# Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (FRLOF.US)

Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/FRLOF

Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:33:38.155Z. Financial observations: FY2019–FY2025.

Listing currency: USD. Reporting currency: SGD.

## Verdict

Not a wonderful business

Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: fail; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no.

Share price: $0.67 per share; close as of 2026-10-14.

Estimated value: low $0.37 per share, central $0.42 per share, high $0.48 per share. Buy at or below the central value $0.42 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:33:38.155Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals.

Expected annual return: 7.2% at the stated quote. About 7.2% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; SG 10-year bond 2.3% + 4 points).

## Checklist

### understandable: pass

- 2 revenue declines in the last 10 years (informational)

- Financial history: 7 years

- Years with declining revenue: 2

- Years with a net loss: 1

- Operating margin variation: 0.27×

Chart: Operating margin; fiscal year observations.

- FY2019: 1.23×

- FY2020: 0.71×

- FY2021: 0.68×

- FY2022: 0.67×

- FY2023: 0.64×

- FY2024: 0.62×

- FY2025: 0.63×

### moat: fail

- ROIC median below threshold

- ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed)

- Recent gross margin fell 5.4pp below the typical margin (limit 4pp)

- ROIC, median of available years: 3.7%

- ROIC, second-lowest year: 3.3%

- Typical minus recent gross margin: 5.4 pp

- Typical gross margin (annual median): 77.3%

- Recent gross margin (lower of latest and 3-year median): 71.9%

- Years with nonpositive capital: 0

- Capital spending / revenue: 10.7%

- ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: 6.2%

Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations.

- FY2019: 7.3%

- FY2020: 3.3%

- FY2021: 3.7%

- FY2022: 3.9%

- FY2023: 3.3%

- FY2024: 3.7%

- FY2025: 3.8%

### economics: fail

- owner earnings cash conversion below threshold

- incremental invested capital return below threshold

- Owner earnings / net income, 5-yr: 0.75×

- Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No

- Owner earnings, five-year total: SGD 1.3B

- Net income, five-year total: SGD 1.7B

- Return on incremental invested capital: 5.4%

- Working capital / revenue, annual change: -6.1 pp

Chart: Annual owner cash / profit; fiscal year observations.

- FY2021: 1.00×

- FY2022: 0.82×

- FY2023: 2.56×

- FY2024: 0.40×

- FY2025: 0.75×

### management: fail

- buybacks unrelated to price (informational)

- ROIC first 3 years vs last 3 years: 3.7% vs 3.7%

- Per-share earnings: 0.16 to 0.04 (three-year endpoint medians)

- per-share value declined or ends nonpositive

- Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes

- Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: 6.3%

- Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 6.3%

- Per-share value growth: -30.0%

- Per-share value change: SGD -0.12

- Per-share value, starting three-year median: SGD 0.16

- Per-share value, ending three-year median: SGD 0.04

- Buyback history: 0 years

- Debt-funded buybacks: No

- ROIC, first three-year median: 3.7%

- ROIC, last three-year median: 3.7%

Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations.

- FY2019: SGD 0.10

- FY2020: SGD 0.16

- FY2021: SGD 0.21

- FY2022: SGD 0.20

- FY2023: SGD -0.03

- FY2024: SGD 0.04

- FY2025: SGD 0.05

### accounting: pass

- latest-year receivables to sales index (DSRI) exceeds 1.465

- Sloan accruals: -1.3%

- Receivables to sales index (DSRI): 2.50×

- Restructuring years, last five: 0

- Stock compensation / operating cash flow: 0.0%

- Earnings backed by cash: Yes

- Operating cash / earnings: 1.47×

- Accounting red flags: 1

- Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 0.00×

Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations.

- FY2019: 1.8%

- FY2020: 3.6%

- FY2021: 5.6%

- FY2022: 5.7%

- FY2023: -5.8%

- FY2024: -2.3%

- FY2025: -1.3%

## Holders

## Price story

Down 55% since Oct 2021 · sales +5.6%

Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:56.246Z; price observation 2026-10-14.

Price needs cash profits to grow 7.1% a year for ten years

### Sales · FY2024–2025

sales +5.6%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16.

- FY2019: SGD 225M 

- FY2020: SGD 332M 

- FY2021: SGD 469M 

- FY2022: SGD 450M 

- FY2023: SGD 421M 

- FY2024: SGD 447M 

- FY2025: SGD 471M 

### Gross margin · FY2025

gross margin 71.9%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16.

- FY2019: 82.6% 

- FY2020: 81.1% 

- FY2021: 77.9% 

- FY2022: 77.3% 

- FY2023: 74.7% 

- FY2024: 71.9% 

- FY2025: 71.9% 

## Owner memo

Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z.

### How it makes money

Operates in property rentals; annual sales are SGD 471.5 million.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/FRLOF.US.json#2025-09-30 (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.155Z); FY2025: revenue 471486000; grossProfit 338849000; margin = grossProfit / revenue.

### Why customers stay

Margins ranged from 71.9% to 74.7% during 2023–25; it earns 3.7% on its capital.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/FRLOF.US.json#2023-09-30 (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.155Z); FY2023: grossProfit / revenue = 74.7%.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/FRLOF.US.json#2024-09-30 (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.155Z); FY2024: grossProfit / revenue = 71.9%.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/FRLOF.US.json#2025-09-30 (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.155Z); FY2025: grossProfit / revenue = 71.9%.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.155Z); 7-year return on capital observations [[2019,0.07298889168225928],[2020,0.03286222073241382],[2021,0.036843807511626005],[2022,0.038600519630695454],[2023,0.033445514379580446],[2024,0.036793016592415934],[2025,0.0383194675003641]]; median 0.036843807511626005. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity.

### Where the cash goes

Paid dividends in 7 of 7 years.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.155Z); FY2019: growth capex 0; upkeep 12447889; owner earnings 196896955. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.155Z); FY2020: growth capex 13089000; upkeep 40000; owner earnings 454722000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.028784620053571193.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.155Z); FY2021: growth capex 28813000; upkeep 73000; owner earnings 731106000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.0394101539311673.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/FRLOF.US.json#2022-09-30 (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.155Z); FY2022: growth capex 0; upkeep 127619000; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 601087000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/FRLOF.US.json#2024-09-30 (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.155Z); FY2024: growth capex 9283.403994366527; upkeep 88199716.59600563; cash acquisitions 174787000; owner earnings 59382283.40399437. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 2.9435763225001996.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/FRLOF.US.json#2025-09-30 (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.155Z); FY2025: growth capex 5060.3954937011; upkeep 50571939.6045063; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 154522060.3954937. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.00003274869284521057.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.155Z); Dividend observations: [[2019,121381165],[2020,153027000],[2021,291282000],[2022,236841000],[2023,270986000],[2024,262580000],[2025,237992000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement.

### Are managers owners

Insiders own 23.2% of the company.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); FRLOF.US SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 23.241 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16.

### What the price says

The price assumes cash profits grow 7.1% yearly over ten years.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.155Z); Ten-year compound average after fade. Initial solved rate 0.08924511056812501. Price 0.66965; FX 0.7802; discount 0.1; same standard ten-year fade to terminal 0.03.  Closing-price date 2026-10-14.

## Monthly share-price history (USD per share)

- 2021-01: $1.08 per share

- 2021-02: $1.08 per share

- 2021-03: $1.08 per share

- 2021-04: $1.08 per share

- 2021-05: $1.08 per share

- 2021-06: $1.08 per share

- 2021-07: $1.30 per share

- 2021-08: $1.14 per share

- 2021-09: $1.00 per share

- 2021-10: $1.49 per share

- 2021-11: $1.11 per share

- 2021-12: $1.20 per share

- 2022-01: $1.04 per share

- 2022-02: $1.05 per share

- 2022-03: $1.05 per share

- 2022-04: $1.01 per share

- 2022-05: $1.01 per share

- 2022-06: $0.96 per share

- 2022-07: $1.01 per share

- 2022-08: $0.99 per share

- 2022-09: $0.85 per share

- 2022-10: $0.79 per share

- 2022-11: $0.80 per share

- 2022-12: $0.84 per share

- 2023-01: $0.98 per share

- 2023-02: $0.93 per share

- 2023-03: $0.96 per share

- 2023-04: $1.00 per share

- 2023-05: $0.92 per share

- 2023-06: $0.91 per share

- 2023-07: $0.93 per share

- 2023-08: $0.88 per share

- 2023-09: $0.82 per share

- 2023-10: $0.78 per share

- 2023-11: $0.82 per share

- 2023-12: $0.87 per share

- 2024-01: $0.89 per share

- 2024-02: $0.89 per share

- 2024-03: $0.78 per share

- 2024-04: $0.76 per share

- 2024-05: $0.75 per share

- 2024-06: $0.74 per share

- 2024-07: $0.72 per share

- 2024-08: $0.76 per share

- 2024-09: $0.89 per share

- 2024-10: $0.85 per share

- 2024-11: $0.70 per share

- 2024-12: $0.67 per share

- 2025-01: $0.66 per share

- 2025-02: $0.63 per share

- 2025-03: $0.63 per share

- 2025-04: $0.63 per share

- 2025-05: $0.61 per share

- 2025-06: $0.65 per share

- 2025-07: $0.69 per share

- 2025-08: $0.72 per share

- 2025-09: $0.75 per share

- 2025-10: $0.75 per share

- 2025-11: $0.76 per share

- 2025-12: $0.74 per share

- 2026-01: $0.74 per share

- 2026-02: $0.83 per share

- 2026-03: $0.69 per share

- 2026-04: $0.74 per share

- 2026-05: $0.74 per share

- 2026-06: $0.79 per share

- 2026-07: $0.74 per share

- 2026-08: $0.75 per share

- 2026-09: $0.75 per share

- 2026-10: $0.67 per share

## Annual estimated value (USD per share)

- FY2023: low $1.31 per share, central $1.49 per share, high $1.72 per share

- FY2024: low $1.38 per share, central $1.56 per share, high $1.81 per share

- FY2025: low $0.39 per share, central $0.44 per share, high $0.51 per share

Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year

Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year

Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates

Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:39:23.116Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period.

## Sources

Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.