3 loss years were recorded (limit 2).
- 10y median
- 62.2%
- Worst year
- 51.5%
- Latest · 2025
- 63.8%
# GPT Group (GPT.AU) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/GPT.AU Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:37:00.867Z. Financial observations: FY1996–FY2025. Listing currency: AUD. Reporting currency: AUD. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: fail; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: AUD 4.59 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low AUD 3.40 per share, central AUD 3.89 per share, high AUD 4.52 per share. Buy at or below the central value AUD 3.89 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:37:00.867Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 8.9% at the stated quote. About 8.9% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; AU 10-year bond 5.2% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: fail - 1 revenue decline in the last 10 years (informational) - more than 2 net loss years - Financial history: 10 years - Years with declining revenue: 1 - Years with a net loss: 3 - Operating margin variation: 0.08× Chart: Operating margin; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 0.65× - FY2017: 0.66× - FY2018: 0.64× - FY2019: 0.62× - FY2020: 0.52× - FY2021: 0.53× - FY2022: 0.62× - FY2023: 0.61× - FY2024: 0.57× - FY2025: 0.64× ### moat: fail - ROIC median below threshold - ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed) - ROIC, median of available years: 3.1% - ROIC, second-lowest year: 2.5% - Typical minus recent gross margin: 2.9 pp - Typical gross margin (annual median): 68.3% - Recent gross margin (lower of latest and 3-year median): 65.4% - Years with nonpositive capital: 0 - Capital spending / revenue: 0.8% - ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: 5.8% Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 4.0% - FY2017: 3.7% - FY2018: 3.4% - FY2019: 3.2% - FY2020: 2.0% - FY2021: 2.5% - FY2022: 3.1% - FY2023: 2.8% - FY2024: 3.0% - FY2025: 4.0% ### economics: pass - Owner earnings / net income, 5-yr: 0.98× - Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No - Owner earnings, five-year total: AUD 2.4B - Net income, five-year total: AUD 2.4B - Return on incremental invested capital: 176.1% - Working capital / revenue, annual change: 0.9 pp - Working capital / revenue, change between three-year averages: 5.1 pp - Working capital / revenue, final three-year average: -2.3% Chart: Annual owner cash / profit; fiscal year observations. - FY2021: 0.99× - FY2022: 0.98× - FY2023: 1.02× - FY2024: 1.00× - FY2025: 0.98× ### management: fail - Historical market-dollar context (not the management verdict): 2016 to 2025 (9 years) - potential debt-funded buybacks (informational) - buybacks leaned toward cheaper years (informational) - ROIC first 3 years vs last 3 years: 3.7% vs 3.0% - Per-share earnings: 0.64 to -0.10 (three-year endpoint medians) - per-share value declined or ends nonpositive - Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes - Ordinary dilution, 10-year annual growth: 0.7% - Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: -0.3% - Market cap gain: AUD 1.3B - Cumulative retained earnings: AUD 1.6B - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 0.7% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: -0.3% - $1 test, starting fiscal year: FY2016 - $1 test, ending fiscal year: FY2025 - Per-share value change: AUD -0.75 - Per-share value, starting three-year median: AUD 0.64 - Per-share value, ending three-year median: AUD -0.10 - Buybacks concentrated in cheaper years (correlation): 0.14 - Average buyback yield: 0.3% - Buyback history: 6 years - Debt-funded buybacks: Yes - Acquisition spending: AUD 35M - Cumulative net income, 10 years: AUD 7.0B - ROIC, first three-year median: 3.7% - ROIC, last three-year median: 3.0% Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: AUD 0.64 - FY2017: AUD 0.70 - FY2018: AUD 0.80 - FY2019: AUD 0.45 - FY2020: AUD -0.11 - FY2021: AUD 0.74 - FY2022: AUD 0.24 - FY2023: AUD -0.13 - FY2024: AUD -0.10 - FY2025: AUD 0.51 ### accounting: pass - Sloan accruals: 2.1% - Receivables to sales index (DSRI): 0.96× - Restructuring years, last five: 0 - Stock compensation / operating cash flow: 0.0% - Earnings backed by cash: Yes - Operating cash / earnings: 0.63× - Accounting red flags: 0 - Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 0.00× Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 5.3% - FY2017: 5.7% - FY2018: 6.1% - FY2019: 1.7% - FY2020: -4.6% - FY2021: 8.2% - FY2022: -0.0% - FY2023: -5.1% - FY2024: -5.1% - FY2025: 2.1% ## Holders ## Price story Price needs cash profits to grow 3.2% a year for ten years · sales +4.2% Story as of 2026-10-16T10:00:08.480Z; price observation 2026-10-15. Price needs cash profits to grow 3.2% a year for ten years ### Sales · FY2024–2025 sales +4.2%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16. - FY2016: AUD 705M - FY2017: AUD 707M - FY2018: AUD 754M - FY2019: AUD 798M - FY2020: AUD 718M - FY2021: AUD 795M - FY2022: AUD 816M - FY2023: AUD 900M - FY2024: AUD 989M - FY2025: AUD 1.0B ### Gross margin · FY2025 gross margin 71.7%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16. - FY2016: 67.9% - FY2017: 67.2% - FY2018: 68.7% - FY2019: 69.5% - FY2020: 75.9% - FY2021: 70.7% - FY2022: 61.0% - FY2023: 62.3% - FY2024: 65.4% - FY2025: 71.7% ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in property rentals; annual sales are AUD 1 billion. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:00.867Z); FY2025: revenue 1029900000; grossProfit 738100000; margin = grossProfit / revenue. ### Why customers stay Margins ranged from 62.3% to 71.7% during 2023–25; it earns 3.1% on its capital. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:00.867Z); FY2023: grossProfit / revenue = 62.3%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:00.867Z); FY2024: grossProfit / revenue = 65.4%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:00.867Z); FY2025: grossProfit / revenue = 71.7%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:00.867Z); 10-year return on capital observations [[2016,0.04006221582009123],[2017,0.03749114089012042],[2018,0.03400942455615297],[2019,0.031960166197268464],[2020,0.019961017238436594],[2021,0.02490300621236284],[2022,0.03062309414497914],[2023,0.02801191166054987],[2024,0.029933237607021122],[2025,0.03974724181321552]]; median 0.0312916301711238. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Spends 0.1% of cash earnings on expansion; paid dividends in 10 of 10 years. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:00.867Z); FY2016: growth capex 0; upkeep 5500000; owner earnings 1154500000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:00.867Z); FY2017: growth capex 0; upkeep 5900000; owner earnings 1270900000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:00.867Z); FY2018: growth capex 0; upkeep 6300000; owner earnings 1452600000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:00.867Z); FY2019: growth capex 7600000; upkeep 6900000; owner earnings 867880000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.008756971009817026. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:00.867Z); FY2021: growth capex 0; upkeep 6000000; owner earnings 1414380000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:00.867Z); FY2022: growth capex 3000000; upkeep 4100000; owner earnings 460220000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.006518621528834036. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:00.867Z); FY2025: growth capex 1244773.6306259632; upkeep 19755226.369374037; owner earnings 958964773.630626. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.0012980389528942438. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:00.867Z); Dividend observations: [[2016,413100000],[2017,435600000],[2018,449200000],[2019,485800000],[2020,441600000],[2021,511900000],[2022,432900000],[2023,475000000],[2024,469300000],[2025,459800000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:00.867Z); FY2025: cash repurchases 9300000 AUD. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 0.1% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); GPT.AU SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 0.068 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What the price says The price assumes cash profits grow 3.2% yearly over ten years; actual growth was 0.3%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:37:00.867Z); Ten-year compound average after fade. Initial solved rate 0.03311848965552311. Price 4.59; FX 1; discount 0.1; same standard ten-year fade to terminal 0.03. FY2015 owner earnings/share 0.48407962973289465 → FY2025 0.5006139525506127. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (AUD per share) - 2016-10: AUD 4.66 per share - 2016-11: AUD 4.84 per share - 2016-12: AUD 5.03 per share - 2017-01: AUD 4.68 per share - 2017-02: AUD 4.93 per share - 2017-03: AUD 5.15 per share - 2017-04: AUD 5.25 per share - 2017-05: AUD 5.24 per share - 2017-06: AUD 4.79 per share - 2017-07: AUD 4.79 per share - 2017-08: AUD 5.00 per share - 2017-09: AUD 4.96 per share - 2017-10: AUD 5.09 per share - 2017-11: AUD 5.41 per share - 2017-12: AUD 5.11 per share - 2018-01: AUD 5.03 per share - 2018-02: AUD 4.76 per share - 2018-03: AUD 4.74 per share - 2018-04: AUD 4.84 per share - 2018-05: AUD 5.03 per share - 2018-06: AUD 5.06 per share - 2018-07: AUD 5.16 per share - 2018-08: AUD 5.17 per share - 2018-09: AUD 5.21 per share - 2018-10: AUD 5.16 per share - 2018-11: AUD 5.27 per share - 2018-12: AUD 5.34 per share - 2019-01: AUD 5.80 per share - 2019-02: AUD 5.85 per share - 2019-03: AUD 6.21 per share - 2019-04: AUD 5.73 per share - 2019-05: AUD 5.76 per share - 2019-06: AUD 6.15 per share - 2019-07: AUD 6.21 per share - 2019-08: AUD 6.39 per share - 2019-09: AUD 6.16 per share - 2019-10: AUD 5.95 per share - 2019-11: AUD 6.15 per share - 2019-12: AUD 5.60 per share - 2020-01: AUD 6.00 per share - 2020-02: AUD 5.78 per share - 2020-03: AUD 3.63 per share - 2020-04: AUD 4.23 per share - 2020-05: AUD 3.99 per share - 2020-06: AUD 4.17 per share - 2020-07: AUD 3.88 per share - 2020-08: AUD 3.83 per share - 2020-09: AUD 3.90 per share - 2020-10: AUD 4.03 per share - 2020-11: AUD 4.72 per share - 2020-12: AUD 4.50 per share - 2021-01: AUD 4.32 per share - 2021-02: AUD 4.27 per share - 2021-03: AUD 4.60 per share - 2021-04: AUD 4.62 per share - 2021-05: AUD 4.60 per share - 2021-06: AUD 4.90 per share - 2021-07: AUD 4.67 per share - 2021-08: AUD 4.85 per share - 2021-09: AUD 5.07 per share - 2021-10: AUD 5.16 per share - 2021-11: AUD 5.27 per share - 2021-12: AUD 5.42 per share - 2022-01: AUD 4.99 per share - 2022-02: AUD 4.94 per share - 2022-03: AUD 5.18 per share - 2022-04: AUD 5.09 per share - 2022-05: AUD 4.81 per share - 2022-06: AUD 4.22 per share - 2022-07: AUD 4.55 per share - 2022-08: AUD 4.21 per share - 2022-09: AUD 3.83 per share - 2022-10: AUD 4.31 per share - 2022-11: AUD 4.48 per share - 2022-12: AUD 4.20 per share - 2023-01: AUD 4.55 per share - 2023-02: AUD 4.71 per share - 2023-03: AUD 4.24 per share - 2023-04: AUD 4.41 per share - 2023-05: AUD 4.19 per share - 2023-06: AUD 4.14 per share - 2023-07: AUD 4.34 per share - 2023-08: AUD 4.20 per share - 2023-09: AUD 3.90 per share - 2023-10: AUD 3.62 per share - 2023-11: AUD 4.12 per share - 2023-12: AUD 4.64 per share - 2024-01: AUD 4.66 per share - 2024-02: AUD 4.35 per share - 2024-03: AUD 4.57 per share - 2024-04: AUD 4.22 per share - 2024-05: AUD 4.19 per share - 2024-06: AUD 4.00 per share - 2024-07: AUD 4.63 per share - 2024-08: AUD 4.92 per share - 2024-09: AUD 4.98 per share - 2024-10: AUD 4.74 per share - 2024-11: AUD 4.76 per share - 2024-12: AUD 4.37 per share - 2025-01: AUD 4.63 per share - 2025-02: AUD 4.61 per share - 2025-03: AUD 4.36 per share - 2025-04: AUD 4.63 per share - 2025-05: AUD 4.80 per share - 2025-06: AUD 4.84 per share - 2025-07: AUD 5.10 per share - 2025-08: AUD 5.58 per share - 2025-09: AUD 5.37 per share - 2025-10: AUD 5.36 per share - 2025-11: AUD 5.55 per share - 2025-12: AUD 5.42 per share - 2026-01: AUD 5.29 per share - 2026-02: AUD 5.06 per share - 2026-03: AUD 4.53 per share - 2026-04: AUD 4.75 per share - 2026-05: AUD 4.85 per share - 2026-06: AUD 4.88 per share - 2026-07: AUD 5.14 per share - 2026-08: AUD 4.70 per share - 2026-09: AUD 4.57 per share - 2026-10: AUD 4.55 per share ## Annual estimated value (AUD per share) - FY2016: low AUD 4.30 per share, central AUD 4.89 per share, high AUD 5.68 per share - FY2017: low AUD 5.40 per share, central AUD 6.15 per share, high AUD 7.13 per share - FY2018: low AUD 7.49 per share, central AUD 8.52 per share, high AUD 9.89 per share - FY2019: low AUD 8.12 per share, central AUD 10.23 per share, high AUD 11.94 per share - FY2020: low AUD 6.78 per share, central AUD 7.69 per share, high AUD 8.90 per share - FY2021: low AUD 8.59 per share, central AUD 10.41 per share, high AUD 12.13 per share - FY2022: low AUD 5.09 per share, central AUD 5.79 per share, high AUD 6.72 per share - FY2023: low AUD 2.97 per share, central AUD 3.44 per share, high AUD 3.99 per share - FY2025: low AUD 3.38 per share, central AUD 3.88 per share, high AUD 4.50 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates ## Sources Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
GPT · AU
S&P/ASX 200
Not a wonderful business
3 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.
3 loss years were recorded (limit 2).
Capital return excluding acquisitions: median 3.1% (minimum 15%), and the second-worst year 2.5% (minimum 10%).
Each $1 of profit left $0.98 for owners over five years (minimum $0.80).
Per-share value fell from 0.64 to -0.1, comparing three-year medians at each end (must rise and stay positive).
Profits were backed by cash: accruals were 2.1% of assets (limit 10%).
Profit record · fail 3 loss years in 10 (at most 2), mean operating margin 60.6%, three-year average owner earnings per share 0.09 AUD. 3 loss years in the last 10; at most 2 allowed.
| Value range | AUD 3.40 – AUD 4.52 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value AUD 3.89 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 4.59 / 3.89 = -17.9% |
| Return / year | About 8.9% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Owner cash AUD 0.30/share; 0.3% growth for 5 years, then fades to 3.0%; excess cash AUD 0.05/share today. |
| Required return | 10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value |