# Emerald Resources NL (EMR.AU)

Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/EMR.AU

Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:39:27.105Z. Financial observations: FY2005–FY2026.

Listing currency: AUD. Reporting currency: AUD.

## Verdict

Not a wonderful business

Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: fail; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no.

Share price: AUD 6.27 per share; close as of 2026-10-15.

Estimated value: low AUD 4.50 per share, central AUD 6.15 per share, high AUD 7.12 per share. Buy at or below the central value AUD 6.15 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:39:27.105Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals.

Expected annual return: 9.9% at the stated quote. About 9.9% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; AU 10-year bond 5.2% + 4 points).

## Checklist

### understandable: fail

- 4 revenue declines in the last 10 years (informational)

- more than 2 net loss years

- negative average operating margin

- operating margin variation exceeds 0.35

- Financial history: 10 years

- Years with declining revenue: 4

- Years with a net loss: 5

- Operating margin variation: 1.94×

Chart: Operating margin; fiscal year observations.

- FY2017: -33.92×

- FY2018: -81.57×

- FY2019: -34.67×

- FY2020: -36.21×

- FY2021: -363.33×

- FY2022: 0.44×

- FY2023: 0.36×

- FY2024: 0.42×

- FY2025: 0.40×

- FY2026: 0.61×

### moat: fail

- ROIC median below threshold

- ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed)

- ROIC, median of available years: 9.3%

- ROIC, second-lowest year: -19.1%

- Typical minus recent gross margin: -5.8 pp

- Typical gross margin (annual median): 51.8%

- Recent gross margin (lower of latest and 3-year median): 57.6%

- Years with nonpositive capital: 0

- Capital spending / revenue: 14.5%

- ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: -3.6%

Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations.

- FY2017: -18.0%

- FY2018: -17.3%

- FY2019: -19.1%

- FY2020: -21.5%

- FY2021: -3.4%

- FY2022: 22.1%

- FY2023: 24.4%

- FY2024: 22.4%

- FY2025: 23.7%

- FY2026: 51.0%

### economics: fail

- working capital as a share of revenue rose more than 10pp and ends positive

- Owner earnings / net income, 5-yr: 1.20×

- Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No

- Owner earnings, five-year total: AUD 645M

- Net income, five-year total: AUD 536M

- Return on incremental invested capital: 392.8%

- Working capital / revenue, annual change: 129.0 pp

- Working capital / revenue, change between three-year averages: 331.2 pp

- Working capital / revenue, final three-year average: 7.8%

Chart: Annual owner cash / profit; fiscal year observations.

- FY2022: 1.00×

- FY2023: 1.57×

- FY2024: 1.37×

- FY2025: 1.20×

- FY2026: 1.10×

### management: fail

- Historical market-dollar context (not the management verdict): 2017 to 2026 (9 years)

- potential debt-funded buybacks (informational)

- buybacks unrelated to price (informational)

- ROIC first 3 years vs last 3 years: -18.0% vs 23.7%

- Per-share earnings: -0.04 to 0.13 (three-year endpoint medians)

- five-year and ten-year diluted share growth both above threshold

- Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes

- Ordinary dilution, 10-year annual growth: 14.7%

- Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: 4.4%

- Market cap gain: AUD 3.6B

- Cumulative retained earnings: AUD 487M

- Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 14.7%

- Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 4.4%

- $1 test, starting fiscal year: FY2017

- $1 test, ending fiscal year: FY2026

- Per-share value change: AUD 0.17

- Per-share value, starting three-year median: AUD -0.04

- Per-share value, ending three-year median: AUD 0.13

- Buybacks concentrated in cheaper years (correlation): -0.63

- Average buyback yield: 0.2%

- Buyback history: 9 years

- Debt-funded buybacks: Yes

- Acquisition spending: AUD 0

- Cumulative net income, 10 years: AUD 479M

- ROIC, first three-year median: -18.0%

- ROIC, last three-year median: 23.7%

Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations.

- FY2017: AUD -0.04

- FY2018: AUD -0.05

- FY2019: AUD -0.02

- FY2020: AUD -0.02

- FY2021: AUD -0.03

- FY2022: AUD 0.07

- FY2023: AUD 0.09

- FY2024: AUD 0.13

- FY2025: AUD 0.13

- FY2026: AUD 0.39

### accounting: pass

- Sloan accruals: -5.6%

- Receivables to sales index (DSRI): 0.70×

- Restructuring years, last five: 0

- Stock compensation / operating cash flow: 0.0%

- Earnings backed by cash: Yes

- Operating cash / earnings: 1.25×

- Accounting red flags: 0

- Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 0.00×

Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations.

- FY2017: 2.5%

- FY2018: -11.5%

- FY2019: -1.4%

- FY2020: -1.4%

- FY2021: -2.9%

- FY2022: -3.9%

- FY2023: -7.3%

- FY2024: -10.1%

- FY2025: -8.9%

- FY2026: -5.6%

## Holders

## Price story

Price needs cash profits to grow 6.7% a year for ten years · sales +37.4%

Story as of 2026-10-16T10:00:10.789Z; price observation 2026-10-15.

Price needs cash profits to grow 6.7% a year for ten years

### Sales · FY2025–2026

sales +37.4%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16.

- FY2017: AUD 253K 

- FY2018: AUD 90K 

- FY2019: AUD 249K 

- FY2020: AUD 240K 

- FY2021: AUD 24K 

- FY2022: AUD 206M 

- FY2023: AUD 298M 

- FY2024: AUD 366M 

- FY2025: AUD 438M 

- FY2026: AUD 602M 

### Gross margin · FY2026

gross margin 62.1%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16.

- FY2017: 78.9% 

- FY2018: 11.1% 

- FY2019: 73.4% 

- FY2020: 75.8% 

- FY2022: 46.0% 

- FY2023: 38.6% 

- FY2024: 44.1% 

- FY2025: 57.6% 

- FY2026: 62.1% 

## Owner memo

Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z.

### How it makes money

Operates in gold; annual sales are AUD 601.8 million.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:39:27.105Z); FY2026: revenue 601794000; grossProfit 373879000; margin = grossProfit / revenue.

### Why customers stay

Margins ranged from 44.1% to 62.1% during 2024–26; it earns 9.3% on its capital.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:39:27.105Z); FY2024: grossProfit / revenue = 44.1%.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:39:27.105Z); FY2025: grossProfit / revenue = 57.6%.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:39:27.105Z); FY2026: grossProfit / revenue = 62.1%.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:39:27.105Z); 10-year return on capital observations [[2017,-0.1799106244370788],[2018,-0.17294098939583571],[2019,-0.19122927162193648],[2020,-0.21545454545454545],[2021,-0.03444193348399096],[2022,0.22074197185363878],[2023,0.244222231352327],[2024,0.22396118314968386],[2025,0.23665028656425427],[2026,0.5104575306122179]]; median 0.0931500191848239. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity.

### Where the cash goes

Paid dividends in 3 of 10 years; bought back AUD 46000 of shares.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:39:27.105Z); FY2022: growth capex 16369000; upkeep 31066000; owner earnings 45366000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.3608208790724331.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:39:27.105Z); FY2023: growth capex 0; upkeep 8606000; owner earnings 93203000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:39:27.105Z); FY2024: growth capex 0; upkeep 5885000; owner earnings 115345000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:39:27.105Z); FY2025: growth capex 0; upkeep 17714000; owner earnings 104796800. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:39:27.105Z); FY2026: growth capex 0; upkeep 7664000; owner earnings 285800999. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:39:27.105Z); Dividend observations: [[2017,0],[2018,0],[2019,0],[2020,3657000],[2021,0],[2022,36741000],[2023,26641000],[2024,0],[2025,0],[2026,0]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:39:27.105Z); FY2026: cash repurchases 46000 AUD.

### Are managers owners

Insiders own 20.6% of the company.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); EMR.AU SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 20.633000000000003 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16.

### What the price says

The price assumes cash profits grow 6.7% yearly over ten years.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:39:27.105Z); Ten-year compound average after fade. Initial solved rate 0.0837777509136376. Price 6.27; FX 1; discount 0.1; same standard ten-year fade to terminal 0.03. FY2016 owner earnings/share -0.00796841052114352 → FY2026 0.42875730126275935. Closing-price date 2026-10-15.

## Monthly share-price history (AUD per share)

- 2016-11: AUD 0.43 per share

- 2016-12: AUD 0.42 per share

- 2017-01: AUD 0.46 per share

- 2017-02: AUD 0.46 per share

- 2017-03: AUD 0.47 per share

- 2017-04: AUD 0.47 per share

- 2017-05: AUD 0.42 per share

- 2017-06: AUD 0.40 per share

- 2017-07: AUD 0.43 per share

- 2017-08: AUD 0.44 per share

- 2017-09: AUD 0.44 per share

- 2017-10: AUD 0.46 per share

- 2017-11: AUD 0.41 per share

- 2017-12: AUD 0.40 per share

- 2018-01: AUD 0.41 per share

- 2018-02: AUD 0.40 per share

- 2018-03: AUD 0.36 per share

- 2018-04: AUD 0.35 per share

- 2018-05: AUD 0.39 per share

- 2018-06: AUD 0.34 per share

- 2018-07: AUD 0.36 per share

- 2018-08: AUD 0.40 per share

- 2018-09: AUD 0.35 per share

- 2018-10: AUD 0.34 per share

- 2018-11: AUD 0.27 per share

- 2018-12: AUD 0.30 per share

- 2019-01: AUD 0.38 per share

- 2019-02: AUD 0.43 per share

- 2019-03: AUD 0.42 per share

- 2019-04: AUD 0.43 per share

- 2019-05: AUD 0.39 per share

- 2019-06: AUD 0.38 per share

- 2019-07: AUD 0.35 per share

- 2019-08: AUD 0.38 per share

- 2019-09: AUD 0.41 per share

- 2019-10: AUD 0.42 per share

- 2019-11: AUD 0.43 per share

- 2019-12: AUD 0.40 per share

- 2020-01: AUD 0.49 per share

- 2020-02: AUD 0.40 per share

- 2020-03: AUD 0.27 per share

- 2020-04: AUD 0.50 per share

- 2020-05: AUD 0.46 per share

- 2020-06: AUD 0.54 per share

- 2020-07: AUD 0.62 per share

- 2020-08: AUD 0.65 per share

- 2020-09: AUD 0.60 per share

- 2020-10: AUD 0.61 per share

- 2020-11: AUD 0.58 per share

- 2020-12: AUD 0.85 per share

- 2021-01: AUD 0.81 per share

- 2021-02: AUD 0.80 per share

- 2021-03: AUD 0.77 per share

- 2021-04: AUD 1.00 per share

- 2021-05: AUD 1.07 per share

- 2021-06: AUD 0.90 per share

- 2021-07: AUD 0.90 per share

- 2021-08: AUD 0.80 per share

- 2021-09: AUD 0.96 per share

- 2021-10: AUD 0.96 per share

- 2021-11: AUD 1.07 per share

- 2021-12: AUD 1.08 per share

- 2022-01: AUD 1.07 per share

- 2022-02: AUD 1.12 per share

- 2022-03: AUD 1.14 per share

- 2022-04: AUD 1.20 per share

- 2022-05: AUD 1.24 per share

- 2022-06: AUD 1.10 per share

- 2022-07: AUD 1.07 per share

- 2022-08: AUD 1.17 per share

- 2022-09: AUD 1.08 per share

- 2022-10: AUD 1.13 per share

- 2022-11: AUD 1.13 per share

- 2022-12: AUD 1.18 per share

- 2023-01: AUD 1.38 per share

- 2023-02: AUD 1.32 per share

- 2023-03: AUD 1.46 per share

- 2023-04: AUD 1.93 per share

- 2023-05: AUD 1.88 per share

- 2023-06: AUD 2.05 per share

- 2023-07: AUD 2.27 per share

- 2023-08: AUD 2.37 per share

- 2023-09: AUD 2.70 per share

- 2023-10: AUD 2.59 per share

- 2023-11: AUD 2.85 per share

- 2023-12: AUD 3.01 per share

- 2024-01: AUD 3.34 per share

- 2024-02: AUD 2.77 per share

- 2024-03: AUD 2.93 per share

- 2024-04: AUD 3.54 per share

- 2024-05: AUD 3.72 per share

- 2024-06: AUD 3.53 per share

- 2024-07: AUD 3.70 per share

- 2024-08: AUD 4.00 per share

- 2024-09: AUD 3.86 per share

- 2024-10: AUD 4.22 per share

- 2024-11: AUD 3.62 per share

- 2024-12: AUD 3.25 per share

- 2025-01: AUD 4.33 per share

- 2025-02: AUD 3.98 per share

- 2025-03: AUD 3.70 per share

- 2025-04: AUD 4.01 per share

- 2025-05: AUD 4.75 per share

- 2025-06: AUD 3.92 per share

- 2025-07: AUD 3.45 per share

- 2025-08: AUD 3.78 per share

- 2025-09: AUD 5.02 per share

- 2025-10: AUD 4.74 per share

- 2025-11: AUD 5.32 per share

- 2025-12: AUD 6.32 per share

- 2026-01: AUD 7.45 per share

- 2026-02: AUD 7.08 per share

- 2026-03: AUD 5.37 per share

- 2026-04: AUD 5.78 per share

- 2026-05: AUD 5.92 per share

- 2026-06: AUD 5.49 per share

- 2026-07: AUD 5.39 per share

- 2026-08: AUD 6.97 per share

- 2026-09: AUD 6.97 per share

- 2026-10: AUD 6.54 per share

## Annual estimated value (AUD per share)

- FY2024: low AUD 1.86 per share, central AUD 2.56 per share, high AUD 2.97 per share

- FY2025: low AUD 2.43 per share, central AUD 3.35 per share, high AUD 3.89 per share

- FY2026: low AUD 4.48 per share, central AUD 6.12 per share, high AUD 7.08 per share

Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year

Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year

Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates

Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:45:00.890Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period.

## Sources

Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.

Emerald Resources NL

EMR · AU

S&P/ASX 200

Not a wonderful business

4 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.

Share price: AUD 6.27
Buy up to: AUD 6.15
Expected / yr: 9.9% at today's price (10.0% at central value)

The business

How it makes money
Why customers stay
Where the cash goes
Are managers owners
What the price says

1. Is this a good business?

Evidence only; not required for Buy

5 loss years were recorded (limit 2), and average operating margin was negative (must be zero or higher), and margins varied 193.6% around their average (limit 35%).

Operating margin

10y median: -1678.1%
Worst year: -36333.3%
Latest · 2026: 61.2%

Capital return excluding acquisitions: median 9.3% (minimum 15%), and the second-worst year -19.1% (minimum 10%).

ROIC excluding acquisitions

10y median: 9.3%
Worst year: -21.5%
Latest · 2026: 51.0%

Working capital rose 331.2% of sales (limit 10%) to 7.8% (waived at zero or below).

Annual owner cash / profit

Five-year totals: 1.20×
Annual median: 1.20×
Latest · 2026: 1.10×

Share growth was 14.7% over ten years and 4.4% over five (either must be at most 1% a year).

Earnings per share

10y median: AUD 0.02
Worst year: AUD -0.05
Latest · 2026: AUD 0.39

Profits were backed by cash: accruals were -5.6% of assets (limit 10%).

Sloan accruals

10y median: -4.8%
Worst year: 2.5%
Latest · 2026: -5.6%

Profit record · fail 5 loss years in 10 (at most 2), mean operating margin -5474.8%, three-year average owner earnings per share 0.25 AUD. 5 loss years in the last 10; at most 2 allowed. Mean operating margin over the last ten years is negative.

2. Is the price low enough?

PriceEstimated rangeBuy price

2016-11 · Price AUD 0.43; 2016-12 · Price AUD 0.42; 2017-01 · Price AUD 0.46; 2017-02 · Price AUD 0.46; 2017-03 · Price AUD 0.47; 2017-04 · Price AUD 0.47; 2017-05 · Price AUD 0.42; 2017-06 · Price AUD 0.40; 2017-07 · Price AUD 0.43; 2017-08 · Price AUD 0.44; 2017-09 · Price AUD 0.44; 2017-10 · Price AUD 0.46; 2017-11 · Price AUD 0.41; 2017-12 · Price AUD 0.40; 2018-01 · Price AUD 0.41; 2018-02 · Price AUD 0.40; 2018-03 · Price AUD 0.36; 2018-04 · Price AUD 0.35; 2018-05 · Price AUD 0.39; 2018-06 · Price AUD 0.34; 2018-07 · Price AUD 0.36; 2018-08 · Price AUD 0.40; 2018-09 · Price AUD 0.35; 2018-10 · Price AUD 0.34; 2018-11 · Price AUD 0.27; 2018-12 · Price AUD 0.30; 2019-01 · Price AUD 0.38; 2019-02 · Price AUD 0.43; 2019-03 · Price AUD 0.42; 2019-04 · Price AUD 0.43; 2019-05 · Price AUD 0.39; 2019-06 · Price AUD 0.38; 2019-07 · Price AUD 0.35; 2019-08 · Price AUD 0.38; 2019-09 · Price AUD 0.41; 2019-10 · Price AUD 0.42; 2019-11 · Price AUD 0.43; 2019-12 · Price AUD 0.40; 2020-01 · Price AUD 0.49; 2020-02 · Price AUD 0.40; 2020-03 · Price AUD 0.27; 2020-04 · Price AUD 0.50; 2020-05 · Price AUD 0.46; 2020-06 · Price AUD 0.54; 2020-07 · Price AUD 0.62; 2020-08 · Price AUD 0.65; 2020-09 · Price AUD 0.60; 2020-10 · Price AUD 0.61; 2020-11 · Price AUD 0.58; 2020-12 · Price AUD 0.85; 2021-01 · Price AUD 0.81; 2021-02 · Price AUD 0.80; 2021-03 · Price AUD 0.77; 2021-04 · Price AUD 1.00; 2021-05 · Price AUD 1.07; 2021-06 · Price AUD 0.90; 2021-07 · Price AUD 0.90; 2021-08 · Price AUD 0.80; 2021-09 · Price AUD 0.96; 2021-10 · Price AUD 0.96; 2021-11 · Price AUD 1.07; 2021-12 · Price AUD 1.08; 2022-01 · Price AUD 1.07; 2022-02 · Price AUD 1.12; 2022-03 · Price AUD 1.14; 2022-04 · Price AUD 1.20; 2022-05 · Price AUD 1.24; 2022-06 · Price AUD 1.10; 2022-07 · Price AUD 1.07; 2022-08 · Price AUD 1.17; 2022-09 · Price AUD 1.08; 2022-10 · Price AUD 1.13; 2022-11 · Price AUD 1.13; 2022-12 · Price AUD 1.18; 2023-01 · Price AUD 1.38; 2023-02 · Price AUD 1.32; 2023-03 · Price AUD 1.46; 2023-04 · Price AUD 1.93; 2023-05 · Price AUD 1.88; 2023-06 · Price AUD 2.05; 2023-07 · Price AUD 2.27; 2023-08 · Price AUD 2.37; 2023-09 · Price AUD 2.70; 2023-10 · Price AUD 2.59; 2023-11 · Price AUD 2.85; 2023-12 · Price AUD 3.01; 2024-01 · Price AUD 3.34 · Value 2.56 · Buy at or below 2.56; 2024-02 · Price AUD 2.77 · Value 2.56 · Buy at or below 2.56; 2024-03 · Price AUD 2.93 · Value 2.56 · Buy at or below 2.56; 2024-04 · Price AUD 3.54 · Value 2.56 · Buy at or below 2.56; 2024-05 · Price AUD 3.72 · Value 2.56 · Buy at or below 2.56; 2024-06 · Price AUD 3.53 · Value 2.56 · Buy at or below 2.56; 2024-07 · Price AUD 3.70 · Value 2.56 · Buy at or below 2.56; 2024-08 · Price AUD 4.00 · Value 2.56 · Buy at or below 2.56; 2024-09 · Price AUD 3.86 · Value 2.56 · Buy at or below 2.56; 2024-10 · Price AUD 4.22 · Value 2.56 · Buy at or below 2.56; 2024-11 · Price AUD 3.62 · Value 2.56 · Buy at or below 2.56; 2024-12 · Price AUD 3.25 · Value 2.56 · Buy at or below 2.56; 2025-01 · Price AUD 4.33 · Value 2.56 · Buy at or below 2.56; 2025-02 · Price AUD 3.98 · Value 3.35 · Buy at or below 3.35; 2025-03 · Price AUD 3.70 · Value 3.35 · Buy at or below 3.35; 2025-04 · Price AUD 4.01 · Value 3.35 · Buy at or below 3.35; 2025-05 · Price AUD 4.75 · Value 3.35 · Buy at or below 3.35; 2025-06 · Price AUD 3.92 · Value 3.35 · Buy at or below 3.35; 2025-07 · Price AUD 3.45 · Value 3.35 · Buy at or below 3.35; 2025-08 · Price AUD 3.78 · Value 3.35 · Buy at or below 3.35; 2025-09 · Price AUD 5.02 · Value 3.35 · Buy at or below 3.35; 2025-10 · Price AUD 4.74 · Value 3.35 · Buy at or below 3.35; 2025-11 · Price AUD 5.32 · Value 3.35 · Buy at or below 3.35; 2025-12 · Price AUD 6.32 · Value 3.35 · Buy at or below 3.35; 2026-01 · Price AUD 7.45 · Value 3.35 · Buy at or below 3.35; 2026-02 · Price AUD 7.08 · Value 6.12 · Buy at or below 6.12; 2026-03 · Price AUD 5.37 · Value 6.12 · Buy at or below 6.12; 2026-04 · Price AUD 5.78 · Value 6.12 · Buy at or below 6.12; 2026-05 · Price AUD 5.92 · Value 6.12 · Buy at or below 6.12; 2026-06 · Price AUD 5.49 · Value 6.12 · Buy at or below 6.12; 2026-07 · Price AUD 5.39 · Value 6.12 · Buy at or below 6.12; 2026-08 · Price AUD 6.97 · Value 6.12 · Buy at or below 6.12; 2026-09 · Price AUD 6.97 · Value 6.12 · Buy at or below 6.12; 2026-10 · Price AUD 6.54 · Value 6.12 · Buy at or below 6.12; 2026-10 · Price AUD 6.27 · Value 6.12 · Buy at or below 6.12

AUD per share · annual estimates

Price & return math
Value range	AUD 4.50 – AUD 7.12
Buy at or below	Central value AUD 6.15
Discount to value	1 − 6.27 / 6.15 = -1.9%
Return / year	About 9.9% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%)
Cash-flow inputs	Owner cash AUD 0.28/share; 8.0% growth for 5 years, then fades to 3.0%; excess cash AUD 0.64/share today.
Required return	10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value

RevenueAUD 602M

Revenue

Owner earningsAUD 286M

Owner earnings

Operating margin61.2%

Operating margin

Net cash / debtAUD 402M

Net cash / debt

Diluted shares667M

Diluted shares

Prices 15 Oct 2026 · FY2026