# Grupo Cibest (CIB.US)

Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/CIB

Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:27:40.438Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2025.

Listing currency: USD. Reporting currency: COP.

## Verdict

A wonderful business at a fair price

Quality tests for Buy: pass (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: yes.

Share price: $97.65 per share; close as of 2026-10-15.

Estimated value: low $105.04 per share, central $131.30 per share, high $175.06 per share. Buy at or below the central value $131.30 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:27:40.438Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals.

Expected annual return: 11.4% at the stated quote. About 11.4% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; US 10-year bond 5.1% + 4 points).

## Checklist

### understandable: pass

- Financial history: 10 years

- Profitable years in the last ten: 10

- Required profitable years: 9

- Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.43×

Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: COP 2.87T

- FY2017: COP 2.62T

- FY2018: COP 2.66T

- FY2019: COP 3.12T

- FY2020: COP 276B

- FY2021: COP 4.09T

- FY2022: COP 6.78T

- FY2023: COP 6.12T

- FY2024: COP 3.35T

- FY2025: COP 2.06T

### moat: pass

- Tangible common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity

- Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 15.5%

- Required median return: 12.0%

- Return uses tangible common equity: Yes

- Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 5.8%

- Years with reported combined ratio: 0

Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: 19.7%

- FY2017: 15.9%

- FY2018: 15.1%

- FY2019: 14.5%

- FY2020: 1.3%

- FY2021: 16.2%

- FY2022: 22.9%

- FY2023: 20.0%

- FY2024: 9.9%

- FY2025: 5.8%

### economics: pass

- Tangible common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity

- Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 19.5%

- Book return interval: 10 years

- Starting book value per share: COP 51K

- Ending book value per share: COP 148K

Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: 26.5%

- FY2017: 20.8%

- FY2018: 11.5%

- FY2019: 28.1%

- FY2020: 2.7%

- FY2021: 25.0%

- FY2022: 26.0%

- FY2023: 14.5%

- FY2024: 21.6%

- FY2025: 20.8%

### management: pass

- Tangible common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity

- Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: -0.1%

- Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: -0.2%

- Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -0.1%

- Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -0.2%

- Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0

- Book created / earnings retained after dividends and buybacks: 1.73×

- Book value created per share: COP 97K

- Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: COP 56K

Chart: Shares (first year = 100); fiscal year observations.

- FY2015: 100

- FY2016: 100

- FY2017: 100

- FY2018: 100

- FY2019: 100

- FY2020: 100

- FY2021: 100

- FY2022: 100

- FY2023: 100

- FY2024: 100

- FY2025: 99

### accounting: pass

- Financial accounting warning count: 0

- Known restatement years: 0

## Holders

- [Sarah Ketterer](https://gigainvestors.com/CAU): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts.

## Price story

The price assumes profits grow 4.6% a year forever · net income -38.5%

Story as of 2026-10-16T09:58:30.387Z; price observation 2026-10-15.

The price assumes profits grow 4.6% a year forever

### Net income · FY2025

net income -38.5%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2058897/000205889726000125/cib-20251231.htm; observed 2026-04-08.

- FY2016: COP 2.87T 

- FY2017: COP 2.62T 

- FY2018: COP 2.66T 

- FY2019: COP 3.12T 

- FY2020: COP 276B 

- FY2021: COP 4.09T 

- FY2022: COP 6.78T 

- FY2023: COP 6.12T 

- FY2024: COP 3.35T 

- FY2025: COP 2.06T 

## Owner memo

Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z.

### How it makes money

Operates in regional banking; annual sales are COP 42.9 trillion.

- Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2058897/000205889726000125/cib-20251231.htm (filed 2026-04-08); FY2025: revenue 42917411806000.

### Why customers stay

It earns 15.5% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-04-08); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0.19661158650063615],[2017,0.15866235800780754],[2018,0.15066890726588245],[2019,0.1445070756688193],[2020,0.013392636180352652],[2021,0.16155456094130274],[2022,0.22949481058809792],[2023,0.2001613087316139],[2024,0.09924829527782224],[2025,0.058496911518741236]]; median 0.154665632636845. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity.

### Where the cash goes

Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years; bought back COP 431.4 billion of shares.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-04-08); Dividend observations: [[2016,840242000000],[2017,1126209000000],[2018,735798000000],[2019,1032492000000],[2020,1555821000000],[2021,467217000000],[2022,2310666000000],[2023,3298183000000],[2024,3398756000000],[2025,5196645000000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement.

- Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2058897/000205889726000125/cib-20251231.htm (filed 2026-04-08); FY2025: cash repurchases 431418000000 COP.

### Are managers owners

Insiders own 0% of the company.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); CIB.US SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 0 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16.

### What the price says

The price assumes profits grow 4.6% a year forever.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-04-08); Price 97.65; FX 0.00031; original perpetual distributable cash 16941.30043960097; discount 0.1; growth 0.046218093842536605. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15.

## Monthly share-price history (USD per share)

- 2016-10: $38.28 per share

- 2016-11: $33.50 per share

- 2016-12: $36.68 per share

- 2017-01: $37.86 per share

- 2017-02: $37.35 per share

- 2017-03: $39.87 per share

- 2017-04: $39.49 per share

- 2017-05: $44.01 per share

- 2017-06: $44.55 per share

- 2017-07: $43.74 per share

- 2017-08: $45.41 per share

- 2017-09: $45.79 per share

- 2017-10: $37.75 per share

- 2017-11: $38.61 per share

- 2017-12: $39.66 per share

- 2018-01: $45.95 per share

- 2018-02: $42.18 per share

- 2018-03: $42.02 per share

- 2018-04: $47.66 per share

- 2018-05: $46.38 per share

- 2018-06: $47.78 per share

- 2018-07: $45.91 per share

- 2018-08: $43.36 per share

- 2018-09: $41.72 per share

- 2018-10: $36.94 per share

- 2018-11: $40.01 per share

- 2018-12: $38.10 per share

- 2019-01: $44.60 per share

- 2019-02: $48.34 per share

- 2019-03: $51.06 per share

- 2019-04: $50.72 per share

- 2019-05: $46.97 per share

- 2019-06: $51.04 per share

- 2019-07: $49.88 per share

- 2019-08: $49.80 per share

- 2019-09: $49.45 per share

- 2019-10: $51.88 per share

- 2019-11: $48.27 per share

- 2019-12: $54.79 per share

- 2020-01: $52.47 per share

- 2020-02: $47.48 per share

- 2020-03: $24.96 per share

- 2020-04: $26.10 per share

- 2020-05: $25.86 per share

- 2020-06: $26.31 per share

- 2020-07: $27.92 per share

- 2020-08: $28.06 per share

- 2020-09: $25.55 per share

- 2020-10: $25.49 per share

- 2020-11: $30.45 per share

- 2020-12: $40.18 per share

- 2021-01: $35.19 per share

- 2021-02: $33.45 per share

- 2021-03: $31.99 per share

- 2021-04: $29.93 per share

- 2021-05: $30.02 per share

- 2021-06: $28.80 per share

- 2021-07: $28.45 per share

- 2021-08: $33.25 per share

- 2021-09: $34.62 per share

- 2021-10: $35.93 per share

- 2021-11: $31.86 per share

- 2021-12: $31.59 per share

- 2022-01: $35.58 per share

- 2022-02: $36.23 per share

- 2022-03: $42.66 per share

- 2022-04: $38.77 per share

- 2022-05: $44.91 per share

- 2022-06: $30.83 per share

- 2022-07: $28.97 per share

- 2022-08: $27.45 per share

- 2022-09: $24.37 per share

- 2022-10: $25.37 per share

- 2022-11: $26.60 per share

- 2022-12: $28.54 per share

- 2023-01: $30.25 per share

- 2023-02: $25.56 per share

- 2023-03: $25.13 per share

- 2023-04: $24.50 per share

- 2023-05: $23.41 per share

- 2023-06: $26.68 per share

- 2023-07: $30.56 per share

- 2023-08: $26.70 per share

- 2023-09: $26.68 per share

- 2023-10: $25.38 per share

- 2023-11: $27.59 per share

- 2023-12: $30.77 per share

- 2024-01: $31.46 per share

- 2024-02: $32.52 per share

- 2024-03: $34.22 per share

- 2024-04: $32.72 per share

- 2024-05: $35.46 per share

- 2024-06: $32.65 per share

- 2024-07: $33.32 per share

- 2024-08: $33.09 per share

- 2024-09: $31.38 per share

- 2024-10: $31.91 per share

- 2024-11: $32.70 per share

- 2024-12: $31.51 per share

- 2025-01: $39.55 per share

- 2025-02: $41.72 per share

- 2025-03: $40.20 per share

- 2025-04: $40.32 per share

- 2025-05: $41.43 per share

- 2025-06: $46.19 per share

- 2025-07: $43.42 per share

- 2025-08: $50.46 per share

- 2025-09: $51.94 per share

- 2025-10: $58.04 per share

- 2025-11: $63.06 per share

- 2025-12: $63.61 per share

- 2026-01: $81.65 per share

- 2026-02: $67.88 per share

- 2026-03: $72.81 per share

- 2026-04: $68.19 per share

- 2026-05: $68.59 per share

- 2026-06: $79.43 per share

- 2026-07: $92.52 per share

- 2026-08: $96.12 per share

- 2026-09: $92.85 per share

- 2026-10: $97.65 per share

## Annual estimated value (USD per share)

- FY2016: low $52.57 per share, central $65.71 per share, high $87.61 per share

- FY2017: low $58.70 per share, central $73.37 per share, high $97.83 per share

- FY2018: low $61.63 per share, central $77.04 per share, high $102.72 per share

- FY2019: low $71.50 per share, central $89.38 per share, high $119.17 per share

- FY2020: low $58.84 per share, central $73.55 per share, high $98.07 per share

- FY2021: low $65.30 per share, central $81.62 per share, high $108.83 per share

- FY2022: low $85.50 per share, central $106.87 per share, high $142.50 per share

- FY2023: low $92.92 per share, central $116.15 per share, high $154.87 per share

- FY2024: low $98.90 per share, central $123.62 per share, high $164.83 per share

- FY2025: low $104.09 per share, central $130.12 per share, high $173.49 per share

Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year

Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year

Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates

Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:33:20.587Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period.

## Sources

[Original 20-F filing](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2058897/000205889726000125/cib-20251231.htm); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-04-08.

Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
← Companies

Grupo Cibest

CIB · US

A wonderful business at a fair price

Passes the quality tests.

Share price
$97.65
Buy up to
$131.30
Expected / yr
11.4% at today's price (10.0% at central value)

The business

How it makes money
Why customers stay
Where the cash goes
Are managers owners
What the price says

1. Is this a good business?

Evidence only; not required for Buy

Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 9 needed).

10y median
COP 2.99T
Worst year
COP 276B
Latest · 2025
COP 2.06T

Earned a median 15.5% on tangible equity (minimum 12%), and the second-worst year 5.8% (minimum 5%).

10y median
15.5%
Worst year
1.3%
Latest · 2025
5.8%

Book value plus dividends grew 19.5% a year (minimum 7%).

10y median
21.2%
Worst year
2.7%
Latest · 2025
20.8%

Ordinary share growth was -0.1% over the full period and -0.2% over five years (either must be at most 2% a year).

11y median
100
Worst year
100
Latest · 2025
99

0 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).

Filing signals · estimated likelihood
Control weakness3%Auditor change2%Going concern3%Related parties24%
Material weakness in internal control: 3% estimated likelihood. ; Auditor change within the past three years disclosed: 2% estimated likelihood. ; Going-concern uncertainty: 3% estimated likelihood. ; Material related-party transactions: 24% estimated likelihood.
accounting warnings
0
Passing bar
≤ 0

Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 16,009.1 COP.

2. Is the price low enough?

Price & return math
Value range$105.04 – $175.06
Buy at or belowCentral value $131.30
Discount to value1 − 97.65 / 131.30 = 25.6%
Return / yearAbout 11.4% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%)
Cash-flow inputsBook USD 46.24/share; ROE 17.4%; first payout USD 5.25/share, growing 6.0% perpetually (4× book payout cap applied).
Required return10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value
Net incomeCOP 2.06T
6.78T020162025
FY2016 · Net income: COP 2.87T; FY2017 · Net income: COP 2.62T; FY2018 · Net income: COP 2.66T; FY2019 · Net income: COP 3.12T; FY2020 · Net income: COP 276B; FY2021 · Net income: COP 4.09T; FY2022 · Net income: COP 6.78T; FY2023 · Net income: COP 6.12T; FY2024 · Net income: COP 3.35T; FY2025 · Net income: COP 2.06T
Net income
Book / shareCOP 148K
148K020162025
FY2016 · Book / share: COP 61K; FY2017 · Book / share: COP 69K; FY2018 · Book / share: COP 73K; FY2019 · Book / share: COP 90K; FY2020 · Book / share: COP 86K; FY2021 · Book / share: COP 105K; FY2022 · Book / share: COP 123K; FY2023 · Book / share: COP 127K; FY2024 · Book / share: COP 140K; FY2025 · Book / share: COP 148K
Book / share
Dividend / shareCOP 22K
22K020162025
FY2016 · Dividend / share: COP 3K; FY2017 · Dividend / share: COP 5K; FY2018 · Dividend / share: COP 3K; FY2019 · Dividend / share: COP 4K; FY2020 · Dividend / share: COP 6K; FY2021 · Dividend / share: COP 2K; FY2022 · Dividend / share: COP 10K; FY2023 · Dividend / share: COP 14K; FY2024 · Dividend / share: COP 14K; FY2025 · Dividend / share: COP 22K
Dividend / share
Return on tangible equity5.8%
22.9%0.0%20162025
FY2016 · Return on tangible equity: 19.7%; FY2017 · Return on tangible equity: 15.9%; FY2018 · Return on tangible equity: 15.1%; FY2019 · Return on tangible equity: 14.5%; FY2020 · Return on tangible equity: 1.3%; FY2021 · Return on tangible equity: 16.2%; FY2022 · Return on tangible equity: 22.9%; FY2023 · Return on tangible equity: 20.0%; FY2024 · Return on tangible equity: 9.9%; FY2025 · Return on tangible equity: 5.8%
Return on tangible equity
Diluted shares238M
240M020162025
FY2016 · Diluted shares: 240M; FY2017 · Diluted shares: 240M; FY2018 · Diluted shares: 240M; FY2019 · Diluted shares: 240M; FY2020 · Diluted shares: 240M; FY2021 · Diluted shares: 240M; FY2022 · Diluted shares: 240M; FY2023 · Diluted shares: 240M; FY2024 · Diluted shares: 240M; FY2025 · Diluted shares: 238M
Diluted shares
Prices 15 Oct 2026 · FY2025Original filing ↗ ·