8 loss years were recorded (limit 2), and average operating margin was negative (must be zero or higher), and margins varied 138.3% around their average (limit 35%).
- 8y median
- -1238.0%
- Worst year
- -12024.0%
- Latest · 2026
- 0.4%
# Elevra Lithium (ELV.AU) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/ELV.AU Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:46:44.559Z. Financial observations: FY2014–FY2026. Listing currency: AUD. Reporting currency: USD. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: fail; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: AUD 3.90 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. ## Checklist ### understandable: fail - 2 revenue declines in the last 10 years (informational) - more than 2 net loss years - negative average operating margin - operating margin variation exceeds 0.35 - Financial history: 10 years - Years with declining revenue: 2 - Years with a net loss: 8 - Operating margin variation: 1.38× Chart: Operating margin; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: -120.24× - FY2018: -27.29× - FY2019: -18.29× - FY2020: -48.81× - FY2021: -6.47× - FY2024: -0.46× - FY2025: -0.52× - FY2026: 0.00× ### moat: fail - ROIC median below threshold - ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed) - ROIC, median of available years: -10.2% - ROIC, second-lowest year: -14.0% - Years with nonpositive capital: 0 - Capital spending / revenue: 2693.7% - ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: -18.8% Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: -18.1% - FY2018: -13.8% - FY2019: -9.2% - FY2020: -11.2% - FY2021: -12.7% - FY2022: -4.7% - FY2023: -2.0% - FY2024: -8.0% - FY2025: -14.0% - FY2026: 0.1% ### economics: fail - owner earnings cash conversion below threshold - incremental invested capital return below threshold - working capital as a share of revenue rose more than 10pp and ends positive - Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No - Owner earnings, five-year total: -$431M - Net income, five-year total: -$182M - Return on incremental invested capital: 0.4% - Working capital / revenue, annual change: 185.4 pp - Working capital / revenue, change between three-year averages: 1318.9 pp - Working capital / revenue, final three-year average: 35.1% Chart: Owner earnings · five years; fiscal year observations. - FY2022: -$98M - FY2023: -$130M - FY2024: -$68M - FY2025: -$178M - FY2026: $43M ### management: fail - Historical market-dollar context (not the management verdict): 2017 to 2026 (9 years) - potential debt-funded buybacks (informational) - buybacks unrelated to price (informational) - ROIC first 3 years vs last 3 years: -13.8% vs -8.0% - Per-share earnings: -0.35 to -0.99 (three-year endpoint medians) - per-share value declined or ends nonpositive - five-year and ten-year diluted share growth both above threshold - Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes - Ordinary dilution, 10-year annual growth: 46.4% - Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: 33.8% - Market cap gain: $1.3B - Cumulative retained earnings: -$172M - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 46.4% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 33.8% - $1 test, starting fiscal year: FY2017 - $1 test, ending fiscal year: FY2026 - Per-share value change: -$0.64 - Per-share value, starting three-year median: -$0.35 - Per-share value, ending three-year median: -$0.99 - Buybacks concentrated in cheaper years (correlation): -0.07 - Average buyback yield: 2.2% - Buyback history: 8 years - Debt-funded buybacks: Yes - Acquisition spending: $73M - Cumulative net income, 10 years: -$199M - ROIC, first three-year median: -13.8% - ROIC, last three-year median: -8.0% Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: -$0.35 - FY2018: -$0.20 - FY2019: -$0.17 - FY2020: -$0.28 - FY2021: -$0.10 - FY2022: $0.74 - FY2023: -$0.11 - FY2024: -$0.99 - FY2025: -$2.53 - FY2026: $0.22 ### accounting: fail - latest-year receivables to sales index (DSRI) exceeds 1.465 - earnings not backed by cash - Sloan accruals: 6.3% - Receivables to sales index (DSRI): 2.36× - Earnings backed by cash: No - Operating cash / earnings: -1.01× - Accounting red flags: 1 - Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 0.00× Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: -2.2% - FY2018: -3.4% - FY2019: 1.7% - FY2020: -8.2% - FY2021: 9.5% - FY2023: 3.8% - FY2024: -0.6% - FY2025: -27.7% - FY2026: 6.3% ## Holders ## Price story Down 92% since Apr 2022 · sales +39.1% Story as of 2026-10-16T10:00:13.596Z; price observation 2026-10-15. ### Sales · FY2025–2026 sales +39.1%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16. - FY2017: $15K - FY2018: $79K - FY2019: $124K - FY2020: $60K - FY2021: $645K - FY2023: $0 - FY2024: $134M - FY2025: $145M - FY2026: $202M ### Gross margin · FY2026 gross margin 95.5%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16. - FY2017: 51.4% - FY2018: 91.6% - FY2019: 92.5% - FY2020: 11.4% - FY2021: 92.0% - FY2024: 88.8% - FY2025: 65.9% - FY2026: 95.5% ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in other industrial metals & mining; annual sales are USD 201.7 million. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/DML2.F.json#2026-06-30 (filed 2026-10-16T07:46:44.559Z); FY2026: revenue 201675000; grossProfit 192531000; margin = grossProfit / revenue. ### Why customers stay Margins ranged from 65.9% to 95.5% during 2024–26; it lost 10.2% on its capital. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/DML2.F.json#2024-06-30 (filed 2026-10-16T07:46:44.559Z); FY2024: grossProfit / revenue = 88.8%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/DML2.F.json#2025-06-30 (filed 2026-10-16T07:46:44.559Z); FY2025: grossProfit / revenue = 65.9%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/DML2.F.json#2026-06-30 (filed 2026-10-16T07:46:44.559Z); FY2026: grossProfit / revenue = 95.5%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:46:44.559Z); 10-year return on capital observations [[2017,-0.1806270402303774],[2018,-0.13782991462432365],[2019,-0.09245071319336197],[2020,-0.11233891388199284],[2021,-0.1270977776751453],[2022,-0.04670828951385696],[2023,-0.019529460211504687],[2024,-0.08043360179889528],[2025,-0.13991548368901005],[2026,0.0009249928574265857]]; median -0.1023948135376774. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Reinvests 0.9% of cash earnings; paid no dividends in 6 years. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/DML2.F.json#2026-06-30 (filed 2026-10-16T07:46:44.559Z); FY2026: growth capex 397000; upkeep 23630000; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 43068000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.009217980867465404. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:46:44.559Z); Dividend observations: [[2017,0],[2018,0],[2019,0],[2020,0],[2021,0],[2026,0]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 4.4% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); ELV.AU SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 4.405 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What the price says The price is 2.6 times annual sales. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:46:44.559Z); Closing price 3.9 AUD; reporting-to-trading FX 1.4454626926079037; FY2026 annual sales per share 1.0448353172459623; price multiple 2.582318912335203. FY2026 cash earnings/share 0.22312615566207566. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (AUD per share) - 2016-11: AUD 3.22 per share - 2016-12: AUD 4.16 per share - 2017-01: AUD 4.16 per share - 2017-02: AUD 3.63 per share - 2017-03: AUD 3.22 per share - 2017-04: AUD 2.69 per share - 2017-05: AUD 2.28 per share - 2017-06: AUD 2.01 per share - 2017-07: AUD 2.15 per share - 2017-08: AUD 2.01 per share - 2017-09: AUD 1.48 per share - 2017-10: AUD 4.12 per share - 2017-11: AUD 7.40 per share - 2017-12: AUD 9.96 per share - 2018-01: AUD 9.81 per share - 2018-02: AUD 8.96 per share - 2018-03: AUD 8.25 per share - 2018-04: AUD 7.40 per share - 2018-05: AUD 6.83 per share - 2018-06: AUD 5.69 per share - 2018-07: AUD 5.83 per share - 2018-08: AUD 4.84 per share - 2018-09: AUD 4.84 per share - 2018-10: AUD 3.70 per share - 2018-11: AUD 3.27 per share - 2018-12: AUD 2.84 per share - 2019-01: AUD 2.84 per share - 2019-02: AUD 3.41 per share - 2019-03: AUD 2.56 per share - 2019-04: AUD 1.99 per share - 2019-05: AUD 1.42 per share - 2019-06: AUD 1.14 per share - 2019-07: AUD 1.14 per share - 2019-08: AUD 1.14 per share - 2019-09: AUD 1.42 per share - 2019-10: AUD 1.49 per share - 2019-11: AUD 1.42 per share - 2019-12: AUD 1.56 per share - 2020-01: AUD 2.42 per share - 2020-02: AUD 1.56 per share - 2020-03: AUD 1.16 per share - 2020-04: AUD 1.02 per share - 2020-05: AUD 1.02 per share - 2020-06: AUD 1.02 per share - 2020-07: AUD 1.16 per share - 2020-08: AUD 1.16 per share - 2020-09: AUD 1.45 per share - 2020-10: AUD 1.16 per share - 2020-11: AUD 1.16 per share - 2020-12: AUD 1.31 per share - 2021-01: AUD 6.11 per share - 2021-02: AUD 4.51 per share - 2021-03: AUD 5.39 per share - 2021-04: AUD 5.69 per share - 2021-05: AUD 6.29 per share - 2021-06: AUD 13.03 per share - 2021-07: AUD 12.28 per share - 2021-08: AUD 22.46 per share - 2021-09: AUD 26.20 per share - 2021-10: AUD 24.00 per share - 2021-11: AUD 22.50 per share - 2021-12: AUD 19.50 per share - 2022-01: AUD 18.00 per share - 2022-02: AUD 16.87 per share - 2022-03: AUD 36.00 per share - 2022-04: AUD 48.00 per share - 2022-05: AUD 33.00 per share - 2022-06: AUD 22.50 per share - 2022-07: AUD 29.25 per share - 2022-08: AUD 44.25 per share - 2022-09: AUD 35.25 per share - 2022-10: AUD 35.25 per share - 2022-11: AUD 34.50 per share - 2022-12: AUD 28.50 per share - 2023-01: AUD 39.00 per share - 2023-02: AUD 35.25 per share - 2023-03: AUD 30.75 per share - 2023-04: AUD 30.00 per share - 2023-05: AUD 27.00 per share - 2023-06: AUD 26.25 per share - 2023-07: AUD 21.75 per share - 2023-08: AUD 16.50 per share - 2023-09: AUD 13.95 per share - 2023-10: AUD 11.25 per share - 2023-11: AUD 9.90 per share - 2023-12: AUD 10.65 per share - 2024-01: AUD 6.00 per share - 2024-02: AUD 6.00 per share - 2024-03: AUD 5.85 per share - 2024-04: AUD 5.10 per share - 2024-05: AUD 6.75 per share - 2024-06: AUD 5.40 per share - 2024-07: AUD 4.65 per share - 2024-08: AUD 4.05 per share - 2024-09: AUD 5.25 per share - 2024-10: AUD 5.10 per share - 2024-11: AUD 4.80 per share - 2024-12: AUD 4.05 per share - 2025-01: AUD 3.45 per share - 2025-02: AUD 2.85 per share - 2025-03: AUD 2.70 per share - 2025-04: AUD 2.85 per share - 2025-05: AUD 2.40 per share - 2025-06: AUD 2.25 per share - 2025-07: AUD 3.15 per share - 2025-08: AUD 3.90 per share - 2025-09: AUD 3.60 per share - 2025-10: AUD 4.45 per share - 2025-11: AUD 5.78 per share - 2025-12: AUD 8.04 per share - 2026-01: AUD 6.70 per share - 2026-02: AUD 8.16 per share - 2026-03: AUD 8.36 per share - 2026-04: AUD 13.58 per share - 2026-05: AUD 12.89 per share - 2026-06: AUD 9.60 per share - 2026-07: AUD 7.46 per share - 2026-08: AUD 8.25 per share - 2026-09: AUD 5.65 per share - 2026-10: AUD 4.34 per share ## Annual estimated value (AUD per share) Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates ## Sources Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
ELV · AU
S&P/ASX 200
Not a wonderful business
5 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.
8 loss years were recorded (limit 2), and average operating margin was negative (must be zero or higher), and margins varied 138.3% around their average (limit 35%).
Capital return excluding acquisitions: median -10.2% (minimum 15%), and the second-worst year -14% (minimum 10%).
Owners received -431.3 million over five years (must be positive), and new investment earned 0.4% (minimum 12%), and working capital rose 1318.9% of sales (limit 10%) to 35.1% (waived at zero or below).
Per-share value fell from -0.35 to -0.99, comparing three-year medians at each end (must rise and stay positive), and share growth was 46.4% over ten years and 33.8% over five (either must be at most 1% a year).
Receivables grew 2.359 times as fast as sales (limit 1.465), and profits lacked the required cash backing.
Profit record · fail 8 loss years in 10 (at most 2), mean operating margin -2775.9%, three-year average owner earnings per share -1.04 USD. 8 loss years in the last 10; at most 2 allowed. Mean operating margin over the last ten years is negative. Three-year average owner earnings per share is not positive.