 2025
12.3%

Book value plus dividends grew -4% a year (minimum 7%).

10y median
3.3%
Worst year
-36.1%
Latest · 2025
17.2%

Book value gained -4.76 per share against 0 kept (must cover the amount kept).

Filing signals · estimated likelihood
Founder / family14%Acquisition-led2%
Founder or family ownership or board role: 14% estimated likelihood. ; Acquisitions are the main growth strategy: 2% estimated likelihood.
per-share value change
Passing bar
≥ EUR 0

0 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).

Filing signals · estimated likelihood
Control weakness3%Auditor change3%Going concern3%Related parties73%
Material weakness in internal control: 3% estimated likelihood. ; Auditor change within the past three years disclosed: 3% estimated likelihood. ; Going-concern uncertainty: 3% estimated likelihood. ; Material related-party transactions: 73% estimated likelihood.
accounting warnings
0
Passing bar
≤ 0

Profit record · pass 2 loss years in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 0.26 EUR.

2. Is the price low enough?

Price & return math
Value range$1.33 – $1.72
Buy at or belowCentral value $1.50
Discount to value1 − 8.27 / 1.50 = -452.9%
Return / yearAbout 3.6% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%)
Cash-flow inputsBook USD 5.34/share; ROE 4.4%; first payout USD 0.12/share, growing 2.2% perpetually (4× book payout cap applied).
Required return10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value
Net incomeEUR 924M
2.3B-2.6B20162025
FY2016 · Net income: EUR 304M; FY2017 · Net income: EUR 2.3B; FY2018 · Net income: EUR 593M; FY2019 · Net income: EUR 1.1B; FY2020 · Net income: EUR -184M; FY2021 · Net income: EUR 1.6B; FY2022 · Net income: EUR -2.6B; FY2023 · Net income: EUR -227M; FY2024 · Net income: EUR 611M; FY2025 · Net income: EUR 924M
Net income
Book / shareEUR 4.98
11.84020162025
FY2016 · Book / share: EUR 9.50; FY2017 · Book / share: EUR 9.26; FY2018 · Book / share: EUR 10.97; FY2019 · Book / share: EUR 11.84; FY2020 · Book / share: EUR 9.45; FY2021 · Book / share: EUR 10.14; FY2022 · Book / share: EUR 7.18; FY2023 · Book / share: EUR 4.31; FY2024 · Book / share: EUR 4.57; FY2025 · Book / share: EUR 4.98
Book / share
Dividend / shareEUR 0.38
1.00020162025
FY2016 · Dividend / share: EUR 0.12; FY2017 · Dividend / share: EUR 0.11; FY2018 · Dividend / share: EUR 0.16; FY2019 · Dividend / share: EUR 0.15; FY2020 · Dividend / share: EUR 0.02; FY2021 · Dividend / share: EUR 0.05; FY2022 · Dividend / share: EUR 0.08; FY2023 · Dividend / share: EUR 0.28; FY2024 · Dividend / share: EUR 0.26; FY2025 · Dividend / share: EUR 0.38
Dividend / share
Return on equity12.3%
12.3%-18.1%20162025
FY2016 · Return on equity: 1.2%; FY2017 · Return on equity: 9.6%; FY2018 · Return on equity: 2.6%; FY2019 · Return on equity: 4.7%; FY2020 · Return on equity: -0.7%; FY2021 · Return on equity: 6.1%; FY2022 · Return on equity: -18.1%; FY2023 · Return on equity: -3.0%; FY2024 · Return on equity: 6.7%; FY2025 · Return on equity: 12.3%
Return on equity
Diluted shares1.5B
2.6B020162025
FY2016 · Diluted shares: 2.6B; FY2017 · Diluted shares: 2.6B; FY2018 · Diluted shares: 2.1B; FY2019 · Diluted shares: 2.1B; FY2020 · Diluted shares: 2.6B; FY2021 · Diluted shares: 2.6B; FY2022 · Diluted shares: 2.0B; FY2023 · Diluted shares: 1.8B; FY2024 · Diluted shares: 2.0B; FY2025 · Diluted shares: 1.5B
Diluted shares
Prices 15 Oct 2026 · FY2025Original filing ↗ ·