# Ally Financial (ALLY.US)

Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/ALLY

Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:26:24.635Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2025.

Listing currency: USD. Reporting currency: USD.

## Verdict

Not a wonderful business

Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no.

Share price: $37.73 per share; close as of 2026-10-15.

Estimated value: low $19.60 per share, central $24.49 per share, high $32.66 per share. Buy at or below the central value $24.49 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:26:24.635Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals.

Expected annual return: 8.6% at the stated quote. About 8.6% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; US 10-year bond 5.1% + 4 points).

## Checklist

### understandable: pass

- Financial history: 10 years

- Profitable years in the last ten: 10

- Required profitable years: 9

- Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.47×

Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: $1.0B

- FY2017: $929M

- FY2018: $1.3B

- FY2019: $1.7B

- FY2020: $1.1B

- FY2021: $3.0B

- FY2022: $1.6B

- FY2023: $847M

- FY2024: $558M

- FY2025: $742M

### moat: fail

- Tangible common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity

- median return on common equity below threshold

- Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 8.0%

- Required median return: 12.0%

- Return uses tangible common equity: Yes

- Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 5.7%

- Years with reported combined ratio: 0

Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: 8.1%

- FY2017: 7.1%

- FY2018: 9.7%

- FY2019: 12.3%

- FY2020: 7.6%

- FY2021: 21.8%

- FY2022: 16.7%

- FY2023: 8.0%

- FY2024: 5.1%

- FY2025: 5.7%

### economics: pass

- Tangible common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity

- Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 7.2%

- Book return interval: 10 years

- Starting book value per share: $26.28

- Ending book value per share: $41.48

Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: 2.2%

- FY2017: 8.9%

- FY2018: 8.1%

- FY2019: 18.7%

- FY2020: 9.7%

- FY2021: 1.7%

- FY2022: -16.8%

- FY2023: 19.5%

- FY2024: 4.9%

- FY2025: 20.6%

### management: pass

- Tangible common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity

- Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: -4.2%

- Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: -3.7%

- Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -4.2%

- Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -3.7%

- Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0

- Book value created per share: $15.20

- Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: -$1.19

### accounting: pass

- Financial accounting warning count: 0

- Deposits, annualized growth: 8.6%

- Known restatement years: 0

- Years loan growth exceeded twice deposit growth: 0

- Years credit losses exceeded peer median: 0

## Holders

- [Warren Buffett](https://gigainvestors.com/BRK): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts.

- [Bill Nygren](https://gigainvestors.com/HA): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts.

- [William Browne](https://gigainvestors.com/TB): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts.

- [Francis Chou](https://gigainvestors.com/ca): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts.

## Price story

Down 24% since Feb 2022 · "Ally Financial (ALLY): One-Off $423M Loss Challenges Earnings Rebound Narrative" (finance.yahoo.com, Nov 2025) · net income +33%

Story as of 2026-10-16T09:58:16.821Z; price observation 2026-10-15.

The price assumes profits grow 7.4% a year forever

- 2025-11-01: Ally Financial (ALLY): One-Off $423M Loss Challenges Earnings Rebound Narrative ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ally-financial-ally-one-off-031602555.html))

- 2026-04-17: Ally Beats Estimates With Auto-Loan Demand Staying Strong ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/ally-earnings-top-estimates-auto-111010935.html))

- 2026-09-19: Ally Financial Reaffirms Guidance as Margin Gains Offset Stellantis Lease Pressure ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/ally-financial-reaffirms-guidance-margin-150159380.html))

### Net income · FY2025

net income +33%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/40729/000004072926000005/ally-20251231.htm; observed 2026-02-25.

- FY2016: $1.0B 

- FY2017: $929M 

- FY2018: $1.3B 

- FY2019: $1.7B 

- FY2020: $1.1B 

- FY2021: $3.0B 

- FY2022: $1.6B 

- FY2023: $847M 

- FY2024: $558M 

- FY2025: $742M 

## Owner memo

Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z.

### How it makes money

Operates in credit services; annual sales are USD 7.9 billion.

- Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/40729/000004072926000005/ally-20251231.htm#000004072926000005 (filed 2026-02-25); FY2025: revenue 7914000000.

### Why customers stay

It earns 8% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-25); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0.08078211420113733],[2017,0.07138466267096973],[2018,0.09738607448531113],[2019,0.1229038268596818],[2020,0.07582110412299091],[2021,0.21800362976406534],[2022,0.16682267290691627],[2023,0.0796277145811789],[2024,0.05084745762711865],[2025,0.05714725816389402]]; median 0.08020491439115812. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity.

### Where the cash goes

Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years; bought back USD 59 million of shares.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-25); Dividend observations: [[2016,108000000],[2017,184000000],[2018,242000000],[2019,273000000],[2020,289000000],[2021,381000000],[2022,494000000],[2023,478000000],[2024,482000000],[2025,489000000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement.

- Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/40729/000004072926000005/ally-20251231.htm (filed 2026-02-25); FY2025: cash repurchases 59000000 USD.

### What the price says

The price assumes profits grow 7.4% a year forever.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-25); Price 37.73; FX 1; original perpetual distributable cash 0.9797787334123204; discount 0.1; growth 0.07403183849954094. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15.

## Monthly share-price history (USD per share)

- 2016-10: $18.07 per share

- 2016-11: $19.42 per share

- 2016-12: $19.02 per share

- 2017-01: $21.12 per share

- 2017-02: $22.49 per share

- 2017-03: $20.33 per share

- 2017-04: $19.80 per share

- 2017-05: $18.54 per share

- 2017-06: $20.90 per share

- 2017-07: $22.64 per share

- 2017-08: $22.60 per share

- 2017-09: $24.26 per share

- 2017-10: $26.13 per share

- 2017-11: $26.86 per share

- 2017-12: $29.16 per share

- 2018-01: $29.77 per share

- 2018-02: $27.90 per share

- 2018-03: $27.15 per share

- 2018-04: $26.10 per share

- 2018-05: $25.65 per share

- 2018-06: $26.27 per share

- 2018-07: $26.76 per share

- 2018-08: $26.88 per share

- 2018-09: $26.45 per share

- 2018-10: $25.41 per share

- 2018-11: $26.68 per share

- 2018-12: $22.66 per share

- 2019-01: $26.06 per share

- 2019-02: $27.09 per share

- 2019-03: $27.49 per share

- 2019-04: $29.71 per share

- 2019-05: $28.87 per share

- 2019-06: $30.99 per share

- 2019-07: $32.91 per share

- 2019-08: $31.35 per share

- 2019-09: $33.16 per share

- 2019-10: $30.63 per share

- 2019-11: $31.84 per share

- 2019-12: $30.56 per share

- 2020-01: $32.03 per share

- 2020-02: $25.07 per share

- 2020-03: $14.43 per share

- 2020-04: $16.39 per share

- 2020-05: $17.44 per share

- 2020-06: $19.83 per share

- 2020-07: $20.10 per share

- 2020-08: $22.88 per share

- 2020-09: $25.07 per share

- 2020-10: $26.68 per share

- 2020-11: $29.65 per share

- 2020-12: $35.66 per share

- 2021-01: $37.84 per share

- 2021-02: $41.50 per share

- 2021-03: $45.21 per share

- 2021-04: $51.45 per share

- 2021-05: $54.71 per share

- 2021-06: $49.84 per share

- 2021-07: $51.36 per share

- 2021-08: $52.90 per share

- 2021-09: $51.05 per share

- 2021-10: $47.74 per share

- 2021-11: $45.83 per share

- 2021-12: $47.61 per share

- 2022-01: $47.72 per share

- 2022-02: $49.90 per share

- 2022-03: $43.48 per share

- 2022-04: $39.96 per share

- 2022-05: $44.04 per share

- 2022-06: $33.51 per share

- 2022-07: $33.07 per share

- 2022-08: $33.20 per share

- 2022-09: $27.83 per share

- 2022-10: $27.56 per share

- 2022-11: $27.01 per share

- 2022-12: $24.45 per share

- 2023-01: $32.49 per share

- 2023-02: $30.05 per share

- 2023-03: $25.49 per share

- 2023-04: $26.38 per share

- 2023-05: $26.67 per share

- 2023-06: $27.01 per share

- 2023-07: $30.54 per share

- 2023-08: $27.69 per share

- 2023-09: $26.68 per share

- 2023-10: $24.19 per share

- 2023-11: $29.22 per share

- 2023-12: $34.92 per share

- 2024-01: $36.68 per share

- 2024-02: $36.99 per share

- 2024-03: $40.59 per share

- 2024-04: $38.35 per share

- 2024-05: $38.97 per share

- 2024-06: $39.67 per share

- 2024-07: $45.01 per share

- 2024-08: $43.19 per share

- 2024-09: $35.59 per share

- 2024-10: $35.05 per share

- 2024-11: $39.98 per share

- 2024-12: $36.01 per share

- 2025-01: $38.97 per share

- 2025-02: $37.10 per share

- 2025-03: $36.47 per share

- 2025-04: $32.66 per share

- 2025-05: $35.00 per share

- 2025-06: $38.95 per share

- 2025-07: $37.85 per share

- 2025-08: $41.05 per share

- 2025-09: $39.20 per share

- 2025-10: $38.97 per share

- 2025-11: $41.30 per share

- 2025-12: $45.29 per share

- 2026-01: $42.28 per share

- 2026-02: $39.44 per share

- 2026-03: $39.23 per share

- 2026-04: $44.39 per share

- 2026-05: $42.81 per share

- 2026-06: $45.95 per share

- 2026-07: $43.33 per share

- 2026-08: $42.21 per share

- 2026-09: $37.62 per share

- 2026-10: $37.73 per share

## Annual estimated value (USD per share)

- FY2016: low $13.08 per share, central $14.74 per share, high $16.89 per share

- FY2017: low $12.35 per share, central $14.33 per share, high $17.08 per share

- FY2018: low $13.10 per share, central $15.21 per share, high $18.12 per share

- FY2019: low $11.13 per share, central $13.66 per share, high $17.67 per share

- FY2020: low $12.73 per share, central $15.74 per share, high $20.61 per share

- FY2021: low $17.17 per share, central $21.46 per share, high $28.61 per share

- FY2022: low $22.26 per share, central $27.83 per share, high $37.11 per share

- FY2023: low $25.24 per share, central $31.55 per share, high $42.07 per share

- FY2024: low $34.97 per share, central $38.46 per share, high $42.74 per share

- FY2025: low $35.33 per share, central $38.86 per share, high $43.18 per share

Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year

Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year

Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates

## Sources

[Original 10-K filing](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/40729/000004072926000005/ally-20251231.htm); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-02-25.

Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.