# Helia Group (HLI.AU)

Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/HLI.AU

Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:44:03.261Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2025.

Listing currency: AUD. Reporting currency: AUD.

## Verdict

Not a wonderful business

Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no.

Share price: AUD 5.18 per share; close as of 2026-10-15.

Estimated value: low AUD 3.98 per share, central AUD 4.38 per share, high AUD 4.87 per share. Buy at or below the central value AUD 4.38 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:44:03.261Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals.

Expected annual return: 8.5% at the stated quote. About 8.5% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; AU 10-year bond 5.2% + 4 points).

## Checklist

### understandable: pass

- Financial history: 10 years

- Profitable years in the last ten: 9

- Required profitable years: 8

- Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.78×

Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: AUD 203M

- FY2017: AUD 149M

- FY2018: AUD 76M

- FY2019: AUD 120M

- FY2020: AUD -108M

- FY2021: AUD 193M

- FY2022: AUD 187M

- FY2023: AUD 275M

- FY2024: AUD 232M

- FY2025: AUD 245M

### moat: pass

- Common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings

- Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 11.4%

- Required median return: 10.0%

- Return uses tangible common equity: No

- Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 4.4%

- Years with reported combined ratio: 0

Chart: Return on common equity; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: 10.3%

- FY2017: 7.8%

- FY2018: 4.4%

- FY2019: 7.9%

- FY2020: -7.8%

- FY2021: 12.4%

- FY2022: 15.5%

- FY2023: 24.1%

- FY2024: 21.4%

- FY2025: 24.0%

### economics: pass

- Common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings

- Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 9.3%

- Book return interval: 10 years

- Starting book value per share: AUD 4.03

- Ending book value per share: AUD 3.70

Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: 7.6%

- FY2017: 8.2%

- FY2018: 5.9%

- FY2019: 0.8%

- FY2020: -7.1%

- FY2021: 13.6%

- FY2022: -5.7%

- FY2023: 29.3%

- FY2024: 20.9%

- FY2025: 26.4%

### management: fail

- Common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings

- book per share gain below retained common earnings per share

- Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: -6.7%

- Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: -7.8%

- Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -6.7%

- Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -7.8%

- Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0

- Book value created per share: AUD -0.33

- Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: AUD -1.86

### accounting: pass

- Financial accounting warning count: 0

- Known restatement years: 0

## Holders

## Price story

The price assumes profits grow 1.5% a year forever · net income +5.8%

Story as of 2026-10-16T10:00:12.916Z; price observation 2026-10-15.

The price assumes profits grow 1.5% a year forever

### Net income · FY2025

net income +5.8%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16.

- FY2016: AUD 203M 

- FY2017: AUD 149M 

- FY2018: AUD 76M 

- FY2019: AUD 120M 

- FY2020: AUD -108M 

- FY2021: AUD 193M 

- FY2022: AUD 187M 

- FY2023: AUD 275M 

- FY2024: AUD 232M 

- FY2025: AUD 245M 

## Owner memo

Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z.

### How it makes money

Operates in insurance specialty; annual sales are AUD 471.2 million.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:44:03.261Z); FY2025: revenue 471200000.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); HLI.AU: Helia Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the loan mortgage insurance business primarily in Australia. It offers Lenders Mortgage Insurance (LMI), which provides protection to lenders, helping them facilitate property purchases with smaller deposits and protecting them against the risk of potential losses. The company was formerly known as Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia Limited and changed its name to Helia Group Limited in November 2022. The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in North Sydney, Australia.

### Why customers stay

It earns 11.4% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:44:03.261Z); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0.10323064012512065],[2017,0.07760631238655512],[2018,0.04355494157600875],[2019,0.0786159651608274],[2020,-0.07751311314773186],[2021,0.12381519897208618],[2022,0.15490380819363764],[2023,0.24099860603793224],[2024,0.21431374654290866],[2025,0.24033366045142296]]; median 0.11352291954860341. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity.

### Where the cash goes

Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years; bought back AUD 2.3 million of shares.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:44:03.261Z); Dividend observations: [[2016,249894000],[2017,142622000],[2018,110621000],[2019,76464000],[2020,30939000],[2021,20626000],[2022,94208000],[2023,186687000],[2024,178088000],[2025,305200000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:44:03.261Z); FY2025: cash repurchases 2300000 AUD.

### Are managers owners

Insiders own 2.4% of the company.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); HLI.AU SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 2.4219999999999997 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16.

### What the price says

The price assumes profits grow 1.5% a year forever.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:44:03.261Z); Price 5.18; FX 1; original perpetual distributable cash 0.4378793725660443; discount 0.1; growth 0.01546730259342774. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15.

## Monthly share-price history (AUD per share)

- 2016-10: AUD 3.06 per share

- 2016-11: AUD 3.06 per share

- 2016-12: AUD 3.27 per share

- 2017-01: AUD 3.33 per share

- 2017-02: AUD 2.81 per share

- 2017-03: AUD 3.14 per share

- 2017-04: AUD 3.29 per share

- 2017-05: AUD 2.86 per share

- 2017-06: AUD 2.93 per share

- 2017-07: AUD 3.01 per share

- 2017-08: AUD 2.90 per share

- 2017-09: AUD 2.79 per share

- 2017-10: AUD 2.84 per share

- 2017-11: AUD 3.18 per share

- 2017-12: AUD 3.00 per share

- 2018-01: AUD 2.91 per share

- 2018-02: AUD 2.52 per share

- 2018-03: AUD 2.31 per share

- 2018-04: AUD 2.32 per share

- 2018-05: AUD 2.45 per share

- 2018-06: AUD 2.57 per share

- 2018-07: AUD 2.69 per share

- 2018-08: AUD 2.64 per share

- 2018-09: AUD 2.46 per share

- 2018-10: AUD 2.25 per share

- 2018-11: AUD 2.25 per share

- 2018-12: AUD 2.19 per share

- 2019-01: AUD 2.22 per share

- 2019-02: AUD 2.64 per share

- 2019-03: AUD 2.39 per share

- 2019-04: AUD 2.39 per share

- 2019-05: AUD 2.70 per share

- 2019-06: AUD 2.81 per share

- 2019-07: AUD 3.39 per share

- 2019-08: AUD 3.08 per share

- 2019-09: AUD 3.40 per share

- 2019-10: AUD 3.90 per share

- 2019-11: AUD 3.67 per share

- 2019-12: AUD 3.65 per share

- 2020-01: AUD 3.66 per share

- 2020-02: AUD 3.22 per share

- 2020-03: AUD 2.17 per share

- 2020-04: AUD 2.13 per share

- 2020-05: AUD 2.10 per share

- 2020-06: AUD 2.07 per share

- 2020-07: AUD 1.70 per share

- 2020-08: AUD 1.51 per share

- 2020-09: AUD 1.57 per share

- 2020-10: AUD 1.71 per share

- 2020-11: AUD 2.65 per share

- 2020-12: AUD 2.39 per share

- 2021-01: AUD 2.28 per share

- 2021-02: AUD 2.58 per share

- 2021-03: AUD 2.56 per share

- 2021-04: AUD 2.74 per share

- 2021-05: AUD 2.74 per share

- 2021-06: AUD 2.20 per share

- 2021-07: AUD 2.04 per share

- 2021-08: AUD 2.22 per share

- 2021-09: AUD 2.22 per share

- 2021-10: AUD 2.30 per share

- 2021-11: AUD 2.24 per share

- 2021-12: AUD 2.32 per share

- 2022-01: AUD 2.43 per share

- 2022-02: AUD 3.00 per share

- 2022-03: AUD 2.88 per share

- 2022-04: AUD 3.00 per share

- 2022-05: AUD 2.98 per share

- 2022-06: AUD 2.30 per share

- 2022-07: AUD 2.81 per share

- 2022-08: AUD 2.84 per share

- 2022-09: AUD 2.72 per share

- 2022-10: AUD 2.71 per share

- 2022-11: AUD 2.71 per share

- 2022-12: AUD 2.75 per share

- 2023-01: AUD 2.80 per share

- 2023-02: AUD 3.45 per share

- 2023-03: AUD 2.87 per share

- 2023-04: AUD 3.16 per share

- 2023-05: AUD 3.30 per share

- 2023-06: AUD 3.46 per share

- 2023-07: AUD 3.88 per share

- 2023-08: AUD 3.88 per share

- 2023-09: AUD 3.49 per share

- 2023-10: AUD 3.62 per share

- 2023-11: AUD 4.13 per share

- 2023-12: AUD 4.35 per share

- 2024-01: AUD 4.93 per share

- 2024-02: AUD 4.13 per share

- 2024-03: AUD 3.91 per share

- 2024-04: AUD 4.00 per share

- 2024-05: AUD 4.12 per share

- 2024-06: AUD 3.87 per share

- 2024-07: AUD 3.99 per share

- 2024-08: AUD 4.10 per share

- 2024-09: AUD 4.06 per share

- 2024-10: AUD 4.07 per share

- 2024-11: AUD 4.47 per share

- 2024-12: AUD 4.47 per share

- 2025-01: AUD 4.86 per share

- 2025-02: AUD 6.11 per share

- 2025-03: AUD 3.99 per share

- 2025-04: AUD 4.84 per share

- 2025-05: AUD 5.20 per share

- 2025-06: AUD 5.63 per share

- 2025-07: AUD 5.06 per share

- 2025-08: AUD 5.55 per share

- 2025-09: AUD 5.78 per share

- 2025-10: AUD 5.39 per share

- 2025-11: AUD 5.65 per share

- 2025-12: AUD 5.50 per share

- 2026-01: AUD 5.84 per share

- 2026-02: AUD 6.02 per share

- 2026-03: AUD 5.26 per share

- 2026-04: AUD 5.36 per share

- 2026-05: AUD 4.83 per share

- 2026-06: AUD 5.54 per share

- 2026-07: AUD 5.02 per share

- 2026-08: AUD 5.04 per share

- 2026-09: AUD 5.32 per share

- 2026-10: AUD 5.28 per share

## Annual estimated value (AUD per share)

- FY2018: low AUD 2.72 per share, central AUD 2.99 per share, high AUD 3.32 per share

- FY2019: low AUD 2.83 per share, central AUD 3.12 per share, high AUD 3.46 per share

- FY2020: low AUD 2.55 per share, central AUD 2.80 per share, high AUD 3.11 per share

- FY2021: low AUD 2.86 per share, central AUD 3.16 per share, high AUD 3.53 per share

- FY2022: low AUD 2.42 per share, central AUD 2.72 per share, high AUD 3.09 per share

- FY2023: low AUD 3.10 per share, central AUD 3.55 per share, high AUD 4.16 per share

- FY2024: low AUD 3.83 per share, central AUD 4.34 per share, high AUD 5.02 per share

- FY2025: low AUD 3.96 per share, central AUD 4.36 per share, high AUD 4.84 per share

Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year

Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year

Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates

Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:49:55.704Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period.

## Sources

Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.

Helia Group

HLI · AU

S&P/ASX 200

Not a wonderful business

1 quality test fails. A lower price would not fix the business.

Share price: AUD 5.18
Buy up to: AUD 4.38
Expected / yr: 8.5% at today's price (10.0% at central value)

The business

How it makes money
Why customers stay
Where the cash goes
Are managers owners
What the price says

1. Is this a good business?

Evidence only; not required for Buy

Profits were positive in 9 years (at least 8 needed).

Net income

10y median: AUD 190M
Worst year: AUD -108M
Latest · 2025: AUD 245M

Earned a median 11.4% on equity (minimum 10%).

Return on common equity

10y median: 11.4%
Worst year: -7.8%
Latest · 2025: 24.0%

Book value plus dividends grew 9.3% a year (minimum 7%).

Annual book + dividend return

10y median: 7.9%
Worst year: -7.1%
Latest · 2025: 26.4%

Book value gained -0.33 per share against 0 kept (must cover the amount kept).

Filing signals · estimated likelihood

per-share value change
Passing bar: ≥ AUD 0

0 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).

accounting warnings: 0
Passing bar: ≤ 0

Profit record · pass 1 loss year in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 0.86 AUD.

2. Is the price low enough?

PriceEstimated rangeBuy price

2016-10 · Price AUD 3.06; 2016-11 · Price AUD 3.06; 2016-12 · Price AUD 3.27; 2017-01 · Price AUD 3.33; 2017-02 · Price AUD 2.81; 2017-03 · Price AUD 3.14; 2017-04 · Price AUD 3.29; 2017-05 · Price AUD 2.86; 2017-06 · Price AUD 2.93; 2017-07 · Price AUD 3.01; 2017-08 · Price AUD 2.90; 2017-09 · Price AUD 2.79; 2017-10 · Price AUD 2.84; 2017-11 · Price AUD 3.18; 2017-12 · Price AUD 3.00; 2018-01 · Price AUD 2.91 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2018-02 · Price AUD 2.52 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2018-03 · Price AUD 2.31 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2018-04 · Price AUD 2.32 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2018-05 · Price AUD 2.45 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2018-06 · Price AUD 2.57 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2018-07 · Price AUD 2.69 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2018-08 · Price AUD 2.64 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2018-09 · Price AUD 2.46 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2018-10 · Price AUD 2.25 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2018-11 · Price AUD 2.25 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2018-12 · Price AUD 2.19 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2019-01 · Price AUD 2.22 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2019-02 · Price AUD 2.64 · Value 3.12 · Buy at or below 3.12; 2019-03 · Price AUD 2.39 · Value 3.12 · Buy at or below 3.12; 2019-04 · Price AUD 2.39 · Value 3.12 · Buy at or below 3.12; 2019-05 · Price AUD 2.70 · Value 3.12 · Buy at or below 3.12; 2019-06 · Price AUD 2.81 · Value 3.12 · Buy at or below 3.12; 2019-07 · Price AUD 3.39 · Value 3.12 · Buy at or below 3.12; 2019-08 · Price AUD 3.08 · Value 3.12 · Buy at or below 3.12; 2019-09 · Price AUD 3.40 · Value 3.12 · Buy at or below 3.12; 2019-10 · Price AUD 3.90 · Value 3.12 · Buy at or below 3.12; 2019-11 · Price AUD 3.67 · Value 3.12 · Buy at or below 3.12; 2019-12 · Price AUD 3.65 · Value 3.12 · Buy at or below 3.12; 2020-01 · Price AUD 3.66 · Value 3.12 · Buy at or below 3.12; 2020-02 · Price AUD 3.22 · Value 2.80 · Buy at or below 2.80; 2020-03 · Price AUD 2.17 · Value 2.80 · Buy at or below 2.80; 2020-04 · Price AUD 2.13 · Value 2.80 · Buy at or below 2.80; 2020-05 · Price AUD 2.10 · Value 2.80 · Buy at or below 2.80; 2020-06 · Price AUD 2.07 · Value 2.80 · Buy at or below 2.80; 2020-07 · Price AUD 1.70 · Value 2.80 · Buy at or below 2.80; 2020-08 · Price AUD 1.51 · Value 2.80 · Buy at or below 2.80; 2020-09 · Price AUD 1.56 · Value 2.80 · Buy at or below 2.80; 2020-10 · Price AUD 1.71 · Value 2.80 · Buy at or below 2.80; 2020-11 · Price AUD 2.65 · Value 2.80 · Buy at or below 2.80; 2020-12 · Price AUD 2.39 · Value 2.80 · Buy at or below 2.80; 2021-01 · Price AUD 2.28 · Value 2.80 · Buy at or below 2.80; 2021-02 · Price AUD 2.58 · Value 3.16 · Buy at or below 3.16; 2021-03 · Price AUD 2.56 · Value 3.16 · Buy at or below 3.16; 2021-04 · Price AUD 2.74 · Value 3.16 · Buy at or below 3.16; 2021-05 · Price AUD 2.74 · Value 3.16 · Buy at or below 3.16; 2021-06 · Price AUD 2.20 · Value 3.16 · Buy at or below 3.16; 2021-07 · Price AUD 2.04 · Value 3.16 · Buy at or below 3.16; 2021-08 · Price AUD 2.22 · Value 3.16 · Buy at or below 3.16; 2021-09 · Price AUD 2.22 · Value 3.16 · Buy at or below 3.16; 2021-10 · Price AUD 2.30 · Value 3.16 · Buy at or below 3.16; 2021-11 · Price AUD 2.24 · Value 3.16 · Buy at or below 3.16; 2021-12 · Price AUD 2.32 · Value 3.16 · Buy at or below 3.16; 2022-01 · Price AUD 2.43 · Value 3.16 · Buy at or below 3.16; 2022-02 · Price AUD 3.00 · Value 2.72 · Buy at or below 2.72; 2022-03 · Price AUD 2.88 · Value 2.72 · Buy at or below 2.72; 2022-04 · Price AUD 3.00 · Value 2.72 · Buy at or below 2.72; 2022-05 · Price AUD 2.98 · Value 2.72 · Buy at or below 2.72; 2022-06 · Price AUD 2.30 · Value 2.72 · Buy at or below 2.72; 2022-07 · Price AUD 2.81 · Value 2.72 · Buy at or below 2.72; 2022-08 · Price AUD 2.84 · Value 2.72 · Buy at or below 2.72; 2022-09 · Price AUD 2.72 · Value 2.72 · Buy at or below 2.72; 2022-10 · Price AUD 2.71 · Value 2.72 · Buy at or below 2.72; 2022-11 · Price AUD 2.71 · Value 2.72 · Buy at or below 2.72; 2022-12 · Price AUD 2.75 · Value 2.72 · Buy at or below 2.72; 2023-01 · Price AUD 2.80 · Value 2.72 · Buy at or below 2.72; 2023-02 · Price AUD 3.45 · Value 3.55 · Buy at or below 3.55; 2023-03 · Price AUD 2.87 · Value 3.55 · Buy at or below 3.55; 2023-04 · Price AUD 3.16 · Value 3.55 · Buy at or below 3.55; 2023-05 · Price AUD 3.30 · Value 3.55 · Buy at or below 3.55; 2023-06 · Price AUD 3.46 · Value 3.55 · Buy at or below 3.55; 2023-07 · Price AUD 3.88 · Value 3.55 · Buy at or below 3.55; 2023-08 · Price AUD 3.88 · Value 3.55 · Buy at or below 3.55; 2023-09 · Price AUD 3.49 · Value 3.55 · Buy at or below 3.55; 2023-10 · Price AUD 3.62 · Value 3.55 · Buy at or below 3.55; 2023-11 · Price AUD 4.13 · Value 3.55 · Buy at or below 3.55; 2023-12 · Price AUD 4.35 · Value 3.55 · Buy at or below 3.55; 2024-01 · Price AUD 4.93 · Value 3.55 · Buy at or below 3.55; 2024-02 · Price AUD 4.13 · Value 4.34 · Buy at or below 4.34; 2024-03 · Price AUD 3.91 · Value 4.34 · Buy at or below 4.34; 2024-04 · Price AUD 4.00 · Value 4.34 · Buy at or below 4.34; 2024-05 · Price AUD 4.12 · Value 4.34 · Buy at or below 4.34; 2024-06 · Price AUD 3.87 · Value 4.34 · Buy at or below 4.34; 2024-07 · Price AUD 3.99 · Value 4.34 · Buy at or below 4.34; 2024-08 · Price AUD 4.10 · Value 4.34 · Buy at or below 4.34; 2024-09 · Price AUD 4.06 · Value 4.34 · Buy at or below 4.34; 2024-10 · Price AUD 4.07 · Value 4.34 · Buy at or below 4.34; 2024-11 · Price AUD 4.47 · Value 4.34 · Buy at or below 4.34; 2024-12 · Price AUD 4.47 · Value 4.34 · Buy at or below 4.34; 2025-01 · Price AUD 4.86 · Value 4.34 · Buy at or below 4.34; 2025-02 · Price AUD 6.11 · Value 4.36 · Buy at or below 4.36; 2025-03 · Price AUD 3.99 · Value 4.36 · Buy at or below 4.36; 2025-04 · Price AUD 4.84 · Value 4.36 · Buy at or below 4.36; 2025-05 · Price AUD 5.20 · Value 4.36 · Buy at or below 4.36; 2025-06 · Price AUD 5.63 · Value 4.36 · Buy at or below 4.36; 2025-07 · Price AUD 5.06 · Value 4.36 · Buy at or below 4.36; 2025-08 · Price AUD 5.55 · Value 4.36 · Buy at or below 4.36; 2025-09 · Price AUD 5.78 · Value 4.36 · Buy at or below 4.36; 2025-10 · Price AUD 5.39 · Value 4.36 · Buy at or below 4.36; 2025-11 · Price AUD 5.65 · Value 4.36 · Buy at or below 4.36; 2025-12 · Price AUD 5.50 · Value 4.36 · Buy at or below 4.36; 2026-01 · Price AUD 5.84 · Value 4.36 · Buy at or below 4.36; 2026-02 · Price AUD 6.02 · Value 4.38 · Buy at or below 4.38; 2026-03 · Price AUD 5.26 · Value 4.38 · Buy at or below 4.38; 2026-04 · Price AUD 5.36 · Value 4.38 · Buy at or below 4.38; 2026-05 · Price AUD 4.83 · Value 4.38 · Buy at or below 4.38; 2026-06 · Price AUD 5.54 · Value 4.38 · Buy at or below 4.38; 2026-07 · Price AUD 5.02 · Value 4.38 · Buy at or below 4.38; 2026-08 · Price AUD 5.04 · Value 4.38 · Buy at or below 4.38; 2026-09 · Price AUD 5.32 · Value 4.38 · Buy at or below 4.38; 2026-10 · Price AUD 5.28 · Value 4.38 · Buy at or below 4.38; 2026-10 · Price AUD 5.18 · Value 4.38 · Buy at or below 4.38

AUD per share · annual estimates

Price & return math
Value range	AUD 3.98 – AUD 4.87
Buy at or below	Central value AUD 4.38
Discount to value	1 − 5.18 / 4.38 = -18.3%
Return / year	About 8.5% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%)
Cash-flow inputs	Book AUD 3.69/share; ROE 11.9%; first payout AUD 0.44/share, growing 0.0% perpetually (4× book payout cap applied).
Required return	10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value

Net incomeAUD 245M

Net income

Book / shareAUD 3.70

Book / share

Dividend / shareAUD 1.11

Dividend / share

Return on equity24.0%

Return on equity

Diluted shares275M

Diluted shares

Prices 15 Oct 2026 · FY2025