Margins varied 59.4% around their average (limit 35%).
- 10y median
- 43.4%
- Worst year
- -6.2%
- Latest · 2025
- 45.9%
# Aena (AENA.MC) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/AENA.MC Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:34:01.389Z. Financial observations: FY2011–FY2025. Listing currency: EUR. Reporting currency: EUR. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: EUR 25.70 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low EUR 17.25 per share, central EUR 19.48 per share, high EUR 22.44 per share. Buy at or below the central value EUR 19.48 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:34:01.389Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 8.2% at the stated quote. About 8.2% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; ES 10-year bond 4.0% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: fail - 1 revenue decline in the last 10 years (informational) - operating margin variation exceeds 0.35 - Financial history: 10 years - Years with declining revenue: 1 - Years with a net loss: 2 - Operating margin variation: 0.59× Chart: Operating margin; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 0.39× - FY2017: 0.43× - FY2018: 0.44× - FY2019: 0.44× - FY2020: -0.04× - FY2021: -0.06× - FY2022: 0.31× - FY2023: 0.44× - FY2024: 0.46× - FY2025: 0.46× ### moat: fail - ROIC median below threshold - ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed) - ROIC, median of available years: 10.8% - ROIC, second-lowest year: -0.6% - Typical minus recent gross margin: -6.3 pp - Typical gross margin (annual median): 61.8% - Recent gross margin (lower of latest and 3-year median): 68.2% - Years with nonpositive capital: 0 - Capital spending / revenue: 13.3% - ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: 12.8% Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 8.6% - FY2017: 10.3% - FY2018: 11.3% - FY2019: 11.8% - FY2020: -0.6% - FY2021: -0.9% - FY2022: 7.8% - FY2023: 12.3% - FY2024: 15.3% - FY2025: 15.7% ### economics: pass - Owner earnings / net income, 5-yr: 1.08× - Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No - Owner earnings, five-year total: EUR 6.6B - Net income, five-year total: EUR 6.1B - Return on incremental invested capital: >100% - Working capital / revenue, annual change: 0.8 pp - Working capital / revenue, change between three-year averages: 6.4 pp - Working capital / revenue, final three-year average: 9.4% Chart: Annual owner cash / profit; fiscal year observations. - FY2021: 0.76× - FY2022: 1.06× - FY2023: 1.16× - FY2024: 1.01× - FY2025: 1.03× ### management: pass - Historical market-dollar context (not the management verdict): 2016 to 2025 (9 years) - buybacks unrelated to price (informational) - ROIC first 3 years vs last 3 years: 10.3% vs 15.3% - Per-share earnings: 0.77 to 1.29 (three-year endpoint medians) - Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes - Ordinary dilution, 10-year annual growth: 0.0% - Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: -0.2% - Market cap gain: EUR 16B - Cumulative retained earnings: EUR 3.9B - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 0.0% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: -0.2% - $1 test, starting fiscal year: FY2016 - $1 test, ending fiscal year: FY2025 - Per-share value growth: 6.6% - Per-share value change: EUR 0.51 - Per-share value, starting three-year median: EUR 0.77 - Per-share value, ending three-year median: EUR 1.29 - Buyback history: 0 years - Debt-funded buybacks: No - Acquisition spending: EUR 1.8B - Cumulative net income, 10 years: EUR 11B - ROIC, first three-year median: 10.3% - ROIC, last three-year median: 15.3% Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: EUR 0.77 - FY2017: EUR 0.82 - FY2018: EUR 0.89 - FY2019: EUR 0.96 - FY2020: EUR -0.08 - FY2021: EUR -0.32 - FY2022: EUR 0.60 - FY2023: EUR 1.09 - FY2024: EUR 1.29 - FY2025: EUR 1.42 ### accounting: pass - Sloan accruals: -3.8% - Receivables to sales index (DSRI): 0.88× - Restructuring years, last five: 0 - Stock compensation / operating cash flow: 0.0% - Earnings backed by cash: Yes - Operating cash / earnings: 1.32× - Accounting red flags: 0 - Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 0.18× Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: -4.3% - FY2017: -5.1% - FY2018: -4.2% - FY2019: -4.5% - FY2020: -1.7% - FY2021: -4.6% - FY2022: -6.1% - FY2023: -3.4% - FY2024: -4.8% - FY2025: -3.8% ## Holders ## Price story Price needs cash profits to grow 4.6% a year for ten years · sales +8.5% Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:58.805Z; price observation 2026-10-15. Price needs cash profits to grow 4.6% a year for ten years ### Sales · FY2024–2025 sales +8.5%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16. - FY2016: EUR 3.7B - FY2017: EUR 4.0B - FY2018: EUR 4.2B - FY2019: EUR 4.5B - FY2020: EUR 2.2B - FY2021: EUR 2.4B - FY2022: EUR 4.2B - FY2023: EUR 5.0B - FY2024: EUR 5.8B - FY2025: EUR 6.3B ### Gross margin · FY2025 gross margin 73.9%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16. - FY2016: 57.9% - FY2017: 61.1% - FY2018: 62.6% - FY2019: 64.4% - FY2020: 31.4% - FY2021: 37.5% - FY2022: 61.1% - FY2023: 65.9% - FY2024: 68.2% - FY2025: 73.9% ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in airports & air services; annual sales are EUR 6.3 billion. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:01.389Z); FY2025: revenue 6278337000; grossProfit 4640225000; margin = grossProfit / revenue. ### Why customers stay Margins ranged from 65.9% to 73.9% during 2023–25; it earns 10.8% on its capital. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:01.389Z); FY2023: grossProfit / revenue = 65.9%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:01.389Z); FY2024: grossProfit / revenue = 68.2%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:01.389Z); FY2025: grossProfit / revenue = 73.9%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:01.389Z); 10-year return on capital observations [[2016,0.08596032341377553],[2017,0.10334764921409677],[2018,0.1127077675024836],[2019,0.11752692325468263],[2020,-0.005608368891388654],[2021,-0.00897845581540231],[2022,0.07785812682484554],[2023,0.1232134535330541],[2024,0.15283759544131284],[2025,0.15705011685303624]]; median 0.10802770835829018. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 7 of 10 years. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:01.389Z); FY2016: growth capex 0; upkeep 304039000; owner earnings 1685915000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:01.389Z); FY2017: growth capex 0; upkeep 370409000; owner earnings 1661631000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:01.389Z); FY2018: growth capex 0; upkeep 520193000; owner earnings 1614072000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:01.389Z); FY2019: growth capex 235787000; upkeep 788969000; owner earnings 1428470800. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.1650625270044022. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:01.389Z); FY2020: growth capex 0; upkeep 503122000; owner earnings 168528600. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:01.389Z); FY2022: growth capex 0; upkeep 727692000; owner earnings 959522600. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:01.389Z); FY2023: growth capex 0; upkeep 545024000; owner earnings 1892559800. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:01.389Z); FY2024: growth capex 0; upkeep 825184000; owner earnings 1944953200. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:01.389Z); FY2025: growth capex 0; upkeep 720283000; owner earnings 2203202600. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:01.389Z); Dividend observations: [[2016,409716000],[2017,592232000],[2018,975000000],[2019,1051230000],[2020,0],[2021,0],[2022,0],[2023,724250000],[2024,1182867000],[2025,1497800000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 51.5% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); AENA.MC SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 51.519000000000005 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What the price says The price assumes cash profits grow 4.6% yearly over ten years; actual growth was 4.4%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:01.389Z); Ten-year compound average after fade. Initial solved rate 0.05221237647896937. Price 25.7; FX 1; discount 0.1; same standard ten-year fade to terminal 0.03. FY2015 owner earnings/share 0.9508387084463061 → FY2025 1.4688017333333334. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (EUR per share) - 2016-10: EUR 13.38 per share - 2016-11: EUR 12.51 per share - 2016-12: EUR 12.97 per share - 2017-01: EUR 13.43 per share - 2017-02: EUR 13.50 per share - 2017-03: EUR 14.83 per share - 2017-04: EUR 16.20 per share - 2017-05: EUR 17.97 per share - 2017-06: EUR 17.09 per share - 2017-07: EUR 16.53 per share - 2017-08: EUR 16.41 per share - 2017-09: EUR 15.28 per share - 2017-10: EUR 15.75 per share - 2017-11: EUR 16.72 per share - 2017-12: EUR 16.90 per share - 2018-01: EUR 17.54 per share - 2018-02: EUR 16.77 per share - 2018-03: EUR 16.37 per share - 2018-04: EUR 17.11 per share - 2018-05: EUR 16.43 per share - 2018-06: EUR 15.55 per share - 2018-07: EUR 15.54 per share - 2018-08: EUR 15.25 per share - 2018-09: EUR 14.95 per share - 2018-10: EUR 14.12 per share - 2018-11: EUR 14.02 per share - 2018-12: EUR 13.58 per share - 2019-01: EUR 15.08 per share - 2019-02: EUR 15.69 per share - 2019-03: EUR 16.05 per share - 2019-04: EUR 16.54 per share - 2019-05: EUR 16.49 per share - 2019-06: EUR 17.43 per share - 2019-07: EUR 16.41 per share - 2019-08: EUR 16.40 per share - 2019-09: EUR 16.80 per share - 2019-10: EUR 16.45 per share - 2019-11: EUR 16.67 per share - 2019-12: EUR 17.05 per share - 2020-01: EUR 16.72 per share - 2020-02: EUR 14.50 per share - 2020-03: EUR 9.95 per share - 2020-04: EUR 11.55 per share - 2020-05: EUR 12.82 per share - 2020-06: EUR 11.87 per share - 2020-07: EUR 11.03 per share - 2020-08: EUR 12.51 per share - 2020-09: EUR 11.93 per share - 2020-10: EUR 11.56 per share - 2020-11: EUR 13.66 per share - 2020-12: EUR 14.22 per share - 2021-01: EUR 12.73 per share - 2021-02: EUR 14.09 per share - 2021-03: EUR 13.83 per share - 2021-04: EUR 14.47 per share - 2021-05: EUR 14.35 per share - 2021-06: EUR 13.83 per share - 2021-07: EUR 13.42 per share - 2021-08: EUR 13.52 per share - 2021-09: EUR 14.93 per share - 2021-10: EUR 14.17 per share - 2021-11: EUR 12.95 per share - 2021-12: EUR 13.88 per share - 2022-01: EUR 14.32 per share - 2022-02: EUR 14.63 per share - 2022-03: EUR 15.11 per share - 2022-04: EUR 13.63 per share - 2022-05: EUR 14.22 per share - 2022-06: EUR 12.13 per share - 2022-07: EUR 12.30 per share - 2022-08: EUR 12.24 per share - 2022-09: EUR 10.69 per share - 2022-10: EUR 11.92 per share - 2022-11: EUR 12.33 per share - 2022-12: EUR 11.73 per share - 2023-01: EUR 13.75 per share - 2023-02: EUR 14.64 per share - 2023-03: EUR 14.89 per share - 2023-04: EUR 15.29 per share - 2023-05: EUR 14.62 per share - 2023-06: EUR 14.80 per share - 2023-07: EUR 14.54 per share - 2023-08: EUR 14.50 per share - 2023-09: EUR 14.26 per share - 2023-10: EUR 13.68 per share - 2023-11: EUR 15.79 per share - 2023-12: EUR 16.41 per share - 2024-01: EUR 16.43 per share - 2024-02: EUR 17.52 per share - 2024-03: EUR 18.24 per share - 2024-04: EUR 17.16 per share - 2024-05: EUR 17.96 per share - 2024-06: EUR 18.80 per share - 2024-07: EUR 17.51 per share - 2024-08: EUR 18.26 per share - 2024-09: EUR 19.76 per share - 2024-10: EUR 20.30 per share - 2024-11: EUR 20.48 per share - 2024-12: EUR 19.74 per share - 2025-01: EUR 20.84 per share - 2025-02: EUR 21.48 per share - 2025-03: EUR 21.66 per share - 2025-04: EUR 22.14 per share - 2025-05: EUR 23.70 per share - 2025-06: EUR 22.66 per share - 2025-07: EUR 23.60 per share - 2025-08: EUR 24.74 per share - 2025-09: EUR 23.27 per share - 2025-10: EUR 23.55 per share - 2025-11: EUR 23.46 per share - 2025-12: EUR 23.82 per share - 2026-01: EUR 26.23 per share - 2026-02: EUR 26.67 per share - 2026-03: EUR 25.52 per share - 2026-04: EUR 23.24 per share - 2026-05: EUR 24.90 per share - 2026-06: EUR 26.66 per share - 2026-07: EUR 26.68 per share - 2026-08: EUR 26.42 per share - 2026-09: EUR 25.64 per share - 2026-10: EUR 25.28 per share ## Annual estimated value (EUR per share) - FY2016: low EUR 8.99 per share, central EUR 10.19 per share, high EUR 11.78 per share - FY2017: low EUR 12.45 per share, central EUR 14.09 per share, high EUR 16.28 per share - FY2018: low EUR 13.05 per share, central EUR 14.80 per share, high EUR 17.12 per share - FY2019: low EUR 13.49 per share, central EUR 15.34 per share, high EUR 17.79 per share - FY2020: low EUR 6.83 per share, central EUR 7.67 per share, high EUR 8.78 per share - FY2021: low EUR 6.76 per share, central EUR 7.56 per share, high EUR 8.63 per share - FY2022: low EUR 7.97 per share, central EUR 8.93 per share, high EUR 10.21 per share - FY2023: low EUR 9.97 per share, central EUR 11.13 per share, high EUR 12.68 per share - FY2024: low EUR 10.77 per share, central EUR 12.10 per share, high EUR 13.87 per share - FY2025: low EUR 16.93 per share, central EUR 19.06 per share, high EUR 21.88 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:39:48.577Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period. ## Sources Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
AENA · MC
STOXX Europe 600 · IBEX 35
Not a wonderful business
1 quality test fails. A lower price would not fix the business.
Margins varied 59.4% around their average (limit 35%).
Capital return excluding acquisitions: median 10.8% (minimum 15%), and the second-worst year -0.6% (minimum 10%).
Each $1 of profit left $1.08 for owners over five years (minimum $0.80).
Per-share value rose from 0.77 to 1.29, comparing three-year medians at each end (must rise and stay positive).
Profits were backed by cash: accruals were -3.8% of assets (limit 10%).
Profit record · pass 2 loss years in 10 (at most 2), mean operating margin 32.7%, three-year average owner earnings per share 1.34 EUR.
| Value range | EUR 17.25 – EUR 22.44 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value EUR 19.48 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 25.70 / 19.48 = -32.0% |
| Return / year | About 8.2% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Owner cash EUR 1.48/share; 0.0% growth for 5 years, then fades to 3.0%; excess cash EUR 1.11/share today. |
| Required return | 10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value |