# Mapletree Logistics Trust (MAPGF.US)

Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/MAPGF

Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:33:38.179Z. Financial observations: FY2020–FY2026.

Listing currency: USD. Reporting currency: SGD.

## Verdict

Not a wonderful business

Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no.

Share price: $0.85 per share; close as of 2026-10-15.

Estimated value: low $0.58 per share, central $0.66 per share, high $0.76 per share. Buy at or below the central value $0.66 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:33:38.179Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals.

Expected annual return: 8.3% at the stated quote. About 8.3% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; SG 10-year bond 2.3% + 4 points).

## Checklist

### understandable: pass

- 2 revenue declines in the last 10 years (informational)

- Financial history: 7 years

- Years with declining revenue: 2

- Years with a net loss: 0

- Operating margin variation: 0.04×

Chart: Operating margin; fiscal year observations.

- FY2020: 0.78×

- FY2021: 0.81×

- FY2022: 0.75×

- FY2023: 0.74×

- FY2024: 0.73×

- FY2025: 0.73×

- FY2026: 0.73×

### moat: fail

- ROIC median below threshold

- ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed)

- ROIC, median of available years: 3.5%

- ROIC, second-lowest year: 3.2%

- Typical minus recent gross margin: 1.2 pp

- Typical gross margin (annual median): 74.0%

- Recent gross margin (lower of latest and 3-year median): 72.8%

- Years with nonpositive capital: 0

- Capital spending / revenue: 0.0%

- ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: 4.4%

Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations.

- FY2020: 4.0%

- FY2021: 3.6%

- FY2022: 3.2%

- FY2023: 3.8%

- FY2024: 3.5%

- FY2025: 3.2%

- FY2026: 3.0%

### economics: pass

- Owner earnings / net income, 5-yr: 1.01×

- Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No

- Owner earnings, five-year total: SGD 2.2B

- Net income, five-year total: SGD 2.2B

- Return on incremental invested capital: >100%

- Working capital / revenue, annual change: 0.9 pp

Chart: Annual owner cash / profit; fiscal year observations.

- FY2022: 1.00×

- FY2023: 1.01×

- FY2024: 1.02×

- FY2025: 1.03×

- FY2026: 1.02×

### management: fail

- potential debt-funded buybacks (informational)

- buybacks unrelated to price (informational)

- ROIC first 3 years vs last 3 years: 3.6% vs 3.2%

- Per-share earnings: 0.11 to 0.05 (three-year endpoint medians)

- per-share value declined or ends nonpositive

- Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes

- Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: 5.2%

- Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 5.2%

- Per-share value growth: -16.6%

- Per-share value change: SGD -0.06

- Per-share value, starting three-year median: SGD 0.11

- Per-share value, ending three-year median: SGD 0.05

- Buyback history: 0 years

- Debt-funded buybacks: Yes

- ROIC, first three-year median: 3.6%

- ROIC, last three-year median: 3.2%

Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations.

- FY2020: SGD 0.10

- FY2021: SGD 0.11

- FY2022: SGD 0.18

- FY2023: SGD 0.12

- FY2024: SGD 0.07

- FY2025: SGD 0.04

- FY2026: SGD 0.05

### accounting: pass

- Sloan accruals: -1.9%

- Receivables to sales index (DSRI): 0.83×

- Restructuring years, last five: 0

- Stock compensation / operating cash flow: 0.0%

- Earnings backed by cash: Yes

- Operating cash / earnings: 1.96×

- Accounting red flags: 0

- Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 0.00×

Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations.

- FY2020: 0.1%

- FY2021: -0.0%

- FY2022: 2.1%

- FY2023: -0.3%

- FY2024: -1.8%

- FY2025: -2.4%

- FY2026: -1.9%

## Holders

## Price story

Down 42% since Oct 2021 · sales -2.7%

Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:56.273Z; price observation 2026-10-15.

Price needs cash profits to grow 4.3% a year for ten years

### Sales · FY2025–2026

sales -2.7%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16.

- FY2020: SGD 491M 

- FY2021: SGD 561M 

- FY2022: SGD 666M 

- FY2023: SGD 718M 

- FY2024: SGD 723M 

- FY2025: SGD 715M 

- FY2026: SGD 695M 

### Gross margin · FY2026

gross margin 72.8%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16.

- FY2020: 89.1% 

- FY2021: 88.7% 

- FY2022: 75.0% 

- FY2023: 74.0% 

- FY2024: 73.5% 

- FY2025: 72.8% 

- FY2026: 72.8% 

## Owner memo

Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z.

### How it makes money

Operates in property rentals; annual sales are SGD 695.4 million.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/MAPGF.US.json#2026-03-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.179Z); FY2026: revenue 695415000; grossProfit 506512000; margin = grossProfit / revenue.

### Why customers stay

Margins ranged from 72.8% to 73.5% during 2024–26; it earns 3.5% on its capital.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/MAPGF.US.json#2024-03-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.179Z); FY2024: grossProfit / revenue = 73.5%.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/MAPGF.US.json#2025-03-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.179Z); FY2025: grossProfit / revenue = 72.8%.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/MAPGF.US.json#2026-03-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.179Z); FY2026: grossProfit / revenue = 72.8%.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.179Z); 7-year return on capital observations [[2020,0.04049533224239095],[2021,0.036485809859263675],[2022,0.03183681880480044],[2023,0.037632671836159634],[2024,0.03515559333720942],[2025,0.03154624896934501],[2026,0.03020042132836541]]; median 0.03515559333720942. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity.

### Where the cash goes

Paid dividends in 7 of 7 years.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/MAPGF.US.json#2020-03-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.179Z); FY2020: growth capex 0; upkeep 0; owner earnings 380117000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/MAPGF.US.json#2021-03-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.179Z); FY2021: growth capex 0; upkeep 0; owner earnings 448699000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.179Z); FY2022: growth capex 0; upkeep 0; owner earnings 786099000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/MAPGF.US.json#2023-03-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.179Z); FY2023: growth capex 0; upkeep 0; owner earnings 570696000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/MAPGF.US.json#2024-03-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.179Z); FY2024: growth capex 0; upkeep 0; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 332458000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/MAPGF.US.json#2025-03-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.179Z); FY2025: growth capex 0; upkeep 0; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 213099000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/MAPGF.US.json#2026-03-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.179Z); FY2026: growth capex 0; upkeep 0; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 283962000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.179Z); Dividend observations: [[2020,283452000],[2021,318329000],[2022,375266000],[2023,431670000],[2024,409576000],[2025,377117000],[2026,376135000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement.

### Are managers owners

Insiders own <0.1% of the company.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); MAPGF.US SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 0.022000000000000002 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16.

### What the price says

The price assumes cash profits grow 4.3% yearly over ten years.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:38.179Z); Ten-year compound average after fade. Initial solved rate 0.04911370396143713. Price 0.85; FX 0.7802; discount 0.1; same standard ten-year fade to terminal 0.03.  Closing-price date 2026-10-15.

## Monthly share-price history (USD per share)

- 2016-10: $0.76 per share

- 2016-12: $0.72 per share

- 2017-02: $0.70 per share

- 2017-03: $0.74 per share

- 2017-04: $0.77 per share

- 2017-05: $0.80 per share

- 2017-08: $0.80 per share

- 2017-10: $0.96 per share

- 2017-11: $0.97 per share

- 2017-12: $1.03 per share

- 2018-01: $0.95 per share

- 2018-02: $0.85 per share

- 2018-03: $0.88 per share

- 2018-05: $0.88 per share

- 2018-06: $0.91 per share

- 2018-07: $0.92 per share

- 2018-08: $0.91 per share

- 2019-01: $1.05 per share

- 2019-02: $0.99 per share

- 2019-04: $1.08 per share

- 2019-05: $1.05 per share

- 2019-06: $1.11 per share

- 2019-09: $1.16 per share

- 2019-11: $1.25 per share

- 2019-12: $1.15 per share

- 2020-02: $1.25 per share

- 2020-03: $0.78 per share

- 2020-06: $1.33 per share

- 2020-10: $1.36 per share

- 2020-11: $1.40 per share

- 2020-12: $1.32 per share

- 2021-01: $1.55 per share

- 2021-02: $1.41 per share

- 2021-03: $1.41 per share

- 2021-06: $1.47 per share

- 2021-09: $1.53 per share

- 2021-10: $1.46 per share

- 2021-12: $1.38 per share

- 2022-01: $1.25 per share

- 2022-02: $1.36 per share

- 2022-04: $1.36 per share

- 2022-05: $1.19 per share

- 2022-06: $1.16 per share

- 2022-07: $1.23 per share

- 2022-08: $1.18 per share

- 2022-10: $1.00 per share

- 2022-12: $1.23 per share

- 2023-01: $1.18 per share

- 2023-02: $1.24 per share

- 2023-03: $1.26 per share

- 2023-04: $1.28 per share

- 2023-06: $1.16 per share

- 2023-08: $1.24 per share

- 2023-09: $1.25 per share

- 2023-10: $1.05 per share

- 2023-11: $1.23 per share

- 2023-12: $1.34 per share

- 2024-01: $1.10 per share

- 2024-02: $1.06 per share

- 2024-03: $1.06 per share

- 2024-04: $0.97 per share

- 2024-05: $1.05 per share

- 2024-06: $0.99 per share

- 2024-07: $0.99 per share

- 2024-08: $1.02 per share

- 2024-09: $1.05 per share

- 2024-10: $1.12 per share

- 2024-11: $1.01 per share

- 2024-12: $0.92 per share

- 2025-01: $0.98 per share

- 2025-02: $0.87 per share

- 2025-04: $0.90 per share

- 2025-05: $0.90 per share

- 2025-06: $0.96 per share

- 2025-07: $0.96 per share

- 2025-08: $0.94 per share

- 2025-09: $1.05 per share

- 2025-10: $1.10 per share

- 2025-11: $0.99 per share

- 2025-12: $1.01 per share

- 2026-01: $1.08 per share

- 2026-02: $0.95 per share

- 2026-03: $0.88 per share

- 2026-04: $0.98 per share

- 2026-05: $0.97 per share

- 2026-06: $1.05 per share

- 2026-07: $0.95 per share

- 2026-08: $0.85 per share

- 2026-09: $0.83 per share

- 2026-10: $0.85 per share

## Annual estimated value (USD per share)

- FY2024: low $1.03 per share, central $1.17 per share, high $1.35 per share

- FY2025: low $1.00 per share, central $1.13 per share, high $1.30 per share

- FY2026: low $0.58 per share, central $0.65 per share, high $0.75 per share

Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year

Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year

Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates

## Sources

Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
← Companies

Mapletree Logistics Trust

MAPGF · US

STI

Not a wonderful business

2 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.

Share price
$0.85
Buy up to
$0.66
Expected / yr
8.3% at today's price (10.0% at central value)

The business

How it makes money
Why customers stay
Where the cash goes
Are managers owners
What the price says

1. Is this a good business?

Evidence only; not required for Buy

Margins varied 3.8% around their average (limit 35%), and no loss years were recorded (limit 2).

7y median
73.7%
Worst year
72.8%
Latest · 2026
73.1%

Capital return excluding acquisitions: median 3.5% (minimum 15%), and the second-worst year 3.2% (minimum 10%).

7y median
3.5%
Worst year
3.0%
Latest · 2026
3.0%

Each $1 of profit left $1.01 for owners over five years (minimum $0.80).

Five-year totals
1.01×
Annual median
1.02×
Latest · 2026
1.02×

Per-share value fell from 0.11 to 0.05, comparing three-year medians at each end (must rise and stay positive).

7y median
SGD 0.10
Worst year
SGD 0.04
Latest · 2026
SGD 0.05

Profits were backed by cash: accruals were -1.9% of assets (limit 10%).

7y median
-0.3%
Worst year
2.1%
Latest · 2026
-1.9%

Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 7 (at most 2), mean operating margin 75.2%, three-year average owner earnings per share 0.05 SGD.

2. Is the price low enough?

Price & return math
Value range$0.58 – $0.76
Buy at or belowCentral value $0.66
Discount to value1 − 0.85 / 0.66 = -29.3%
Return / yearAbout 8.3% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%)
Cash-flow inputsOwner cash USD 0.05/share; 0.0% growth for 5 years, then fades to 3.0%; excess cash USD 0.05/share today.
Required return10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value
RevenueSGD 695M
723M020202026
FY2020 · Revenue: SGD 491M; FY2021 · Revenue: SGD 561M; FY2022 · Revenue: SGD 666M; FY2023 · Revenue: SGD 718M; FY2024 · Revenue: SGD 723M; FY2025 · Revenue: SGD 715M; FY2026 · Revenue: SGD 695M
Revenue
Owner earningsSGD 284M
786M020202026
FY2020 · Owner earnings: SGD 380M; FY2021 · Owner earnings: SGD 449M; FY2022 · Owner earnings: SGD 786M; FY2023 · Owner earnings: SGD 571M; FY2024 · Owner earnings: SGD 332M; FY2025 · Owner earnings: SGD 213M; FY2026 · Owner earnings: SGD 284M
Owner earnings
Operating margin73.1%
80.6%0.0%20202026
FY2020 · Operating margin: 78.3%; FY2021 · Operating margin: 80.6%; FY2022 · Operating margin: 74.9%; FY2023 · Operating margin: 73.7%; FY2024 · Operating margin: 72.8%; FY2025 · Operating margin: 72.8%; FY2026 · Operating margin: 73.1%
Operating margin
Net cash / debtSGD -5.3B
1.00-5.4B20202026
FY2020 · Net cash / debt: SGD -3.4B; FY2021 · Net cash / debt: SGD -4.1B; FY2022 · Net cash / debt: SGD -4.7B; FY2023 · Net cash / debt: SGD -4.7B; FY2024 · Net cash / debt: SGD -5.1B; FY2025 · Net cash / debt: SGD -5.4B; FY2026 · Net cash / debt: SGD -5.3B
Net cash / debt
Diluted shares5.1B
5.1B020202026
FY2020 · Diluted shares: 3.7B; FY2021 · Diluted shares: 4.0B; FY2022 · Diluted shares: 4.4B; FY2023 · Diluted shares: 4.8B; FY2024 · Diluted shares: 5.0B; FY2025 · Diluted shares: 5.1B; FY2026 · Diluted shares: 5.1B
Diluted shares
Prices 15 Oct 2026 · FY2026