Margins varied 6.3% around their average (limit 35%), and no loss years were recorded (limit 2).
- 10y median
- 35.0%
- Worst year
- 30.5%
- Latest · 2026
- 37.1%
# Bajaj Finserv (BAJAJFINSV.NSE) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/BAJAJFINSV.NSE Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:33:23.355Z. Financial observations: FY2012–FY2026. Listing currency: INR. Reporting currency: INR. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: INR 1,732.00 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low INR 751.65 per share, central INR 1,026.33 per share, high INR 1,166.25 per share. Buy at or below the central value INR 1,026.33 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:33:23.355Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 8.0% at the stated quote. About 8.0% a year at today's price (required return 11.4%). required return 11.4% a year (IN 10-year bond 7.4% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: pass - 0 revenue declines in the last 10 years (informational) - Financial history: 10 years - Years with declining revenue: 0 - Years with a net loss: 0 - Operating margin variation: 0.06× Chart: Operating margin; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: 0.35× - FY2018: 0.32× - FY2019: 0.35× - FY2020: 0.33× - FY2021: 0.32× - FY2022: 0.31× - FY2023: 0.36× - FY2024: 0.36× - FY2025: 0.36× - FY2026: 0.37× ### moat: fail - The return floor includes all equity, debt and leases without deducting cash or goodwill. Only a floor above the hurdle establishes a pass. - ROIC median below threshold - ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed) - ROIC, median of available years: 8.4% - ROIC, second-lowest year: 8.3% - Conservative return floor, median: 8.4% - Conservative return floor, second lowest: 7.9% - Years with nonpositive capital: 0 - Capital spending / revenue: 1.3% - ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: 2.1% Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations. - FY2022: 7.9% - FY2023: 8.4% - FY2024: 8.7% - FY2025: 8.7% - FY2026: 8.3% ### economics: pass - Owner earnings / net income, 5-yr: 0.98× - Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No - Owner earnings, five-year total: INR 369B - Net income, five-year total: INR 378B - Working capital / revenue, final three-year average: 0.1% Chart: Annual owner cash / profit; fiscal year observations. - FY2022: 0.95× - FY2023: 0.95× - FY2024: 1.00× - FY2025: 0.98× - FY2026: 0.98× ### management: pass - Historical market-dollar context (not the management verdict): 2017 to 2026 (9 years) - potential debt-funded buybacks (informational) - buybacks leaned toward cheaper years (informational) - Per-share earnings: 14.21 to 55.00 (three-year endpoint medians) - Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes - Ordinary dilution, 10-year annual growth: 0.1% - Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: 0.2% - Market cap gain: INR 1.97T - Cumulative retained earnings: INR 447B - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 0.1% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 0.2% - $1 test, starting fiscal year: FY2017 - $1 test, ending fiscal year: FY2026 - Per-share value growth: 18.4% - Per-share value change: INR 40.79 - Per-share value, starting three-year median: INR 14.21 - Per-share value, ending three-year median: INR 55.00 - Buybacks concentrated in cheaper years (correlation): 0.40 - Average buyback yield: 0.2% - Buyback history: 4 years - Debt-funded buybacks: Yes - Cumulative net income, 10 years: INR 538B - ROIC, last three-year median: 8.7% Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: INR 14.21 - FY2018: INR 16.65 - FY2019: INR 20.23 - FY2020: INR 21.17 - FY2021: INR 28.09 - FY2022: INR 28.63 - FY2023: INR 40.00 - FY2024: INR 50.66 - FY2025: INR 55.00 - FY2026: INR 61.00 ### accounting: fail - earnings not backed by cash - Sloan accruals: 8.6% - Receivables to sales index (DSRI): 0.99× - Restructuring years, last five: 1 - Earnings backed by cash: No - Operating cash / earnings: -5.64× - Accounting red flags: 0 - Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 0.03× Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: 10.3% - FY2018: 13.8% - FY2019: 14.5% - FY2020: 10.6% - FY2021: -0.0% - FY2022: 11.5% - FY2023: 11.3% - FY2024: 13.7% - FY2025: 10.8% - FY2026: 8.6% ## Holders ## Price story Price needs cash profits to grow 13.6% a year for ten years · sales +13.2% Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:55.896Z; price observation 2026-10-15. Price needs cash profits to grow 13.6% a year for ten years ### Sales · FY2025–2026 sales +13.2%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16. - FY2017: INR 245B - FY2018: INR 329B - FY2019: INR 426B - FY2020: INR 544B - FY2021: INR 606B - FY2022: INR 684B - FY2023: INR 821B - FY2024: INR 1.10T - FY2025: INR 1.33T - FY2026: INR 1.51T ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in holding company; annual sales are INR 1.5 trillion. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/BAJAJFINSV/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:23.355Z); FY2026: revenue 1505300000000; operatingIncome 558070000000; margin = operatingIncome / revenue. ### Why customers stay Margins ranged from 36.2% to 37.1% during 2024–26; it earns 8.4% on its capital. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/BAJAJFINSV/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:23.355Z); FY2024: operatingIncome / revenue = 36.2%. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/BAJAJFINSV/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:23.355Z); FY2025: operatingIncome / revenue = 36.4%. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/BAJAJFINSV/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:23.355Z); FY2026: operatingIncome / revenue = 37.1%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:23.355Z); 10-year return on capital observations [[2022,0.0787439097299974],[2023,0.08435559203226088],[2024,0.08682662677113227],[2025,0.08691034753587928],[2026,0.08324158305819829]]; median 0.08435559203226088. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Reinvests 1.6% of cash earnings; paid dividends in 9 of 9 years. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/BAJAJFINSV/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:23.355Z); FY2020: growth capex 4220000000; upkeep 4570000000; owner earnings 33690000000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.12525972098545562. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/BAJAJFINSV/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:23.355Z); FY2021: growth capex 0; upkeep 4710000000; owner earnings 44970000000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/BAJAJFINSV/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:23.355Z); FY2022: growth capex 3470000000; upkeep 5630000000; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 43467500000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.0798297578650716. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/BAJAJFINSV/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:23.355Z); FY2023: growth capex 5420000000; upkeep 6780000000; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 61116500000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.08868308885489189. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/BAJAJFINSV/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:23.355Z); FY2024: growth capex 5350000000; upkeep 9000000000; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 81480000000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.06566028473244968. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/BAJAJFINSV/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:23.355Z); FY2025: growth capex 6940000000; upkeep 11700000000; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 86702956509.85306. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.08004340658454165. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/BAJAJFINSV/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:23.355Z); FY2026: growth capex 1570000000; upkeep 12910000000; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 95808524683.51213. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.016386850806713073. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:23.355Z); Dividend observations: [[2018,1100000000],[2019,1820000000],[2020,6830000000],[2021,820000000],[2022,4000000000],[2023,7450000000],[2024,11830000000],[2025,15420000000],[2026,18480000000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. - Source: https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/xbrl/INTEGRATED_FILING_NBFC_INDAS_1662721_30042026110827_WEB.xml (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:23.355Z); FY2026: cash repurchases 25109200000 INR. ### What the price says The price assumes cash profits grow 13.6% yearly over ten years. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:23.355Z); Ten-year compound average after fade. Initial solved rate 0.18286277665029826. Price 1732; FX 1; discount 0.11391000000000001; same standard ten-year fade to terminal 0.03. FY2016 owner earnings/share -61.567069243156205 → FY2026 59.62983374853832. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (INR per share) - 2016-11: INR 299.00 per share - 2016-12: INR 289.48 per share - 2017-01: INR 324.58 per share - 2017-02: INR 391.42 per share - 2017-03: INR 409.84 per share - 2017-04: INR 457.57 per share - 2017-05: INR 419.20 per share - 2017-06: INR 411.87 per share - 2017-07: INR 499.18 per share - 2017-08: INR 550.28 per share - 2017-09: INR 515.45 per share - 2017-10: INR 501.04 per share - 2017-11: INR 521.41 per share - 2017-12: INR 523.04 per share - 2018-01: INR 481.23 per share - 2018-02: INR 505.17 per share - 2018-03: INR 517.16 per share - 2018-04: INR 548.26 per share - 2018-05: INR 604.22 per share - 2018-06: INR 582.11 per share - 2018-07: INR 697.73 per share - 2018-08: INR 674.78 per share - 2018-09: INR 600.62 per share - 2018-10: INR 540.47 per share - 2018-11: INR 599.43 per share - 2018-12: INR 647.70 per share - 2019-01: INR 609.19 per share - 2019-02: INR 646.24 per share - 2019-03: INR 703.71 per share - 2019-04: INR 752.04 per share - 2019-05: INR 818.79 per share - 2019-06: INR 852.47 per share - 2019-07: INR 709.78 per share - 2019-08: INR 711.96 per share - 2019-09: INR 851.30 per share - 2019-10: INR 813.43 per share - 2019-11: INR 911.03 per share - 2019-12: INR 939.34 per share - 2020-01: INR 944.14 per share - 2020-02: INR 905.08 per share - 2020-03: INR 459.12 per share - 2020-04: INR 510.43 per share - 2020-05: INR 440.49 per share - 2020-06: INR 584.52 per share - 2020-07: INR 620.59 per share - 2020-08: INR 619.03 per share - 2020-09: INR 585.23 per share - 2020-10: INR 557.35 per share - 2020-11: INR 875.88 per share - 2020-12: INR 890.64 per share - 2021-01: INR 872.28 per share - 2021-02: INR 964.86 per share - 2021-03: INR 966.86 per share - 2021-04: INR 1,104.17 per share - 2021-05: INR 1,180.63 per share - 2021-06: INR 1,210.91 per share - 2021-07: INR 1,422.22 per share - 2021-08: INR 1,714.88 per share - 2021-09: INR 1,778.68 per share - 2021-10: INR 1,782.11 per share - 2021-11: INR 1,723.73 per share - 2021-12: INR 1,640.62 per share - 2022-01: INR 1,568.95 per share - 2022-02: INR 1,601.26 per share - 2022-03: INR 1,706.05 per share - 2022-04: INR 1,491.11 per share - 2022-05: INR 1,293.40 per share - 2022-06: INR 1,093.18 per share - 2022-07: INR 1,504.76 per share - 2022-08: INR 1,696.21 per share - 2022-09: INR 1,678.35 per share - 2022-10: INR 1,687.50 per share - 2022-11: INR 1,626.50 per share - 2022-12: INR 1,547.85 per share - 2023-01: INR 1,342.45 per share - 2023-02: INR 1,334.90 per share - 2023-03: INR 1,266.50 per share - 2023-04: INR 1,354.65 per share - 2023-05: INR 1,451.05 per share - 2023-06: INR 1,528.00 per share - 2023-07: INR 1,598.30 per share - 2023-08: INR 1,488.90 per share - 2023-09: INR 1,540.25 per share - 2023-10: INR 1,569.55 per share - 2023-11: INR 1,673.50 per share - 2023-12: INR 1,685.80 per share - 2024-01: INR 1,627.30 per share - 2024-02: INR 1,593.80 per share - 2024-03: INR 1,643.85 per share - 2024-04: INR 1,615.00 per share - 2024-05: INR 1,528.60 per share - 2024-06: INR 1,588.15 per share - 2024-07: INR 1,651.65 per share - 2024-08: INR 1,783.05 per share - 2024-09: INR 1,973.40 per share - 2024-10: INR 1,750.75 per share - 2024-11: INR 1,579.95 per share - 2024-12: INR 1,568.10 per share - 2025-01: INR 1,736.10 per share - 2025-02: INR 1,872.30 per share - 2025-03: INR 2,007.35 per share - 2025-04: INR 1,951.60 per share - 2025-05: INR 2,017.40 per share - 2025-06: INR 2,056.00 per share - 2025-07: INR 1,948.00 per share - 2025-08: INR 1,913.50 per share - 2025-09: INR 2,006.40 per share - 2025-10: INR 2,088.30 per share - 2025-11: INR 2,094.00 per share - 2025-12: INR 2,039.90 per share - 2026-01: INR 1,952.60 per share - 2026-02: INR 1,993.40 per share - 2026-03: INR 1,631.80 per share - 2026-04: INR 1,747.20 per share - 2026-05: INR 1,783.60 per share - 2026-06: INR 1,780.20 per share - 2026-07: INR 2,029.10 per share - 2026-08: INR 2,021.00 per share - 2026-09: INR 1,731.00 per share - 2026-10: INR 1,732.00 per share ## Annual estimated value (INR per share) - FY2022: low INR 268.54 per share, central INR 297.13 per share, high INR 333.41 per share - FY2023: low INR 327.71 per share, central INR 362.61 per share, high INR 406.88 per share - FY2024: low INR 537.70 per share, central INR 592.08 per share, high INR 661.07 per share - FY2025: low INR 744.25 per share, central INR 1,017.74 per share, high INR 1,157.06 per share - FY2026: low INR 751.65 per share, central INR 1,026.33 per share, high INR 1,166.25 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:39:08.939Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period. ## Sources Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
BAJAJFINSV · NSE
Nifty 50
Not a wonderful business
2 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.
Margins varied 6.3% around their average (limit 35%), and no loss years were recorded (limit 2).
Capital return excluding acquisitions: median 8.4% (minimum 15%), and the second-worst year 8.3% (minimum 10%).
Each $1 of profit left $0.98 for owners over five years (minimum $0.80).
Per-share value rose from 14.21 to 55, comparing three-year medians at each end (must rise and stay positive).
Profits lacked the required cash backing.
Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 10 (at most 2), mean operating margin 34.2%, three-year average owner earnings per share 54.68 INR.
| Value range | INR 751.65 – INR 1,166.25 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value INR 1,026.33 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 1732.00 / 1026.33 = -68.8% |
| Return / year | About 8.0% a year at today's price (required return 11.4%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Owner cash INR 61.10/share; 8.0% growth for 5 years, then fades to 3.0%; excess cash INR 45.30/share today. |
| Required return | 11.4% / year, earned by construction at the central value |