Profits were positive in 9 years (at least 9 needed).
- 10y median
- EUR 3.0B
- Worst year
- EUR -869M
- Latest · 2025
- EUR 6.0B
# Societe Generale (GLE.PA) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/GLE.PA Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:33:54.269Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2025. Listing currency: EUR. Reporting currency: EUR. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: EUR 64.60 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low EUR 29.04 per share, central EUR 33.81 per share, high EUR 40.47 per share. Buy at or below the central value EUR 33.81 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:33:54.269Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 7.1% at the stated quote. About 7.1% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; FR 10-year bond 4.8% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: pass - Financial history: 10 years - Profitable years in the last ten: 9 - Required profitable years: 9 - Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.59× Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: EUR 3.4B - FY2017: EUR 2.3B - FY2018: EUR 3.4B - FY2019: EUR 2.5B - FY2020: EUR -869M - FY2021: EUR 5.1B - FY2022: EUR 1.4B - FY2023: EUR 2.5B - FY2024: EUR 4.2B - FY2025: EUR 6.0B ### moat: fail - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - median return on common equity below threshold - return on tangible common equity below 5% in more than one year - Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 5.3% - Required median return: 12.0% - Return uses tangible common equity: Yes - Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 2.4% - Years with reported combined ratio: 0 Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 6.1% - FY2017: 4.5% - FY2018: 6.3% - FY2019: 4.5% - FY2020: -1.6% - FY2021: 8.6% - FY2022: 2.4% - FY2023: 4.3% - FY2024: 6.8% - FY2025: 9.7% ### economics: fail - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - book value per share plus dividends compounded below 7% annually - Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 4.2% - Book return interval: 10 years - Starting book value per share: EUR 66.85 - Ending book value per share: EUR 79.73 Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 7.3% - FY2017: 0.4% - FY2018: 9.6% - FY2019: 0.2% - FY2020: -2.8% - FY2021: 6.7% - FY2022: 8.8% - FY2023: 0.4% - FY2024: 9.3% - FY2025: 2.6% ### management: pass - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: -0.2% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: -1.7% - Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -0.2% - Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -1.7% - Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0 - Book created / earnings retained after dividends and buybacks: 3.54× - Book value created per share: EUR 12.88 - Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: EUR 3.64 Chart: Shares (first year = 100); fiscal year observations. - FY2015: 100 - FY2016: 100 - FY2017: 101 - FY2018: 99 - FY2019: 106 - FY2020: 106 - FY2021: 107 - FY2022: 104 - FY2023: 101 - FY2024: 100 - FY2025: 98 ### accounting: pass - Financial accounting warning count: 0 - Known restatement years: 0 ## Holders ## Price story Down 21% since Jul 2026 · "Societe Generale targets higher profits and cost cuts in 2029 outlook" (finance.yahoo.com, Sep 2026) · net income +42.9% Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:58.228Z; price observation 2026-10-15. The price assumes profits grow 6.8% a year forever - 2025-10-30: Societe Generale Shares Fall as Buyback View Disappoints Despite Profit Beat ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/m/3f85e7dd-5248-35cb-bc66-1d04071ab7c7/societe-generale-shares-fall.html)) ### Net income · FY2025 net income +42.9%; source https://filings.xbrl.org/O2RNE8IBXP4R0TD8PU41/2025-12-31/ESEF/FR/0/O2RNE8IBXP4R0TD8PU41-2025-12-31-1-FR/reports/O2RNE8IBXP4R0TD8PU41-2025-12-31-1-FR.xhtml; observed 2026-03-18. - FY2016: EUR 3.4B - FY2017: EUR 2.3B - FY2018: EUR 3.4B - FY2019: EUR 2.5B - FY2020: EUR -869M - FY2021: EUR 5.1B - FY2022: EUR 1.4B - FY2023: EUR 2.5B - FY2024: EUR 4.2B - FY2025: EUR 6.0B ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in regional banking; annual sales are EUR 86.2 billion. - Source: https://filings.xbrl.org/O2RNE8IBXP4R0TD8PU41/2025-12-31/ESEF/FR/0/O2RNE8IBXP4R0TD8PU41-2025-12-31-1-FR/reports/O2RNE8IBXP4R0TD8PU41-2025-12-31-1-FR.xhtml (filed 2026-03-18); FY2025: revenue 86158000000. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); GLE.PA: Société Générale Société anonyme provides banking and financial services to individuals, corporates, and institutional clients in Europe and internationally. It operates through French Retail, Private Banking and Insurance; International Retail, Mobility and Leasing Services; and Global Banking and Investor Solutions. The company offers retail banking services, such as consumer credit, vehicle leasing and fleet management, online banking, wealth management, and equipment and vendor finance services; and insurance products, including home, vehicle, family, health, and mortgage insurance. It also provides corporate and investment banking, securities, clearing services, execution, prime brokerage, and custody services; and consumer finance, advisory and financing, and asset management and private banking services. Société Générale Société anonyme was incorporated in 1864 and is headquartered in Paris, France. ### Why customers stay It earns 5.3% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-18); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0.06107610276296655],[2017,0.04461817141767566],[2018,0.06279533372711163],[2019,0.044855581300741104],[2020,-0.01574788880432025],[2021,0.08615925218340612],[2022,0.02357622481969659],[2023,0.04338368369761938],[2024,0.06798646745552551],[2025,0.09697380963921606]]; median 0.052965842031853824. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 9 of 10 years. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-18); Dividend observations: [[2016,1357000000],[2017,3836000000],[2018,2543000000],[2019,1219000000],[2020,91000000],[2021,661000000],[2022,1371000000],[2023,1362000000],[2024,719000000],[2025,0]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 8.8% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); GLE.PA SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 8.813 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What the price says The price assumes profits grow 6.8% a year forever. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-18); Price 64.6; FX 1; original perpetual distributable cash 2.056593332854151; discount 0.1; growth 0.0681641898938986. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (EUR per share) - 2016-10: EUR 35.56 per share - 2016-11: EUR 40.59 per share - 2016-12: EUR 46.75 per share - 2017-01: EUR 45.26 per share - 2017-02: EUR 41.91 per share - 2017-03: EUR 47.55 per share - 2017-04: EUR 50.21 per share - 2017-05: EUR 46.67 per share - 2017-06: EUR 47.11 per share - 2017-07: EUR 49.60 per share - 2017-08: EUR 47.03 per share - 2017-09: EUR 49.54 per share - 2017-10: EUR 47.80 per share - 2017-11: EUR 42.31 per share - 2017-12: EUR 43.05 per share - 2018-01: EUR 46.86 per share - 2018-02: EUR 47.12 per share - 2018-03: EUR 44.16 per share - 2018-04: EUR 45.46 per share - 2018-05: EUR 36.86 per share - 2018-06: EUR 36.12 per share - 2018-07: EUR 38.11 per share - 2018-08: EUR 35.24 per share - 2018-09: EUR 36.97 per share - 2018-10: EUR 32.48 per share - 2018-11: EUR 32.46 per share - 2018-12: EUR 27.82 per share - 2019-01: EUR 27.14 per share - 2019-02: EUR 27.00 per share - 2019-03: EUR 25.78 per share - 2019-04: EUR 28.22 per share - 2019-05: EUR 22.46 per share - 2019-06: EUR 22.22 per share - 2019-07: EUR 22.21 per share - 2019-08: EUR 23.06 per share - 2019-09: EUR 25.14 per share - 2019-10: EUR 25.45 per share - 2019-11: EUR 28.56 per share - 2019-12: EUR 31.02 per share - 2020-01: EUR 29.23 per share - 2020-02: EUR 25.59 per share - 2020-03: EUR 15.35 per share - 2020-04: EUR 14.26 per share - 2020-05: EUR 13.23 per share - 2020-06: EUR 14.80 per share - 2020-07: EUR 12.98 per share - 2020-08: EUR 13.58 per share - 2020-09: EUR 11.32 per share - 2020-10: EUR 11.64 per share - 2020-11: EUR 16.69 per share - 2020-12: EUR 17.02 per share - 2021-01: EUR 15.44 per share - 2021-02: EUR 20.54 per share - 2021-03: EUR 22.32 per share - 2021-04: EUR 23.67 per share - 2021-05: EUR 26.21 per share - 2021-06: EUR 24.86 per share - 2021-07: EUR 24.73 per share - 2021-08: EUR 26.65 per share - 2021-09: EUR 27.20 per share - 2021-10: EUR 28.84 per share - 2021-11: EUR 27.55 per share - 2021-12: EUR 30.21 per share - 2022-01: EUR 32.69 per share - 2022-02: EUR 25.64 per share - 2022-03: EUR 24.46 per share - 2022-04: EUR 23.17 per share - 2022-05: EUR 25.01 per share - 2022-06: EUR 20.89 per share - 2022-07: EUR 21.84 per share - 2022-08: EUR 22.08 per share - 2022-09: EUR 20.42 per share - 2022-10: EUR 23.23 per share - 2022-11: EUR 23.99 per share - 2022-12: EUR 23.48 per share - 2023-01: EUR 27.28 per share - 2023-02: EUR 27.32 per share - 2023-03: EUR 20.79 per share - 2023-04: EUR 22.03 per share - 2023-05: EUR 21.63 per share - 2023-06: EUR 23.80 per share - 2023-07: EUR 24.72 per share - 2023-08: EUR 26.22 per share - 2023-09: EUR 23.05 per share - 2023-10: EUR 21.15 per share - 2023-11: EUR 23.08 per share - 2023-12: EUR 24.03 per share - 2024-01: EUR 23.96 per share - 2024-02: EUR 22.43 per share - 2024-03: EUR 24.81 per share - 2024-04: EUR 25.39 per share - 2024-05: EUR 27.39 per share - 2024-06: EUR 21.92 per share - 2024-07: EUR 23.98 per share - 2024-08: EUR 21.83 per share - 2024-09: EUR 22.35 per share - 2024-10: EUR 26.39 per share - 2024-11: EUR 25.10 per share - 2024-12: EUR 27.16 per share - 2025-01: EUR 31.25 per share - 2025-02: EUR 39.31 per share - 2025-03: EUR 41.39 per share - 2025-04: EUR 45.60 per share - 2025-05: EUR 47.85 per share - 2025-06: EUR 48.55 per share - 2025-07: EUR 55.96 per share - 2025-08: EUR 52.72 per share - 2025-09: EUR 56.36 per share - 2025-10: EUR 54.86 per share - 2025-11: EUR 59.94 per share - 2025-12: EUR 68.72 per share - 2026-01: EUR 73.80 per share - 2026-02: EUR 73.86 per share - 2026-03: EUR 61.76 per share - 2026-04: EUR 68.44 per share - 2026-05: EUR 71.63 per share - 2026-06: EUR 77.37 per share - 2026-07: EUR 81.31 per share - 2026-08: EUR 72.65 per share - 2026-09: EUR 69.56 per share - 2026-10: EUR 64.84 per share ## Annual estimated value (EUR per share) - FY2016: low EUR 24.13 per share, central EUR 27.63 per share, high EUR 32.31 per share - FY2017: low EUR 25.26 per share, central EUR 28.66 per share, high EUR 33.12 per share - FY2018: low EUR 26.44 per share, central EUR 30.00 per share, high EUR 34.67 per share - FY2019: low EUR 36.58 per share, central EUR 40.23 per share, high EUR 44.70 per share - FY2020: low EUR 33.20 per share, central EUR 36.52 per share, high EUR 40.57 per share - FY2021: low EUR 19.45 per share, central EUR 22.43 per share, high EUR 26.48 per share - FY2022: low EUR 20.69 per share, central EUR 23.85 per share, high EUR 28.16 per share - FY2023: low EUR 25.93 per share, central EUR 29.41 per share, high EUR 33.96 per share - FY2024: low EUR 44.30 per share, central EUR 48.73 per share, high EUR 54.14 per share - FY2025: low EUR 26.50 per share, central EUR 30.86 per share, high EUR 36.93 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:39:39.841Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period. ## Sources [Original ESEF filing](https://filings.xbrl.org/O2RNE8IBXP4R0TD8PU41/2025-12-31/ESEF/FR/0/O2RNE8IBXP4R0TD8PU41-2025-12-31-1-FR/reports/O2RNE8IBXP4R0TD8PU41-2025-12-31-1-FR.xhtml); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-03-18. Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
GLE · PA
STOXX Europe 600 · CAC 40 · SBF 120
Not a wonderful business
2 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.
Profits were positive in 9 years (at least 9 needed).
Earned a median 5.3% on tangible equity (minimum 12%), and the second-worst year 2.4% (minimum 5%).
Book value plus dividends grew 4.2% a year (minimum 7%).
Ordinary share growth was -0.2% over the full period and -1.7% over five years (either must be at most 2% a year).
0 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).
Profit record · pass 1 loss year in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 5.38 EUR.
| Value range | EUR 29.04 – EUR 40.47 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value EUR 33.81 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 64.60 / 33.81 = -91.0% |
| Return / year | About 7.1% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Book EUR 87.37/share; ROE 6.3%; first payout EUR 2.06/share, growing 3.9% perpetually (4× book payout cap applied). |
| Required return | 10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value |