Profits were positive in 8 years (at least 9 needed).
- 10y median
- PLN 1.1B
- Worst year
- PLN -1.2B
- Latest · 2025
- PLN 3.5B
# mBank (MBK.WAR) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/MBK.WAR Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:35:06.618Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2025. Listing currency: PLN. Reporting currency: PLN. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: PLN 1,404.50 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low PLN 121.54 per share, central PLN 149.34 per share, high PLN 193.63 per share. Buy at or below the central value PLN 149.34 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:35:06.618Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 6.5% at the stated quote. About 6.5% a year at today's price (required return 10.4%). required return 10.4% a year (PL 10-year bond 6.4% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: fail - positive earnings in fewer than 9 of 10 years - Financial history: 10 years - Profitable years in the last ten: 8 - Required profitable years: 9 - Return on common equity variation (informational): 1.58× Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: PLN 1.2B - FY2017: PLN 1.1B - FY2018: PLN 1.3B - FY2019: PLN 1.0B - FY2020: PLN 104M - FY2021: PLN -1.2B - FY2022: PLN -703M - FY2023: PLN 24M - FY2024: PLN 2.2B - FY2025: PLN 3.5B ### moat: fail - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - median return on common equity below threshold - return on tangible common equity below 5% in more than one year - Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 7.4% - Required median return: 12.0% - Return uses tangible common equity: Yes - Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: -6.2% - Years with reported combined ratio: 0 Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 9.8% - FY2017: 8.2% - FY2018: 9.1% - FY2019: 6.6% - FY2020: 0.7% - FY2021: -9.5% - FY2022: -6.2% - FY2023: 0.2% - FY2024: 14.2% - FY2025: 18.5% ### economics: fail - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - book value per share plus dividends compounded below 7% annually - Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 5.1% - Book return interval: 10 years - Starting book value per share: PLN 277.18 - Ending book value per share: PLN 450.18 Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 6.1% - FY2017: 6.6% - FY2018: 10.2% - FY2019: 6.2% - FY2020: 1.3% - FY2021: -19.9% - FY2022: -8.9% - FY2023: 6.4% - FY2024: 31.1% - FY2025: 21.2% ### management: fail - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - book per share gain below retained common earnings per share - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 0.1% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 0.1% - Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0.1% - Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0.1% - Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0 - Book created / earnings retained after dividends and buybacks: 0.87× - Book value created per share: PLN 173.00 - Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: PLN 198.41 Chart: Shares (first year = 100); fiscal year observations. - FY2015: 100 - FY2016: 100 - FY2017: 100 - FY2018: 100 - FY2019: 100 - FY2020: 100 - FY2021: 100 - FY2022: 100 - FY2023: 100 - FY2024: 101 - FY2025: 101 ### accounting: pass - Financial accounting warning count: 0 - Known restatement years: 0 ## Holders ## Price story The price assumes profits grow 9.9% a year forever · net income +58% Story as of 2026-10-16T10:00:03.650Z; price observation 2026-10-15. The price assumes profits grow 9.9% a year forever ### Net income · FY2025 net income +58%; source https://filings.xbrl.org/259400DZXF7UJKK2AY35/2022-12-31/ESEF/PL/0/mBank-SSF-2022-12-31-pl/reports/mBank-SSF-2022-12-31-pl.xhtml; observed 2023-05-02. - FY2016: PLN 1.2B - FY2017: PLN 1.1B - FY2018: PLN 1.3B - FY2019: PLN 1.0B - FY2020: PLN 104M - FY2021: PLN -1.2B - FY2022: PLN -703M - FY2023: PLN 24M - FY2024: PLN 2.2B - FY2025: PLN 3.5B ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in regional banking; annual sales are PLN 14.6 billion. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2023-05-02); FY2025: revenue 14600929000. ### Why customers stay It earns 7.4% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2023-05-02); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0.0980044116702608],[2017,0.08235517092510043],[2018,0.09051567811200664],[2019,0.06607093507947803],[2020,0.006701180133383373],[2021,-0.09481529946235136],[2022,-0.06206808161681871],[2023,0.0019989615438824166],[2024,0.14188502799535568],[2025,0.1849390008281583]]; median 0.07421305300228923. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 3 of 10 years. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2023-05-02); Dividend observations: [[2016,8155000],[2017,5486000],[2018,217907000],[2019,0],[2020,0],[2021,0],[2022,0],[2023,0],[2024,0],[2025,0]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 0% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); MBK.WAR SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 0 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What the price says The price assumes profits grow 9.9% a year forever. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2023-05-02); Price 1404.5; FX 1; original perpetual distributable cash 6.529210043865882; discount 0.10372; growth 0.09907122104388333. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (PLN per share) - 2016-10: PLN 353.80 per share - 2016-11: PLN 324.50 per share - 2016-12: PLN 335.25 per share - 2017-01: PLN 378.00 per share - 2017-02: PLN 396.20 per share - 2017-03: PLN 373.50 per share - 2017-04: PLN 433.00 per share - 2017-05: PLN 422.00 per share - 2017-06: PLN 462.10 per share - 2017-07: PLN 455.00 per share - 2017-08: PLN 438.00 per share - 2017-09: PLN 419.00 per share - 2017-10: PLN 460.45 per share - 2017-11: PLN 470.00 per share - 2017-12: PLN 465.00 per share - 2018-01: PLN 510.00 per share - 2018-02: PLN 458.00 per share - 2018-03: PLN 418.80 per share - 2018-04: PLN 429.40 per share - 2018-05: PLN 421.40 per share - 2018-06: PLN 399.80 per share - 2018-07: PLN 427.60 per share - 2018-08: PLN 409.60 per share - 2018-09: PLN 447.60 per share - 2018-10: PLN 374.00 per share - 2018-11: PLN 408.40 per share - 2018-12: PLN 424.20 per share - 2019-01: PLN 449.00 per share - 2019-02: PLN 427.40 per share - 2019-03: PLN 425.20 per share - 2019-04: PLN 443.00 per share - 2019-05: PLN 402.60 per share - 2019-06: PLN 430.00 per share - 2019-07: PLN 349.40 per share - 2019-08: PLN 322.60 per share - 2019-09: PLN 347.60 per share - 2019-10: PLN 381.80 per share - 2019-11: PLN 372.20 per share - 2019-12: PLN 389.40 per share - 2020-01: PLN 371.20 per share - 2020-02: PLN 298.00 per share - 2020-03: PLN 221.80 per share - 2020-04: PLN 219.00 per share - 2020-05: PLN 215.40 per share - 2020-06: PLN 230.00 per share - 2020-07: PLN 187.40 per share - 2020-08: PLN 188.10 per share - 2020-09: PLN 166.40 per share - 2020-10: PLN 115.50 per share - 2020-11: PLN 151.40 per share - 2020-12: PLN 179.20 per share - 2021-01: PLN 195.60 per share - 2021-02: PLN 221.60 per share - 2021-03: PLN 214.40 per share - 2021-04: PLN 235.00 per share - 2021-05: PLN 302.40 per share - 2021-06: PLN 325.00 per share - 2021-07: PLN 320.80 per share - 2021-08: PLN 371.00 per share - 2021-09: PLN 411.00 per share - 2021-10: PLN 564.50 per share - 2021-11: PLN 485.00 per share - 2021-12: PLN 433.20 per share - 2022-01: PLN 465.20 per share - 2022-02: PLN 413.00 per share - 2022-03: PLN 353.20 per share - 2022-04: PLN 299.20 per share - 2022-05: PLN 278.40 per share - 2022-06: PLN 224.60 per share - 2022-07: PLN 220.80 per share - 2022-08: PLN 217.00 per share - 2022-09: PLN 200.40 per share - 2022-10: PLN 267.60 per share - 2022-11: PLN 315.20 per share - 2022-12: PLN 296.00 per share - 2023-01: PLN 317.80 per share - 2023-02: PLN 328.00 per share - 2023-03: PLN 306.40 per share - 2023-04: PLN 347.50 per share - 2023-05: PLN 352.80 per share - 2023-06: PLN 406.10 per share - 2023-07: PLN 478.20 per share - 2023-08: PLN 429.00 per share - 2023-09: PLN 395.30 per share - 2023-10: PLN 519.80 per share - 2023-11: PLN 564.20 per share - 2023-12: PLN 535.00 per share - 2024-01: PLN 534.20 per share - 2024-02: PLN 695.00 per share - 2024-03: PLN 740.20 per share - 2024-04: PLN 685.80 per share - 2024-05: PLN 626.00 per share - 2024-06: PLN 637.00 per share - 2024-07: PLN 623.00 per share - 2024-08: PLN 640.00 per share - 2024-09: PLN 617.40 per share - 2024-10: PLN 561.80 per share - 2024-11: PLN 530.00 per share - 2024-12: PLN 547.20 per share - 2025-01: PLN 629.80 per share - 2025-02: PLN 740.20 per share - 2025-03: PLN 811.20 per share - 2025-04: PLN 823.00 per share - 2025-05: PLN 820.00 per share - 2025-06: PLN 798.00 per share - 2025-07: PLN 888.60 per share - 2025-08: PLN 878.20 per share - 2025-09: PLN 900.00 per share - 2025-10: PLN 981.20 per share - 2025-11: PLN 1,026.00 per share - 2025-12: PLN 1,061.50 per share - 2026-01: PLN 1,038.00 per share - 2026-02: PLN 1,033.50 per share - 2026-03: PLN 1,079.50 per share - 2026-04: PLN 1,141.50 per share - 2026-05: PLN 1,280.00 per share - 2026-06: PLN 1,364.00 per share - 2026-07: PLN 1,351.50 per share - 2026-08: PLN 1,363.00 per share - 2026-09: PLN 1,469.50 per share - 2026-10: PLN 1,449.00 per share ## Annual estimated value (PLN per share) - FY2016: low PLN 342.08 per share, central PLN 420.32 per share, high PLN 544.98 per share - FY2017: low PLN 320.22 per share, central PLN 351.09 per share, high PLN 388.56 per share - FY2018: low PLN 284.52 per share, central PLN 349.60 per share, high PLN 453.28 per share - FY2019: low PLN 302.17 per share, central PLN 371.28 per share, high PLN 481.39 per share - FY2020: low PLN 302.60 per share, central PLN 371.81 per share, high PLN 482.07 per share - FY2021: low PLN 186.59 per share, central PLN 229.27 per share, high PLN 297.27 per share - FY2022: low PLN 131.11 per share, central PLN 161.10 per share, high PLN 208.88 per share - FY2023: low PLN 69.91 per share, central PLN 85.90 per share, high PLN 111.37 per share - FY2024: low PLN 91.66 per share, central PLN 112.62 per share, high PLN 146.02 per share - FY2025: low PLN 111.06 per share, central PLN 136.46 per share, high PLN 176.93 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:40:49.783Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period. ## Sources [Original ESEF filing](https://filings.xbrl.org/259400DZXF7UJKK2AY35/2022-12-31/ESEF/PL/0/mBank-SSF-2022-12-31-pl/reports/mBank-SSF-2022-12-31-pl.xhtml); period 2022-12-31, filed 2023-05-02. Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
MBK · WAR
STOXX Europe 600
Not a wonderful business
3 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.
Profits were positive in 8 years (at least 9 needed).
Earned a median 7.4% on tangible equity (minimum 12%), and the second-worst year -6.2% (minimum 5%).
Book value plus dividends grew 5.1% a year (minimum 7%).
Book value gained 173 per share against 198.41 kept (must cover the amount kept).
0 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).
Profit record · pass 2 loss years in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 45.51 PLN.
| Value range | PLN 121.54 – PLN 193.63 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value PLN 149.34 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 1404.50 / 149.34 = -840.5% |
| Return / year | About 6.5% a year at today's price (required return 10.4%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Book PLN 492.67/share; ROE 7.3%; first payout PLN 6.53/share, growing 6.0% perpetually (4× book payout cap applied). |
| Required return | 10.4% / year, earned by construction at the central value |