# Futu Holdings (FUTU.US)

Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/FUTU

Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:28:41.133Z. Financial observations: FY2016–FY2025.

Listing currency: USD. Reporting currency: HKD.

## Verdict

Not a wonderful business

Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no.

Share price: $109.80 per share; close as of 2026-10-15.

## Checklist

### understandable: fail

- positive earnings in fewer than 9 of 10 years

- Financial history: 10 years

- Profitable years in the last ten: 8

- Required profitable years: 9

- Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.39×

Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: HKD -116M

- FY2017: HKD -56M

- FY2018: HKD 37M

- FY2019: HKD 143M

- FY2020: HKD 1.3B

- FY2021: HKD 2.8B

- FY2022: HKD 2.9B

- FY2023: HKD 4.3B

- FY2024: HKD 5.4B

- FY2025: HKD 11B

### moat: fail

- Tangible common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity

- return on tangible common equity below 5% in more than one year

- Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 13.7%

- Required median return: 12.0%

- Return uses tangible common equity: Yes

- Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 0.0%

- Years with reported combined ratio: 0

Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: 0.0%

- FY2017: 0.0%

- FY2018: 0.0%

- FY2019: 5.6%

- FY2020: 16.0%

- FY2021: 13.4%

- FY2022: 14.1%

- FY2023: 17.5%

- FY2024: 19.5%

- FY2025: 28.5%

### economics: fail

- Tangible common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity

- nonpositive book value in the compounding window

- Book return interval: 9 years

- Starting book value per share: HKD -1.72

- Ending book value per share: HKD 280.82

### management: pass

- Tangible common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity

- Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 2.7%

- Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 0.3%

- Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 2.7%

- Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0.3%

- Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0

- Book value created per share: HKD 282.55

- Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: HKD -191.90

### accounting: pass

- Financial accounting warning count: 0

- Known restatement years: 0

## Holders

- [David Hoeft](https://gigainvestors.com/DAC): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts.

## Price story

Down 45% since Oct 2025 · "FUTU Q1 Earnings Fall Y/Y Due to RMB1.85B CSRC Penalty, Revenues Miss" (finance.yahoo.com, Jun 2026) · net income +108.3%

Story as of 2026-10-16T09:58:47.948Z; price observation 2026-10-15.

- 2025-08-26: Why Futu Holdings (FUTU) Is Up 12.6% After Strong Earnings and U.S. Crypto Launch ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-futu-holdings-futu-12-101133419.html))

- 2026-06-01: FUTU Q1 Earnings Fall Y/Y Due to RMB1.85B CSRC Penalty, Revenues Miss ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/futu-q1-earnings-fall-y-175200401.html))

### Net income · FY2025

net income +108.3%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1754581/000110465926043451/futu-20251231x20f.htm; observed 2026-04-15.

- FY2016: HKD -116M 

- FY2017: HKD -56M 

- FY2018: HKD 37M 

- FY2019: HKD 143M 

- FY2020: HKD 1.3B 

- FY2021: HKD 2.8B 

- FY2022: HKD 2.9B 

- FY2023: HKD 4.3B 

- FY2024: HKD 5.4B 

- FY2025: HKD 11B 

## Owner memo

Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z.

### How it makes money

Operates in capital markets; annual sales are HKD 22.8 billion.

- Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1754581/000110465926043451/futu-20251231x20f.htm#000110465926043451 (filed 2026-04-15); FY2025: revenue 22846898000.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); FUTU.US: Futu Holdings Limited engages in the provision of digitalized securities brokerage and wealth management product distribution service in Hong Kong and internationally. It offers online financial services, including securities and derivative trades brokerage, margin financing and fund distribution services through its Futubull and Moomoo digital platforms. The company also provides financial information and online community services; online wealth management services under the Money Plus brand name through its Futubull and moomoo platforms, which provides its client access to mutual funds, private funds, bonds, structured products, and other wealth management products; market data and information services; and NiuNiu Community, an open forum for users and clients to share insights, ask questions, and exchange ideas. Futu Holdings Limited was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Admiralty, Hong Kong.

### Why customers stay

It earns 13.7% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-04-15); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0],[2017,0],[2018,0],[2019,0.05634273434978708],[2020,0.1597501842126893],[2021,0.13402157090062586],[2022,0.14067047126614882],[2023,0.1747778320028461],[2024,0.19491414991056413],[2025,0.28500212198325636]]; median 0.13734602108338734. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity.

### Where the cash goes

Paid dividends in 2 of 10 years.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-04-15); Dividend observations: [[2016,0],[2017,0],[2018,0],[2019,0],[2020,0],[2021,53506927000],[2022,0],[2023,0],[2024,0],[2025,2151038000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement.

### Are managers owners

Insiders own 15.8% of the company.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); FUTU.US SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 15.78 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16.

### What the price says

The price is 5.3 times annual sales.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-04-15); Closing price 109.8 USD; reporting-to-trading FX 0.12743; FY2025 annual sales per share 161.27935541619252; price multiple 5.342590382094704. FY2025 cash earnings/share 81.08601274597558. Closing-price date 2026-10-15.

## Monthly share-price history (USD per share)

- 2019-03: $18.52 per share

- 2019-04: $13.95 per share

- 2019-05: $10.98 per share

- 2019-06: $10.57 per share

- 2019-07: $11.33 per share

- 2019-08: $10.80 per share

- 2019-09: $10.97 per share

- 2019-10: $10.77 per share

- 2019-11: $10.45 per share

- 2019-12: $10.32 per share

- 2020-01: $11.11 per share

- 2020-02: $11.57 per share

- 2020-03: $9.47 per share

- 2020-04: $11.15 per share

- 2020-05: $15.99 per share

- 2020-06: $23.67 per share

- 2020-07: $34.37 per share

- 2020-08: $32.17 per share

- 2020-09: $28.62 per share

- 2020-10: $29.73 per share

- 2020-11: $44.10 per share

- 2020-12: $45.75 per share

- 2021-01: $99.41 per share

- 2021-02: $152.79 per share

- 2021-03: $158.82 per share

- 2021-04: $148.78 per share

- 2021-05: $142.27 per share

- 2021-06: $179.09 per share

- 2021-07: $102.46 per share

- 2021-08: $95.19 per share

- 2021-09: $91.02 per share

- 2021-10: $53.52 per share

- 2021-11: $47.49 per share

- 2021-12: $43.30 per share

- 2022-01: $43.25 per share

- 2022-02: $42.75 per share

- 2022-03: $32.56 per share

- 2022-04: $31.99 per share

- 2022-05: $36.71 per share

- 2022-06: $52.21 per share

- 2022-07: $41.60 per share

- 2022-08: $49.09 per share

- 2022-09: $37.29 per share

- 2022-10: $33.86 per share

- 2022-11: $61.49 per share

- 2022-12: $40.65 per share

- 2023-01: $50.76 per share

- 2023-02: $49.21 per share

- 2023-03: $51.85 per share

- 2023-04: $44.27 per share

- 2023-05: $36.86 per share

- 2023-06: $39.74 per share

- 2023-07: $60.20 per share

- 2023-08: $59.60 per share

- 2023-09: $57.81 per share

- 2023-10: $55.45 per share

- 2023-11: $53.92 per share

- 2023-12: $54.63 per share

- 2024-01: $46.72 per share

- 2024-02: $53.52 per share

- 2024-03: $54.15 per share

- 2024-04: $64.31 per share

- 2024-05: $75.14 per share

- 2024-06: $65.61 per share

- 2024-07: $63.28 per share

- 2024-08: $63.56 per share

- 2024-09: $95.65 per share

- 2024-10: $94.99 per share

- 2024-11: $87.23 per share

- 2024-12: $79.99 per share

- 2025-01: $96.65 per share

- 2025-02: $109.19 per share

- 2025-03: $102.35 per share

- 2025-04: $92.31 per share

- 2025-05: $101.93 per share

- 2025-06: $123.59 per share

- 2025-07: $153.68 per share

- 2025-08: $185.60 per share

- 2025-09: $173.91 per share

- 2025-10: $199.04 per share

- 2025-11: $169.66 per share

- 2025-12: $164.21 per share

- 2026-01: $162.57 per share

- 2026-02: $148.84 per share

- 2026-03: $136.76 per share

- 2026-04: $154.51 per share

- 2026-05: $104.07 per share

- 2026-06: $93.74 per share

- 2026-07: $105.12 per share

- 2026-08: $122.14 per share

- 2026-09: $110.55 per share

- 2026-10: $109.80 per share

## Annual estimated value (USD per share)

Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year

Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year

Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates

## Sources

[Original 20-F filing](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1754581/000110465926043451/futu-20251231x20f.htm); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-04-15.

Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
← Companies

Futu Holdings

FUTU · US

Not a wonderful business

2 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.

Share price
$109.80
Quality tests
Fail
Annual history
12 years
Market value
$15B

The business

How it makes money
Why customers stay
Where the cash goes
Are managers owners
What the price says

1. Is this a good business?

Evidence only; not required for Buy

Profits were positive in 8 years (at least 9 needed).

10y median
HKD 2.1B
Worst year
HKD -116M
Latest · 2025
HKD 11B

The second-worst year 0% (minimum 5%).

10y median
13.7%
Worst year
0.0%
Latest · 2025
28.5%

Book value was zero or negative (must stay positive).

Filing signals · estimated likelihood
Revenue model91%Capital expenditure purpose80%
Revenue model: 91% estimated likelihood. ; Capital expenditure purpose: 80% estimated likelihood.
owner cash / profit
Passing bar
≥ 0.80×

Ordinary share growth was 2.7% over the full period and 0.3% over five years (either must be at most 2% a year).

Filing signals · estimated likelihood
Founder / family96%Pay incentives74%Buyback value5%Acquisition-led8%
Founder or family ownership or board role: 96% estimated likelihood. ; Compensation incentives: 74% estimated likelihood. ; Buybacks described as below intrinsic value: 5% estimated likelihood. ; Acquisitions are the main growth strategy: 8% estimated likelihood.
per-share value change
Passing bar
≥ HKD 0

0 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).

Filing signals · estimated likelihood
Control weakness4%Auditor change2%Going concern5%Related parties26%
Material weakness in internal control: 4% estimated likelihood. ; Auditor change within the past three years disclosed: 2% estimated likelihood. ; Going-concern uncertainty: 5% estimated likelihood. ; Material related-party transactions: 26% estimated likelihood.
accounting warnings
0
Passing bar
≤ 0

Profit record · pass 2 loss years in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 49.88 HKD.

Net incomeHKD 11B
11B-116M20162025
FY2016 · Net income: HKD -116M; FY2017 · Net income: HKD -56M; FY2018 · Net income: HKD 37M; FY2019 · Net income: HKD 143M; FY2020 · Net income: HKD 1.3B; FY2021 · Net income: HKD 2.8B; FY2022 · Net income: HKD 2.9B; FY2023 · Net income: HKD 4.3B; FY2024 · Net income: HKD 5.4B; FY2025 · Net income: HKD 11B
Net income
Book / shareHKD 280.82
280.82-4.6420162025
FY2016 · Book / share: HKD -1.72; FY2017 · Book / share: HKD -4.64; FY2018 · Book / share: HKD -2.33; FY2019 · Book / share: HKD 20.17; FY2020 · Book / share: HKD 59.44; FY2021 · Book / share: HKD 132.82; FY2022 · Book / share: HKD 147.63; FY2023 · Book / share: HKD 176.11; FY2024 · Book / share: HKD 199.20; FY2025 · Book / share: HKD 280.82
Book / share
Dividend / shareHKD 15.18
338.94020162025
FY2016 · Dividend / share: HKD 0; FY2017 · Dividend / share: HKD 0; FY2018 · Dividend / share: HKD 0; FY2019 · Dividend / share: HKD 0; FY2020 · Dividend / share: HKD 0; FY2021 · Dividend / share: HKD 338.94; FY2022 · Dividend / share: HKD 0; FY2023 · Dividend / share: HKD 0; FY2024 · Dividend / share: HKD 0; FY2025 · Dividend / share: HKD 15.18
Dividend / share
Return on tangible equity28.5%
28.5%0.0%20162025
FY2016 · Return on tangible equity: 0.0%; FY2017 · Return on tangible equity: 0.0%; FY2018 · Return on tangible equity: 0.0%; FY2019 · Return on tangible equity: 5.6%; FY2020 · Return on tangible equity: 16.0%; FY2021 · Return on tangible equity: 13.4%; FY2022 · Return on tangible equity: 14.1%; FY2023 · Return on tangible equity: 17.5%; FY2024 · Return on tangible equity: 19.5%; FY2025 · Return on tangible equity: 28.5%
Return on tangible equity
Diluted shares142M
158M020162025
FY2016 · Diluted shares: 111M; FY2017 · Diluted shares: 50M; FY2018 · Diluted shares: 65M; FY2019 · Diluted shares: 126M; FY2020 · Diluted shares: 140M; FY2021 · Diluted shares: 158M; FY2022 · Diluted shares: 141M; FY2023 · Diluted shares: 139M; FY2024 · Diluted shares: 140M; FY2025 · Diluted shares: 142M
Diluted shares
Prices 15 Oct 2026 · FY2025Original filing ↗ ·