Margins varied 20% around their average (limit 35%), and no loss years were recorded (limit 2).
- 10y median
- 67.0%
- Worst year
- 34.5%
- Latest · 2025
- 39.9%
# EastGroup Properties (EGP.US) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/EGP Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:28:12.692Z. Financial observations: FY1996–FY2025. Listing currency: USD. Reporting currency: USD. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: $194.43 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low $102.55 per share, central $139.99 per share, high $164.05 per share. Buy at or below the central value $139.99 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:28:12.692Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 8.1% at the stated quote. About 8.1% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; US 10-year bond 5.1% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: pass - 0 revenue declines in the last 10 years (informational) - Financial history: 10 years - Years with declining revenue: 0 - Years with a net loss: 0 - Operating margin variation: 0.20× Chart: Operating margin; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 0.35× - FY2017: 0.65× - FY2018: 0.67× - FY2019: 0.67× - FY2020: 0.67× - FY2021: 0.68× - FY2022: 0.69× - FY2023: 0.70× - FY2024: 0.69× - FY2025: 0.40× ### moat: fail - ROIC median below threshold - ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed) - Recent gross margin fell 28.4pp below the typical margin (limit 4pp) - ROIC, median of available years: 6.2% - ROIC, second-lowest year: 4.3% - Typical minus recent gross margin: 28.4 pp - Typical gross margin (annual median): 71.7% - Recent gross margin (lower of latest and 3-year median): 43.3% - Years with nonpositive capital: 0 - Capital spending / revenue: 10.0% - ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: 7.1% Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 2.9% - FY2017: 5.7% - FY2018: 5.9% - FY2019: 6.2% - FY2020: 6.1% - FY2021: 6.8% - FY2022: 8.4% - FY2023: 7.1% - FY2024: 7.3% - FY2025: 4.3% ### economics: pass - Owner earnings / net income, 5-yr: 1.20× - Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No - Owner earnings, five-year total: $1.2B - Net income, five-year total: $1.0B - Return on incremental invested capital: 114.5% - Working capital / revenue, annual change: 0.1 pp - Working capital / revenue, change between three-year averages: 2.0 pp - Working capital / revenue, final three-year average: 4.5% Chart: Annual owner cash / profit; fiscal year observations. - FY2021: 1.60× - FY2022: -0.50× - FY2023: 1.60× - FY2024: 1.57× - FY2025: 1.55× ### management: fail - Historical market-dollar context (not the management verdict): 2016 to 2025 (9 years) - buybacks unrelated to price (informational) - ROIC first 3 years vs last 3 years: 5.7% vs 7.1% - Per-share earnings: 2.44 to 4.66 (three-year endpoint medians) - five-year and ten-year diluted share growth both above threshold - Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes - Ordinary dilution, 10-year annual growth: 5.1% - Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: 6.1% - Market cap gain: $7.0B - Cumulative retained earnings: -$145M - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 5.1% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 6.1% - $1 test, starting fiscal year: FY2016 - $1 test, ending fiscal year: FY2025 - Per-share value growth: 8.4% - Per-share value change: $2.21 - Per-share value, starting three-year median: $2.44 - Per-share value, ending three-year median: $4.66 - Buyback history: 0 years - Debt-funded buybacks: No - Acquisition spending: $32M - Cumulative net income, 10 years: $1.5B - ROIC, first three-year median: 5.7% - ROIC, last three-year median: 7.1% Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: $2.93 - FY2017: $2.44 - FY2018: $2.49 - FY2019: $3.24 - FY2020: $2.76 - FY2021: $3.90 - FY2022: $4.36 - FY2023: $4.42 - FY2024: $4.66 - FY2025: $4.87 ### accounting: pass - Sloan accruals: -4.1% - Receivables to sales index (DSRI): 1.07× - Restructuring years, last five: 0 - Stock compensation / operating cash flow: 1.9% - Earnings backed by cash: Yes - Operating cash / earnings: 1.87× - Accounting red flags: 0 - Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 0.01× Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: -2.4% - FY2017: -3.7% - FY2018: -3.6% - FY2019: -2.9% - FY2020: -3.2% - FY2021: -3.1% - FY2022: -3.2% - FY2023: -3.0% - FY2024: -3.7% - FY2025: -4.1% ## Holders - [Christopher Davis](https://gigainvestors.com/DAV): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts. ## Price story Price needs cash profits to grow 9.5% a year for ten years · sales +13% Story as of 2026-10-16T09:58:40.850Z; price observation 2026-10-15. Price needs cash profits to grow 9.5% a year for ten years - 2025-10-24: EastGroup Properties targets $200M in 2025 development starts as leasing momentum builds ([seekingalpha.com](https://seekingalpha.com/news/4508415-eastgroup-properties-targets-200m-in-2025-development-starts-as-leasing-momentum-builds?utm_source=feed_news_all&utm_medium=referral&feed_item_type=news)) ### Sales · FY2024–2025 sales +13%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/49600/000004960026000010/egp-20251231.htm; observed 2026-02-11. - FY2016: $253M - FY2017: $274M - FY2018: $299M - FY2019: $331M - FY2020: $363M - FY2021: $409M - FY2022: $487M - FY2023: $566M - FY2024: $639M - FY2025: $721M ### Gross margin · FY2025 gross margin 43.3%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/49600/000004960026000010/egp-20251231.htm; observed 2026-02-11. - FY2016: 70.6% - FY2017: 70.8% - FY2018: 71.1% - FY2019: 71.8% - FY2020: 71.5% - FY2021: 71.9% - FY2022: 72.5% - FY2023: 72.8% - FY2024: 72.7% - FY2025: 43.3% ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in property rentals; annual sales are USD 721.3 million. - Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/49600/000004960026000010/egp-20251231.htm (filed 2026-02-11); FY2025: revenue 721336000; grossProfit 312361000; margin = grossProfit / revenue. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); EGP.US: EastGroup Properties, Inc. a member of the S&P Mid-Cap 400 and Russell 2000 Indexes. It is a self-administered equity real estate investment trust focused on the development, acquisition and operation of industrial properties in high-growth markets throughout the United States with an emphasis in the states of Texas, Florida, California, Arizona and North Carolina. The Company's goal is to maximize shareholder value by being a leading provider in its markets of functional, flexible and quality business distribution space for location sensitive customers (primarily in the 20,000 to 100,000 square foot range). The Company's strategy for growth is based on ownership of premier distribution facilities generally clustered near major transportation features in supply-constrained submarkets. East Groups portfolio, including development projects and value-add acquisitions in lease-up and under construction, currently includes approximately 66.8 million square feet. EastGroup Properties, Inc. was incorporated in 1969 and is based in Ridgeland, United States. ### Why customers stay Margins ranged from 43.3% to 72.8% during 2023–25; it earns 6.2% on its capital. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-11); FY2023: grossProfit / revenue = 72.8%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-11); FY2024: grossProfit / revenue = 72.7%. - Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/49600/000004960026000010/egp-20251231.htm (filed 2026-02-11); FY2025: grossProfit / revenue = 43.3%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-11); 10-year return on capital observations [[2016,0.02944911826565281],[2017,0.05671032328570099],[2018,0.05872418924615519],[2019,0.06246806487824336],[2020,0.06133894300332128],[2021,0.0677171370230029],[2022,0.08442725663272353],[2023,0.07069048074580815],[2024,0.0726100349500444],[2025,0.043306002811151045]]; median 0.06190350394078232. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Can it raise prices Kept about a 73% gross margin through 2022 cost inflation. - Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/49600/000004960026000010/egp-20251231.htm (filed 2026-02-11); Gross margin observations: [[2021,0.7189620855974114],[2022,0.7250346491453211],[2023,0.7280562990374362]]; range within 2 percentage points. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-11); FY2016: growth capex 0; upkeep 23671000; owner earnings 149773000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-11); FY2017: growth capex 0; upkeep 26158000; owner earnings 140899000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-11); FY2018: growth capex 0; upkeep 37502000; owner earnings 142708000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-11); FY2020: growth capex 129798431.41317835; upkeep 147977568.58682165; owner earnings 76744431.41317835. Growth capex / owner earnings = 1.6913074867200033. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-11); FY2021: growth capex 0; upkeep 33301000; owner earnings 251355000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-11); FY2023: growth capex 0; upkeep 51116000; owner earnings 320453000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-11); FY2024: growth capex 0; upkeep 59288000; owner earnings 357874000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/49600/000004960026000010/egp-20251231.htm (filed 2026-02-11); FY2025: growth capex 0; upkeep 75830000; owner earnings 398318000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-11); Dividend observations: [[2016,80899000],[2017,86725000],[2018,71294000],[2019,108795000],[2020,119765000],[2021,131759000],[2022,193936000],[2023,225625000],[2024,252794000],[2025,302507000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 1% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); EGP.US SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 1.011 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What the price says The price assumes cash profits grow 9.5% yearly over ten years; actual growth was 9.7%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-11); Ten-year compound average after fade. Initial solved rate 0.12411414526306175. Price 194.43; FX 1; discount 0.1; same standard ten-year fade to terminal 0.03. FY2015 owner earnings/share 3.0016772269847185 → FY2025 7.541901768470481. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (USD per share) - 2016-10: $67.91 per share - 2016-11: $68.31 per share - 2016-12: $73.84 per share - 2017-01: $70.77 per share - 2017-02: $74.34 per share - 2017-03: $73.53 per share - 2017-04: $78.25 per share - 2017-05: $81.44 per share - 2017-06: $83.80 per share - 2017-07: $87.18 per share - 2017-08: $88.86 per share - 2017-09: $88.12 per share - 2017-10: $90.59 per share - 2017-11: $94.08 per share - 2017-12: $88.38 per share - 2018-01: $86.81 per share - 2018-02: $81.03 per share - 2018-03: $82.66 per share - 2018-04: $89.78 per share - 2018-05: $93.23 per share - 2018-06: $95.56 per share - 2018-07: $95.32 per share - 2018-08: $97.27 per share - 2018-09: $95.62 per share - 2018-10: $95.79 per share - 2018-11: $100.02 per share - 2018-12: $91.73 per share - 2019-01: $103.46 per share - 2019-02: $105.66 per share - 2019-03: $111.64 per share - 2019-04: $114.33 per share - 2019-05: $111.00 per share - 2019-06: $115.98 per share - 2019-07: $120.48 per share - 2019-08: $124.52 per share - 2019-09: $125.02 per share - 2019-10: $133.95 per share - 2019-11: $136.19 per share - 2019-12: $132.67 per share - 2020-01: $136.07 per share - 2020-02: $125.73 per share - 2020-03: $104.48 per share - 2020-04: $106.00 per share - 2020-05: $116.25 per share - 2020-06: $118.61 per share - 2020-07: $132.66 per share - 2020-08: $133.16 per share - 2020-09: $129.33 per share - 2020-10: $133.08 per share - 2020-11: $136.33 per share - 2020-12: $138.06 per share - 2021-01: $135.14 per share - 2021-02: $136.11 per share - 2021-03: $143.28 per share - 2021-04: $158.66 per share - 2021-05: $158.08 per share - 2021-06: $164.45 per share - 2021-07: $176.22 per share - 2021-08: $180.26 per share - 2021-09: $166.63 per share - 2021-10: $197.78 per share - 2021-11: $203.70 per share - 2021-12: $227.85 per share - 2022-01: $199.91 per share - 2022-02: $190.76 per share - 2022-03: $203.28 per share - 2022-04: $187.50 per share - 2022-05: $161.55 per share - 2022-06: $154.33 per share - 2022-07: $170.54 per share - 2022-08: $165.03 per share - 2022-09: $144.34 per share - 2022-10: $156.69 per share - 2022-11: $155.24 per share - 2022-12: $148.06 per share - 2023-01: $168.25 per share - 2023-02: $163.27 per share - 2023-03: $165.32 per share - 2023-04: $166.56 per share - 2023-05: $164.61 per share - 2023-06: $173.60 per share - 2023-07: $177.18 per share - 2023-08: $179.63 per share - 2023-09: $166.53 per share - 2023-10: $163.25 per share - 2023-11: $173.75 per share - 2023-12: $183.54 per share - 2024-01: $177.43 per share - 2024-02: $175.69 per share - 2024-03: $179.77 per share - 2024-04: $155.36 per share - 2024-05: $165.18 per share - 2024-06: $170.10 per share - 2024-07: $186.99 per share - 2024-08: $186.40 per share - 2024-09: $186.82 per share - 2024-10: $171.28 per share - 2024-11: $172.21 per share - 2024-12: $160.49 per share - 2025-01: $169.62 per share - 2025-02: $182.85 per share - 2025-03: $176.15 per share - 2025-04: $163.42 per share - 2025-05: $169.55 per share - 2025-06: $167.12 per share - 2025-07: $163.24 per share - 2025-08: $169.56 per share - 2025-09: $169.26 per share - 2025-10: $174.53 per share - 2025-11: $181.18 per share - 2025-12: $178.14 per share - 2026-01: $181.64 per share - 2026-02: $196.31 per share - 2026-03: $185.09 per share - 2026-04: $201.20 per share - 2026-05: $201.91 per share - 2026-06: $202.53 per share - 2026-07: $209.01 per share - 2026-08: $199.50 per share - 2026-09: $197.45 per share - 2026-10: $194.43 per share ## Annual estimated value (USD per share) - FY2016: low $18.49 per share, central $21.04 per share, high $24.43 per share - FY2017: low $36.19 per share, central $41.18 per share, high $47.83 per share - FY2018: low $43.93 per share, central $49.99 per share, high $58.05 per share - FY2019: low $49.55 per share, central $60.99 per share, high $71.12 per share - FY2020: low $48.19 per share, central $54.84 per share, high $63.68 per share - FY2021: low $59.91 per share, central $77.66 per share, high $90.81 per share - FY2022: low $26.35 per share, central $29.98 per share, high $34.82 per share - FY2023: low $35.05 per share, central $47.69 per share, high $55.80 per share - FY2024: low $95.30 per share, central $130.09 per share, high $152.48 per share - FY2025: low $99.67 per share, central $136.18 per share, high $159.63 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates ## Sources [Original 10-K filing](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/49600/000004960026000010/egp-20251231.htm); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-02-11. Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
EGP · US
Not a wonderful business
2 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.
Margins varied 20% around their average (limit 35%), and no loss years were recorded (limit 2).
Capital return excluding acquisitions: median 6.2% (minimum 15%), and the second-worst year 4.3% (minimum 10%), and gross margin fell 28.4 percentage points (limit 4).
Each $1 of profit left $1.20 for owners over five years (minimum $0.80).
Share growth was 5.1% over ten years and 6.1% over five (either must be at most 1% a year).
Profits were backed by cash: accruals were -4.1% of assets (limit 10%).
Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 10 (at most 2), mean operating margin 61.6%, three-year average owner earnings per share 7.31 USD.
| Value range | $102.55 – $164.05 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value $139.99 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 194.43 / 139.99 = -38.9% |
| Return / year | About 8.1% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Owner cash USD 7.85/share; 6.4% growth for 5 years, then fades to 3.0%; excess cash USD 0.34/share today. |
| Required return | 10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value |