10 loss years were recorded (limit 2), and average operating margin was negative (must be zero or higher), and margins varied 86.7% around their average (limit 35%).
- 10y median
- -36.4%
- Worst year
- -153.3%
- Latest · 2025
- -20.2%
# Cardlytics (CDLX.US) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/CDLX Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:27:19.006Z. Financial observations: FY2016–FY2025. Listing currency: USD. Reporting currency: USD. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: fail; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: $2.06 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. ## Checklist ### understandable: fail - 3 revenue declines in the last 10 years (informational) - more than 2 net loss years - negative average operating margin - operating margin variation exceeds 0.35 - Financial history: 10 years - Years with declining revenue: 3 - Years with a net loss: 10 - Operating margin variation: 0.87× Chart: Operating margin; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: -0.50× - FY2017: -0.13× - FY2018: -0.27× - FY2019: -0.08× - FY2020: -0.29× - FY2021: -0.46× - FY2022: -1.53× - FY2023: -0.44× - FY2024: -0.70× - FY2025: -0.20× ### moat: fail - Years with nonpositive invested capital use equity plus debt and leases; positive earnings with no positive capital are shown above 100%. - ROIC median below threshold - ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed) - ROIC, median of available years: -64.8% - ROIC, second-lowest year: -231.8% - Typical minus recent gross margin: -5.3 pp - Typical gross margin (annual median): 38.1% - Recent gross margin (lower of latest and 3-year median): 43.4% - Years with nonpositive capital: 4 - Capital spending / revenue: 4.8% - ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: -66.9% Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 0.0% - FY2017: 0.0% - FY2018: -54.7% - FY2019: -35.2% - FY2020: -81.8% - FY2021: -10.9% - FY2022: -80.9% - FY2023: -336.3% - FY2024: -231.8% - FY2025: -74.8% ### economics: fail - owner earnings cash conversion below threshold - Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No - Owner earnings, five-year total: -$931M - Net income, five-year total: -$1.0B - Return on incremental invested capital: >100% - Working capital / revenue, annual change: -0.6 pp - Working capital / revenue, change between three-year averages: -5.2 pp - Working capital / revenue, final three-year average: 37.2% Chart: Owner earnings · five years; fiscal year observations. - FY2021: -$105M - FY2022: -$435M - FY2023: -$118M - FY2024: -$181M - FY2025: -$92M ### management: fail - Historical market-dollar context (not the management verdict): 2018 to 2025 (7 years) - potential debt-funded buybacks (informational) - buybacks unrelated to price (informational) - ROIC first 3 years vs last 3 years: 0.0% vs -231.8% - Per-share earnings: -27.83 to -36.92 (three-year endpoint medians) - per-share value declined or ends nonpositive - acquired goodwill and intangibles (proxy) exceeds half of ten-year net income with low and deteriorating ROIC - Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes - Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: 14.3% - Market cap gain: -$18M - Cumulative retained earnings: -$1.1B - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 14.3% - $1 test, starting fiscal year: FY2018 - $1 test, ending fiscal year: FY2025 - Per-share value change: -$9.09 - Per-share value, starting three-year median: -$27.83 - Per-share value, ending three-year median: -$36.92 - Average buyback yield: 207.1% - Buyback history: 1 years - Debt-funded buybacks: Yes - Acquisition spending: $868M - Cumulative net income, 10 years: -$1.2B - ROIC, first three-year median: 0.0% - ROIC, last three-year median: -231.8% Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: -$53.96 - FY2017: -$10.06 - FY2018: -$27.83 - FY2019: -$7.22 - FY2020: -$20.37 - FY2021: -$39.92 - FY2022: -$139.22 - FY2023: -$36.92 - FY2024: -$39.14 - FY2025: -$19.48 ### accounting: pass - stock compensation exceeds 15% of operating cash flow - Sloan accruals: -39.5% - Receivables to sales index (DSRI): 0.95× - Restructuring years, last five: 2 - Stock compensation / operating cash flow: 302.8% - Earnings backed by cash: Yes - Accounting red flags: 1 Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: -49.7% - FY2017: 2.4% - FY2018: -22.1% - FY2019: -12.8% - FY2020: -11.3% - FY2021: -7.1% - FY2022: -59.5% - FY2023: -23.4% - FY2024: -46.0% - FY2025: -39.5% ## Holders - [Clifford Sosin](https://gigainvestors.com/CAS): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts. ## Price story Down 97% since Oct 2021 · "Cardlytics signals up to $95M Q3 billings amid major FI partner content restrictions" (seekingalpha.com, Aug 2025) · sales -16.2% Story as of 2026-10-16T09:58:28.849Z; price observation 2026-10-15. - 2025-08-07: Cardlytics signals up to $95M Q3 billings amid major FI partner content restrictions ([seekingalpha.com](https://seekingalpha.com/news/4480819-cardlytics-signals-up-to-95m-q3-billings-amid-major-fi-partner-content-restrictions?utm_source=feed_news_all&utm_medium=referral&feed_item_type=news)) ### Sales · FY2024–2025 sales -16.2%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1666071/000166607126000010/cdlx-20251231.htm; observed 2026-03-04. - FY2016: $113M - FY2017: $130M - FY2018: $151M - FY2019: $210M - FY2020: $187M - FY2021: $267M - FY2022: $299M - FY2023: $309M - FY2024: $278M - FY2025: $233M ### Gross margin · FY2025 gross margin 45%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1666071/000166607126000010/cdlx-20251231.htm; observed 2026-03-04. - FY2016: 35.8% - FY2017: 38.4% - FY2018: 36.3% - FY2019: 37.8% - FY2020: 33.9% - FY2021: 38.7% - FY2022: 37.7% - FY2023: 42.2% - FY2024: 43.4% - FY2025: 45.0% ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in advertising agencies; annual sales are USD 233.3 million. - Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1666071/000166607126000010/cdlx-20251231.htm (filed 2026-03-04); FY2025: revenue 233273000; grossProfit 105080000; margin = grossProfit / revenue. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-09-30); CDLX.US: Cardlytics, Inc. operates an advertising platform in the United States and the United Kingdom. The company provides Cardlytics platform, a proprietary native bank advertising channel that enables marketers to reach customers through digital channels, such as online, mobile applications, email, and various real-time notifications; and Bridg platform, a customer data platform which utilizes point-of-sale data from merchant data partners, including product-level purchase data to enable marketers to perform analytics and targeted loyalty marketing, as well as measure the impact of their marketing. Cardlytics, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. ### Why customers stay Margins ranged from 42.2% to 45% during 2023–25; it lost 64.8% on its capital. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-04); FY2023: grossProfit / revenue = 42.2%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-04); FY2024: grossProfit / revenue = 43.4%. - Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1666071/000166607126000010/cdlx-20251231.htm (filed 2026-03-04); FY2025: grossProfit / revenue = 45%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-04); 10-year return on capital observations [[2016,0],[2017,0],[2018,-0.5472595063149697],[2019,-0.3523335735983113],[2020,-0.8182234984537964],[2021,-0.10907789716947451],[2022,-0.8092873510745903],[2023,-3.3629098553543972],[2024,-2.3182511520391467],[2025,-0.7480894700895906]]; median -0.6476744882022801. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid no dividends in 10 years. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-04); Dividend observations: [[2016,0],[2017,0],[2018,0],[2019,0],[2020,0],[2021,0],[2022,0],[2023,0],[2024,0],[2025,0]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 5% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-09-30); CDLX.US SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 4.988 percentage points; cache date 2026-09-30. ### What the price says The price is less than 0.1 times annual sales; cash earnings are negative. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-04); Closing price 2.06 USD; reporting-to-trading FX 1; FY2025 annual sales per share 43.91930564446285; price multiple 0.0469042023723277. FY2025 cash earnings/share -17.295063448431677. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (USD per share) - 2018-02: $18.19 per share - 2018-03: $14.63 per share - 2018-04: $14.02 per share - 2018-05: $20.42 per share - 2018-06: $21.76 per share - 2018-07: $18.82 per share - 2018-08: $20.39 per share - 2018-09: $25.04 per share - 2018-10: $21.16 per share - 2018-11: $14.38 per share - 2018-12: $10.83 per share - 2019-01: $17.49 per share - 2019-02: $17.62 per share - 2019-03: $16.54 per share - 2019-04: $15.60 per share - 2019-05: $22.95 per share - 2019-06: $25.98 per share - 2019-07: $28.40 per share - 2019-08: $37.57 per share - 2019-09: $33.52 per share - 2019-10: $41.91 per share - 2019-11: $56.05 per share - 2019-12: $62.86 per share - 2020-01: $83.92 per share - 2020-02: $79.39 per share - 2020-03: $34.96 per share - 2020-04: $44.95 per share - 2020-05: $68.09 per share - 2020-06: $69.98 per share - 2020-07: $66.42 per share - 2020-08: $75.85 per share - 2020-09: $70.57 per share - 2020-10: $73.82 per share - 2020-11: $118.68 per share - 2020-12: $142.77 per share - 2021-01: $122.27 per share - 2021-02: $132.43 per share - 2021-03: $109.70 per share - 2021-04: $137.53 per share - 2021-05: $106.55 per share - 2021-06: $126.93 per share - 2021-07: $125.96 per share - 2021-08: $90.78 per share - 2021-09: $83.94 per share - 2021-10: $78.66 per share - 2021-11: $67.58 per share - 2021-12: $66.09 per share - 2022-01: $67.10 per share - 2022-02: $58.00 per share - 2022-03: $54.98 per share - 2022-04: $34.13 per share - 2022-05: $25.91 per share - 2022-06: $22.31 per share - 2022-07: $13.80 per share - 2022-08: $13.24 per share - 2022-09: $9.40 per share - 2022-10: $9.43 per share - 2022-11: $4.49 per share - 2022-12: $5.78 per share - 2023-01: $7.50 per share - 2023-02: $5.45 per share - 2023-03: $3.40 per share - 2023-04: $6.49 per share - 2023-05: $5.17 per share - 2023-06: $6.32 per share - 2023-07: $11.67 per share - 2023-08: $16.66 per share - 2023-09: $16.50 per share - 2023-10: $12.39 per share - 2023-11: $7.96 per share - 2023-12: $9.21 per share - 2024-01: $7.64 per share - 2024-02: $8.29 per share - 2024-03: $14.49 per share - 2024-04: $12.25 per share - 2024-05: $8.76 per share - 2024-06: $8.21 per share - 2024-07: $8.29 per share - 2024-08: $3.91 per share - 2024-09: $3.20 per share - 2024-10: $4.31 per share - 2024-11: $4.07 per share - 2024-12: $3.71 per share - 2025-01: $3.06 per share - 2025-02: $2.63 per share - 2025-03: $1.82 per share - 2025-04: $1.44 per share - 2025-05: $1.81 per share - 2025-06: $1.65 per share - 2025-07: $2.04 per share - 2025-08: $1.02 per share - 2025-09: $2.43 per share - 2025-10: $1.94 per share - 2025-11: $1.24 per share - 2025-12: $1.15 per share - 2026-01: $0.97 per share - 2026-02: $0.86 per share - 2026-03: $1.05 per share - 2026-04: $0.90 per share - 2026-05: $0.68 per share - 2026-06: $4.49 per share - 2026-07: $3.74 per share - 2026-08: $4.03 per share - 2026-09: $2.94 per share - 2026-10: $2.06 per share ## Annual estimated value (USD per share) Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates ## Sources [Original 10-K filing](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1666071/000166607126000010/cdlx-20251231.htm); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-03-04. Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
CDLX · US
Not a wonderful business
4 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.
10 loss years were recorded (limit 2), and average operating margin was negative (must be zero or higher), and margins varied 86.7% around their average (limit 35%).
Capital return excluding acquisitions: median -64.8% (minimum 15%), and the second-worst year -231.8% (minimum 10%).
Owners received -930.7 million over five years (must be positive).
Per-share value fell from -27.83 to -36.92, comparing three-year medians at each end (must rise and stay positive), and acquisitions used -69.9% of profits (limit 50%) while returns fell to -231.8% (minimum 15% and two-thirds of their starting level).
Profits were backed by cash: accruals were -39.5% of assets (limit 10%).
Profit record · fail 10 loss years in 10 (at most 2), mean operating margin -46.1%, three-year average owner earnings per share -28.96 USD. 10 loss years in the last 10; at most 2 allowed. Mean operating margin over the last ten years is negative. Three-year average owner earnings per share is not positive.