# Fincantieri (FCT.MI)

Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/FCT.MI

Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:37:30.604Z. Financial observations: FY2019–FY2025.

Listing currency: EUR. Reporting currency: EUR.

## Verdict

Not a wonderful business

Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: fail; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no.

Share price: EUR 12.27 per share; close as of 2026-10-14.

## Checklist

### understandable: fail

- 0 revenue declines in the last 10 years (informational)

- more than 2 net loss years

- operating margin variation exceeds 0.35

- Financial history: 7 years

- Years with declining revenue: 0

- Years with a net loss: 4

- Operating margin variation: 1.19×

Chart: Operating margin; fiscal year observations.

- FY2019: 0.01×

- FY2020: -0.01×

- FY2021: 0.04×

- FY2022: -0.01×

- FY2023: 0.03×

- FY2024: 0.04×

- FY2025: 0.01×

### moat: fail

- ROIC median below threshold

- ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed)

- Recent gross margin fell 14.3pp below the typical margin (limit 4pp)

- ROIC, median of available years: 3.1%

- ROIC, second-lowest year: -1.1%

- Typical minus recent gross margin: 14.3 pp

- Typical gross margin (annual median): 20.7%

- Recent gross margin (lower of latest and 3-year median): 6.5%

- Years with nonpositive capital: 0

- Capital spending / revenue: 4.4%

- ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: -1.7%

Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations.

- FY2019: 2.3%

- FY2020: -1.1%

- FY2021: 6.0%

- FY2022: -2.3%

- FY2023: 5.6%

- FY2024: 11.7%

- FY2025: 3.1%

### economics: fail

- owner earnings cash conversion below threshold

- Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No

- Owner earnings, five-year total: EUR -184M

- Net income, five-year total: EUR -184M

- Return on incremental invested capital: 15.6%

- Working capital / revenue, annual change: -2.3 pp

Chart: Owner earnings · five years; fiscal year observations.

- FY2021: EUR 22M

- FY2022: EUR -309M

- FY2023: EUR -55M

- FY2024: EUR 36M

- FY2025: EUR 123M

### management: pass

- buybacks unrelated to price (informational)

- ROIC first 3 years vs last 3 years: 2.3% vs 5.6%

- Per-share earnings: -0.83 to 0.14 (three-year endpoint medians)

- Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes

- Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: 13.7%

- Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 13.7%

- Per-share value change: EUR 0.97

- Per-share value, starting three-year median: EUR -0.83

- Per-share value, ending three-year median: EUR 0.14

- Buybacks concentrated in cheaper years (correlation): -0.20

- Average buyback yield: 0.3%

- Buyback history: 4 years

- Debt-funded buybacks: No

- ROIC, first three-year median: 2.3%

- ROIC, last three-year median: 5.6%

Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations.

- FY2019: EUR -0.83

- FY2020: EUR -1.41

- FY2021: EUR 0.13

- FY2022: EUR -1.80

- FY2023: EUR -0.31

- FY2024: EUR 0.14

- FY2025: EUR 0.38

### accounting: pass

- latest-year receivables to sales index (DSRI) exceeds 1.465

- Sloan accruals: -4.6%

- Receivables to sales index (DSRI): 4.04×

- Restructuring years, last five: 0

- Stock compensation / operating cash flow: 1.9%

- Earnings backed by cash: Yes

- Operating cash / earnings: 4.85×

- Accounting red flags: 1

- Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 1.05×

Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations.

- FY2019: -2.3%

- FY2020: 3.5%

- FY2021: -9.3%

- FY2022: -2.9%

- FY2023: -7.9%

- FY2024: -4.3%

- FY2025: -4.6%

## Holders

## Price story

Down 45% since Sep 2025 · sales +12.2%

Story as of 2026-10-16T10:00:09.157Z; price observation 2026-10-14.

### Sales · FY2024–2025

sales +12.2%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16.

- FY2019: EUR 5.8B 

- FY2020: EUR 5.8B 

- FY2021: EUR 6.8B 

- FY2022: EUR 7.3B 

- FY2023: EUR 7.4B 

- FY2024: EUR 8.0B 

- FY2025: EUR 8.9B 

### Gross margin · FY2025

gross margin 6.5%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16.

- FY2019: 21.7% 

- FY2020: 18.2% 

- FY2021: 21.9% 

- FY2022: 18.2% 

- FY2023: 20.7% 

- FY2024: 21.3% 

- FY2025: 6.5% 

## Owner memo

Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z.

### How it makes money

Operates in aerospace & defense; annual sales are EUR 8.9 billion.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/FNCNF.US.json#2025-12-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:30.604Z); FY2025: revenue 8919859000; grossProfit 577712542; margin = grossProfit / revenue.

### Why customers stay

Margins ranged from 6.5% to 21.3% during 2023–25; it earns 3.1% on its capital.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/FNCNF.US.json#2023-12-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:30.604Z); FY2023: grossProfit / revenue = 20.7%.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/FNCNF.US.json#2024-12-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:30.604Z); FY2024: grossProfit / revenue = 21.3%.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/FNCNF.US.json#2025-12-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:30.604Z); FY2025: grossProfit / revenue = 6.5%.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:30.604Z); 7-year return on capital observations [[2019,0.022580869060252126],[2020,-0.010808553793646335],[2021,0.0595510174041405],[2022,-0.022807596952910812],[2023,0.05561870974473777],[2024,0.11679967946879155],[2025,0.03149336037018082]]; median 0.03149336037018082. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity.

### Where the cash goes

Earns 15.6% on new investment; paid dividends in 3 of 7 years.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/FNCNF.US.json#2021-12-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:30.604Z); FY2021: growth capex 152490000; upkeep 205312000; owner earnings 21778000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 7.0020203875470655.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/FNCNF.US.json#2024-12-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:30.604Z); FY2024: growth capex 0; upkeep 263925000; cash acquisitions 48470000; owner earnings 35712000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 1.3572468637992832.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/FNCNF.US.json#2025-12-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:30.604Z); FY2025: growth capex 85497000; upkeep 307160000; cash acquisitions 448079000; owner earnings 122999000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 4.338051528874218.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:30.604Z); Incremental return on capital 0.15599959321761653, from the economics test's unchanged annual inputs.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:30.604Z); Dividend observations: [[2019,16874000],[2020,0],[2021,0],[2022,0],[2023,120000],[2024,200000],[2025,0]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/FNCNF.US.json#2025-12-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:30.604Z); FY2025: cash repurchases 7040000 EUR.

### What the price says

The price is 0.4 times annual sales.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:30.604Z); Closing price 12.270000457763672 EUR; reporting-to-trading FX 1; FY2025 annual sales per share 27.506233883813522; price multiple 0.44608071426979856. FY2025 cash earnings/share 0.37929290827076745. Closing-price date 2026-10-14.

## Monthly share-price history (EUR per share)

- 2016-11: EUR 3.23 per share

- 2016-12: EUR 3.67 per share

- 2017-01: EUR 4.26 per share

- 2017-02: EUR 4.64 per share

- 2017-03: EUR 5.49 per share

- 2017-04: EUR 6.97 per share

- 2017-05: EUR 7.01 per share

- 2017-06: EUR 7.57 per share

- 2017-07: EUR 7.74 per share

- 2017-08: EUR 7.44 per share

- 2017-09: EUR 7.89 per share

- 2017-10: EUR 8.28 per share

- 2017-11: EUR 9.30 per share

- 2017-12: EUR 9.71 per share

- 2018-01: EUR 11.16 per share

- 2018-02: EUR 10.17 per share

- 2018-03: EUR 9.23 per share

- 2018-04: EUR 10.13 per share

- 2018-05: EUR 10.49 per share

- 2018-06: EUR 9.06 per share

- 2018-07: EUR 10.01 per share

- 2018-08: EUR 9.89 per share

- 2018-09: EUR 10.84 per share

- 2018-10: EUR 9.99 per share

- 2018-11: EUR 8.06 per share

- 2018-12: EUR 7.15 per share

- 2019-01: EUR 7.83 per share

- 2019-02: EUR 9.75 per share

- 2019-03: EUR 8.50 per share

- 2019-04: EUR 8.45 per share

- 2019-05: EUR 7.14 per share

- 2019-06: EUR 7.64 per share

- 2019-07: EUR 7.26 per share

- 2019-08: EUR 7.11 per share

- 2019-09: EUR 7.55 per share

- 2019-10: EUR 7.33 per share

- 2019-11: EUR 7.02 per share

- 2019-12: EUR 7.14 per share

- 2020-01: EUR 6.36 per share

- 2020-02: EUR 5.56 per share

- 2020-03: EUR 4.34 per share

- 2020-04: EUR 5.47 per share

- 2020-05: EUR 4.70 per share

- 2020-06: EUR 4.74 per share

- 2020-07: EUR 4.46 per share

- 2020-08: EUR 4.59 per share

- 2020-09: EUR 4.26 per share

- 2020-10: EUR 3.73 per share

- 2020-11: EUR 5.04 per share

- 2020-12: EUR 4.25 per share

- 2021-01: EUR 4.01 per share

- 2021-02: EUR 5.32 per share

- 2021-03: EUR 5.42 per share

- 2021-04: EUR 4.98 per share

- 2021-05: EUR 5.86 per share

- 2021-06: EUR 5.89 per share

- 2021-07: EUR 5.59 per share

- 2021-08: EUR 5.73 per share

- 2021-09: EUR 5.55 per share

- 2021-10: EUR 5.29 per share

- 2021-11: EUR 4.57 per share

- 2021-12: EUR 4.68 per share

- 2022-01: EUR 4.38 per share

- 2022-02: EUR 4.90 per share

- 2022-03: EUR 4.83 per share

- 2022-04: EUR 4.52 per share

- 2022-05: EUR 4.50 per share

- 2022-06: EUR 4.11 per share

- 2022-07: EUR 3.97 per share

- 2022-08: EUR 3.88 per share

- 2022-09: EUR 3.61 per share

- 2022-10: EUR 3.99 per share

- 2022-11: EUR 4.29 per share

- 2022-12: EUR 4.11 per share

- 2023-01: EUR 4.69 per share

- 2023-02: EUR 4.65 per share

- 2023-03: EUR 4.59 per share

- 2023-04: EUR 4.29 per share

- 2023-05: EUR 4.03 per share

- 2023-06: EUR 3.95 per share

- 2023-07: EUR 4.05 per share

- 2023-08: EUR 3.97 per share

- 2023-09: EUR 3.65 per share

- 2023-10: EUR 3.91 per share

- 2023-11: EUR 4.13 per share

- 2023-12: EUR 4.33 per share

- 2024-01: EUR 3.80 per share

- 2024-02: EUR 3.77 per share

- 2024-03: EUR 5.27 per share

- 2024-04: EUR 5.51 per share

- 2024-05: EUR 4.57 per share

- 2024-06: EUR 4.53 per share

- 2024-07: EUR 5.15 per share

- 2024-08: EUR 5.07 per share

- 2024-09: EUR 4.65 per share

- 2024-10: EUR 5.12 per share

- 2024-11: EUR 5.94 per share

- 2024-12: EUR 6.93 per share

- 2025-01: EUR 7.51 per share

- 2025-02: EUR 9.45 per share

- 2025-03: EUR 10.27 per share

- 2025-04: EUR 11.45 per share

- 2025-05: EUR 15.71 per share

- 2025-06: EUR 16.35 per share

- 2025-07: EUR 17.01 per share

- 2025-08: EUR 20.36 per share

- 2025-09: EUR 22.34 per share

- 2025-10: EUR 22.24 per share

- 2025-11: EUR 17.01 per share

- 2025-12: EUR 16.70 per share

- 2026-01: EUR 16.00 per share

- 2026-02: EUR 14.43 per share

- 2026-03: EUR 13.08 per share

- 2026-04: EUR 11.92 per share

- 2026-05: EUR 11.84 per share

- 2026-06: EUR 9.95 per share

- 2026-07: EUR 13.56 per share

- 2026-08: EUR 12.49 per share

- 2026-09: EUR 12.04 per share

- 2026-10: EUR 12.11 per share

## Annual estimated value (EUR per share)

Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year

Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year

Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates

## Sources

Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
← Companies

Fincantieri

FCT · MI

FTSE MIB

Not a wonderful business

3 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.

Share price
EUR 12.27
Quality tests
Fail
Annual history
7 years
Market value
$5.1B

The business

How it makes money
Why customers stay
Where the cash goes
What the price says

1. Is this a good business?

Evidence only; not required for Buy

4 loss years were recorded (limit 2), and margins varied 119.3% around their average (limit 35%).

7y median
1.4%
Worst year
-1.2%
Latest · 2025
1.2%

Capital return excluding acquisitions: median 3.1% (minimum 15%), and the second-worst year -1.1% (minimum 10%), and gross margin fell 14.3 percentage points (limit 4).

7y median
3.1%
Worst year
-2.3%
Latest · 2025
3.1%

Owners received -183.6 million over five years (must be positive).

5y median
EUR 22M
Worst year
EUR -309M
Latest · 2025
EUR 123M

Per-share value rose from -0.83 to 0.14, comparing three-year medians at each end (must rise and stay positive).

7y median
EUR -0.31
Worst year
EUR -1.80
Latest · 2025
EUR 0.38

Profits were backed by cash: accruals were -4.6% of assets (limit 10%).

7y median
-4.3%
Worst year
3.5%
Latest · 2025
-4.6%

Profit record · fail 4 loss years in 7 (at most 2), mean operating margin 1.7%, three-year average owner earnings per share 0.07 EUR. 4 loss years in the last 10; at most 2 allowed.

RevenueEUR 8.9B
8.9B020192025
FY2019 · Revenue: EUR 5.8B; FY2020 · Revenue: EUR 5.8B; FY2021 · Revenue: EUR 6.8B; FY2022 · Revenue: EUR 7.3B; FY2023 · Revenue: EUR 7.4B; FY2024 · Revenue: EUR 8.0B; FY2025 · Revenue: EUR 8.9B
Revenue
Owner earningsEUR 123M
123M-406M20192025
FY2019 · Owner earnings: EUR -258M; FY2020 · Owner earnings: EUR -406M; FY2021 · Owner earnings: EUR 22M; FY2022 · Owner earnings: EUR -309M; FY2023 · Owner earnings: EUR -55M; FY2024 · Owner earnings: EUR 36M; FY2025 · Owner earnings: EUR 123M
Owner earnings
Operating margin1.2%
10.0%-1.2%20192025
FY2019 · Operating margin: 1.4%; FY2020 · Operating margin: -0.7%; FY2021 · Operating margin: 3.9%; FY2022 · Operating margin: -1.2%; FY2023 · Operating margin: 2.8%; FY2024 · Operating margin: 4.5%; FY2025 · Operating margin: 1.2%
Operating margin
Net cash / debtEUR -1.8B
1.00-2.6B20192025
FY2019 · Net cash / debt: EUR -2.1B; FY2020 · Net cash / debt: EUR -2.5B; FY2021 · Net cash / debt: EUR -2.3B; FY2022 · Net cash / debt: EUR -2.6B; FY2023 · Net cash / debt: EUR -2.6B; FY2024 · Net cash / debt: EUR -1.6B; FY2025 · Net cash / debt: EUR -1.8B
Net cash / debt
Diluted shares324M
324M020192025
FY2019 · Diluted shares: 170M; FY2020 · Diluted shares: 171M; FY2021 · Diluted shares: 171M; FY2022 · Diluted shares: 172M; FY2023 · Diluted shares: 172M; FY2024 · Diluted shares: 242M; FY2025 · Diluted shares: 324M
Diluted shares
Prices 14 Oct 2026 · FY2025