Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 9 needed).
- 10y median
- $4.2B
- Worst year
- $2.6B
- Latest · LTM
- $6.0B
# The Bank of New York Mellon (BNY.US) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/BNY Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:27:02.294Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2026. Listing currency: USD. Reporting currency: USD. ## Verdict A wonderful business at a fair price Quality tests for Buy: pass (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: yes. Share price: $142.09 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low $116.12 per share, central $145.16 per share, high $193.54 per share. Buy at or below the central value $145.16 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:27:02.294Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 10.1% at the stated quote. About 10.1% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; US 10-year bond 5.1% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: pass - Financial history: 10 years - Profitable years in the last ten: 10 - Required profitable years: 9 - Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.21× Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: $4.1B - FY2018: $4.3B - FY2019: $4.4B - FY2020: $3.6B - FY2021: $3.8B - FY2022: $2.6B - FY2023: $3.3B - FY2024: $4.5B - FY2025: $5.5B - LTM to Mar 2026: $6.0B ### moat: pass - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 22.1% - Required median return: 12.0% - Return uses tangible common equity: Yes - Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 15.5% - Years with reported combined ratio: 0 Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: 21.8% - FY2018: 23.2% - FY2019: 22.9% - FY2020: 15.5% - FY2021: 18.4% - FY2022: 13.2% - FY2023: 17.2% - FY2024: 23.6% - FY2025: 22.4% - LTM to Mar 2026: 26.5% ### economics: pass - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 14.8% - Book return interval: 10 years - Starting book value per share: $15.56 - Ending book value per share: $31.87 Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: 23.8% - FY2018: 4.6% - FY2019: 26.5% - FY2020: 30.6% - FY2021: 1.4% - FY2022: 2.0% - FY2023: 12.7% - FY2024: 13.5% - FY2025: 43.3% - LTM to Mar 2026: -2.3% ### management: pass - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: -4.3% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: -4.6% - Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -4.3% - Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -4.6% - Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0 - Book value created per share: $21.20 - Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: -$2.40 ### accounting: pass - Financial accounting warning count: 0 - Known restatement years: 0 ## Holders - [David Hoeft](https://gigainvestors.com/DAC): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts. - [Christopher Davis](https://gigainvestors.com/DAV): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts. - [Matthew McLennan](https://gigainvestors.com/FE): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts. - [Bill Nygren](https://gigainvestors.com/HA): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts. - [David Katz](https://gigainvestors.com/MAVFX): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts. - [Thomas Gayner](https://gigainvestors.com/MKL): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts. - [Andrew Adams](https://gigainvestors.com/MPF): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts. - [Robert Torray](https://gigainvestors.com/T): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts. - [William Browne](https://gigainvestors.com/TB): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts. - [Donald Yacktman](https://gigainvestors.com/YAM): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts. ## Price story The price assumes profits grow 5.9% a year forever · "BNY Sees Cross-Selling and AI Investments Fueling Its Next Growth Phase" (finance.yahoo.com, Sep 2026) · net income +7.4% Story as of 2026-10-16T09:58:25.160Z; price observation 2026-10-15. The price assumes profits grow 5.9% a year forever ### Net income · FY2026 net income +7.4%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1390777/000139077726000033/bk-20251231.htm; observed 2026-02-25. - FY2017: $4.1B - FY2018: $4.3B - FY2019: $4.4B - FY2020: $3.6B - FY2021: $3.8B - FY2022: $2.6B - FY2023: $3.3B - FY2024: $4.5B - FY2025: $5.5B - FY2026: $6.0B ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in diversified banking; annual sales are USD 40.4 billion. - Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1390777/000139077726000033/bk-20251231.htm (filed 2026-02-25); FY2025: revenue 40441000000. ### Why customers stay It earns 22.1% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-25); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2017,0.21781967300420726],[2018,0.23164639443961774],[2019,0.22891752577319588],[2020,0.15451322141056859],[2021,0.18394910692439442],[2022,0.13159656077845852],[2023,0.1717555266579974],[2024,0.2360235502526963],[2025,0.22443779323734023],[2026,0.2645923032535843]]; median 0.22112873312077375. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years; bought back USD 4.5 billion of shares. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-25); Dividend observations: [[2016,900000000],[2017,1076000000],[2018,1221000000],[2019,1289000000],[2020,1296000000],[2021,1323000000],[2022,1376000000],[2023,1487000000],[2024,1542000000],[2025,1685000000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. - Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1390777/000139077726000033/bk-20251231.htm (filed 2026-02-25); FY2025: cash repurchases 4535000000 USD. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 0.2% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); BNY.US SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 0.23600000000000002 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What the price says The price assumes profits grow 5.9% a year forever. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-25); Price 142.09; FX 1; original perpetual distributable cash 5.806210166161366; discount 0.1; growth 0.05913709503722032. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (USD per share) - 2016-10: $43.27 per share - 2016-11: $47.42 per share - 2016-12: $47.38 per share - 2017-01: $44.73 per share - 2017-02: $47.14 per share - 2017-03: $47.23 per share - 2017-04: $47.06 per share - 2017-05: $47.12 per share - 2017-06: $51.02 per share - 2017-07: $53.03 per share - 2017-08: $52.28 per share - 2017-09: $53.02 per share - 2017-10: $51.45 per share - 2017-11: $54.74 per share - 2017-12: $53.86 per share - 2018-01: $56.70 per share - 2018-02: $57.03 per share - 2018-03: $51.53 per share - 2018-04: $54.51 per share - 2018-05: $54.75 per share - 2018-06: $53.93 per share - 2018-07: $53.47 per share - 2018-08: $52.15 per share - 2018-09: $50.99 per share - 2018-10: $47.33 per share - 2018-11: $51.31 per share - 2018-12: $47.07 per share - 2019-01: $52.32 per share - 2019-02: $52.48 per share - 2019-03: $50.43 per share - 2019-04: $49.66 per share - 2019-05: $42.69 per share - 2019-06: $44.15 per share - 2019-07: $46.92 per share - 2019-08: $42.06 per share - 2019-09: $45.21 per share - 2019-10: $46.75 per share - 2019-11: $48.97 per share - 2019-12: $50.33 per share - 2020-01: $44.78 per share - 2020-02: $39.90 per share - 2020-03: $33.68 per share - 2020-04: $37.54 per share - 2020-05: $37.17 per share - 2020-06: $38.65 per share - 2020-07: $35.85 per share - 2020-08: $36.98 per share - 2020-09: $34.34 per share - 2020-10: $34.36 per share - 2020-11: $39.12 per share - 2020-12: $42.44 per share - 2021-01: $39.83 per share - 2021-02: $42.16 per share - 2021-03: $47.29 per share - 2021-04: $49.88 per share - 2021-05: $52.08 per share - 2021-06: $51.23 per share - 2021-07: $51.33 per share - 2021-08: $55.22 per share - 2021-09: $51.84 per share - 2021-10: $59.20 per share - 2021-11: $54.79 per share - 2021-12: $58.08 per share - 2022-01: $59.26 per share - 2022-02: $53.15 per share - 2022-03: $49.63 per share - 2022-04: $42.06 per share - 2022-05: $46.61 per share - 2022-06: $41.71 per share - 2022-07: $43.46 per share - 2022-08: $41.53 per share - 2022-09: $38.52 per share - 2022-10: $42.11 per share - 2022-11: $45.90 per share - 2022-12: $45.52 per share - 2023-01: $50.57 per share - 2023-02: $50.88 per share - 2023-03: $45.44 per share - 2023-04: $42.59 per share - 2023-05: $40.20 per share - 2023-06: $44.52 per share - 2023-07: $45.36 per share - 2023-08: $44.87 per share - 2023-09: $42.65 per share - 2023-10: $42.50 per share - 2023-11: $48.32 per share - 2023-12: $52.05 per share - 2024-01: $55.46 per share - 2024-02: $56.09 per share - 2024-03: $57.62 per share - 2024-04: $56.49 per share - 2024-05: $59.61 per share - 2024-06: $59.89 per share - 2024-07: $65.07 per share - 2024-08: $68.22 per share - 2024-09: $71.86 per share - 2024-10: $75.36 per share - 2024-11: $81.87 per share - 2024-12: $76.83 per share - 2025-01: $85.93 per share - 2025-02: $88.95 per share - 2025-03: $83.87 per share - 2025-04: $80.41 per share - 2025-05: $88.61 per share - 2025-06: $91.11 per share - 2025-07: $101.45 per share - 2025-08: $105.60 per share - 2025-09: $108.96 per share - 2025-10: $107.93 per share - 2025-11: $112.10 per share - 2025-12: $116.09 per share - 2026-01: $119.92 per share - 2026-02: $119.10 per share - 2026-03: $118.63 per share - 2026-04: $134.37 per share - 2026-05: $139.43 per share - 2026-06: $144.61 per share - 2026-07: $156.33 per share - 2026-08: $161.28 per share - 2026-09: $144.63 per share - 2026-10: $141.03 per share ## Annual estimated value (USD per share) - FY2016: low $47.17 per share, central $58.97 per share, high $78.62 per share - FY2017: low $55.24 per share, central $69.05 per share, high $92.07 per share - FY2018: low $54.18 per share, central $67.72 per share, high $90.30 per share - FY2019: low $66.49 per share, central $83.11 per share, high $110.81 per share - FY2020: low $79.57 per share, central $99.46 per share, high $132.61 per share - FY2021: low $45.86 per share, central $50.44 per share, high $56.05 per share - FY2022: low $42.36 per share, central $46.59 per share, high $51.77 per share - FY2023: low $67.58 per share, central $84.48 per share, high $112.63 per share - FY2024: low $79.30 per share, central $99.12 per share, high $132.16 per share - FY2025: low $109.98 per share, central $137.48 per share, high $183.30 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:32:41.395Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period. ## Sources [Original 10-K filing](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1390777/000139077726000033/bk-20251231.htm); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-02-25. Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
BNY · US
S&P 500
A wonderful business at a fair price
Passes the quality tests.
Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 9 needed).
Earned a median 22.1% on tangible equity (minimum 12%), and the second-worst year 15.5% (minimum 5%).
Book value plus dividends grew 14.8% a year (minimum 7%).
Ordinary share growth was -4.3% over the full period and -4.6% over five years (either must be at most 2% a year).
0 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).
Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 6.11 USD.
| Value range | $116.12 – $193.54 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value $145.16 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 142.09 / 145.16 = 2.1% |
| Return / year | About 10.1% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Book USD 37.04/share; ROE 21.7%; first payout USD 5.81/share, growing 6.0% perpetually (4× book payout cap applied). |
| Required return | 10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value |