Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 9 needed).
- 10y median
- $187M
- Worst year
- $96M
- Latest · 2025
- $302M
# First Interstate BancSystem (FIBK.US) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/FIBK Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:28:30.803Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2025. Listing currency: USD. Reporting currency: USD. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: $34.81 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low $26.19 per share, central $28.81 per share, high $32.01 per share. Buy at or below the central value $28.81 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:28:30.803Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 8.3% at the stated quote. About 8.3% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; US 10-year bond 5.1% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: pass - Financial history: 10 years - Profitable years in the last ten: 10 - Required profitable years: 9 - Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.13× Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: $96M - FY2017: $107M - FY2018: $160M - FY2019: $181M - FY2020: $161M - FY2021: $192M - FY2022: $202M - FY2023: $258M - FY2024: $226M - FY2025: $302M ### moat: pass - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 12.7% - Required median return: 12.0% - Return uses tangible common equity: Yes - Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 10.7% - Cost / income, median: 63.1% - Years with reported combined ratio: 0 Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 12.7% - FY2017: 11.1% - FY2018: 14.3% - FY2019: 13.3% - FY2020: 12.3% - FY2021: 14.4% - FY2022: 10.4% - FY2023: 12.8% - FY2024: 10.7% - FY2025: 13.2% ### economics: pass - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 11.2% - Book return interval: 10 years - Starting book value per share: $16.00 - Ending book value per share: $22.30 Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 10.0% - FY2017: 15.9% - FY2018: 10.1% - FY2019: 17.3% - FY2020: 6.2% - FY2021: 13.0% - FY2022: -5.1% - FY2023: 13.4% - FY2024: 15.0% - FY2025: 18.3% ### management: fail - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - ordinary share count growth exceeds 2% annually in both the full and five-year windows - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 8.5% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 10.0% - Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 8.5% - Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 10.0% - Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0 - Book created / earnings retained after dividends and buybacks: 1.71× - Book value created per share: $6.30 - Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: $3.67 Chart: Shares (first year = 100); fiscal year observations. - FY2015: 100 - FY2016: 98 - FY2017: 114 - FY2018: 128 - FY2019: 140 - FY2020: 140 - FY2021: 135 - FY2022: 226 - FY2023: 227 - FY2024: 226 - FY2025: 225 ### accounting: fail - credit provisions persistently exceed same-year peers - Financial accounting warning count: 1 - Deposits, annualized growth: 12.0% - Known restatement years: 0 - Years loan growth exceeded twice deposit growth: 1 - Years credit losses exceeded peer median: 6 ## Holders ## Price story Down 24% since Oct 2022 · net income +33.7% Story as of 2026-10-16T09:58:45.229Z; price observation 2026-10-15. The price assumes profits grow 1.7% a year forever - 2026-01-29: FIBK Q4 Deep Dive: Restructuring, Branch Optimization, and Margin Initiatives Shape Outlook ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fibk-q4-deep-dive-restructuring-182603093.html)) ### Net income · FY2025 net income +33.7%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/860413/000086041326000011/fibk-20251231.htm; observed 2026-02-26. - FY2016: $96M - FY2017: $107M - FY2018: $160M - FY2019: $181M - FY2020: $161M - FY2021: $192M - FY2022: $202M - FY2023: $258M - FY2024: $226M - FY2025: $302M ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in regional banking; annual sales are USD 1.1 billion. - Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/860413/000086041326000011/fibk-20251231.htm#000086041326000011 (filed 2026-02-26); FY2025: revenue 1058800000. ### Why customers stay It earns 12.7% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-26); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0.1272867385468421],[2017,0.11117593645956185],[2018,0.143099598034837],[2019,0.13288304823434402],[2020,0.1226601734895754],[2021,0.14370137642130462],[2022,0.1041301884849109],[2023,0.12767117854132579],[2024,0.10707855586089264],[2025,0.1317602930914166]]; median 0.12747895854408395. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years; bought back USD 121.9 million of shares. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-26); Dividend observations: [[2016,39400000],[2017,48600000],[2018,64100000],[2019,79200000],[2020,128600000],[2021,101600000],[2022,182100000],[2023,195100000],[2024,195900000],[2025,194300000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. - Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/860413/000086041326000011/fibk-20251231.htm (filed 2026-02-26); FY2025: cash repurchases 121900000 USD. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 8.4% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); FIBK.US SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 8.417 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What the price says The price assumes profits grow 1.7% a year forever. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-26); Price 34.81; FX 1; original perpetual distributable cash 2.880804019051715; discount 0.1; growth 0.017242056332901046. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (USD per share) - 2016-10: $31.90 per share - 2016-11: $37.75 per share - 2016-12: $42.55 per share - 2017-01: $41.15 per share - 2017-02: $43.85 per share - 2017-03: $39.65 per share - 2017-04: $37.75 per share - 2017-05: $34.90 per share - 2017-06: $37.20 per share - 2017-07: $36.55 per share - 2017-08: $35.20 per share - 2017-09: $38.25 per share - 2017-10: $39.30 per share - 2017-11: $39.70 per share - 2017-12: $40.05 per share - 2018-01: $41.85 per share - 2018-02: $39.50 per share - 2018-03: $39.55 per share - 2018-04: $40.50 per share - 2018-05: $43.65 per share - 2018-06: $42.20 per share - 2018-07: $43.15 per share - 2018-08: $46.45 per share - 2018-09: $44.80 per share - 2018-10: $41.46 per share - 2018-11: $43.43 per share - 2018-12: $36.56 per share - 2019-01: $38.92 per share - 2019-02: $41.64 per share - 2019-03: $39.82 per share - 2019-04: $42.26 per share - 2019-05: $36.91 per share - 2019-06: $39.61 per share - 2019-07: $40.03 per share - 2019-08: $39.00 per share - 2019-09: $40.24 per share - 2019-10: $41.96 per share - 2019-11: $42.10 per share - 2019-12: $41.92 per share - 2020-01: $38.50 per share - 2020-02: $34.06 per share - 2020-03: $28.84 per share - 2020-04: $33.80 per share - 2020-05: $31.25 per share - 2020-06: $30.96 per share - 2020-07: $29.11 per share - 2020-08: $32.80 per share - 2020-09: $31.85 per share - 2020-10: $35.30 per share - 2020-11: $38.05 per share - 2020-12: $40.77 per share - 2021-01: $38.66 per share - 2021-02: $45.42 per share - 2021-03: $46.04 per share - 2021-04: $46.97 per share - 2021-05: $47.07 per share - 2021-06: $41.83 per share - 2021-07: $41.92 per share - 2021-08: $44.06 per share - 2021-09: $40.26 per share - 2021-10: $41.57 per share - 2021-11: $40.80 per share - 2021-12: $40.67 per share - 2022-01: $36.75 per share - 2022-02: $40.60 per share - 2022-03: $36.77 per share - 2022-04: $32.52 per share - 2022-05: $38.07 per share - 2022-06: $38.11 per share - 2022-07: $40.78 per share - 2022-08: $40.26 per share - 2022-09: $40.35 per share - 2022-10: $45.61 per share - 2022-11: $43.62 per share - 2022-12: $38.65 per share - 2023-01: $35.88 per share - 2023-02: $35.54 per share - 2023-03: $29.86 per share - 2023-04: $25.59 per share - 2023-05: $22.05 per share - 2023-06: $23.84 per share - 2023-07: $28.73 per share - 2023-08: $25.91 per share - 2023-09: $24.94 per share - 2023-10: $23.07 per share - 2023-11: $25.89 per share - 2023-12: $30.75 per share - 2024-01: $27.52 per share - 2024-02: $26.32 per share - 2024-03: $27.21 per share - 2024-04: $26.70 per share - 2024-05: $26.54 per share - 2024-06: $27.77 per share - 2024-07: $31.57 per share - 2024-08: $31.05 per share - 2024-09: $30.68 per share - 2024-10: $30.80 per share - 2024-11: $34.97 per share - 2024-12: $32.47 per share - 2025-01: $32.95 per share - 2025-02: $30.70 per share - 2025-03: $28.65 per share - 2025-04: $26.20 per share - 2025-05: $27.15 per share - 2025-06: $28.82 per share - 2025-07: $28.79 per share - 2025-08: $32.72 per share - 2025-09: $31.87 per share - 2025-10: $31.25 per share - 2025-11: $32.84 per share - 2025-12: $34.60 per share - 2026-01: $35.47 per share - 2026-02: $34.61 per share - 2026-03: $33.40 per share - 2026-04: $35.49 per share - 2026-05: $35.60 per share - 2026-06: $38.56 per share - 2026-07: $38.02 per share - 2026-08: $36.81 per share - 2026-09: $35.74 per share - 2026-10: $34.81 per share ## Annual estimated value (USD per share) - FY2016: low $21.72 per share, central $27.15 per share, high $36.20 per share - FY2017: low $22.39 per share, central $27.99 per share, high $37.31 per share - FY2018: low $23.32 per share, central $29.15 per share, high $38.87 per share - FY2019: low $25.86 per share, central $32.32 per share, high $43.10 per share - FY2020: low $25.80 per share, central $32.25 per share, high $43.00 per share - FY2021: low $28.15 per share, central $35.19 per share, high $46.92 per share - FY2022: low $24.43 per share, central $30.54 per share, high $40.72 per share - FY2023: low $25.27 per share, central $31.59 per share, high $42.12 per share - FY2024: low $26.60 per share, central $33.24 per share, high $44.33 per share - FY2025: low $25.85 per share, central $28.43 per share, high $31.59 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates ## Sources [Original 10-K filing](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/860413/000086041326000011/fibk-20251231.htm); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-02-26. Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
FIBK · US
Not a wonderful business
2 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.
Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 9 needed).
Earned a median 12.7% on tangible equity (minimum 12%), and the second-worst year 10.7% (minimum 5%).
Book value plus dividends grew 11.2% a year (minimum 7%).
Ordinary share growth was 8.5% over the full period and 10% over five years (either must be at most 2% a year).
1 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).
Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 2.54 USD.
| Value range | $26.19 – $32.01 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value $28.81 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 34.81 / 28.81 = -20.8% |
| Return / year | About 8.3% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Book USD 22.59/share; ROE 12.8%; first payout USD 2.88/share, growing 0.0% perpetually (4× book payout cap applied). |
| Required return | 10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value |