Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 8 needed).
- 10y median
- CAD 1.1B
- Worst year
- CAD 521M
- Latest · 2025
- CAD 3.3B
# Intact Financial (IFC.TO) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/IFC.TO Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:34:17.711Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2026. Listing currency: CAD. Reporting currency: CAD. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: CAD 251.93 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low CAD 211.51 per share, central CAD 264.38 per share, high CAD 352.51 per share. Buy at or below the central value CAD 264.38 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:34:17.711Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 10.2% at the stated quote. About 10.2% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; CA 10-year bond 3.8% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: pass - Financial history: 10 years - Profitable years in the last ten: 10 - Required profitable years: 8 - Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.25× Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: CAD 521M - FY2017: CAD 765M - FY2018: CAD 667M - FY2019: CAD 709M - FY2020: CAD 1.0B - FY2021: CAD 2.0B - FY2022: CAD 2.4B - FY2023: CAD 1.2B - FY2024: CAD 2.2B - FY2025: CAD 3.3B ### moat: pass - Common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity - Underwriting economics assessed through return on tangible common equity - Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 24.6% - Required median return: 12.0% - Return uses tangible common equity: Yes - Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 17.5% - Years with reported combined ratio: 0 Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 15.4% - FY2017: 25.0% - FY2018: 20.8% - FY2019: 19.7% - FY2020: 24.2% - FY2021: 25.3% - FY2022: 30.3% - FY2023: 17.5% - FY2024: 25.7% - FY2025: 29.6% ### economics: pass - Common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 15.8% - Book return interval: 10 years - Starting book value per share: CAD 46.46 - Ending book value per share: CAD 122.14 Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: 21.3% - FY2018: 10.4% - FY2019: 14.9% - FY2020: 15.6% - FY2021: 38.6% - FY2022: 6.4% - FY2023: 5.9% - FY2024: 17.8% - FY2025: 20.9% - LTM to Jun 2026: 9.6% ### management: fail - Common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity - ordinary share count growth exceeds 2% annually in both the full and five-year windows - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 3.1% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 4.5% - Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 3.1% - Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 4.5% - Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0 - Book created / earnings retained after dividends and buybacks: 1.76× - Book value created per share: CAD 73.50 - Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: CAD 41.80 Chart: Shares (first year = 100); fiscal year observations. - FY2015: 100 - FY2016: 100 - FY2017: 106 - FY2018: 106 - FY2019: 109 - FY2020: 109 - FY2021: 134 - FY2022: 133 - FY2023: 136 - FY2024: 136 - FY2025: 135 ### accounting: pass - Financial accounting warning count: 0 - Known restatement years: 0 ## Holders ## Price story Down 20% since Jun 2025 · net income +0.6% Story as of 2026-10-16T10:00:00.010Z; price observation 2026-10-15. The price assumes profits grow 5% a year forever - 2026-02-10: Intact Financial Books Strong Q4 Earnings Beat, Lifts Dividend By 11% ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/intact-financial-books-strong-q4-222224993.html)) ### Net income · FY2026 net income +0.6%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16. - FY2017: CAD 765M - FY2018: CAD 667M - FY2019: CAD 709M - FY2020: CAD 1.0B - FY2021: CAD 2.0B - FY2022: CAD 2.4B - FY2023: CAD 1.2B - FY2024: CAD 2.2B - FY2025: CAD 3.3B - FY2026: CAD 3.3B ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in insurance property & casualty; annual sales are CAD 26.1 billion. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:17.711Z); FY2025: revenue 26073000000. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); IFC.TO: Intact Financial Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance products to individuals and businesses in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It offers insurance, such as personal auto that provides coverage from accidents, third-party liability, and physical damage; personal property which provides protection for homes and belongings from risks, including fire, theft, vandalism, water damages, other damages, and personal liability; and commercial line and specialty line insurance, including commercial auto, property, and liability coverages. The company also provides business insurance. It serves its products to accident and health, technology, ocean and inland marine, builder's risk, and entertainment, as well as financial professional lines; and various products to specialty property, surety, tuition reimbursement, general liability, and cyber and environmental institutions. The company offers specialty insurance products, including brokers, direct to consumer, agencies, wholesalers, affinity partners, Intact Prestige, and managing general agent platform. It offers its products through multiple distribution channels, such as brokers, direct-to-consumer, and managing general agent (MGA) platforms. The company was formerly known as ING Canada Inc. and changed its name to Intact Financial Corporation in 2009. Intact Financial Corporation was founded in 1809 and is based in Toronto, Canada. ### Why customers stay It earns 24.6% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:17.711Z); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0.15400532072125334],[2017,0.25],[2018,0.2077234506384304],[2019,0.1970539188438021],[2020,0.24201127819548873],[2021,0.25263421976919215],[2022,0.30334915950211727],[2023,0.17455369793142533],[2024,0.25719613098706445],[2025,0.2964874162592794]]; median 0.24600563909774437. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years; bought back CAD 394 million of shares. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:17.711Z); Dividend observations: [[2016,324000000],[2017,378000000],[2018,430000000],[2019,474000000],[2020,527000000],[2021,679000000],[2022,762000000],[2023,862000000],[2024,953000000],[2025,1037000000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:17.711Z); FY2025: cash repurchases 394000000 CAD. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 0.3% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); IFC.TO SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 0.299 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What the price says The price assumes profits grow 5% a year forever. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:34:17.711Z); Price 251.93; FX 1; original perpetual distributable cash 12.558146067415729; discount 0.1; growth 0.05015224043418518. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (CAD per share) - 2016-10: CAD 91.18 per share - 2016-11: CAD 93.50 per share - 2016-12: CAD 96.10 per share - 2017-01: CAD 95.01 per share - 2017-02: CAD 94.16 per share - 2017-03: CAD 94.58 per share - 2017-04: CAD 93.51 per share - 2017-05: CAD 92.78 per share - 2017-06: CAD 97.96 per share - 2017-07: CAD 96.85 per share - 2017-08: CAD 102.94 per share - 2017-09: CAD 103.07 per share - 2017-10: CAD 105.45 per share - 2017-11: CAD 108.24 per share - 2017-12: CAD 104.99 per share - 2018-01: CAD 103.13 per share - 2018-02: CAD 99.25 per share - 2018-03: CAD 96.81 per share - 2018-04: CAD 97.90 per share - 2018-05: CAD 98.05 per share - 2018-06: CAD 93.25 per share - 2018-07: CAD 99.24 per share - 2018-08: CAD 103.50 per share - 2018-09: CAD 107.40 per share - 2018-10: CAD 104.01 per share - 2018-11: CAD 106.37 per share - 2018-12: CAD 99.19 per share - 2019-01: CAD 103.86 per share - 2019-02: CAD 110.00 per share - 2019-03: CAD 113.08 per share - 2019-04: CAD 109.61 per share - 2019-05: CAD 116.21 per share - 2019-06: CAD 121.02 per share - 2019-07: CAD 123.02 per share - 2019-08: CAD 130.12 per share - 2019-09: CAD 133.34 per share - 2019-10: CAD 135.90 per share - 2019-11: CAD 136.97 per share - 2019-12: CAD 140.42 per share - 2020-01: CAD 143.37 per share - 2020-02: CAD 145.49 per share - 2020-03: CAD 121.63 per share - 2020-04: CAD 132.47 per share - 2020-05: CAD 131.44 per share - 2020-06: CAD 129.21 per share - 2020-07: CAD 146.24 per share - 2020-08: CAD 139.71 per share - 2020-09: CAD 142.58 per share - 2020-10: CAD 137.62 per share - 2020-11: CAD 145.29 per share - 2020-12: CAD 150.72 per share - 2021-01: CAD 141.00 per share - 2021-02: CAD 142.24 per share - 2021-03: CAD 154.00 per share - 2021-04: CAD 163.38 per share - 2021-05: CAD 163.24 per share - 2021-06: CAD 168.41 per share - 2021-07: CAD 170.00 per share - 2021-08: CAD 171.83 per share - 2021-09: CAD 167.48 per share - 2021-10: CAD 165.91 per share - 2021-11: CAD 158.52 per share - 2021-12: CAD 164.42 per share - 2022-01: CAD 172.23 per share - 2022-02: CAD 181.79 per share - 2022-03: CAD 184.72 per share - 2022-04: CAD 179.72 per share - 2022-05: CAD 182.75 per share - 2022-06: CAD 181.56 per share - 2022-07: CAD 190.60 per share - 2022-08: CAD 190.25 per share - 2022-09: CAD 195.49 per share - 2022-10: CAD 207.01 per share - 2022-11: CAD 201.26 per share - 2022-12: CAD 194.91 per share - 2023-01: CAD 193.03 per share - 2023-02: CAD 196.01 per share - 2023-03: CAD 193.42 per share - 2023-04: CAD 204.94 per share - 2023-05: CAD 200.06 per share - 2023-06: CAD 204.54 per share - 2023-07: CAD 194.81 per share - 2023-08: CAD 190.50 per share - 2023-09: CAD 198.02 per share - 2023-10: CAD 194.84 per share - 2023-11: CAD 210.30 per share - 2023-12: CAD 203.86 per share - 2024-01: CAD 210.25 per share - 2024-02: CAD 225.68 per share - 2024-03: CAD 220.04 per share - 2024-04: CAD 226.27 per share - 2024-05: CAD 228.04 per share - 2024-06: CAD 228.01 per share - 2024-07: CAD 250.90 per share - 2024-08: CAD 253.63 per share - 2024-09: CAD 259.70 per share - 2024-10: CAD 265.90 per share - 2024-11: CAD 266.67 per share - 2024-12: CAD 261.73 per share - 2025-01: CAD 258.15 per share - 2025-02: CAD 285.05 per share - 2025-03: CAD 294.01 per share - 2025-04: CAD 306.17 per share - 2025-05: CAD 311.35 per share - 2025-06: CAD 316.65 per share - 2025-07: CAD 286.40 per share - 2025-08: CAD 275.03 per share - 2025-09: CAD 270.77 per share - 2025-10: CAD 261.63 per share - 2025-11: CAD 285.40 per share - 2025-12: CAD 285.73 per share - 2026-01: CAD 247.91 per share - 2026-02: CAD 263.35 per share - 2026-03: CAD 252.08 per share - 2026-04: CAD 261.74 per share - 2026-05: CAD 270.87 per share - 2026-06: CAD 292.71 per share - 2026-07: CAD 275.25 per share - 2026-08: CAD 268.27 per share - 2026-09: CAD 245.84 per share - 2026-10: CAD 245.31 per share ## Annual estimated value (CAD per share) - FY2016: low CAD 61.30 per share, central CAD 76.62 per share, high CAD 102.16 per share - FY2017: low CAD 55.56 per share, central CAD 69.45 per share, high CAD 92.60 per share - FY2018: low CAD 62.35 per share, central CAD 77.93 per share, high CAD 103.91 per share - FY2019: low CAD 73.53 per share, central CAD 91.92 per share, high CAD 122.56 per share - FY2020: low CAD 90.80 per share, central CAD 113.50 per share, high CAD 151.34 per share - FY2021: low CAD 142.94 per share, central CAD 178.68 per share, high CAD 238.23 per share - FY2022: low CAD 142.18 per share, central CAD 177.72 per share, high CAD 236.96 per share - FY2023: low CAD 126.67 per share, central CAD 158.34 per share, high CAD 211.12 per share - FY2024: low CAD 153.75 per share, central CAD 192.18 per share, high CAD 256.24 per share - FY2025: low CAD 198.58 per share, central CAD 248.22 per share, high CAD 330.97 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:40:05.574Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period. ## Sources Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
IFC · TO
S&P/TSX 60
Not a wonderful business
1 quality test fails. A lower price would not fix the business.
Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 8 needed).
Earned a median 24.6% on tangible equity (minimum 12%).
Book value plus dividends grew 15.8% a year (minimum 7%).
Ordinary share growth was 3.1% over the full period and 4.5% over five years (either must be at most 2% a year).
0 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).
Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 12.56 CAD.
| Value range | CAD 211.51 – CAD 352.51 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value CAD 264.38 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 251.93 / 264.38 = 4.7% |
| Return / year | About 10.2% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Book CAD 66.10/share; ROE 25.0%; first payout CAD 10.58/share, growing 6.0% perpetually (4× book payout cap applied). |
| Required return | 10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value |