Profits were positive in 9 years (at least 9 needed).
- 10y median
- DKK 17B
- Worst year
- DKK -5.2B
- Latest · 2025
- DKK 23B
# Danske Bank A/S (DANSKE.CO) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/DANSKE.CO Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:34:02.033Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2025. Listing currency: DKK. Reporting currency: DKK. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: DKK 353.80 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low DKK 191.14 per share, central DKK 238.93 per share, high DKK 318.57 per share. Buy at or below the central value DKK 238.93 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:34:02.033Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 8.7% at the stated quote. About 8.7% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; DK 10-year bond 3.2% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: pass - Financial history: 10 years - Profitable years in the last ten: 9 - Required profitable years: 9 - Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.59× Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: DKK 19B - FY2017: DKK 20B - FY2018: DKK 14B - FY2019: DKK 14B - FY2020: DKK 4.0B - FY2021: DKK 12B - FY2022: DKK -5.2B - FY2023: DKK 21B - FY2024: DKK 24B - FY2025: DKK 23B ### moat: fail - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - median return on common equity below threshold - return on tangible common equity below 5% in more than one year - Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 10.6% - Required median return: 12.0% - Return uses tangible common equity: Yes - Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 2.5% - Years with reported combined ratio: 0 Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 12.0% - FY2017: 12.5% - FY2018: 9.3% - FY2019: 8.9% - FY2020: 2.5% - FY2021: 7.4% - FY2022: -3.3% - FY2023: 12.5% - FY2024: 14.0% - FY2025: 13.3% ### economics: pass - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 7.8% - Book return interval: 10 years - Starting book value per share: DKK 152.61 - Ending book value per share: DKK 211.60 Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 14.4% - FY2017: 13.3% - FY2018: 4.9% - FY2019: 9.1% - FY2020: -3.8% - FY2021: 11.0% - FY2022: -6.8% - FY2023: 12.8% - FY2024: 13.1% - FY2025: 12.5% ### management: pass - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: -2.1% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: -1.8% - Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -2.1% - Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -1.8% - Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0 - Book created / earnings retained after dividends and buybacks: 2.05× - Book value created per share: DKK 59.00 - Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: DKK 28.78 Chart: Shares (first year = 100); fiscal year observations. - FY2015: 100 - FY2016: 95 - FY2017: 89 - FY2018: 85 - FY2019: 86 - FY2020: 88 - FY2021: 85 - FY2022: 84 - FY2023: 85 - FY2024: 83 - FY2025: 81 ### accounting: pass - Financial accounting warning count: 0 - Known restatement years: 0 ## Holders ## Price story The price assumes profits grow 7.3% a year forever · "Danske Bank Opens Crypto ETPs As New Fee And Retention Lever" (finance.yahoo.com, Feb 2026) · net income -2.5% Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:58.841Z; price observation 2026-10-15. The price assumes profits grow 7.3% a year forever - 2025-05-02: Danske Bank posts profit beat and expects moderate tariff impact in Nordic market ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/danske-banks-q1-net-profit-053628248.html)) - 2026-02-13: Danske Bank Opens Crypto ETPs As New Fee And Retention Lever ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/danske-bank-opens-crypto-etps-211054196.html)) ### Net income · FY2025 net income -2.5%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16. - FY2016: DKK 19B - FY2017: DKK 20B - FY2018: DKK 14B - FY2019: DKK 14B - FY2020: DKK 4.0B - FY2021: DKK 12B - FY2022: DKK -5.2B - FY2023: DKK 21B - FY2024: DKK 24B - FY2025: DKK 23B ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in regional banking; annual sales are DKK 95.2 billion. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:02.033Z); FY2025: revenue 95173000000. ### Why customers stay It earns 10.6% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:02.033Z); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0.1201001094947599],[2017,0.1248711804219074],[2018,0.09260647673164443],[2019,0.08854428143768245],[2020,0.02525423092798979],[2021,0.07427107841677338],[2022,-0.033416973021337844],[2023,0.12531015176071902],[2024,0.13985794613791064],[2025,0.13293900398176467]]; median 0.10635329311320216. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 9 of 10 years; bought back DKK 4.8 billion of shares. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:02.033Z); Dividend observations: [[2016,7758000000],[2017,8332000000],[2018,8851000000],[2019,7239000000],[2020,0],[2021,1708000000],[2022,1705000000],[2023,6011000000],[2024,18207000000],[2025,12236000000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:02.033Z); FY2025: cash repurchases 4803000000 DKK. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 21.5% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); DANSKE.CO SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 21.534 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What could break it The confidence level used to determine the risk adjustment is at least 85%. - Source: https://danskebank.com/-/media/danske-bank-com/file-cloud/2026/2/annual-report-2025.pdf?rev=16af459cfa094b8ab365a911a324f7f2 (filed ); Risk adjustment for non-financial risk is calculated based on a safety margin on applied actuarial assumptions. The confidence level used to determine the risk adjustment is at least 85%. Generally, financial liabilities are measured at amortised cost and when relevant with bifurcation of embedded derivatives not closely related to the host contract. ### What the price says The price assumes profits grow 7.3% a year forever. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:02.033Z); Price 353.8; FX 1; original perpetual distributable cash 9.557165697522805; discount 0.1; growth 0.07298709525855623. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (DKK per share) - 2016-10: DKK 209.20 per share - 2016-11: DKK 205.10 per share - 2016-12: DKK 214.20 per share - 2017-01: DKK 229.30 per share - 2017-02: DKK 234.20 per share - 2017-03: DKK 237.50 per share - 2017-04: DKK 248.00 per share - 2017-05: DKK 248.70 per share - 2017-06: DKK 250.40 per share - 2017-07: DKK 254.50 per share - 2017-08: DKK 242.80 per share - 2017-09: DKK 251.80 per share - 2017-10: DKK 243.70 per share - 2017-11: DKK 233.60 per share - 2017-12: DKK 241.60 per share - 2018-01: DKK 243.50 per share - 2018-02: DKK 246.20 per share - 2018-03: DKK 225.40 per share - 2018-04: DKK 215.40 per share - 2018-05: DKK 211.40 per share - 2018-06: DKK 199.75 per share - 2018-07: DKK 185.25 per share - 2018-08: DKK 188.95 per share - 2018-09: DKK 168.70 per share - 2018-10: DKK 126.35 per share - 2018-11: DKK 131.40 per share - 2018-12: DKK 128.90 per share - 2019-01: DKK 120.50 per share - 2019-02: DKK 130.50 per share - 2019-03: DKK 116.80 per share - 2019-04: DKK 118.05 per share - 2019-05: DKK 110.00 per share - 2019-06: DKK 103.75 per share - 2019-07: DKK 100.25 per share - 2019-08: DKK 89.20 per share - 2019-09: DKK 95.38 per share - 2019-10: DKK 95.58 per share - 2019-11: DKK 91.56 per share - 2019-12: DKK 107.80 per share - 2020-01: DKK 112.90 per share - 2020-02: DKK 104.65 per share - 2020-03: DKK 76.90 per share - 2020-04: DKK 80.80 per share - 2020-05: DKK 82.98 per share - 2020-06: DKK 88.28 per share - 2020-07: DKK 101.60 per share - 2020-08: DKK 96.54 per share - 2020-09: DKK 86.10 per share - 2020-10: DKK 84.96 per share - 2020-11: DKK 102.85 per share - 2020-12: DKK 100.65 per share - 2021-01: DKK 105.25 per share - 2021-02: DKK 113.70 per share - 2021-03: DKK 118.70 per share - 2021-04: DKK 118.05 per share - 2021-05: DKK 113.00 per share - 2021-06: DKK 110.35 per share - 2021-07: DKK 110.00 per share - 2021-08: DKK 105.85 per share - 2021-09: DKK 108.45 per share - 2021-10: DKK 108.90 per share - 2021-11: DKK 108.30 per share - 2021-12: DKK 112.95 per share - 2022-01: DKK 127.90 per share - 2022-02: DKK 112.70 per share - 2022-03: DKK 112.60 per share - 2022-04: DKK 109.10 per share - 2022-05: DKK 113.40 per share - 2022-06: DKK 100.30 per share - 2022-07: DKK 101.60 per share - 2022-08: DKK 99.18 per share - 2022-09: DKK 94.84 per share - 2022-10: DKK 121.60 per share - 2022-11: DKK 127.50 per share - 2022-12: DKK 137.30 per share - 2023-01: DKK 142.10 per share - 2023-02: DKK 163.45 per share - 2023-03: DKK 138.00 per share - 2023-04: DKK 142.55 per share - 2023-05: DKK 141.70 per share - 2023-06: DKK 166.00 per share - 2023-07: DKK 160.85 per share - 2023-08: DKK 154.65 per share - 2023-09: DKK 164.35 per share - 2023-10: DKK 165.25 per share - 2023-11: DKK 177.20 per share - 2023-12: DKK 180.40 per share - 2024-01: DKK 185.65 per share - 2024-02: DKK 202.50 per share - 2024-03: DKK 206.60 per share - 2024-04: DKK 202.00 per share - 2024-05: DKK 210.70 per share - 2024-06: DKK 207.50 per share - 2024-07: DKK 211.00 per share - 2024-08: DKK 210.60 per share - 2024-09: DKK 201.50 per share - 2024-10: DKK 202.20 per share - 2024-11: DKK 202.70 per share - 2024-12: DKK 203.70 per share - 2025-01: DKK 215.10 per share - 2025-02: DKK 241.30 per share - 2025-03: DKK 225.10 per share - 2025-04: DKK 229.70 per share - 2025-05: DKK 251.10 per share - 2025-06: DKK 258.30 per share - 2025-07: DKK 260.50 per share - 2025-08: DKK 262.30 per share - 2025-09: DKK 270.90 per share - 2025-10: DKK 289.30 per share - 2025-11: DKK 296.00 per share - 2025-12: DKK 318.60 per share - 2026-01: DKK 321.50 per share - 2026-02: DKK 330.10 per share - 2026-03: DKK 312.30 per share - 2026-04: DKK 327.30 per share - 2026-05: DKK 337.40 per share - 2026-06: DKK 350.20 per share - 2026-07: DKK 373.20 per share - 2026-08: DKK 372.60 per share - 2026-09: DKK 373.70 per share - 2026-10: DKK 358.70 per share ## Annual estimated value (DKK per share) - FY2016: low DKK 64.49 per share, central DKK 70.94 per share, high DKK 78.82 per share - FY2017: low DKK 69.48 per share, central DKK 76.43 per share, high DKK 84.92 per share - FY2018: low DKK 25.57 per share, central DKK 29.89 per share, high DKK 35.98 per share - FY2019: low DKK 77.59 per share, central DKK 91.20 per share, high DKK 110.59 per share - FY2020: low DKK 74.65 per share, central DKK 87.74 per share, high DKK 106.40 per share - FY2021: low DKK 102.93 per share, central DKK 123.13 per share, high DKK 153.18 per share - FY2022: low DKK 133.30 per share, central DKK 146.63 per share, high DKK 162.92 per share - FY2023: low DKK 124.50 per share, central DKK 151.36 per share, high DKK 193.00 per share - FY2024: low DKK 146.12 per share, central DKK 180.48 per share, high DKK 235.97 per share - FY2025: low DKK 215.82 per share, central DKK 269.77 per share, high DKK 359.70 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:39:48.073Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period. ## Sources Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
DANSKE · CO
STOXX Europe 600 · OMXC25
Not a wonderful business
1 quality test fails. A lower price would not fix the business.
Profits were positive in 9 years (at least 9 needed).
Earned a median 10.6% on tangible equity (minimum 12%), and the second-worst year 2.5% (minimum 5%).
Book value plus dividends grew 7.8% a year (minimum 7%).
Ordinary share growth was -2.1% over the full period and -1.8% over five years (either must be at most 2% a year).
0 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).
Profit record · pass 1 loss year in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 27 DKK.
| Value range | DKK 191.14 – DKK 318.57 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value DKK 238.93 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 353.80 / 238.93 = -48.1% |
| Return / year | About 8.7% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Book DKK 187.41/share; ROE 11.1%; first payout DKK 9.56/share, growing 6.0% perpetually (4× book payout cap applied). |
| Required return | 10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value |