10 loss years were recorded (limit 2).
- 10y median
- -$40M
- Worst year
- -$95M
- Latest · 2025
- -$95M
# NovaGold Resources (NG.US) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/NG Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:30:35.645Z. Financial observations: FY1996–FY2025. Listing currency: USD. Reporting currency: USD. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: fail; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: $6.56 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. ## Checklist ### understandable: fail - 0 revenue declines in the last 10 years (informational) - more than 2 net loss years - Financial history: 10 years - Years with declining revenue: 0 - Years with a net loss: 10 Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: -$33M - FY2017: -$39M - FY2018: -$32M - FY2019: -$28M - FY2020: -$35M - FY2021: -$40M - FY2022: -$51M - FY2023: -$47M - FY2024: -$44M - FY2025: -$95M ### moat: fail - ROIC median below threshold - ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed) - ROIC, median of available years: -16.6% - ROIC, second-lowest year: -489.8% - Years with nonpositive capital: 0 - ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: -125.0% Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: -5.6% - FY2017: -5.7% - FY2018: -15.7% - FY2019: -13.8% - FY2020: -15.5% - FY2021: -61.9% - FY2022: -53.5% - FY2023: -890.3% - FY2024: -489.8% - FY2025: -17.4% ### economics: fail - owner earnings cash conversion below threshold - incremental invested capital return below threshold - Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No - Owner earnings, five-year total: -$279M - Net income, five-year total: -$277M - Return on incremental invested capital: -8.6% Chart: Owner earnings · five years; fiscal year observations. - FY2021: -$40M - FY2022: -$54M - FY2023: -$47M - FY2024: -$44M - FY2025: -$94M ### management: fail - Historical market-dollar context (not the management verdict): 2016 to 2025 (9 years) - potential debt-funded buybacks (informational) - buybacks unrelated to price (informational) - ROIC first 3 years vs last 3 years: -5.7% vs -489.8% - Per-share earnings: -0.10 to -0.14 (three-year endpoint medians) - per-share value declined or ends nonpositive - five-year and ten-year diluted share growth both above threshold - acquired goodwill and intangibles (proxy) exceeds half of ten-year net income with low and deteriorating ROIC - Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes - Ordinary dilution, 10-year annual growth: 1.7% - Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: 2.6% - Market cap gain: $2.7B - Cumulative retained earnings: -$494M - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 1.7% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 2.6% - $1 test, starting fiscal year: FY2016 - $1 test, ending fiscal year: FY2025 - Per-share value change: -$0.04 - Per-share value, starting three-year median: -$0.10 - Per-share value, ending three-year median: -$0.14 - Buybacks concentrated in cheaper years (correlation): -0.32 - Average buyback yield: 0.0% - Buyback history: 7 years - Debt-funded buybacks: Yes - Acquisition spending: $252K - Cumulative net income, 10 years: -$444M - ROIC, first three-year median: -5.7% - ROIC, last three-year median: -489.8% Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: -$0.10 - FY2017: -$0.12 - FY2018: -$0.10 - FY2019: -$0.09 - FY2020: -$0.11 - FY2021: -$0.12 - FY2022: -$0.15 - FY2023: -$0.14 - FY2024: -$0.13 - FY2025: -$0.25 ### accounting: pass - Sloan accruals: -16.7% - Restructuring years, last five: 0 - Earnings backed by cash: Yes - Accounting red flags: 0 - Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 0.00× Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: -5.3% - FY2017: -7.8% - FY2018: -8.2% - FY2019: -8.8% - FY2020: -11.1% - FY2021: -15.0% - FY2022: -24.6% - FY2023: -29.3% - FY2024: -28.9% - FY2025: -16.7% ## Holders - [Matthew McLennan](https://gigainvestors.com/FE): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts. ## Price story Down 51% since Feb 2026 · net income USD -94.7M Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:15.418Z; price observation 2026-10-15. - 2025-06-25: NOVAGOLD Q2 2025 slides: $1B Donlin Gold acquisition reshapes growth strategy ([investing.com](https://www.investing.com/news/company-news/novagold-q2-2025-slides-1b-donlin-gold-acquisition-reshapes-growth-strategy-93CH-4110909)) - 2025-10-01: Novagold Resources Widens Fiscal Q3 Net Loss, Provides Outlook ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/novagold-resources-widens-fiscal-q3-124732229.html)) - 2025-11-25: Novagold Reports High-Grade Drill Results and Receives Positive Decision From Alaska Supreme Court ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/novagold-reports-high-grade-drill-135100204.html)) ### Net income · FY2025 net income USD -94.7M; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1173420/000117184326000374/ng20251130_10k.htm; observed 2026-01-22. - FY2016: -$33M - FY2017: -$39M - FY2018: -$32M - FY2019: -$28M - FY2020: -$35M - FY2021: -$40M - FY2022: -$51M - FY2023: -$47M - FY2024: -$44M - FY2025: -$95M ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### Why customers stay It lost 16.6% on its capital. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-01-22); 10-year return on capital observations [[2016,-0.05627589215192226],[2017,-0.05727180449132241],[2018,-0.15734773864833398],[2019,-0.13843347883938537],[2020,-0.1547386556891357],[2021,-0.6190980932421212],[2022,-0.5349876966841187],[2023,-8.903125524182276],[2024,-4.897574845118726],[2025,-0.17389938077758704]]; median -0.1656235597129605. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid no dividends in 10 years. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-01-22); Dividend observations: [[2016,0],[2017,0],[2018,0],[2019,0],[2020,0],[2021,0],[2022,0],[2023,0],[2024,0],[2025,0]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 0.7% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); NG.US SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 0.714 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What the price says The price is 15 times net assets; cash earnings are negative. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-01-22); Closing price 6.56 USD; reporting-to-trading FX 1; FY2025 net assets per share 0.4371313737316588; price multiple 15.006930168382235. FY2025 cash earnings/share -0.25026554435257886. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (USD per share) - 2016-10: $5.00 per share - 2016-11: $4.58 per share - 2016-12: $4.56 per share - 2017-01: $5.32 per share - 2017-02: $5.29 per share - 2017-03: $4.87 per share - 2017-04: $4.18 per share - 2017-05: $3.93 per share - 2017-06: $4.56 per share - 2017-07: $4.47 per share - 2017-08: $4.36 per share - 2017-09: $4.12 per share - 2017-10: $4.07 per share - 2017-11: $3.85 per share - 2017-12: $3.93 per share - 2018-01: $3.72 per share - 2018-02: $3.96 per share - 2018-03: $4.33 per share - 2018-04: $4.78 per share - 2018-05: $4.84 per share - 2018-06: $4.45 per share - 2018-07: $4.31 per share - 2018-08: $3.67 per share - 2018-09: $3.71 per share - 2018-10: $4.03 per share - 2018-11: $3.67 per share - 2018-12: $3.95 per share - 2019-01: $3.89 per share - 2019-02: $3.97 per share - 2019-03: $4.17 per share - 2019-04: $4.00 per share - 2019-05: $4.05 per share - 2019-06: $5.91 per share - 2019-07: $6.17 per share - 2019-08: $7.44 per share - 2019-09: $6.07 per share - 2019-10: $7.28 per share - 2019-11: $6.96 per share - 2019-12: $8.96 per share - 2020-01: $9.12 per share - 2020-02: $7.98 per share - 2020-03: $7.38 per share - 2020-04: $11.19 per share - 2020-05: $9.56 per share - 2020-06: $9.18 per share - 2020-07: $9.12 per share - 2020-08: $10.59 per share - 2020-09: $11.89 per share - 2020-10: $10.36 per share - 2020-11: $9.96 per share - 2020-12: $9.67 per share - 2021-01: $9.12 per share - 2021-02: $8.35 per share - 2021-03: $8.76 per share - 2021-04: $8.99 per share - 2021-05: $10.26 per share - 2021-06: $8.01 per share - 2021-07: $7.82 per share - 2021-08: $7.23 per share - 2021-09: $6.88 per share - 2021-10: $7.31 per share - 2021-11: $6.75 per share - 2021-12: $6.86 per share - 2022-01: $6.60 per share - 2022-02: $6.98 per share - 2022-03: $7.73 per share - 2022-04: $6.22 per share - 2022-05: $5.59 per share - 2022-06: $4.81 per share - 2022-07: $4.88 per share - 2022-08: $4.43 per share - 2022-09: $4.69 per share - 2022-10: $4.63 per share - 2022-11: $5.77 per share - 2022-12: $5.98 per share - 2023-01: $6.31 per share - 2023-02: $5.59 per share - 2023-03: $6.22 per share - 2023-04: $5.44 per share - 2023-05: $5.15 per share - 2023-06: $3.99 per share - 2023-07: $4.51 per share - 2023-08: $4.12 per share - 2023-09: $3.84 per share - 2023-10: $3.52 per share - 2023-11: $4.20 per share - 2023-12: $3.74 per share - 2024-01: $2.56 per share - 2024-02: $2.48 per share - 2024-03: $3.00 per share - 2024-04: $2.90 per share - 2024-05: $3.93 per share - 2024-06: $3.46 per share - 2024-07: $4.78 per share - 2024-08: $4.25 per share - 2024-09: $4.10 per share - 2024-10: $3.46 per share - 2024-11: $3.66 per share - 2024-12: $3.33 per share - 2025-01: $3.13 per share - 2025-02: $3.00 per share - 2025-03: $2.92 per share - 2025-04: $4.23 per share - 2025-05: $3.58 per share - 2025-06: $4.09 per share - 2025-07: $5.19 per share - 2025-08: $6.84 per share - 2025-09: $8.80 per share - 2025-10: $8.29 per share - 2025-11: $10.19 per share - 2025-12: $9.32 per share - 2026-01: $8.73 per share - 2026-02: $13.32 per share - 2026-03: $8.98 per share - 2026-04: $8.06 per share - 2026-05: $8.57 per share - 2026-06: $5.97 per share - 2026-07: $5.83 per share - 2026-08: $8.60 per share - 2026-09: $6.50 per share - 2026-10: $6.71 per share ## Annual estimated value (USD per share) Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates ## Sources [Original 10-K filing](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1173420/000117184326000374/ng20251130_10k.htm); period 2025-11-30, filed 2026-01-22. Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
NG · US
Not a wonderful business
4 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.
10 loss years were recorded (limit 2).
Capital return excluding acquisitions: median -16.6% (minimum 15%), and the second-worst year -489.8% (minimum 10%).
Owners received -279 million over five years (must be positive), and new investment earned -8.6% (minimum 12%).
Per-share value fell from -0.1 to -0.14, comparing three-year medians at each end (must rise and stay positive), and share growth was 1.7% over ten years and 2.6% over five (either must be at most 1% a year), and acquisitions used -0.1% of profits (limit 50%) while returns fell to -489.8% (minimum 15% and two-thirds of their starting level).
Profits were backed by cash: accruals were -16.7% of assets (limit 10%).
Profit record · fail 10 loss years in 10 (at most 2), three-year average owner earnings per share -0.17 USD. 10 loss years in the last 10; at most 2 allowed. Operating margin observed in 0 of the last 10 years; at least 5 needed. Three-year average owner earnings per share is not positive.