Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 9 needed).
- 10y median
- SEK 1.5B
- Worst year
- SEK 349M
- Latest · 2025
- SEK 2.6B
# Avanza Bank Holding (AZA.ST) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/AZA.ST Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:37:03.490Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2025. Listing currency: SEK. Reporting currency: SEK. ## Verdict A wonderful business at too high a price Quality tests for Buy: pass (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: SEK 376.30 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low SEK 158.69 per share, central SEK 198.36 per share, high SEK 264.48 per share. Buy at or below the central value SEK 198.36 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:37:03.490Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 8.1% at the stated quote. About 8.1% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; SE 10-year bond 3.1% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: pass - Financial history: 10 years - Profitable years in the last ten: 10 - Required profitable years: 9 - Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.22× Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: SEK 399M - FY2017: SEK 379M - FY2018: SEK 349M - FY2019: SEK 447M - FY2020: SEK 1.3B - FY2021: SEK 2.0B - FY2022: SEK 1.7B - FY2023: SEK 2.0B - FY2024: SEK 2.3B - FY2025: SEK 2.6B ### moat: pass - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity - Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 34.0% - Required median return: 12.0% - Return uses tangible common equity: Yes - Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 23.9% - Years with reported combined ratio: 0 Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 32.0% - FY2017: 28.3% - FY2018: 22.3% - FY2019: 23.9% - FY2020: 43.2% - FY2021: 44.6% - FY2022: 34.4% - FY2023: 34.5% - FY2024: 36.0% - FY2025: 33.5% ### economics: pass - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity - Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 46.4% - Book return interval: 10 years - Starting book value per share: SEK 7.42 - Ending book value per share: SEK 49.56 Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 40.5% - FY2017: 32.4% - FY2018: 39.6% - FY2019: 38.2% - FY2020: 81.7% - FY2021: 66.7% - FY2022: 35.1% - FY2023: 42.6% - FY2024: 40.0% - FY2025: 54.1% ### management: pass - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 0.8% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 0.5% - Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0.8% - Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0.5% - Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0 - Book created / earnings retained after dividends and buybacks: 1.30× - Book value created per share: SEK 42.14 - Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: SEK 32.30 Chart: Shares (first year = 100); fiscal year observations. - FY2015: 100 - FY2016: 102 - FY2017: 102 - FY2018: 102 - FY2019: 104 - FY2020: 105 - FY2021: 106 - FY2022: 107 - FY2023: 107 - FY2024: 107 - FY2025: 108 ### accounting: pass - Financial accounting warning count: 0 - Known restatement years: 0 ## Holders ## Price story The price is 10.4 times annual sales · "Interest Expenses: Decreased due to deposit interest rate cut." (finance.yahoo.com, Apr 2025) · net income +16.7% Story as of 2026-10-16T10:00:08.546Z; price observation 2026-10-15. The price is 10.4 times annual sales ### Net income · FY2025 net income +16.7%; source https://filings.xbrl.org/549300MBWR5H8SIJLE03/2024-12-31/ESEF/SE/0/Avanza-2024-12-31-0-sv/reports/Avanza-2024-12-31-0-sv.xhtml; observed 2025-05-08. - FY2016: SEK 399M - FY2017: SEK 379M - FY2018: SEK 349M - FY2019: SEK 447M - FY2020: SEK 1.3B - FY2021: SEK 2.0B - FY2022: SEK 1.7B - FY2023: SEK 2.0B - FY2024: SEK 2.3B - FY2025: SEK 2.6B ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in regional banking; annual sales are SEK 5.7 billion. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2025-05-08); FY2025: revenue 5735000000. ### Why customers stay It earns 34% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2025-05-08); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0.3202247191011236],[2017,0.2830470500373413],[2018,0.22286079182630908],[2019,0.2391653290529695],[2020,0.4320388349514563],[2021,0.4455811928602525],[2022,0.3439306358381503],[2023,0.34493560737904627],[2024,0.36040933802366487],[2025,0.33545837052148414]]; median 0.3396945031798172. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2025-05-08); Dividend observations: [[2016,308000000],[2017,313000000],[2018,315000000],[2019,318000000],[2020,354000000],[2021,591000000],[2022,1431000000],[2023,1175000000],[2024,1808000000],[2025,1848000000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 14.2% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); AZA.ST SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 14.213999999999999 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What the price says The price is 10.4 times annual sales. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2025-05-08); Closing price 376.3 SEK; reporting-to-trading FX 1; FY2025 annual sales per share 36.23600475143428; price multiple 10.38469893635571. FY2025 cash earnings/share 16.787979882225088. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (SEK per share) - 2016-10: SEK 68.30 per share - 2016-11: SEK 70.00 per share - 2016-12: SEK 73.80 per share - 2017-01: SEK 80.10 per share - 2017-02: SEK 79.20 per share - 2017-03: SEK 67.38 per share - 2017-04: SEK 71.12 per share - 2017-05: SEK 72.54 per share - 2017-06: SEK 73.58 per share - 2017-07: SEK 66.62 per share - 2017-08: SEK 66.54 per share - 2017-09: SEK 68.24 per share - 2017-10: SEK 63.10 per share - 2017-11: SEK 70.58 per share - 2017-12: SEK 68.82 per share - 2018-01: SEK 88.56 per share - 2018-02: SEK 95.72 per share - 2018-03: SEK 88.04 per share - 2018-04: SEK 82.56 per share - 2018-05: SEK 88.88 per share - 2018-06: SEK 92.00 per share - 2018-07: SEK 81.00 per share - 2018-08: SEK 83.00 per share - 2018-09: SEK 80.96 per share - 2018-10: SEK 97.88 per share - 2018-11: SEK 97.96 per share - 2018-12: SEK 84.72 per share - 2019-01: SEK 82.16 per share - 2019-02: SEK 80.72 per share - 2019-03: SEK 79.80 per share - 2019-04: SEK 76.00 per share - 2019-05: SEK 68.80 per share - 2019-06: SEK 70.90 per share - 2019-07: SEK 86.40 per share - 2019-08: SEK 78.20 per share - 2019-09: SEK 80.20 per share - 2019-10: SEK 82.30 per share - 2019-11: SEK 93.20 per share - 2019-12: SEK 97.80 per share - 2020-01: SEK 94.40 per share - 2020-02: SEK 95.10 per share - 2020-03: SEK 82.80 per share - 2020-04: SEK 118.60 per share - 2020-05: SEK 138.20 per share - 2020-06: SEK 132.30 per share - 2020-07: SEK 170.00 per share - 2020-08: SEK 170.80 per share - 2020-09: SEK 175.80 per share - 2020-10: SEK 169.00 per share - 2020-11: SEK 188.60 per share - 2020-12: SEK 233.00 per share - 2021-01: SEK 228.00 per share - 2021-02: SEK 264.60 per share - 2021-03: SEK 271.40 per share - 2021-04: SEK 304.60 per share - 2021-05: SEK 281.90 per share - 2021-06: SEK 266.90 per share - 2021-07: SEK 278.80 per share - 2021-08: SEK 331.60 per share - 2021-09: SEK 309.60 per share - 2021-10: SEK 340.90 per share - 2021-11: SEK 344.00 per share - 2021-12: SEK 332.20 per share - 2022-01: SEK 292.20 per share - 2022-02: SEK 269.30 per share - 2022-03: SEK 242.00 per share - 2022-04: SEK 251.60 per share - 2022-05: SEK 234.80 per share - 2022-06: SEK 171.65 per share - 2022-07: SEK 195.10 per share - 2022-08: SEK 171.70 per share - 2022-09: SEK 170.95 per share - 2022-10: SEK 220.50 per share - 2022-11: SEK 210.00 per share - 2022-12: SEK 223.60 per share - 2023-01: SEK 240.00 per share - 2023-02: SEK 277.70 per share - 2023-03: SEK 243.00 per share - 2023-04: SEK 217.70 per share - 2023-05: SEK 224.00 per share - 2023-06: SEK 219.50 per share - 2023-07: SEK 238.30 per share - 2023-08: SEK 212.00 per share - 2023-09: SEK 189.40 per share - 2023-10: SEK 188.00 per share - 2023-11: SEK 205.70 per share - 2023-12: SEK 233.50 per share - 2024-01: SEK 210.00 per share - 2024-02: SEK 227.60 per share - 2024-03: SEK 230.90 per share - 2024-04: SEK 238.60 per share - 2024-05: SEK 274.00 per share - 2024-06: SEK 257.50 per share - 2024-07: SEK 239.70 per share - 2024-08: SEK 242.70 per share - 2024-09: SEK 251.50 per share - 2024-10: SEK 221.60 per share - 2024-11: SEK 234.00 per share - 2024-12: SEK 272.90 per share - 2025-01: SEK 334.20 per share - 2025-02: SEK 322.00 per share - 2025-03: SEK 305.30 per share - 2025-04: SEK 322.50 per share - 2025-05: SEK 341.80 per share - 2025-06: SEK 320.70 per share - 2025-07: SEK 361.80 per share - 2025-08: SEK 357.30 per share - 2025-09: SEK 349.10 per share - 2025-10: SEK 367.40 per share - 2025-11: SEK 370.90 per share - 2025-12: SEK 353.10 per share - 2026-01: SEK 347.50 per share - 2026-02: SEK 330.70 per share - 2026-03: SEK 360.70 per share - 2026-04: SEK 331.30 per share - 2026-05: SEK 346.30 per share - 2026-06: SEK 388.00 per share - 2026-07: SEK 391.40 per share - 2026-08: SEK 402.70 per share - 2026-09: SEK 384.90 per share - 2026-10: SEK 380.20 per share ## Annual estimated value (SEK per share) - FY2016: low SEK 24.57 per share, central SEK 28.53 per share, high SEK 34.01 per share - FY2017: low SEK 26.06 per share, central SEK 30.18 per share, high SEK 35.83 per share - FY2018: low SEK 29.58 per share, central SEK 34.06 per share, high SEK 40.14 per share - FY2019: low SEK 34.95 per share, central SEK 40.24 per share, high SEK 47.42 per share - FY2020: low SEK 56.98 per share, central SEK 65.60 per share, high SEK 77.30 per share - FY2021: low SEK 98.63 per share, central SEK 118.47 per share, high SEK 148.29 per share - FY2022: low SEK 102.89 per share, central SEK 123.58 per share, high SEK 154.69 per share - FY2023: low SEK 117.07 per share, central SEK 146.34 per share, high SEK 195.12 per share - FY2024: low SEK 127.16 per share, central SEK 158.95 per share, high SEK 211.93 per share - FY2025: low SEK 158.58 per share, central SEK 198.22 per share, high SEK 264.29 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates ## Sources [Original ESEF filing](https://filings.xbrl.org/549300MBWR5H8SIJLE03/2024-12-31/ESEF/SE/0/Avanza-2024-12-31-0-sv/reports/Avanza-2024-12-31-0-sv.xhtml); period 2024-12-31, filed 2025-05-08. Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
AZA · ST
STOXX Europe 600
A wonderful business at too high a price
Passes the quality tests.
Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 9 needed).
Earned a median 34% on tangible equity (minimum 12%), and the second-worst year 23.9% (minimum 5%).
Book value plus dividends grew 46.4% a year (minimum 7%).
Ordinary share growth was 0.8% over the full period and 0.5% over five years (either must be at most 2% a year).
0 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).
Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 14.52 SEK.
| Value range | SEK 158.69 – SEK 264.48 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value SEK 198.36 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 376.30 / 198.36 = -89.7% |
| Return / year | About 8.1% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Book SEK 49.59/share; ROE 25.0%; first payout SEK 7.93/share, growing 6.0% perpetually (4× book payout cap applied). |
| Required return | 10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value |