Margins varied 12.5% around their average (limit 35%), and no loss years were recorded (limit 2).
- 8y median
- 16.0%
- Worst year
- 11.9%
- Latest · 2026
- 11.9%
# Briscoe Group Australasia (BGP.AU) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/BGP.AU Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:47:17.709Z. Financial observations: FY2019–FY2026. Listing currency: AUD. Reporting currency: NZD. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: AUD 3.00 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low AUD 2.40 per share, central AUD 2.67 per share, high AUD 3.04 per share. Buy at or below the central value AUD 2.67 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:47:17.709Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 9.1% at the stated quote. About 9.1% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; AU 10-year bond 5.2% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: pass - 0 revenue declines in the last 10 years (informational) - Financial history: 8 years - Years with declining revenue: 0 - Years with a net loss: 0 - Operating margin variation: 0.12× Chart: Operating margin; fiscal year observations. - FY2019: 0.14× - FY2020: 0.13× - FY2021: 0.16× - FY2022: 0.16× - FY2023: 0.18× - FY2024: 0.17× - FY2025: 0.16× - FY2026: 0.12× ### moat: pass - ROIC, median of available years: 19.0% - ROIC, second-lowest year: 15.1% - Typical minus recent gross margin: 3.9 pp - Typical gross margin (annual median): 43.1% - Recent gross margin (lower of latest and 3-year median): 39.2% - Years with nonpositive capital: 0 - Capital spending / revenue: 2.9% - ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: 7.7% Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations. - FY2019: 32.9% - FY2020: 12.0% - FY2021: 18.5% - FY2022: 17.2% - FY2023: 19.4% - FY2024: 22.1% - FY2025: 20.3% - FY2026: 15.1% ### economics: fail - owner earnings cash conversion below threshold - Owner earnings / net income, 5-yr: 0.43× - Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No - Owner earnings, five-year total: NZD 170M - Net income, five-year total: NZD 393M - Return on incremental invested capital: >100% - Working capital / revenue, annual change: -0.3 pp Chart: Annual owner cash / profit; fiscal year observations. - FY2022: 0.39× - FY2023: 0.55× - FY2024: 0.57× - FY2025: 0.59× - FY2026: -0.11× ### management: pass - Historical market-dollar context (not the management verdict): 2019 to 2026 (7 years) - buybacks unrelated to price (informational) - ROIC first 3 years vs last 3 years: 18.5% vs 20.3% - Per-share earnings: 0.28 to 0.38 (three-year endpoint medians) - Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes - Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: 0.1% - Market cap gain: NZD 631M - Cumulative retained earnings: NZD 130M - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 0.1% - $1 test, starting fiscal year: FY2019 - $1 test, ending fiscal year: FY2026 - Per-share value growth: 6.0% - Per-share value change: NZD 0.09 - Per-share value, starting three-year median: NZD 0.28 - Per-share value, ending three-year median: NZD 0.38 - Buyback history: 0 years - Debt-funded buybacks: No - ROIC, first three-year median: 18.5% - ROIC, last three-year median: 20.3% Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations. - FY2019: NZD 0.28 - FY2020: NZD 0.28 - FY2021: NZD 0.33 - FY2022: NZD 0.33 - FY2023: NZD 0.39 - FY2024: NZD 0.40 - FY2025: NZD 0.38 - FY2026: NZD 0.26 ### accounting: pass - Sloan accruals: -6.2% - Receivables to sales index (DSRI): 1.01× - Restructuring years, last five: 0 - Stock compensation / operating cash flow: 0.0% - Earnings backed by cash: Yes - Operating cash / earnings: 1.73× - Accounting red flags: 0 - Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 0.01× Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations. - FY2019: -0.6% - FY2020: -2.4% - FY2021: -5.1% - FY2022: 5.9% - FY2023: -5.1% - FY2024: -7.8% - FY2025: -5.6% - FY2026: -6.2% ## Holders ## Price story Down 46% since Dec 2025 · sales +0.6% Story as of 2026-10-16T10:00:13.675Z; price observation 2026-10-15. Price needs cash profits to grow 2.6% a year for ten years ### Sales · FY2025–2026 sales +0.6%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16. - FY2019: NZD 632M - FY2020: NZD 653M - FY2021: NZD 702M - FY2022: NZD 702M - FY2023: NZD 744M - FY2024: NZD 786M - FY2025: NZD 791M - FY2026: NZD 796M ### Gross margin · FY2026 gross margin 39.2%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16. - FY2019: 40.1% - FY2020: 39.4% - FY2021: 43.8% - FY2022: 43.8% - FY2023: 45.8% - FY2024: 44.0% - FY2025: 42.4% - FY2026: 39.2% ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in department stores; annual sales are NZD 796.3 million. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/BGP.AU.json#2026-01-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:47:17.709Z); FY2026: revenue 796327338; grossProfit 312372895; margin = grossProfit / revenue. ### Why customers stay Margins ranged from 39.2% to 44% during 2024–26; it earns 19% on its capital. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/BGP.AU.json#2024-01-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:47:17.709Z); FY2024: grossProfit / revenue = 44%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/BGP.AU.json#2025-01-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:47:17.709Z); FY2025: grossProfit / revenue = 42.4%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/BGP.AU.json#2026-01-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:47:17.709Z); FY2026: grossProfit / revenue = 39.2%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:47:17.709Z); 8-year return on capital observations [[2019,0.3294024742690634],[2020,0.12011429351609113],[2021,0.18527395356587525],[2022,0.17187575545068765],[2023,0.1944349590684534],[2024,0.22111065085294465],[2025,0.20301558257652147],[2026,0.1509238889166984]]; median 0.18985445631716433. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Can it raise prices Kept about a 44% gross margin through 2022 cost inflation. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:47:17.709Z); Gross margin observations: [[2021,0.43761372590649433],[2022,0.43761372590649433],[2023,0.45757539122842367]]; range within 2 percentage points. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 8 of 8 years. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:47:17.709Z); FY2019: growth capex 0; upkeep 21591000; owner earnings 48586000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:47:17.709Z); FY2021: growth capex 0; upkeep 27429000; owner earnings 19160800. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/BGP.AU.json#2022-01-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:47:17.709Z); FY2022: growth capex 0; upkeep 19897000; owner earnings 28362400. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/BGP.AU.json#2023-01-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:47:17.709Z); FY2023: growth capex 0; upkeep 16455000; owner earnings 48752200. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/BGP.AU.json#2024-01-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:47:17.709Z); FY2024: growth capex 0; upkeep 15357000; owner earnings 50079000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/BGP.AU.json#2025-01-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:47:17.709Z); FY2025: growth capex 0; upkeep 15059000; owner earnings 49619600. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:47:17.709Z); Dividend observations: [[2019,43090000],[2020,45494000],[2021,33370000],[2022,55639000],[2023,61228000],[2024,63488000],[2025,64609000],[2026,44418347]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 84.7% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); BGP.AU SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 84.74199999999999 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What the price says The price assumes cash profits grow 2.6% yearly over ten years. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:47:17.709Z); Ten-year compound average after fade. Initial solved rate 0.024206012394339817. Price 3; FX 0.8124078517533463; discount 0.1; same standard ten-year fade to terminal 0.03. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (AUD per share) - 2017-07: AUD 3.81 per share - 2017-08: AUD 3.81 per share - 2017-09: AUD 3.81 per share - 2017-10: AUD 3.81 per share - 2017-11: AUD 3.81 per share - 2017-12: AUD 3.81 per share - 2018-01: AUD 3.78 per share - 2018-02: AUD 3.80 per share - 2018-03: AUD 3.45 per share - 2018-04: AUD 3.45 per share - 2018-05: AUD 3.23 per share - 2018-06: AUD 3.23 per share - 2018-07: AUD 3.25 per share - 2018-08: AUD 3.21 per share - 2018-09: AUD 3.19 per share - 2018-10: AUD 3.18 per share - 2018-11: AUD 3.18 per share - 2018-12: AUD 3.18 per share - 2019-01: AUD 3.18 per share - 2019-02: AUD 3.30 per share - 2019-03: AUD 3.35 per share - 2019-04: AUD 3.29 per share - 2019-05: AUD 3.40 per share - 2019-06: AUD 3.40 per share - 2019-07: AUD 3.36 per share - 2019-08: AUD 3.35 per share - 2019-09: AUD 3.42 per share - 2019-10: AUD 3.39 per share - 2019-11: AUD 3.36 per share - 2019-12: AUD 3.67 per share - 2020-01: AUD 3.90 per share - 2020-02: AUD 3.90 per share - 2020-03: AUD 3.74 per share - 2020-04: AUD 3.35 per share - 2020-05: AUD 3.20 per share - 2020-06: AUD 2.99 per share - 2020-07: AUD 3.25 per share - 2020-08: AUD 3.25 per share - 2020-09: AUD 3.68 per share - 2020-10: AUD 3.50 per share - 2020-11: AUD 3.70 per share - 2020-12: AUD 4.00 per share - 2021-01: AUD 4.02 per share - 2021-02: AUD 4.05 per share - 2021-03: AUD 4.05 per share - 2021-04: AUD 4.05 per share - 2021-05: AUD 4.05 per share - 2021-06: AUD 4.05 per share - 2021-07: AUD 4.25 per share - 2021-08: AUD 4.60 per share - 2021-09: AUD 4.60 per share - 2021-10: AUD 4.60 per share - 2021-11: AUD 4.70 per share - 2021-12: AUD 4.84 per share - 2022-01: AUD 4.84 per share - 2022-02: AUD 4.84 per share - 2022-03: AUD 4.84 per share - 2022-04: AUD 4.84 per share - 2022-05: AUD 4.84 per share - 2022-06: AUD 4.84 per share - 2022-07: AUD 4.84 per share - 2022-08: AUD 4.98 per share - 2022-09: AUD 5.13 per share - 2022-10: AUD 5.08 per share - 2022-11: AUD 5.08 per share - 2022-12: AUD 5.08 per share - 2023-01: AUD 4.35 per share - 2023-02: AUD 4.29 per share - 2023-03: AUD 4.30 per share - 2023-04: AUD 4.40 per share - 2023-05: AUD 4.40 per share - 2023-06: AUD 4.28 per share - 2023-07: AUD 4.43 per share - 2023-08: AUD 4.41 per share - 2023-09: AUD 4.41 per share - 2023-10: AUD 4.42 per share - 2023-11: AUD 4.40 per share - 2023-12: AUD 4.50 per share - 2024-01: AUD 4.43 per share - 2024-02: AUD 4.25 per share - 2024-03: AUD 4.25 per share - 2024-04: AUD 4.25 per share - 2024-05: AUD 4.25 per share - 2024-06: AUD 4.25 per share - 2024-07: AUD 3.80 per share - 2024-08: AUD 3.80 per share - 2024-09: AUD 3.94 per share - 2024-10: AUD 4.03 per share - 2024-11: AUD 4.30 per share - 2024-12: AUD 4.51 per share - 2025-01: AUD 4.54 per share - 2025-02: AUD 4.23 per share - 2025-03: AUD 4.11 per share - 2025-04: AUD 4.15 per share - 2025-05: AUD 4.26 per share - 2025-06: AUD 5.58 per share - 2025-07: AUD 5.45 per share - 2025-08: AUD 5.50 per share - 2025-09: AUD 5.54 per share - 2025-10: AUD 5.56 per share - 2025-11: AUD 5.57 per share - 2025-12: AUD 5.60 per share - 2026-01: AUD 5.48 per share - 2026-02: AUD 3.82 per share - 2026-03: AUD 3.99 per share - 2026-04: AUD 3.98 per share - 2026-05: AUD 3.66 per share - 2026-06: AUD 3.80 per share - 2026-07: AUD 3.80 per share - 2026-08: AUD 3.70 per share - 2026-09: AUD 3.45 per share - 2026-10: AUD 3.45 per share ## Annual estimated value (AUD per share) - FY2023: low AUD 1.52 per share, central AUD 1.69 per share, high AUD 1.91 per share - FY2024: low AUD 1.85 per share, central AUD 2.02 per share, high AUD 2.26 per share - FY2025: low AUD 2.44 per share, central AUD 2.71 per share, high AUD 3.07 per share - FY2026: low AUD 2.40 per share, central AUD 2.67 per share, high AUD 3.04 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates ## Sources Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
BGP · AU
NZX 50
Not a wonderful business
1 quality test fails. A lower price would not fix the business.
Margins varied 12.5% around their average (limit 35%), and no loss years were recorded (limit 2).
Capital return excluding acquisitions: median 19% (minimum 15%), and the second-worst year 15.1% (minimum 10%).
Each $1 of profit left $0.43 for owners over five years (minimum $0.80).
Per-share value rose from 0.28 to 0.38, comparing three-year medians at each end (must rise and stay positive).
Profits were backed by cash: accruals were -6.2% of assets (limit 10%).
Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 8 (at most 2), mean operating margin 15.3%, three-year average owner earnings per share 0.14 NZD.
| Value range | AUD 2.40 – AUD 3.04 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value AUD 2.67 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 3.00 / 2.67 = -12.3% |
| Return / year | About 9.1% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Owner cash AUD 0.18/share; 0.0% growth for 5 years, then fades to 3.0%; excess cash AUD 0.41/share today. |
| Required return | 10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value |