# Banco Bradesco (BBDC3.SA)

Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/BBDC3.SA

Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:34:05.514Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2026.

Listing currency: BRL. Reporting currency: BRL.

## Verdict

Not a wonderful business

Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no.

Share price: BRL 18.15 per share; close as of 2026-10-15.

Estimated value: low BRL 11.49 per share, central BRL 12.54 per share, high BRL 13.80 per share. Buy at or below the central value BRL 12.54 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:34:05.514Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals.

Expected annual return: 13.6% at the stated quote. About 13.6% a year at today's price (required return 17.0%). required return 17.0% a year (BR 10-year bond 13.0% + 4 points).

## Checklist

### understandable: pass

- Financial history: 10 years

- Profitable years in the last ten: 10

- Required profitable years: 9

- Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.16×

Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: BRL 15B

- FY2017: BRL 15B

- FY2018: BRL 19B

- FY2019: BRL 23B

- FY2020: BRL 17B

- FY2021: BRL 23B

- FY2022: BRL 21B

- FY2023: BRL 15B

- FY2024: BRL 19B

- FY2025: BRL 25B

### moat: pass

- Tangible common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity

- Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 15.5%

- Required median return: 12.0%

- Return uses tangible common equity: Yes

- Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 12.6%

- Years with reported combined ratio: 0

Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: 16.9%

- FY2017: 14.5%

- FY2018: 17.6%

- FY2019: 18.8%

- FY2020: 12.6%

- FY2021: 17.2%

- FY2022: 14.9%

- FY2023: 10.5%

- FY2024: 13.2%

- FY2025: 16.1%

### economics: pass

- Tangible common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings

- Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 12.2%

- Book return interval: 10 years

- Starting book value per share: BRL 8.42

- Ending book value per share: BRL 14.40

Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations.

- FY2017: 20.2%

- FY2018: 12.9%

- FY2019: 27.9%

- FY2020: 9.4%

- FY2021: 11.4%

- FY2022: 5.5%

- FY2023: 10.2%

- FY2024: 5.1%

- FY2025: 14.1%

- LTM to Jun 2026: 7.5%

### management: fail

- Tangible common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity

- book per share gain below retained common earnings per share

- Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: -0.0%

- Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: -0.2%

- Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -0.0%

- Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -0.2%

- Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0

- Book created / earnings retained after dividends and buybacks: 0.63×

- Book value created per share: BRL 6.59

- Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: BRL 10.38

Chart: Shares (first year = 100); fiscal year observations.

- FY2015: 100

- FY2016: 100

- FY2017: 100

- FY2018: 100

- FY2019: 100

- FY2020: 101

- FY2021: 100

- FY2022: 100

- FY2023: 100

- FY2024: 100

- FY2025: 100

### accounting: pass

- Financial accounting warning count: 0

- Known restatement years: 0

## Holders

## Price story

The price assumes profits grow 9.4% a year forever · net income -0.9%

Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:59.087Z; price observation 2026-10-15.

The price assumes profits grow 9.4% a year forever

### Net income · FY2026

net income -0.9%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1160330/000129281426001753/bbdform20f_2025.htm; observed 2026-03-25.

- FY2017: BRL 15B 

- FY2018: BRL 19B 

- FY2019: BRL 23B 

- FY2020: BRL 17B 

- FY2021: BRL 23B 

- FY2022: BRL 21B 

- FY2023: BRL 15B 

- FY2024: BRL 19B 

- FY2025: BRL 25B 

- FY2026: BRL 24B 

## Owner memo

Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z.

### How it makes money

Operates in regional banking; annual sales are BRL 311.7 billion.

- Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1160330/000129281426001753/bbdform20f_2025.htm (filed 2026-03-25); FY2025: revenue 311657992000.

### Why customers stay

It earns 15.5% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-25); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0.16852233750999024],[2017,0.14480438554593747],[2018,0.17647248108538138],[2019,0.1876024835393522],[2020,0.12635724877154964],[2021,0.17181759086048703],[2022,0.14865443647748267],[2023,0.10484954638456773],[2024,0.1319327339273704],[2025,0.16079259583073627]]; median 0.15472351615410945. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity.

### Where the cash goes

Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years; bought back BRL 222.6 million of shares.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-25); Dividend observations: [[2016,5561036000],[2017,6397874000],[2018,6483196000],[2019,17751148000],[2020,1432130000],[2021,9914297000],[2022,3656763000],[2023,8927917000],[2024,6541998000],[2025,11834032000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement.

- Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1160330/000129281426001753/bbdform20f_2025.htm (filed 2026-03-25); FY2025: cash repurchases 222621000 BRL.

### Are managers owners

Insiders own 71.9% of the company.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); BBDC3.SA SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 71.865 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16.

### What could break it

3.D.20.09-01 Failure to adequately protect ourselves against risks relating to cybersecurity could materially and adversely affect us.

- Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1160330/000129281426001753/bbdform20f_2025.htm (filed 2026-03-25); 3.D.20.09 Cybersecurity risk Cybersecurity risk is represented by the possibility of cyber incidents, such as attacks, intrusions and leakages, that could compromise the confidentiality, integrity and/or availability of our critical business processes, assets and/or infrastructure. 3.D.20.09-01 Failure to adequately protect ourselves against risks relating to cybersecurity could materially and adversely affect us. We are exposed to significant cybersecurity-related risks, which can result in operational disruptions, financial losses, data exposure, regulatory impacts, and reputational damage.

### What the price says

The price assumes profits grow 9.4% a year forever.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-25); Price 18.15; FX 1; original perpetual distributable cash 1.373424487628421; discount 0.1695; growth 0.09382922933176745. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15.

## Monthly share-price history (BRL per share)

- 2016-11: BRL 15.08 per share

- 2016-12: BRL 15.08 per share

- 2017-01: BRL 16.63 per share

- 2017-02: BRL 16.88 per share

- 2017-03: BRL 16.58 per share

- 2017-04: BRL 16.84 per share

- 2017-05: BRL 15.40 per share

- 2017-06: BRL 15.71 per share

- 2017-07: BRL 17.16 per share

- 2017-08: BRL 18.36 per share

- 2017-09: BRL 19.01 per share

- 2017-10: BRL 18.66 per share

- 2017-11: BRL 17.29 per share

- 2017-12: BRL 18.25 per share

- 2018-01: BRL 22.39 per share

- 2018-02: BRL 20.96 per share

- 2018-03: BRL 21.90 per share

- 2018-04: BRL 19.97 per share

- 2018-05: BRL 16.33 per share

- 2018-06: BRL 15.26 per share

- 2018-07: BRL 17.46 per share

- 2018-08: BRL 15.72 per share

- 2018-09: BRL 16.12 per share

- 2018-10: BRL 18.94 per share

- 2018-11: BRL 21.03 per share

- 2018-12: BRL 21.19 per share

- 2019-01: BRL 25.21 per share

- 2019-02: BRL 24.12 per share

- 2019-03: BRL 23.70 per share

- 2019-04: BRL 23.29 per share

- 2019-05: BRL 24.53 per share

- 2019-06: BRL 25.13 per share

- 2019-07: BRL 23.37 per share

- 2019-08: BRL 22.76 per share

- 2019-09: BRL 23.48 per share

- 2019-10: BRL 24.68 per share

- 2019-11: BRL 23.48 per share

- 2019-12: BRL 25.60 per share

- 2020-01: BRL 23.55 per share

- 2020-02: BRL 20.50 per share

- 2020-03: BRL 14.13 per share

- 2020-04: BRL 14.51 per share

- 2020-05: BRL 14.71 per share

- 2020-06: BRL 15.67 per share

- 2020-07: BRL 17.13 per share

- 2020-08: BRL 15.73 per share

- 2020-09: BRL 14.89 per share

- 2020-10: BRL 15.02 per share

- 2020-11: BRL 17.89 per share

- 2020-12: BRL 20.00 per share

- 2021-01: BRL 17.88 per share

- 2021-02: BRL 17.02 per share

- 2021-03: BRL 19.43 per share

- 2021-04: BRL 18.79 per share

- 2021-05: BRL 20.78 per share

- 2021-06: BRL 19.87 per share

- 2021-07: BRL 18.77 per share

- 2021-08: BRL 18.13 per share

- 2021-09: BRL 16.24 per share

- 2021-10: BRL 15.45 per share

- 2021-11: BRL 15.47 per share

- 2021-12: BRL 14.72 per share

- 2022-01: BRL 17.09 per share

- 2022-02: BRL 15.51 per share

- 2022-03: BRL 16.61 per share

- 2022-04: BRL 14.91 per share

- 2022-05: BRL 16.88 per share

- 2022-06: BRL 14.38 per share

- 2022-07: BRL 14.47 per share

- 2022-08: BRL 15.84 per share

- 2022-09: BRL 16.31 per share

- 2022-10: BRL 16.64 per share

- 2022-11: BRL 13.76 per share

- 2022-12: BRL 13.47 per share

- 2023-01: BRL 12.62 per share

- 2023-02: BRL 11.64 per share

- 2023-03: BRL 11.85 per share

- 2023-04: BRL 12.42 per share

- 2023-05: BRL 13.27 per share

- 2023-06: BRL 14.64 per share

- 2023-07: BRL 14.85 per share

- 2023-08: BRL 13.24 per share

- 2023-09: BRL 12.66 per share

- 2023-10: BRL 12.29 per share

- 2023-11: BRL 14.28 per share

- 2023-12: BRL 15.28 per share

- 2024-01: BRL 13.68 per share

- 2024-02: BRL 12.30 per share

- 2024-03: BRL 12.74 per share

- 2024-04: BRL 12.36 per share

- 2024-05: BRL 11.45 per share

- 2024-06: BRL 11.19 per share

- 2024-07: BRL 11.23 per share

- 2024-08: BRL 14.14 per share

- 2024-09: BRL 13.09 per share

- 2024-10: BRL 12.74 per share

- 2024-11: BRL 11.13 per share

- 2024-12: BRL 10.64 per share

- 2025-01: BRL 11.02 per share

- 2025-02: BRL 10.36 per share

- 2025-03: BRL 11.35 per share

- 2025-04: BRL 12.23 per share

- 2025-05: BRL 13.98 per share

- 2025-06: BRL 14.51 per share

- 2025-07: BRL 13.40 per share

- 2025-08: BRL 14.44 per share

- 2025-09: BRL 15.23 per share

- 2025-10: BRL 15.47 per share

- 2025-11: BRL 16.74 per share

- 2025-12: BRL 15.60 per share

- 2026-01: BRL 18.32 per share

- 2026-02: BRL 18.37 per share

- 2026-03: BRL 16.71 per share

- 2026-04: BRL 16.72 per share

- 2026-05: BRL 15.50 per share

- 2026-06: BRL 15.77 per share

- 2026-07: BRL 15.96 per share

- 2026-08: BRL 15.17 per share

- 2026-09: BRL 16.22 per share

- 2026-10: BRL 18.84 per share

## Annual estimated value (BRL per share)

- FY2019: low BRL 11.00 per share, central BRL 11.65 per share, high BRL 12.38 per share

- FY2020: low BRL 11.71 per share, central BRL 12.41 per share, high BRL 13.18 per share

- FY2021: low BRL 11.89 per share, central BRL 12.98 per share, high BRL 14.28 per share

- FY2022: low BRL 12.06 per share, central BRL 13.16 per share, high BRL 14.48 per share

- FY2023: low BRL 12.34 per share, central BRL 13.47 per share, high BRL 14.82 per share

- FY2024: low BRL 11.53 per share, central BRL 12.58 per share, high BRL 13.85 per share

- FY2025: low BRL 11.38 per share, central BRL 12.42 per share, high BRL 13.66 per share

Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year

Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year

Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates

Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:39:52.607Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period.

## Sources

[Original 20-F filing](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1160330/000129281426001753/bbdform20f_2025.htm); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-03-25.

Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
← Companies

Banco Bradesco

BBDC3 · SA

Ibovespa

Not a wonderful business

1 quality test fails. A lower price would not fix the business.

Share price
BRL 18.15
Buy up to
BRL 12.54
Expected / yr
13.6% at today's price (17.0% at central value)

The business

How it makes money
Why customers stay
Where the cash goes
Are managers owners
What could break it
What the price says

1. Is this a good business?

Evidence only; not required for Buy

Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 9 needed).

10y median
BRL 19B
Worst year
BRL 15B
Latest · 2025
BRL 25B

Earned a median 15.5% on tangible equity (minimum 12%), and the second-worst year 12.6% (minimum 5%).

10y median
15.5%
Worst year
10.5%
Latest · 2025
16.1%

Book value plus dividends grew 12.2% a year (minimum 7%).

10y median
10.8%
Worst year
5.1%
Latest · LTM
7.5%

Book value gained 6.59 per share against 10.38 kept (must cover the amount kept).

11y median
100
Worst year
101
Latest · 2025
100

0 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).

Filing signals · estimated likelihood
Control weakness3%Auditor change3%Going concern4%Related parties43%
Material weakness in internal control: 3% estimated likelihood. ; Auditor change within the past three years disclosed: 3% estimated likelihood. ; Going-concern uncertainty: 4% estimated likelihood. ; Material related-party transactions: 43% estimated likelihood.
accounting warnings
0
Passing bar
≤ 0

Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 1.85 BRL.

2. Is the price low enough?

Price & return math
Value rangeBRL 11.49 – BRL 13.80
Buy at or belowCentral value BRL 12.54
Discount to value1 − 18.15 / 12.54 = -44.7%
Return / yearAbout 13.6% a year at today's price (required return 17.0%)
Cash-flow inputsBook BRL 14.58/share; ROE 15.4%; first payout BRL 1.37/share, growing 6.0% perpetually (4× book payout cap applied).
Required return17.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value
Net incomeBRL 24B
25B020172026
FY2017 · Net income: BRL 15B; FY2018 · Net income: BRL 19B; FY2019 · Net income: BRL 23B; FY2020 · Net income: BRL 17B; FY2021 · Net income: BRL 23B; FY2022 · Net income: BRL 21B; FY2023 · Net income: BRL 15B; FY2024 · Net income: BRL 19B; FY2025 · Net income: BRL 25B; FY2026 · Net income: BRL 24B
Net income
Book / shareBRL 14.40
14.43020172026
FY2017 · Book / share: BRL 9.52; FY2018 · Book / share: BRL 10.14; FY2019 · Book / share: BRL 11.31; FY2020 · Book / share: BRL 12.24; FY2021 · Book / share: BRL 12.71; FY2022 · Book / share: BRL 13.06; FY2023 · Book / share: BRL 13.55; FY2024 · Book / share: BRL 13.63; FY2025 · Book / share: BRL 14.43; FY2026 · Book / share: BRL 14.40
Book / share
Dividend / shareBRL 1.12
1.67020172026
FY2017 · Dividend / share: BRL 0.60; FY2018 · Dividend / share: BRL 0.61; FY2019 · Dividend / share: BRL 1.67; FY2020 · Dividend / share: BRL 0.13; FY2021 · Dividend / share: BRL 0.93; FY2022 · Dividend / share: BRL 0.34; FY2023 · Dividend / share: BRL 0.84; FY2024 · Dividend / share: BRL 0.62; FY2025 · Dividend / share: BRL 1.12; FY2026 · Dividend / share: BRL 1.12
Dividend / share
Return on tangible equity16.1%
18.8%0.0%20162025
FY2016 · Return on tangible equity: 16.9%; FY2017 · Return on tangible equity: 14.5%; FY2018 · Return on tangible equity: 17.6%; FY2019 · Return on tangible equity: 18.8%; FY2020 · Return on tangible equity: 12.6%; FY2021 · Return on tangible equity: 17.2%; FY2022 · Return on tangible equity: 14.9%; FY2023 · Return on tangible equity: 10.5%; FY2024 · Return on tangible equity: 13.2%; FY2025 · Return on tangible equity: 16.1%
Return on tangible equity
Diluted shares11B
11B020172026
FY2017 · Diluted shares: 11B; FY2018 · Diluted shares: 11B; FY2019 · Diluted shares: 11B; FY2020 · Diluted shares: 11B; FY2021 · Diluted shares: 11B; FY2022 · Diluted shares: 11B; FY2023 · Diluted shares: 11B; FY2024 · Diluted shares: 11B; FY2025 · Diluted shares: 11B; FY2026 · Diluted shares: 11B
Diluted shares
Prices 15 Oct 2026 · FY2025Original filing ↗ ·