Sales fell in 7 years (limit 5), and 7 loss years were recorded (limit 2), and margins varied 98% around their average (limit 35%).
- 10y median
- 6.6%
- Worst year
- -1.9%
- Latest · LTM
- 7.2%
# EchoStar (ECHO.US) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/ECHO Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:28:09.893Z. Financial observations: FY2006–FY2026. Listing currency: USD. Reporting currency: USD. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: fail; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: $86.85 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. ## Checklist ### understandable: fail - 7 revenue declines in the last 10 years - more than 5 revenue declines in ten years - more than 2 net loss years - operating margin variation exceeds 0.35 - Financial history: 10 years - Years with declining revenue: 7 - Years with a net loss: 7 - Operating margin variation: 0.98× Chart: Operating margin; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: 0.10× - FY2018: 0.09× - FY2019: 0.04× - FY2020: 0.06× - FY2021: 0.17× - FY2022: 0.12× - FY2023: -0.02× - FY2024: -0.02× - FY2025: -0.01× - LTM to Jun 2026: 0.07× ### moat: fail - ROIC median below threshold - ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed) - Recent gross margin fell 14.3pp below the typical margin (limit 4pp) - ROIC, median of available years: 3.4% - ROIC, second-lowest year: -0.5% - Typical minus recent gross margin: 14.3 pp - Typical gross margin (annual median): 40.1% - Recent gross margin (lower of latest and 3-year median): 25.8% - Years with nonpositive capital: 0 - Capital spending / revenue: 20.9% - ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: 0.8% Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 6.0% - FY2017: 4.8% - FY2018: 3.9% - FY2019: 1.8% - FY2020: 2.9% - FY2021: 87.5% - FY2022: 4.0% - FY2023: -0.5% - FY2024: -0.5% - FY2025: -0.2% ### economics: fail - owner earnings cash conversion below threshold - incremental invested capital return below threshold - Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No - Owner earnings, five-year total: -$13B - Net income, five-year total: -$11B - Return on incremental invested capital: -11.6% - Working capital / revenue, annual change: -0.2 pp - Working capital / revenue, change between three-year averages: -1.0 pp - Working capital / revenue, final three-year average: 6.4% Chart: Owner earnings · five years; fiscal year observations. - FY2021: $3.2B - FY2022: $602M - FY2023: -$3.2B - FY2024: $266M - FY2025: -$14B ### management: fail - Historical market-dollar context (not the management verdict): 2016 to 2025 (9 years) - potential debt-funded buybacks (informational) - buybacks leaned toward cheaper years (informational) - ROIC first 3 years vs last 3 years: 4.8% vs -0.5% - Per-share earnings: 1.90 to -6.28 (three-year endpoint medians) - per-share value declined or ends nonpositive - five-year and ten-year diluted share growth both above threshold - acquired goodwill and intangibles (proxy) exceeds half of ten-year net income with low and deteriorating ROIC - Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes - Ordinary dilution, 10-year annual growth: 11.9% - Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: 24.0% - Market cap gain: $26B - Cumulative retained earnings: -$3.2B - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 11.9% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 24.0% - $1 test, starting fiscal year: FY2016 - $1 test, ending fiscal year: FY2025 - Per-share value change: -$8.18 - Per-share value, starting three-year median: $1.90 - Per-share value, ending three-year median: -$6.28 - Buybacks concentrated in cheaper years (correlation): 0.36 - Average buyback yield: 3.8% - Buyback history: 8 years - Debt-funded buybacks: Yes - Acquisition spending: $38B - Cumulative net income, 10 years: -$11B - ROIC, first three-year median: 4.8% - ROIC, last three-year median: -0.5% Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: $1.90 - FY2017: $4.09 - FY2018: -$0.42 - FY2019: -$0.64 - FY2020: -$0.41 - FY2021: $28.09 - FY2022: $29.86 - FY2023: -$6.28 - FY2024: -$0.44 - FY2025: -$50.41 ### accounting: pass - Sloan accruals: -33.5% - Receivables to sales index (DSRI): 1.12× - Restructuring years, last five: 0 - Earnings backed by cash: Yes - Accounting red flags: 0 - Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 0.01× Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: -6.9% - FY2017: -3.8% - FY2018: -8.9% - FY2019: -10.1% - FY2020: -8.1% - FY2021: 30.7% - FY2022: -1.9% - FY2023: -7.2% - FY2024: -2.3% - FY2025: -33.5% ## Holders - [Steven Romick](https://gigainvestors.com/FPA): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts. - [Carl Icahn](https://gigainvestors.com/ic): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts. ## Price story Down 33% since May 2026 · sales -2.3% Story as of 2026-10-16T09:58:40.259Z; price observation 2026-10-15. - 2026-08-03: EchoStar Swings To Q2 Profit On Deconsolidation Gain, But Revenue Declines ([nasdaq.com](https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/echostar-swings-q2-profit-deconsolidation-gain-revenue-declines)) ### Sales · FY2025–2026 sales -2.3%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1415404/000110465926021817/tmb-20251231x10k.htm; observed 2026-03-02. - FY2017: $1.9B - FY2018: $2.1B - FY2019: $1.9B - FY2020: $1.9B - FY2021: $20B - FY2022: $19B - FY2023: $17B - FY2024: $16B - FY2025: $15B - FY2026: $15B ### Gross margin · FY2025 gross margin 25.8%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1415404/000110465926021817/tmb-20251231x10k.htm; observed 2026-03-02. - FY2016: 43.2% - FY2017: 59.8% - FY2018: 62.7% - FY2019: 58.3% - FY2020: 60.6% - FY2021: 36.9% - FY2022: 34.5% - FY2023: 29.8% - FY2024: 36.0% - FY2025: 25.8% ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in telecom services; annual sales are USD 15 billion. - Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1415404/000110465926021817/tmb-20251231x10k.htm (filed 2026-03-02); FY2025: revenue 15004989000; grossProfit 3874667000; margin = grossProfit / revenue. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); ECHO.US: EchoStar Corporation provides pay-tv services in the United States, Mexico, Canada, South and Central America, Asia, Africa, Australia, Europe, India, and the Middle East. The Pay-TV segment offers a direct broadcast and fixed satellite, owned and leased satellites, leased fiber optic networks, in-home services, and call center operation services; digital broadcast operations, including satellite uplinking/downlinking, transmission and, other services to third-party pay-TV providers; multichannel, live-linear and on-demand streaming over-the-top Internet-based domestic, international, Latino, and Freestream video programming services; and receiver systems. Its Wireless segment provides wireless communication services and products; and a range of wireless devices. The Broadband and Satellite Services offers broadband satellite technologies, and internet products and services to consumer customers, including home and small to medium-sized businesses; managed services, equipment, hardware, satellite services, and communications solutions to government and enterprise customers, as well as to the unserved and underserved consumer, enterprise, aeronautical, and government markets; and integrated multi-transport solutions that enable airline and airline service providers to deliver in-flight network connectivity. This segment also designs, provides, and installs gateway and terminal equipment to customers for other satellite systems; and designs, develops, constructs, and provides telecommunication networks comprising satellite ground segment systems and terminals to mobile system operators and enterprise customers. Its Other segment consists of 5G network and 5G network deployment operations. The company sells its products and services under the Boost Mobile, DISH, Gen Mobile, Hughes, Hughesnet, and Sling brands. The company was formerly known as EchoStar Holding Corporation. EchoStar Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado. ### Why customers stay Margins ranged from 25.8% to 36% during 2023–25; it earns 3.4% on its capital. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-02); FY2023: grossProfit / revenue = 29.8%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-02); FY2024: grossProfit / revenue = 36%. - Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1415404/000110465926021817/tmb-20251231x10k.htm (filed 2026-03-02); FY2025: grossProfit / revenue = 25.8%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-02); 10-year return on capital observations [[2016,0.05953530237091858],[2017,0.04849940100557933],[2018,0.03879611733226991],[2019,0.01801811398345341],[2020,0.0294262369189469],[2021,0.8750031982605442],[2022,0.04029706031236623],[2023,-0.005067939130837841],[2024,-0.005403115212608601],[2025,-0.0020740313261287733]]; median 0.034111177125608405. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 5 of 10 years; bought back USD 48.5 million of shares. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-02); FY2017: growth capex 0; upkeep 610231000; owner earnings 304520000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-02); FY2019: growth capex 0; upkeep 482341000; owner earnings 42942000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-02); FY2020: growth capex 0; upkeep 447453000; owner earnings 37408000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-02); FY2021: growth capex 0; upkeep 471973000; owner earnings 3228258000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-02); FY2022: growth capex 0; upkeep 3050472000; owner earnings 602143000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-02); FY2024: growth capex 0; upkeep 1544877000; owner earnings 265770000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-02); Dividend observations: [[2016,15000000],[2017,19000000],[2018,10000000],[2019,2716000],[2020,0],[2021,0],[2022,2000000],[2023,0],[2024,0],[2025,0]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. - Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1415404/000110465926021817/tmb-20251231x10k.htm (filed 2026-03-02); FY2025: cash repurchases 48512000 USD. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 13.5% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); ECHO.US SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 13.503000000000002 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What could break it "Our services depend on FCC licenses" (SEC filing, Mar 2026) - Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1415404/000110465926021817/tmb-20251231x10k.htm (filed 2026-03-02); Our services depend on FCC licenses ### What the price says The price is 1.7 times annual sales; cash earnings are negative. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-02); Closing price 86.85 USD; reporting-to-trading FX 1; FY2025 annual sales per share 52.175114486298156; price multiple 1.6645866684740653. FY2025 cash earnings/share -48.2541439345733. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (USD per share) - 2016-10: $46.74 per share - 2016-11: $51.00 per share - 2016-12: $51.39 per share - 2017-01: $50.93 per share - 2017-02: $53.27 per share - 2017-03: $56.95 per share - 2017-04: $57.56 per share - 2017-05: $59.05 per share - 2017-06: $60.70 per share - 2017-07: $60.73 per share - 2017-08: $60.30 per share - 2017-09: $57.23 per share - 2017-10: $55.95 per share - 2017-11: $59.85 per share - 2017-12: $59.90 per share - 2018-01: $61.06 per share - 2018-02: $58.02 per share - 2018-03: $52.77 per share - 2018-04: $52.54 per share - 2018-05: $47.04 per share - 2018-06: $44.40 per share - 2018-07: $44.99 per share - 2018-08: $48.00 per share - 2018-09: $46.37 per share - 2018-10: $40.55 per share - 2018-11: $41.84 per share - 2018-12: $36.72 per share - 2019-01: $40.98 per share - 2019-02: $38.56 per share - 2019-03: $36.45 per share - 2019-04: $39.85 per share - 2019-05: $42.78 per share - 2019-06: $44.32 per share - 2019-07: $45.52 per share - 2019-08: $42.25 per share - 2019-09: $39.62 per share - 2019-10: $39.00 per share - 2019-11: $42.07 per share - 2019-12: $43.31 per share - 2020-01: $39.91 per share - 2020-02: $34.92 per share - 2020-03: $31.97 per share - 2020-04: $31.55 per share - 2020-05: $31.16 per share - 2020-06: $27.96 per share - 2020-07: $27.30 per share - 2020-08: $29.38 per share - 2020-09: $24.89 per share - 2020-10: $23.16 per share - 2020-11: $23.77 per share - 2020-12: $21.19 per share - 2021-01: $20.94 per share - 2021-02: $22.70 per share - 2021-03: $24.00 per share - 2021-04: $24.45 per share - 2021-05: $26.49 per share - 2021-06: $24.29 per share - 2021-07: $22.30 per share - 2021-08: $27.00 per share - 2021-09: $25.51 per share - 2021-10: $23.46 per share - 2021-11: $27.37 per share - 2021-12: $26.35 per share - 2022-01: $23.69 per share - 2022-02: $24.34 per share - 2022-03: $24.34 per share - 2022-04: $23.35 per share - 2022-05: $24.03 per share - 2022-06: $19.30 per share - 2022-07: $19.76 per share - 2022-08: $18.41 per share - 2022-09: $16.47 per share - 2022-10: $18.87 per share - 2022-11: $17.40 per share - 2022-12: $16.68 per share - 2023-01: $18.71 per share - 2023-02: $19.96 per share - 2023-03: $18.29 per share - 2023-04: $17.07 per share - 2023-05: $15.77 per share - 2023-06: $17.34 per share - 2023-07: $19.43 per share - 2023-08: $17.38 per share - 2023-09: $16.75 per share - 2023-10: $13.86 per share - 2023-11: $10.47 per share - 2023-12: $16.57 per share - 2024-01: $13.39 per share - 2024-02: $13.11 per share - 2024-03: $14.25 per share - 2024-04: $15.99 per share - 2024-05: $19.20 per share - 2024-06: $17.81 per share - 2024-07: $20.08 per share - 2024-08: $18.54 per share - 2024-09: $24.82 per share - 2024-10: $25.06 per share - 2024-11: $25.29 per share - 2024-12: $22.90 per share - 2025-01: $27.66 per share - 2025-02: $31.23 per share - 2025-03: $25.58 per share - 2025-04: $22.48 per share - 2025-05: $17.73 per share - 2025-06: $27.70 per share - 2025-07: $32.59 per share - 2025-08: $61.79 per share - 2025-09: $76.36 per share - 2025-10: $74.87 per share - 2025-11: $73.29 per share - 2025-12: $108.70 per share - 2026-01: $113.22 per share - 2026-02: $115.53 per share - 2026-03: $117.07 per share - 2026-04: $123.14 per share - 2026-05: $129.19 per share - 2026-06: $101.50 per share - 2026-07: $84.09 per share - 2026-08: $86.44 per share - 2026-09: $89.41 per share - 2026-10: $86.85 per share ## Annual estimated value (USD per share) Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:33:51.305Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period. ## Sources [Original 10-K filing](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1415404/000110465926021817/tmb-20251231x10k.htm); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-03-02. Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
ECHO · US
S&P 500
Not a wonderful business
4 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.
Sales fell in 7 years (limit 5), and 7 loss years were recorded (limit 2), and margins varied 98% around their average (limit 35%).
Capital return excluding acquisitions: median 3.4% (minimum 15%), and the second-worst year -0.5% (minimum 10%), and gross margin fell 14.3 percentage points (limit 4).
Owners received -13 billion over five years (must be positive), and new investment earned -11.6% (minimum 12%).
Per-share value fell from 1.9 to -6.28, comparing three-year medians at each end (must rise and stay positive), and share growth was 11.9% over ten years and 24% over five (either must be at most 1% a year), and acquisitions used -351.9% of profits (limit 50%) while returns fell to -0.5% (minimum 15% and two-thirds of their starting level).
Profits were backed by cash: accruals were -33.5% of assets (limit 10%).
Profit record · fail 6 loss years in 10 (at most 2), mean operating margin 6.6%, three-year average owner earnings per share -19.71 USD. 6 loss years in the last 10; at most 2 allowed. Three-year average owner earnings per share is not positive.