# Kosmos Energy (KOS.US)

Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/KOS

Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:29:42.188Z. Financial observations: FY2009–FY2025.

Listing currency: USD. Reporting currency: USD.

## Verdict

Not a wonderful business

Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: fail; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no.

Share price: $2.68 per share; close as of 2026-10-15.

## Checklist

### understandable: fail

- 5 revenue declines in the last 10 years (informational)

- more than 2 net loss years

- operating margin variation exceeds 0.35

- Financial history: 10 years

- Years with declining revenue: 5

- Years with a net loss: 7

- Operating margin variation: 8.76×

Chart: Operating margin; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: -0.82×

- FY2017: -0.15×

- FY2018: -0.09×

- FY2019: 0.55×

- FY2020: -0.28×

- FY2021: 0.27×

- FY2022: 0.49×

- FY2023: 0.42×

- FY2024: 0.28×

- FY2025: -0.21×

### moat: fail

- ROIC median below threshold

- ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed)

- Recent gross margin fell 53.0pp below the typical margin (limit 4pp)

- ROIC, median of available years: 2.9%

- ROIC, second-lowest year: -7.5%

- Typical minus recent gross margin: 53.0 pp

- Typical gross margin (annual median): 38.2%

- Recent gross margin (lower of latest and 3-year median): -14.8%

- Years with nonpositive capital: 0

- Capital spending / revenue: 51.0%

- ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: -6.0%

Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: -9.0%

- FY2017: -3.4%

- FY2018: -2.1%

- FY2019: 20.5%

- FY2020: -7.5%

- FY2021: 9.3%

- FY2022: 26.3%

- FY2023: 14.0%

- FY2024: 7.9%

- FY2025: -6.1%

### economics: fail

- owner earnings cash conversion below threshold

- incremental invested capital return below threshold

- Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No

- Owner earnings, five-year total: -$843M

- Net income, five-year total: -$148M

- Return on incremental invested capital: -6.1%

- Working capital / revenue, annual change: -0.5 pp

- Working capital / revenue, change between three-year averages: -4.7 pp

- Working capital / revenue, final three-year average: 2.1%

Chart: Owner earnings · five years; fiscal year observations.

- FY2021: -$78M

- FY2022: $227M

- FY2023: -$264M

- FY2024: -$278M

- FY2025: -$450M

### management: fail

- Historical market-dollar context (not the management verdict): 2016 to 2025 (9 years)

- potential debt-funded buybacks (informational)

- buybacks leaned toward cheaper years (informational)

- ROIC first 3 years vs last 3 years: -3.4% vs 7.9%

- Per-share earnings: -0.57 to 0.40 (three-year endpoint medians)

- five-year and ten-year diluted share growth both above threshold

- Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes

- Ordinary dilution, 10-year annual growth: 2.2%

- Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: 3.3%

- Market cap gain: -$2.3B

- Cumulative retained earnings: -$932M

- Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 2.2%

- Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 3.3%

- $1 test, starting fiscal year: FY2016

- $1 test, ending fiscal year: FY2025

- Per-share value change: $0.97

- Per-share value, starting three-year median: -$0.57

- Per-share value, ending three-year median: $0.40

- Buybacks concentrated in cheaper years (correlation): 0.07

- Average buyback yield: 1.9%

- Buyback history: 7 years

- Debt-funded buybacks: Yes

- Acquisition spending: $0

- Cumulative net income, 10 years: -$1.2B

- ROIC, first three-year median: -3.4%

- ROIC, last three-year median: 7.9%

Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: -$0.74

- FY2017: -$0.57

- FY2018: -$0.23

- FY2019: -$0.14

- FY2020: -$1.02

- FY2021: -$0.19

- FY2022: $0.48

- FY2023: $0.44

- FY2024: $0.40

- FY2025: -$1.47

### accounting: pass

- stock compensation exceeds 15% of operating cash flow

- Sloan accruals: -17.8%

- Receivables to sales index (DSRI): 0.81×

- Restructuring years, last five: 2

- Stock compensation / operating cash flow: 20.9%

- Earnings backed by cash: Yes

- Accounting red flags: 1

- Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 0.00×

Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: -10.1%

- FY2017: -14.4%

- FY2018: -8.7%

- FY2019: -15.8%

- FY2020: -15.7%

- FY2021: -9.2%

- FY2022: -19.7%

- FY2023: -11.2%

- FY2024: -9.2%

- FY2025: -17.8%

## Holders

## Price story

Down 67% since Sep 2023 · "Kosmos Energy misses top-line and bottom-line estimates; initiates Q4 and updates FY outlook" (seekingalpha.com, Nov 2025) · sales -22.5%

Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:02.079Z; price observation 2026-10-15.

- 2025-06-04: Kosmos Energy, Tullow Oil sign MoU to extend Ghana production licenses to 2040 ([seekingalpha.com](https://seekingalpha.com/news/4455328-kosmos-energy-tullow-oil-sign-mou-to-extend-ghana-production-licenses-to-2040?utm_source=feed_news_all&utm_medium=referral&feed_item_type=news))

- 2025-08-04: Kosmos Energy Q2 loss wider than expected, full-year outlook lowered ([investing.com](https://www.investing.com/news/earnings/kosmos-energy-q2-loss-wider-than-expected-outlook-lowered-4167067))

- 2025-11-03: Kosmos Energy misses top-line and bottom-line estimates; initiates Q4 and updates FY outlook ([seekingalpha.com](https://seekingalpha.com/news/4512742-kosmos-energy-misses-top-line-and-bottom-line-estimates-initiates-q4-and-updates-fy-outlook?utm_source=feed_news_all&utm_medium=referral&feed_item_type=news))

### Sales · FY2024–2025

sales -22.5%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1509991/000150999126000017/kos-20251231.htm; observed 2026-03-02.

- FY2016: $310M 

- FY2017: $578M 

- FY2018: $887M 

- FY2019: $1.5B 

- FY2020: $804M 

- FY2021: $1.3B 

- FY2022: $2.2B 

- FY2023: $1.7B 

- FY2024: $1.7B 

- FY2025: $1.3B 

### Gross margin · FY2024

gross margin 41.1%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1509991/000150999126000017/kos-20251231.htm; observed 2026-03-02.

- FY2016: 16.3% 

- FY2017: 33.9% 

- FY2018: 37.5% 

- FY2019: 74.8% 

- FY2021: 38.9% 

- FY2022: 59.6% 

- FY2023: 50.9% 

- FY2024: 41.1% 

## Owner memo

Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z.

### How it makes money

Operates in oil & gas e&p; annual sales are USD 1.3 billion.

- Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1509991/000150999126000017/kos-20251231.htm (filed 2026-03-02); FY2025: revenue 1297846000; grossProfit -191446000; margin = grossProfit / revenue.

### Why customers stay

It earns 2.9% on its capital.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-02); FY2023: grossProfit / revenue = 50.9%.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-02); FY2024: grossProfit / revenue = 41.1%.

- Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1509991/000150999126000017/kos-20251231.htm (filed 2026-03-02); FY2025: grossProfit / revenue = -14.8%.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-02); 10-year return on capital observations [[2016,-0.09012567819561827],[2017,-0.03430058569195662],[2018,-0.020752778139761615],[2019,0.2054282055831514],[2020,-0.07521407900620744],[2021,0.09305948884600704],[2022,0.2626400643232356],[2023,0.14038287139119915],[2024,0.07902135729444168],[2025,-0.06111681856834548]]; median 0.02913428957734003. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity.

### Where the cash goes

Paid dividends in 8 of 10 years.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-02); FY2019: growth capex 0; upkeep 352013000; owner earnings 165328000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-02); FY2022: growth capex 300718000; upkeep 508657000; owner earnings 226551000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 1.327374410176958.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-02); Dividend observations: [[2016,72599000],[2017,72599000],[2018,867056000],[2019,72599000],[2020,19271000],[2021,512000],[2022,655000],[2023,166000],[2024,0],[2025,0]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement.

### Are managers owners

Insiders own 2.3% of the company.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-15); KOS.US SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 2.2950000000000004 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-15.

### What the price says

The price is 1 times annual sales; cash earnings are negative.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-02); Closing price 2.68 USD; reporting-to-trading FX 1; FY2025 annual sales per share 2.7174842071982095; price multiple 0.9862062833340781. FY2025 cash earnings/share -0.941253080564751. Closing-price date 2026-10-15.

## Monthly share-price history (USD per share)

- 2016-10: $5.21 per share

- 2016-11: $5.30 per share

- 2016-12: $7.01 per share

- 2017-01: $6.54 per share

- 2017-02: $6.14 per share

- 2017-03: $6.66 per share

- 2017-04: $6.01 per share

- 2017-05: $6.00 per share

- 2017-06: $6.41 per share

- 2017-07: $6.60 per share

- 2017-08: $7.04 per share

- 2017-09: $7.96 per share

- 2017-10: $7.68 per share

- 2017-11: $7.98 per share

- 2017-12: $6.85 per share

- 2018-01: $6.91 per share

- 2018-02: $5.39 per share

- 2018-03: $6.30 per share

- 2018-04: $7.04 per share

- 2018-05: $7.77 per share

- 2018-06: $8.27 per share

- 2018-07: $7.58 per share

- 2018-08: $9.04 per share

- 2018-09: $9.35 per share

- 2018-10: $6.49 per share

- 2018-11: $5.38 per share

- 2018-12: $4.07 per share

- 2019-01: $5.13 per share

- 2019-02: $6.40 per share

- 2019-03: $6.23 per share

- 2019-04: $6.69 per share

- 2019-05: $6.16 per share

- 2019-06: $6.27 per share

- 2019-07: $6.01 per share

- 2019-08: $6.32 per share

- 2019-09: $6.24 per share

- 2019-10: $6.20 per share

- 2019-11: $5.97 per share

- 2019-12: $5.70 per share

- 2020-01: $5.11 per share

- 2020-02: $3.05 per share

- 2020-03: $0.90 per share

- 2020-04: $1.65 per share

- 2020-05: $1.82 per share

- 2020-06: $1.66 per share

- 2020-07: $1.61 per share

- 2020-08: $1.47 per share

- 2020-09: $0.98 per share

- 2020-10: $0.99 per share

- 2020-11: $1.76 per share

- 2020-12: $2.35 per share

- 2021-01: $2.22 per share

- 2021-02: $3.08 per share

- 2021-03: $3.07 per share

- 2021-04: $2.86 per share

- 2021-05: $3.18 per share

- 2021-06: $3.46 per share

- 2021-07: $2.31 per share

- 2021-08: $2.36 per share

- 2021-09: $2.96 per share

- 2021-10: $3.60 per share

- 2021-11: $3.66 per share

- 2021-12: $3.46 per share

- 2022-01: $4.33 per share

- 2022-02: $4.86 per share

- 2022-03: $7.19 per share

- 2022-04: $6.76 per share

- 2022-05: $7.74 per share

- 2022-06: $6.19 per share

- 2022-07: $6.34 per share

- 2022-08: $7.07 per share

- 2022-09: $5.17 per share

- 2022-10: $6.49 per share

- 2022-11: $6.65 per share

- 2022-12: $6.36 per share

- 2023-01: $7.91 per share

- 2023-02: $7.87 per share

- 2023-03: $7.44 per share

- 2023-04: $6.40 per share

- 2023-05: $5.96 per share

- 2023-06: $5.99 per share

- 2023-07: $7.10 per share

- 2023-08: $7.28 per share

- 2023-09: $8.18 per share

- 2023-10: $7.24 per share

- 2023-11: $6.79 per share

- 2023-12: $6.71 per share

- 2024-01: $6.06 per share

- 2024-02: $6.14 per share

- 2024-03: $5.96 per share

- 2024-04: $5.67 per share

- 2024-05: $6.10 per share

- 2024-06: $5.54 per share

- 2024-07: $5.53 per share

- 2024-08: $4.87 per share

- 2024-09: $4.03 per share

- 2024-10: $3.76 per share

- 2024-11: $3.94 per share

- 2024-12: $3.42 per share

- 2025-01: $3.18 per share

- 2025-02: $2.81 per share

- 2025-03: $2.28 per share

- 2025-04: $1.54 per share

- 2025-05: $1.66 per share

- 2025-06: $1.72 per share

- 2025-07: $2.15 per share

- 2025-08: $1.79 per share

- 2025-09: $1.66 per share

- 2025-10: $1.57 per share

- 2025-11: $1.12 per share

- 2025-12: $0.91 per share

- 2026-01: $1.58 per share

- 2026-02: $2.33 per share

- 2026-03: $2.78 per share

- 2026-04: $3.08 per share

- 2026-05: $2.80 per share

- 2026-06: $2.11 per share

- 2026-07: $2.69 per share

- 2026-08: $2.86 per share

- 2026-09: $2.54 per share

- 2026-10: $2.68 per share

## Annual estimated value (USD per share)

Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year

Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year

Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates

## Sources

[Original 10-K filing](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1509991/000150999126000017/kos-20251231.htm); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-03-02.

Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.