# ageas SA/NV (AGS.BR)

Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/AGS.BR

Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:34:57.301Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2025.

Listing currency: EUR. Reporting currency: EUR.

## Verdict

Not a wonderful business

Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no.

Share price: EUR 73.55 per share; close as of 2026-10-15.

Estimated value: low EUR 21.87 per share, central EUR 26.03 per share, high EUR 32.14 per share. Buy at or below the central value EUR 26.03 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:34:57.301Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals.

Expected annual return: 6.6% at the stated quote. About 6.6% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; BE 10-year bond 4.3% + 4 points).

## Checklist

### understandable: pass

- Financial history: 10 years

- Profitable years in the last ten: 10

- Required profitable years: 8

- Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.47×

Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: EUR 27M

- FY2017: EUR 623M

- FY2018: EUR 809M

- FY2019: EUR 979M

- FY2020: EUR 1.1B

- FY2021: EUR 845M

- FY2022: EUR 1.0B

- FY2023: EUR 953M

- FY2024: EUR 1.1B

- FY2025: EUR 1.7B

### moat: fail

- Common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings

- median return on common equity below threshold

- Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 9.3%

- Required median return: 10.0%

- Return uses tangible common equity: No

- Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 6.5%

- Years with reported combined ratio: 0

Chart: Return on common equity; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: 0.3%

- FY2017: 6.5%

- FY2018: 8.6%

- FY2019: 8.7%

- FY2020: 9.9%

- FY2021: 7.1%

- FY2022: 13.3%

- FY2023: 12.8%

- FY2024: 14.4%

- FY2025: 18.1%

### economics: fail

- Common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings

- book value per share plus dividends compounded below 7% annually

- Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 5.0%

- Book return interval: 10 years

- Starting book value per share: EUR 53.12

- Ending book value per share: EUR 50.15

Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: -9.6%

- FY2017: 7.1%

- FY2018: 4.7%

- FY2019: 27.0%

- FY2020: 9.8%

- FY2021: 7.9%

- FY2022: -29.2%

- FY2023: 5.3%

- FY2024: 12.5%

- FY2025: 27.0%

### management: fail

- Common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings

- book per share gain below retained common earnings per share

- Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: -1.3%

- Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 0.1%

- Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -1.3%

- Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0.1%

- Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0

- Book created / earnings retained after dividends and buybacks: -0.21×

- Book value created per share: EUR -2.97

- Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: EUR 14.43

Chart: Shares (first year = 100); fiscal year observations.

- FY2015: 100

- FY2016: 96

- FY2017: 94

- FY2018: 92

- FY2019: 89

- FY2020: 87

- FY2021: 87

- FY2022: 86

- FY2023: 86

- FY2024: 86

- FY2025: 88

### accounting: pass

- Financial accounting warning count: 0

- Known restatement years: 0

## Holders

## Price story

The price assumes profits grow 8.1% a year forever · net income +53.1%

Story as of 2026-10-16T10:00:03.179Z; price observation 2026-10-15.

The price assumes profits grow 8.1% a year forever

### Net income · FY2025

net income +53.1%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16.

- FY2016: EUR 27M 

- FY2017: EUR 623M 

- FY2018: EUR 809M 

- FY2019: EUR 979M 

- FY2020: EUR 1.1B 

- FY2021: EUR 845M 

- FY2022: EUR 1.0B 

- FY2023: EUR 953M 

- FY2024: EUR 1.1B 

- FY2025: EUR 1.7B 

## Owner memo

Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z.

### How it makes money

Operates in insurance diversified; annual sales are EUR 9 billion.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:57.301Z); FY2025: revenue 9044000000.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); AGS.BR: ageas SA/NV, together with its subsidiaries, engages in insurance business. It operates through five segments: Belgium, Europe, Asia, Reinsurance, and General Account. The company provides property, casualty, and life insurance products, as well as pension products; and reinsurance products. It offers life insurance products include risks related to the life, and death of individuals; and non-life insurance products comprise accident and health, motor, and fire insurance products, as well as insurance services for other damages to property; and pension funds. The company serves private individuals, as well as small, medium-sized, and large companies through independent brokers and the bank channels. ageas SA/NV was founded in 1824 and is based in Brussels, Belgium.

### Why customers stay

It earns 9.3% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:57.301Z); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0.0028345501328368512],[2017,0.06484304279515966],[2018,0.08597020634549589],[2019,0.08724479338401077],[2020,0.09874513197749892],[2021,0.07092496222931005],[2022,0.1333421260881034],[2023,0.12840204796550794],[2024,0.14422084623323014],[2025,0.18133672280478763]]; median 0.09299496268075484. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity.

### Where the cash goes

Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years; bought back EUR 125 million of shares.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:57.301Z); Dividend observations: [[2016,338300000],[2017,419400000],[2018,403200000],[2019,415700000],[2020,485000000],[2021,485000000],[2022,765000000],[2023,540000000],[2024,584000000],[2025,657000000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:57.301Z); FY2025: cash repurchases 125000000 EUR.

### Are managers owners

Insiders own 30.5% of the company.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); AGS.BR SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 30.514999999999997 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16.

### What the price says

The price assumes profits grow 8.1% a year forever.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:57.301Z); Price 73.55; FX 1; original perpetual distributable cash 1.3684835070222567; discount 0.1; growth 0.08139383403096864. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15.

## Monthly share-price history (EUR per share)

- 2016-10: EUR 33.28 per share

- 2016-11: EUR 35.22 per share

- 2016-12: EUR 37.61 per share

- 2017-01: EUR 39.58 per share

- 2017-02: EUR 35.84 per share

- 2017-03: EUR 36.64 per share

- 2017-04: EUR 37.60 per share

- 2017-05: EUR 35.95 per share

- 2017-06: EUR 35.26 per share

- 2017-07: EUR 38.07 per share

- 2017-08: EUR 39.01 per share

- 2017-09: EUR 39.76 per share

- 2017-10: EUR 41.65 per share

- 2017-11: EUR 41.29 per share

- 2017-12: EUR 40.72 per share

- 2018-01: EUR 42.54 per share

- 2018-02: EUR 43.15 per share

- 2018-03: EUR 41.96 per share

- 2018-04: EUR 44.45 per share

- 2018-05: EUR 43.40 per share

- 2018-06: EUR 43.21 per share

- 2018-07: EUR 45.85 per share

- 2018-08: EUR 44.58 per share

- 2018-09: EUR 46.31 per share

- 2018-10: EUR 44.21 per share

- 2018-11: EUR 42.64 per share

- 2018-12: EUR 39.30 per share

- 2019-01: EUR 40.58 per share

- 2019-02: EUR 43.33 per share

- 2019-03: EUR 43.00 per share

- 2019-04: EUR 47.00 per share

- 2019-05: EUR 43.68 per share

- 2019-06: EUR 45.71 per share

- 2019-07: EUR 48.67 per share

- 2019-08: EUR 48.70 per share

- 2019-09: EUR 50.88 per share

- 2019-10: EUR 51.64 per share

- 2019-11: EUR 54.48 per share

- 2019-12: EUR 52.68 per share

- 2020-01: EUR 49.77 per share

- 2020-02: EUR 41.88 per share

- 2020-03: EUR 37.91 per share

- 2020-04: EUR 32.85 per share

- 2020-05: EUR 30.67 per share

- 2020-06: EUR 31.54 per share

- 2020-07: EUR 31.85 per share

- 2020-08: EUR 35.20 per share

- 2020-09: EUR 34.86 per share

- 2020-10: EUR 34.55 per share

- 2020-11: EUR 41.22 per share

- 2020-12: EUR 43.58 per share

- 2021-01: EUR 42.29 per share

- 2021-02: EUR 46.46 per share

- 2021-03: EUR 51.56 per share

- 2021-04: EUR 50.36 per share

- 2021-05: EUR 53.50 per share

- 2021-06: EUR 46.80 per share

- 2021-07: EUR 44.56 per share

- 2021-08: EUR 42.35 per share

- 2021-09: EUR 42.82 per share

- 2021-10: EUR 42.10 per share

- 2021-11: EUR 45.63 per share

- 2021-12: EUR 45.55 per share

- 2022-01: EUR 42.59 per share

- 2022-02: EUR 42.98 per share

- 2022-03: EUR 45.84 per share

- 2022-04: EUR 45.88 per share

- 2022-05: EUR 46.89 per share

- 2022-06: EUR 41.98 per share

- 2022-07: EUR 42.55 per share

- 2022-08: EUR 40.49 per share

- 2022-09: EUR 37.44 per share

- 2022-10: EUR 35.03 per share

- 2022-11: EUR 38.47 per share

- 2022-12: EUR 41.42 per share

- 2023-01: EUR 44.76 per share

- 2023-02: EUR 42.73 per share

- 2023-03: EUR 39.86 per share

- 2023-04: EUR 40.39 per share

- 2023-05: EUR 37.33 per share

- 2023-06: EUR 37.11 per share

- 2023-07: EUR 38.53 per share

- 2023-08: EUR 36.68 per share

- 2023-09: EUR 39.03 per share

- 2023-10: EUR 36.26 per share

- 2023-11: EUR 39.48 per share

- 2023-12: EUR 39.31 per share

- 2024-01: EUR 39.81 per share

- 2024-02: EUR 39.20 per share

- 2024-03: EUR 42.92 per share

- 2024-04: EUR 43.14 per share

- 2024-05: EUR 45.70 per share

- 2024-06: EUR 42.68 per share

- 2024-07: EUR 44.14 per share

- 2024-08: EUR 46.52 per share

- 2024-09: EUR 47.92 per share

- 2024-10: EUR 47.88 per share

- 2024-11: EUR 47.76 per share

- 2024-12: EUR 46.90 per share

- 2025-01: EUR 49.82 per share

- 2025-02: EUR 52.65 per share

- 2025-03: EUR 55.35 per share

- 2025-04: EUR 55.25 per share

- 2025-05: EUR 57.45 per share

- 2025-06: EUR 57.35 per share

- 2025-07: EUR 59.75 per share

- 2025-08: EUR 60.20 per share

- 2025-09: EUR 58.90 per share

- 2025-10: EUR 57.40 per share

- 2025-11: EUR 58.90 per share

- 2025-12: EUR 59.80 per share

- 2026-01: EUR 59.95 per share

- 2026-02: EUR 62.90 per share

- 2026-03: EUR 63.05 per share

- 2026-04: EUR 66.70 per share

- 2026-05: EUR 66.60 per share

- 2026-06: EUR 70.00 per share

- 2026-07: EUR 71.90 per share

- 2026-08: EUR 75.50 per share

- 2026-09: EUR 73.80 per share

- 2026-10: EUR 73.40 per share

## Annual estimated value (EUR per share)

- FY2016: low EUR 17.34 per share, central EUR 19.99 per share, high EUR 23.59 per share

- FY2017: low EUR 24.64 per share, central EUR 27.10 per share, high EUR 30.11 per share

- FY2018: low EUR 29.13 per share, central EUR 32.05 per share, high EUR 35.61 per share

- FY2019: low EUR 27.48 per share, central EUR 31.91 per share, high EUR 38.06 per share

- FY2020: low EUR 39.71 per share, central EUR 43.69 per share, high EUR 48.54 per share

- FY2021: low EUR 32.14 per share, central EUR 37.58 per share, high EUR 45.24 per share

- FY2022: low EUR 23.75 per share, central EUR 26.12 per share, high EUR 29.03 per share

- FY2023: low EUR 26.02 per share, central EUR 28.62 per share, high EUR 31.80 per share

- FY2024: low EUR 29.58 per share, central EUR 32.54 per share, high EUR 36.15 per share

- FY2025: low EUR 24.31 per share, central EUR 28.93 per share, high EUR 35.72 per share

Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year

Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year

Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates

## Sources

Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
← Companies

ageas SA/NV

AGS · BR

STOXX Europe 600 · BEL 20

Not a wonderful business

3 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.

Share price
EUR 73.55
Buy up to
EUR 26.03
Expected / yr
6.6% at today's price (10.0% at central value)

The business

How it makes money
Why customers stay
Where the cash goes
Are managers owners
What the price says

1. Is this a good business?

Evidence only; not required for Buy

Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 8 needed).

10y median
EUR 966M
Worst year
EUR 27M
Latest · 2025
EUR 1.7B

Earned a median 9.3% on equity (minimum 10%).

10y median
9.3%
Worst year
0.3%
Latest · 2025
18.1%

Book value plus dividends grew 5% a year (minimum 7%).

10y median
7.5%
Worst year
-29.2%
Latest · 2025
27.0%

Book value gained -2.97 per share against 14.43 kept (must cover the amount kept).

11y median
88
Worst year
100
Latest · 2025
88

0 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).

accounting warnings
0
Passing bar
≤ 0

Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 6.79 EUR.

2. Is the price low enough?

Price & return math
Value rangeEUR 21.87 – EUR 32.14
Buy at or belowCentral value EUR 26.03
Discount to value1 − 73.55 / 26.03 = -182.6%
Return / yearAbout 6.6% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%)
Cash-flow inputsBook EUR 24.14/share; ROE 10.4%; first payout EUR 1.37/share, growing 4.7% perpetually (4× book payout cap applied).
Required return10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value
Net incomeEUR 1.7B
1.7B020162025
FY2016 · Net income: EUR 27M; FY2017 · Net income: EUR 623M; FY2018 · Net income: EUR 809M; FY2019 · Net income: EUR 979M; FY2020 · Net income: EUR 1.1B; FY2021 · Net income: EUR 845M; FY2022 · Net income: EUR 1.0B; FY2023 · Net income: EUR 953M; FY2024 · Net income: EUR 1.1B; FY2025 · Net income: EUR 1.7B
Net income
Book / shareEUR 50.15
63.96020162025
FY2016 · Book / share: EUR 46.39; FY2017 · Book / share: EUR 47.63; FY2018 · Book / share: EUR 47.82; FY2019 · Book / share: EUR 58.57; FY2020 · Book / share: EUR 61.70; FY2021 · Book / share: EUR 63.96; FY2022 · Book / share: EUR 41.13; FY2023 · Book / share: EUR 40.38; FY2024 · Book / share: EUR 42.22; FY2025 · Book / share: EUR 50.15
Book / share
Dividend / shareEUR 3.49
4.15020162025
FY2016 · Dividend / share: EUR 1.64; FY2017 · Dividend / share: EUR 2.08; FY2018 · Dividend / share: EUR 2.05; FY2019 · Dividend / share: EUR 2.17; FY2020 · Dividend / share: EUR 2.59; FY2021 · Dividend / share: EUR 2.60; FY2022 · Dividend / share: EUR 4.15; FY2023 · Dividend / share: EUR 2.94; FY2024 · Dividend / share: EUR 3.18; FY2025 · Dividend / share: EUR 3.49
Dividend / share
Return on equity18.1%
18.1%0.0%20162025
FY2016 · Return on equity: 0.3%; FY2017 · Return on equity: 6.5%; FY2018 · Return on equity: 8.6%; FY2019 · Return on equity: 8.7%; FY2020 · Return on equity: 9.9%; FY2021 · Return on equity: 7.1%; FY2022 · Return on equity: 13.3%; FY2023 · Return on equity: 12.8%; FY2024 · Return on equity: 14.4%; FY2025 · Return on equity: 18.1%
Return on equity
Diluted shares188M
206M020162025
FY2016 · Diluted shares: 206M; FY2017 · Diluted shares: 202M; FY2018 · Diluted shares: 197M; FY2019 · Diluted shares: 192M; FY2020 · Diluted shares: 187M; FY2021 · Diluted shares: 186M; FY2022 · Diluted shares: 184M; FY2023 · Diluted shares: 184M; FY2024 · Diluted shares: 184M; FY2025 · Diluted shares: 188M
Diluted shares
Prices 15 Oct 2026 · FY2025