# Erste Group Bank AG (EBS.VI)

Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/EBS.VI

Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:33:57.534Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2025.

Listing currency: EUR. Reporting currency: EUR.

## Verdict

Not a wonderful business

Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no.

Share price: EUR 109.30 per share; close as of 2026-10-15.

Estimated value: low EUR 74.23 per share, central EUR 92.79 per share, high EUR 123.72 per share. Buy at or below the central value EUR 92.79 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:33:57.534Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals.

Expected annual return: 9.4% at the stated quote. About 9.4% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; AT 10-year bond 3.7% + 4 points).

## Checklist

### understandable: pass

- Financial history: 10 years

- Profitable years in the last ten: 10

- Required profitable years: 9

- Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.27×

Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: EUR 1.2B

- FY2017: EUR 1.3B

- FY2018: EUR 1.7B

- FY2019: EUR 1.4B

- FY2020: EUR 669M

- FY2021: EUR 1.8B

- FY2022: EUR 2.2B

- FY2023: EUR 3.0B

- FY2024: EUR 3.1B

- FY2025: EUR 3.5B

### moat: fail

- Tangible common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings

- median return on common equity below threshold

- Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 11.7%

- Required median return: 12.0%

- Return uses tangible common equity: Yes

- Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 9.7%

- Years with reported combined ratio: 0

Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: 11.3%

- FY2017: 10.2%

- FY2018: 13.3%

- FY2019: 9.7%

- FY2020: 4.2%

- FY2021: 10.7%

- FY2022: 12.0%

- FY2023: 14.7%

- FY2024: 14.4%

- FY2025: 14.1%

### economics: pass

- Tangible common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings

- Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 14.4%

- Book return interval: 10 years

- Starting book value per share: EUR 23.27

- Ending book value per share: EUR 60.80

Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: 18.5%

- FY2017: 15.8%

- FY2018: 14.5%

- FY2019: 5.7%

- FY2020: 13.8%

- FY2021: 13.7%

- FY2022: 7.0%

- FY2023: 18.1%

- FY2024: 15.7%

- FY2025: 22.6%

### management: pass

- Tangible common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings

- Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: -0.0%

- Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: -0.7%

- Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -0.0%

- Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -0.7%

- Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0

- Book created / earnings retained after dividends and buybacks: 1.35×

- Book value created per share: EUR 37.54

- Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: EUR 27.75

Chart: Shares (first year = 100); fiscal year observations.

- FY2015: 100

- FY2016: 100

- FY2017: 100

- FY2018: 95

- FY2019: 104

- FY2020: 103

- FY2021: 99

- FY2022: 104

- FY2023: 104

- FY2024: 101

- FY2025: 100

### accounting: pass

- Financial accounting warning count: 0

- Known restatement years: 0

## Holders

## Price story

The price assumes profits grow 6.6% a year forever · net income +12.3%

Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:58.477Z; price observation 2026-10-15.

The price assumes profits grow 6.6% a year forever

### Net income · FY2025

net income +12.3%; source https://filings.xbrl.org/PQOH26KWDF7CG10L6792/2025-12-31/ESEF/AT/0/egb-2025-12-31-0-de/reports/egb-2025-12-31-0-de.xhtml; observed 2026-03-18.

- FY2016: EUR 1.2B 

- FY2017: EUR 1.3B 

- FY2018: EUR 1.7B 

- FY2019: EUR 1.4B 

- FY2020: EUR 669M 

- FY2021: EUR 1.8B 

- FY2022: EUR 2.2B 

- FY2023: EUR 3.0B 

- FY2024: EUR 3.1B 

- FY2025: EUR 3.5B 

## Owner memo

Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z.

### How it makes money

Operates in regional banking; annual sales are EUR 11.8 billion.

- Source: https://filings.xbrl.org/PQOH26KWDF7CG10L6792/2025-12-31/ESEF/AT/0/egb-2025-12-31-0-de/reports/egb-2025-12-31-0-de.xhtml (filed 2026-03-18); FY2025: revenue 11761000000.

### Why customers stay

It earns 11.7% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-18); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0.11276964769647696],[2017,0.10167115442773797],[2018,0.1334134886283885],[2019,0.09669069095492108],[2020,0.041836887954340644],[2021,0.10673581639155055],[2022,0.12025810250769418],[2023,0.14743778892495327],[2024,0.14365834597526778],[2025,0.14105449284680918]]; median 0.11651387510208558. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity.

### Where the cash goes

Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years; bought back EUR 205 million of shares.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-18); Dividend observations: [[2016,222000000],[2017,470000000],[2018,568000000],[2019,663000000],[2020,114600000],[2021,756000000],[2022,753600000],[2023,869000000],[2024,1217000000],[2025,1344000000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement.

- Source: https://filings.xbrl.org/PQOH26KWDF7CG10L6792/2025-12-31/ESEF/AT/0/egb-2025-12-31-0-de/reports/egb-2025-12-31-0-de.xhtml (filed 2026-03-18); FY2025: cash repurchases 205000000 EUR.

### Are managers owners

Insiders own 26.7% of the company.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); EBS.VI SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 26.669999999999998 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16.

### What the price says

The price assumes profits grow 6.6% a year forever.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-18); Price 109.3; FX 1; original perpetual distributable cash 3.7115449211559395; discount 0.1; growth 0.06604258992538026. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15.

## Monthly share-price history (EUR per share)

- 2016-10: EUR 28.61 per share

- 2016-11: EUR 26.24 per share

- 2016-12: EUR 28.19 per share

- 2017-01: EUR 28.14 per share

- 2017-02: EUR 27.46 per share

- 2017-03: EUR 30.53 per share

- 2017-04: EUR 32.82 per share

- 2017-05: EUR 32.30 per share

- 2017-06: EUR 33.53 per share

- 2017-07: EUR 35.12 per share

- 2017-08: EUR 35.50 per share

- 2017-09: EUR 36.55 per share

- 2017-10: EUR 36.89 per share

- 2017-11: EUR 36.65 per share

- 2017-12: EUR 36.11 per share

- 2018-01: EUR 40.53 per share

- 2018-02: EUR 41.91 per share

- 2018-03: EUR 40.80 per share

- 2018-04: EUR 40.60 per share

- 2018-05: EUR 35.68 per share

- 2018-06: EUR 35.75 per share

- 2018-07: EUR 36.96 per share

- 2018-08: EUR 34.27 per share

- 2018-09: EUR 35.78 per share

- 2018-10: EUR 36.00 per share

- 2018-11: EUR 34.85 per share

- 2018-12: EUR 29.05 per share

- 2019-01: EUR 30.40 per share

- 2019-02: EUR 33.25 per share

- 2019-03: EUR 32.76 per share

- 2019-04: EUR 35.70 per share

- 2019-05: EUR 31.75 per share

- 2019-06: EUR 32.64 per share

- 2019-07: EUR 32.44 per share

- 2019-08: EUR 29.27 per share

- 2019-09: EUR 30.34 per share

- 2019-10: EUR 31.67 per share

- 2019-11: EUR 32.50 per share

- 2019-12: EUR 33.56 per share

- 2020-01: EUR 33.16 per share

- 2020-02: EUR 31.03 per share

- 2020-03: EUR 16.89 per share

- 2020-04: EUR 19.83 per share

- 2020-05: EUR 19.77 per share

- 2020-06: EUR 20.95 per share

- 2020-07: EUR 18.90 per share

- 2020-08: EUR 20.38 per share

- 2020-09: EUR 17.88 per share

- 2020-10: EUR 17.58 per share

- 2020-11: EUR 24.10 per share

- 2020-12: EUR 24.94 per share

- 2021-01: EUR 25.25 per share

- 2021-02: EUR 27.29 per share

- 2021-03: EUR 28.92 per share

- 2021-04: EUR 29.60 per share

- 2021-05: EUR 33.62 per share

- 2021-06: EUR 30.94 per share

- 2021-07: EUR 32.71 per share

- 2021-08: EUR 33.86 per share

- 2021-09: EUR 38.06 per share

- 2021-10: EUR 37.10 per share

- 2021-11: EUR 38.57 per share

- 2021-12: EUR 41.35 per share

- 2022-01: EUR 41.23 per share

- 2022-02: EUR 31.99 per share

- 2022-03: EUR 33.09 per share

- 2022-04: EUR 29.66 per share

- 2022-05: EUR 29.01 per share

- 2022-06: EUR 24.20 per share

- 2022-07: EUR 24.70 per share

- 2022-08: EUR 22.48 per share

- 2022-09: EUR 22.64 per share

- 2022-10: EUR 24.96 per share

- 2022-11: EUR 29.60 per share

- 2022-12: EUR 29.90 per share

- 2023-01: EUR 34.75 per share

- 2023-02: EUR 37.18 per share

- 2023-03: EUR 30.50 per share

- 2023-04: EUR 32.91 per share

- 2023-05: EUR 30.27 per share

- 2023-06: EUR 32.09 per share

- 2023-07: EUR 34.38 per share

- 2023-08: EUR 32.97 per share

- 2023-09: EUR 32.82 per share

- 2023-10: EUR 33.75 per share

- 2023-11: EUR 37.11 per share

- 2023-12: EUR 36.73 per share

- 2024-01: EUR 40.05 per share

- 2024-02: EUR 36.90 per share

- 2024-03: EUR 41.30 per share

- 2024-04: EUR 43.87 per share

- 2024-05: EUR 45.10 per share

- 2024-06: EUR 44.24 per share

- 2024-07: EUR 48.08 per share

- 2024-08: EUR 49.51 per share

- 2024-09: EUR 49.25 per share

- 2024-10: EUR 51.74 per share

- 2024-11: EUR 51.90 per share

- 2024-12: EUR 59.66 per share

- 2025-01: EUR 59.44 per share

- 2025-02: EUR 64.64 per share

- 2025-03: EUR 63.72 per share

- 2025-04: EUR 59.45 per share

- 2025-05: EUR 70.85 per share

- 2025-06: EUR 72.30 per share

- 2025-07: EUR 80.55 per share

- 2025-08: EUR 81.30 per share

- 2025-09: EUR 83.20 per share

- 2025-10: EUR 89.75 per share

- 2025-11: EUR 94.15 per share

- 2025-12: EUR 102.90 per share

- 2026-01: EUR 109.50 per share

- 2026-02: EUR 100.70 per share

- 2026-03: EUR 92.50 per share

- 2026-04: EUR 94.20 per share

- 2026-05: EUR 103.00 per share

- 2026-06: EUR 117.10 per share

- 2026-07: EUR 112.80 per share

- 2026-08: EUR 121.30 per share

- 2026-09: EUR 121.10 per share

- 2026-10: EUR 111.00 per share

## Annual estimated value (EUR per share)

- FY2016: low EUR 26.47 per share, central EUR 29.12 per share, high EUR 32.35 per share

- FY2017: low EUR 28.51 per share, central EUR 31.36 per share, high EUR 34.85 per share

- FY2018: low EUR 29.10 per share, central EUR 36.38 per share, high EUR 48.50 per share

- FY2019: low EUR 28.24 per share, central EUR 35.30 per share, high EUR 47.07 per share

- FY2020: low EUR 13.10 per share, central EUR 16.13 per share, high EUR 20.98 per share

- FY2021: low EUR 34.71 per share, central EUR 43.38 per share, high EUR 57.85 per share

- FY2022: low EUR 37.79 per share, central EUR 47.24 per share, high EUR 62.99 per share

- FY2023: low EUR 48.10 per share, central EUR 60.13 per share, high EUR 80.17 per share

- FY2024: low EUR 57.43 per share, central EUR 71.78 per share, high EUR 95.71 per share

- FY2025: low EUR 70.46 per share, central EUR 88.07 per share, high EUR 117.43 per share

Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year

Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year

Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates

Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:39:42.730Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period.

## Sources

[Original ESEF filing](https://filings.xbrl.org/PQOH26KWDF7CG10L6792/2025-12-31/ESEF/AT/0/egb-2025-12-31-0-de/reports/egb-2025-12-31-0-de.xhtml); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-03-18.

Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
← Companies

Erste Group Bank AG

EBS · VI

STOXX Europe 600 · ATX

Not a wonderful business

1 quality test fails. A lower price would not fix the business.

Share price
EUR 109.30
Buy up to
EUR 92.79
Expected / yr
9.4% at today's price (10.0% at central value)

The business

How it makes money
Why customers stay
Where the cash goes
Are managers owners
What the price says

1. Is this a good business?

Evidence only; not required for Buy

Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 9 needed).

10y median
EUR 1.7B
Worst year
EUR 669M
Latest · 2025
EUR 3.5B

Earned a median 11.7% on tangible equity (minimum 12%).

10y median
11.7%
Worst year
4.2%
Latest · 2025
14.1%

Book value plus dividends grew 14.4% a year (minimum 7%).

10y median
15.1%
Worst year
5.7%
Latest · 2025
22.6%

Ordinary share growth was 0% over the full period and -0.7% over five years (either must be at most 2% a year).

11y median
100
Worst year
104
Latest · 2025
100

0 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).

Filing signals · estimated likelihood
Control weakness4%Auditor change2%Going concern3%Related parties16%
Material weakness in internal control: 4% estimated likelihood. ; Auditor change within the past three years disclosed: 2% estimated likelihood. ; Going-concern uncertainty: 3% estimated likelihood. ; Material related-party transactions: 16% estimated likelihood.
accounting warnings
0
Passing bar
≤ 0

Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 7.71 EUR.

2. Is the price low enough?

Price & return math
Value rangeEUR 74.23 – EUR 123.72
Buy at or belowCentral value EUR 92.79
Discount to value1 − 109.30 / 92.79 = -17.8%
Return / yearAbout 9.4% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%)
Cash-flow inputsBook EUR 64.06/share; ROE 11.8%; first payout EUR 3.71/share, growing 6.0% perpetually (4× book payout cap applied).
Required return10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value
Net incomeEUR 3.5B
3.5B020162025
FY2016 · Net income: EUR 1.2B; FY2017 · Net income: EUR 1.3B; FY2018 · Net income: EUR 1.7B; FY2019 · Net income: EUR 1.4B; FY2020 · Net income: EUR 669M; FY2021 · Net income: EUR 1.8B; FY2022 · Net income: EUR 2.2B; FY2023 · Net income: EUR 3.0B; FY2024 · Net income: EUR 3.1B; FY2025 · Net income: EUR 3.5B
Net income
Book / shareEUR 60.80
60.80020162025
FY2016 · Book / share: EUR 27.03; FY2017 · Book / share: EUR 30.15; FY2018 · Book / share: EUR 33.05; FY2019 · Book / share: EUR 33.37; FY2020 · Book / share: EUR 37.70; FY2021 · Book / share: EUR 41.02; FY2022 · Book / share: EUR 42.11; FY2023 · Book / share: EUR 47.70; FY2024 · Book / share: EUR 52.27; FY2025 · Book / share: EUR 60.80
Book / share
Dividend / shareEUR 3.28
3.28020162025
FY2016 · Dividend / share: EUR 0.54; FY2017 · Dividend / share: EUR 1.15; FY2018 · Dividend / share: EUR 1.46; FY2019 · Dividend / share: EUR 1.55; FY2020 · Dividend / share: EUR 0.27; FY2021 · Dividend / share: EUR 1.86; FY2022 · Dividend / share: EUR 1.76; FY2023 · Dividend / share: EUR 2.04; FY2024 · Dividend / share: EUR 2.92; FY2025 · Dividend / share: EUR 3.28
Dividend / share
Return on tangible equity14.1%
14.7%0.0%20162025
FY2016 · Return on tangible equity: 11.3%; FY2017 · Return on tangible equity: 10.2%; FY2018 · Return on tangible equity: 13.3%; FY2019 · Return on tangible equity: 9.7%; FY2020 · Return on tangible equity: 4.2%; FY2021 · Return on tangible equity: 10.7%; FY2022 · Return on tangible equity: 12.0%; FY2023 · Return on tangible equity: 14.7%; FY2024 · Return on tangible equity: 14.4%; FY2025 · Return on tangible equity: 14.1%
Return on tangible equity
Diluted shares409M
427M020162025
FY2016 · Diluted shares: 410M; FY2017 · Diluted shares: 410M; FY2018 · Diluted shares: 389M; FY2019 · Diluted shares: 427M; FY2020 · Diluted shares: 424M; FY2021 · Diluted shares: 406M; FY2022 · Diluted shares: 427M; FY2023 · Diluted shares: 426M; FY2024 · Diluted shares: 416M; FY2025 · Diluted shares: 409M
Diluted shares
Prices 15 Oct 2026 · FY2025Original filing ↗ ·