# New Hope (NHC.AU)

Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/NHC.AU

Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:38:49.612Z. Financial observations: FY2000–FY2026.

Listing currency: AUD. Reporting currency: AUD.

## Verdict

Not a wonderful business

Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no.

Share price: AUD 5.71 per share; close as of 2026-10-15.

Estimated value: low AUD 5.38 per share, central AUD 6.00 per share, high AUD 6.83 per share. Buy at or below the central value AUD 6.00 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:38:49.612Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals.

Expected annual return: 10.4% at the stated quote. About 10.4% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; AU 10-year bond 5.2% + 4 points).

## Checklist

### understandable: fail

- 5 revenue declines in the last 10 years (informational)

- operating margin variation exceeds 0.35

- Financial history: 10 years

- Years with declining revenue: 5

- Years with a net loss: 1

- Operating margin variation: 0.49×

Chart: Operating margin; fiscal year observations.

- FY2017: 0.22×

- FY2018: 0.35×

- FY2019: 0.30×

- FY2020: 0.13×

- FY2021: 0.17×

- FY2022: 0.56×

- FY2023: 0.57×

- FY2024: 0.41×

- FY2025: 0.23×

- FY2026: 0.15×

### moat: fail

- ROIC median below threshold

- ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed)

- Recent gross margin fell 9.9pp below the typical margin (limit 4pp)

- ROIC, median of available years: 12.3%

- ROIC, second-lowest year: 6.8%

- Typical minus recent gross margin: 9.9 pp

- Typical gross margin (annual median): 45.5%

- Recent gross margin (lower of latest and 3-year median): 35.6%

- Years with nonpositive capital: 0

- Capital spending / revenue: 9.0%

- ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: 10.8%

Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations.

- FY2017: 7.8%

- FY2018: 18.8%

- FY2019: 11.9%

- FY2020: 5.4%

- FY2021: 6.8%

- FY2022: 55.7%

- FY2023: 57.7%

- FY2024: 23.5%

- FY2025: 12.6%

- FY2026: 7.8%

### economics: pass

- Owner earnings / net income, 5-yr: 0.94×

- Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No

- Owner earnings, five-year total: AUD 3.0B

- Net income, five-year total: AUD 3.1B

- Return on incremental invested capital: >100%

- Working capital / revenue, annual change: 0.2 pp

- Working capital / revenue, change between three-year averages: 0.7 pp

- Working capital / revenue, final three-year average: 5.5%

Chart: Annual owner cash / profit; fiscal year observations.

- FY2022: 1.05×

- FY2023: 0.98×

- FY2024: 0.74×

- FY2025: 0.70×

- FY2026: 1.18×

### management: pass

- Historical market-dollar context (not the management verdict): 2017 to 2026 (9 years)

- buybacks leaned toward cheaper years (informational)

- ROIC first 3 years vs last 3 years: 11.9% vs 12.6%

- Per-share earnings: 0.17 to 0.52 (three-year endpoint medians)

- Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes

- Ordinary dilution, 10-year annual growth: 1.1%

- Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: 0.2%

- Market cap gain: AUD 3.1B

- Cumulative retained earnings: AUD 956M

- Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 1.1%

- Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 0.2%

- $1 test, starting fiscal year: FY2017

- $1 test, ending fiscal year: FY2026

- Per-share value growth: 15.1%

- Per-share value change: AUD 0.35

- Per-share value, starting three-year median: AUD 0.17

- Per-share value, ending three-year median: AUD 0.52

- Buybacks concentrated in cheaper years (correlation): 0.80

- Average buyback yield: 3.3%

- Buyback history: 4 years

- Debt-funded buybacks: No

- Acquisition spending: AUD 38M

- Cumulative net income, 10 years: AUD 3.6B

- ROIC, first three-year median: 11.9%

- ROIC, last three-year median: 12.6%

Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations.

- FY2017: AUD 0.17

- FY2018: AUD 0.18

- FY2019: AUD 0.25

- FY2020: AUD -0.19

- FY2021: AUD 0.09

- FY2022: AUD 1.05

- FY2023: AUD 1.26

- FY2024: AUD 0.56

- FY2025: AUD 0.52

- FY2026: AUD 0.19

### accounting: pass

- Sloan accruals: -11.2%

- Receivables to sales index (DSRI): 1.02×

- Restructuring years, last five: 0

- Stock compensation / operating cash flow: 0.0%

- Earnings backed by cash: Yes

- Operating cash / earnings: 3.50×

- Accounting red flags: 0

- Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 0.02×

Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations.

- FY2017: -6.6%

- FY2018: -11.7%

- FY2019: -3.0%

- FY2020: -15.5%

- FY2021: -7.8%

- FY2022: -4.5%

- FY2023: -13.5%

- FY2024: -2.5%

- FY2025: -3.7%

- FY2026: -11.2%

## Holders

## Price story

Down 1% since Oct 2023 · sales -0.2%

Story as of 2026-10-16T10:00:10.268Z; price observation 2026-10-15.

Price needs cash profits to grow 0.2% a year for ten years

### Sales · FY2025–2026

sales -0.2%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16.

- FY2017: AUD 844M 

- FY2018: AUD 1.1B 

- FY2019: AUD 1.3B 

- FY2020: AUD 1.1B 

- FY2021: AUD 1.0B 

- FY2022: AUD 2.5B 

- FY2023: AUD 2.7B 

- FY2024: AUD 1.8B 

- FY2025: AUD 1.8B 

- FY2026: AUD 1.7B 

### Gross margin · FY2026

gross margin 35.6%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16.

- FY2017: 43.5% 

- FY2018: 51.3% 

- FY2019: 45.2% 

- FY2020: 28.7% 

- FY2021: 36.2% 

- FY2022: 61.0% 

- FY2023: 64.4% 

- FY2024: 48.7% 

- FY2025: 45.8% 

- FY2026: 35.6% 

## Owner memo

Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z.

### How it makes money

Operates in thermal coal; annual sales are AUD 1.7 billion.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:38:49.612Z); FY2026: revenue 1747853000; grossProfit 622828000; margin = grossProfit / revenue.

### Why customers stay

Margins ranged from 35.6% to 48.7% during 2024–26; it earns 12.3% on its capital.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:38:49.612Z); FY2024: grossProfit / revenue = 48.7%.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:38:49.612Z); FY2025: grossProfit / revenue = 45.8%.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:38:49.612Z); FY2026: grossProfit / revenue = 35.6%.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:38:49.612Z); 10-year return on capital observations [[2017,0.0784496081798364],[2018,0.18812510883179093],[2019,0.11936397760203883],[2020,0.05433605856821028],[2021,0.06758633105245548],[2022,0.5574317319195673],[2023,0.5772612745225056],[2024,0.23492167227376418],[2025,0.12643708075173218],[2026,0.07841047503045066]]; median 0.12290052917688551. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity.

### Where the cash goes

Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years; bought back AUD 3.5 million of shares.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:38:49.612Z); FY2017: growth capex 0; upkeep 82943000; owner earnings 157117000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:38:49.612Z); FY2018: growth capex 0; upkeep 88672000; owner earnings 163729000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:38:49.612Z); FY2019: growth capex 0; upkeep 98282000; owner earnings 232779000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:38:49.612Z); FY2021: growth capex 0; upkeep 60663000; owner earnings 151805800. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:38:49.612Z); FY2022: growth capex 0; upkeep 77829000; owner earnings 1031201000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:38:49.612Z); FY2023: growth capex 39381000; upkeep 147606000; owner earnings 1070417400. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.03679032123356739.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:38:49.612Z); FY2024: growth capex 0; upkeep 272304000; owner earnings 351071200. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:38:49.612Z); FY2025: growth capex 0; upkeep 311192000; owner earnings 307590600. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:38:49.612Z); FY2026: growth capex 0; upkeep 185234000; owner earnings 190663000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:38:49.612Z); Dividend observations: [[2017,49864000],[2018,99738000],[2019,133002000],[2020,124756000],[2021,33298000],[2022,307972000],[2023,839120000],[2024,397307000],[2025,346588000],[2026,206294000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:38:49.612Z); FY2026: cash repurchases 3460000 AUD.

### Are managers owners

Insiders own 2.4% of the company.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); NHC.AU SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 2.399 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16.

### What the price says

The price assumes cash profits grow 0.2% yearly over ten years.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:38:49.612Z); Ten-year compound average after fade. Initial solved rate -0.01053399015726969. Price 5.71; FX 1; discount 0.1; same standard ten-year fade to terminal 0.03. FY2016 owner earnings/share -0.07103745734100043 → FY2026 0.225964776549525. Closing-price date 2026-10-15.

## Monthly share-price history (AUD per share)

- 2016-10: AUD 1.88 per share

- 2016-11: AUD 1.64 per share

- 2016-12: AUD 1.66 per share

- 2017-01: AUD 1.60 per share

- 2017-02: AUD 1.71 per share

- 2017-03: AUD 1.78 per share

- 2017-04: AUD 1.68 per share

- 2017-05: AUD 1.62 per share

- 2017-06: AUD 1.53 per share

- 2017-07: AUD 1.60 per share

- 2017-08: AUD 1.60 per share

- 2017-09: AUD 1.93 per share

- 2017-10: AUD 2.00 per share

- 2017-11: AUD 2.25 per share

- 2017-12: AUD 2.50 per share

- 2018-01: AUD 2.52 per share

- 2018-02: AUD 2.24 per share

- 2018-03: AUD 2.10 per share

- 2018-04: AUD 2.16 per share

- 2018-05: AUD 2.47 per share

- 2018-06: AUD 2.99 per share

- 2018-07: AUD 3.19 per share

- 2018-08: AUD 3.81 per share

- 2018-09: AUD 3.95 per share

- 2018-10: AUD 3.31 per share

- 2018-11: AUD 3.35 per share

- 2018-12: AUD 3.41 per share

- 2019-01: AUD 4.01 per share

- 2019-02: AUD 4.20 per share

- 2019-03: AUD 3.01 per share

- 2019-04: AUD 2.69 per share

- 2019-05: AUD 2.63 per share

- 2019-06: AUD 2.71 per share

- 2019-07: AUD 2.51 per share

- 2019-08: AUD 2.28 per share

- 2019-09: AUD 2.20 per share

- 2019-10: AUD 2.13 per share

- 2019-11: AUD 2.17 per share

- 2019-12: AUD 2.06 per share

- 2020-01: AUD 1.88 per share

- 2020-02: AUD 1.45 per share

- 2020-03: AUD 1.39 per share

- 2020-04: AUD 1.55 per share

- 2020-05: AUD 1.35 per share

- 2020-06: AUD 1.37 per share

- 2020-07: AUD 1.31 per share

- 2020-08: AUD 1.19 per share

- 2020-09: AUD 1.29 per share

- 2020-10: AUD 1.07 per share

- 2020-11: AUD 1.32 per share

- 2020-12: AUD 1.42 per share

- 2021-01: AUD 1.35 per share

- 2021-02: AUD 1.26 per share

- 2021-03: AUD 1.42 per share

- 2021-04: AUD 1.17 per share

- 2021-05: AUD 1.46 per share

- 2021-06: AUD 1.73 per share

- 2021-07: AUD 2.00 per share

- 2021-08: AUD 2.06 per share

- 2021-09: AUD 2.40 per share

- 2021-10: AUD 2.01 per share

- 2021-11: AUD 2.06 per share

- 2021-12: AUD 2.23 per share

- 2022-01: AUD 2.27 per share

- 2022-02: AUD 2.54 per share

- 2022-03: AUD 3.40 per share

- 2022-04: AUD 3.51 per share

- 2022-05: AUD 3.71 per share

- 2022-06: AUD 3.46 per share

- 2022-07: AUD 4.39 per share

- 2022-08: AUD 4.90 per share

- 2022-09: AUD 6.29 per share

- 2022-10: AUD 5.65 per share

- 2022-11: AUD 5.95 per share

- 2022-12: AUD 6.36 per share

- 2023-01: AUD 5.86 per share

- 2023-02: AUD 5.43 per share

- 2023-03: AUD 5.68 per share

- 2023-04: AUD 5.31 per share

- 2023-05: AUD 4.61 per share

- 2023-06: AUD 4.85 per share

- 2023-07: AUD 5.31 per share

- 2023-08: AUD 5.63 per share

- 2023-09: AUD 6.35 per share

- 2023-10: AUD 5.77 per share

- 2023-11: AUD 5.20 per share

- 2023-12: AUD 5.16 per share

- 2024-01: AUD 5.40 per share

- 2024-02: AUD 4.70 per share

- 2024-03: AUD 4.65 per share

- 2024-04: AUD 4.55 per share

- 2024-05: AUD 4.97 per share

- 2024-06: AUD 4.88 per share

- 2024-07: AUD 4.87 per share

- 2024-08: AUD 4.48 per share

- 2024-09: AUD 5.21 per share

- 2024-10: AUD 4.87 per share

- 2024-11: AUD 4.70 per share

- 2024-12: AUD 4.96 per share

- 2025-01: AUD 4.84 per share

- 2025-02: AUD 4.02 per share

- 2025-03: AUD 3.71 per share

- 2025-04: AUD 3.67 per share

- 2025-05: AUD 3.72 per share

- 2025-06: AUD 3.70 per share

- 2025-07: AUD 4.18 per share

- 2025-08: AUD 4.43 per share

- 2025-09: AUD 3.92 per share

- 2025-10: AUD 4.15 per share

- 2025-11: AUD 3.82 per share

- 2025-12: AUD 4.03 per share

- 2026-01: AUD 4.51 per share

- 2026-02: AUD 4.69 per share

- 2026-03: AUD 5.87 per share

- 2026-04: AUD 5.48 per share

- 2026-05: AUD 5.84 per share

- 2026-06: AUD 5.34 per share

- 2026-07: AUD 5.19 per share

- 2026-08: AUD 6.03 per share

- 2026-09: AUD 5.95 per share

- 2026-10: AUD 5.99 per share

## Annual estimated value (AUD per share)

- FY2018: low AUD 0.80 per share, central AUD 0.89 per share, high AUD 0.95 per share

- FY2019: low AUD 2.65 per share, central AUD 3.01 per share, high AUD 3.49 per share

- FY2020: low AUD 2.40 per share, central AUD 2.99 per share, high AUD 3.48 per share

- FY2021: low AUD 2.54 per share, central AUD 2.82 per share, high AUD 3.20 per share

- FY2022: low AUD 6.43 per share, central AUD 8.83 per share, high AUD 10.23 per share

- FY2023: low AUD 6.87 per share, central AUD 7.71 per share, high AUD 8.83 per share

- FY2024: low AUD 5.41 per share, central AUD 6.03 per share, high AUD 6.86 per share

- FY2025: low AUD 5.31 per share, central AUD 5.94 per share, high AUD 6.76 per share

- FY2026: low AUD 5.38 per share, central AUD 6.00 per share, high AUD 6.83 per share

Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year

Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year

Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates

Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:44:24.125Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period.

## Sources

Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.

New Hope

NHC · AU

S&P/ASX 200

Not a wonderful business

1 quality test fails. A lower price would not fix the business.

Share price: AUD 5.71
Buy up to: AUD 6.00
Expected / yr: 10.4% at today's price (10.0% at central value)

The business

How it makes money
Why customers stay
Where the cash goes
Are managers owners
What the price says

1. Is this a good business?

Evidence only; not required for Buy

Margins varied 49% around their average (limit 35%).

Operating margin

10y median: 26.3%
Worst year: 13.4%
Latest · 2026: 15.3%

Capital return excluding acquisitions: median 12.3% (minimum 15%), and the second-worst year 6.8% (minimum 10%), and gross margin fell 9.9 percentage points (limit 4).

ROIC excluding acquisitions

10y median: 12.3%
Worst year: 5.4%
Latest · 2026: 7.8%

Each $1 of profit left $0.94 for owners over five years (minimum $0.80).

Annual owner cash / profit

Five-year totals: 0.94×
Annual median: 0.98×
Latest · 2026: 1.18×

Per-share value rose from 0.17 to 0.52, comparing three-year medians at each end (must rise and stay positive).

Earnings per share

10y median: AUD 0.22
Worst year: AUD -0.19
Latest · 2026: AUD 0.19

Profits were backed by cash: accruals were -11.2% of assets (limit 10%).

Sloan accruals

10y median: -7.2%
Worst year: -2.5%
Latest · 2026: -11.2%

Profit record · pass 1 loss year in 10 (at most 2), mean operating margin 30.8%, three-year average owner earnings per share 0.33 AUD.

2. Is the price low enough?

PriceEstimated rangeBuy price

2016-10 · Price AUD 1.88; 2016-11 · Price AUD 1.64; 2016-12 · Price AUD 1.66; 2017-01 · Price AUD 1.60; 2017-02 · Price AUD 1.71; 2017-03 · Price AUD 1.78; 2017-04 · Price AUD 1.68; 2017-05 · Price AUD 1.62; 2017-06 · Price AUD 1.53; 2017-07 · Price AUD 1.60; 2017-08 · Price AUD 1.60; 2017-09 · Price AUD 1.93; 2017-10 · Price AUD 2.00; 2017-11 · Price AUD 2.25; 2017-12 · Price AUD 2.50; 2018-01 · Price AUD 2.52 · Value 0.89 · Buy at or below 0.89; 2018-02 · Price AUD 2.24 · Value 0.89 · Buy at or below 0.89; 2018-03 · Price AUD 2.10 · Value 0.89 · Buy at or below 0.89; 2018-04 · Price AUD 2.16 · Value 0.89 · Buy at or below 0.89; 2018-05 · Price AUD 2.47 · Value 0.89 · Buy at or below 0.89; 2018-06 · Price AUD 2.99 · Value 0.89 · Buy at or below 0.89; 2018-07 · Price AUD 3.19 · Value 0.89 · Buy at or below 0.89; 2018-08 · Price AUD 3.81 · Value 0.89 · Buy at or below 0.89; 2018-09 · Price AUD 3.95 · Value 0.89 · Buy at or below 0.89; 2018-10 · Price AUD 3.31 · Value 0.89 · Buy at or below 0.89; 2018-11 · Price AUD 3.35 · Value 0.89 · Buy at or below 0.89; 2018-12 · Price AUD 3.41 · Value 0.89 · Buy at or below 0.89; 2019-01 · Price AUD 4.01 · Value 0.89 · Buy at or below 0.89; 2019-02 · Price AUD 4.20 · Value 3.01 · Buy at or below 3.01; 2019-03 · Price AUD 3.01 · Value 3.01 · Buy at or below 3.01; 2019-04 · Price AUD 2.69 · Value 3.01 · Buy at or below 3.01; 2019-05 · Price AUD 2.63 · Value 3.01 · Buy at or below 3.01; 2019-06 · Price AUD 2.71 · Value 3.01 · Buy at or below 3.01; 2019-07 · Price AUD 2.51 · Value 3.01 · Buy at or below 3.01; 2019-08 · Price AUD 2.28 · Value 3.01 · Buy at or below 3.01; 2019-09 · Price AUD 2.20 · Value 3.01 · Buy at or below 3.01; 2019-10 · Price AUD 2.13 · Value 3.01 · Buy at or below 3.01; 2019-11 · Price AUD 2.17 · Value 3.01 · Buy at or below 3.01; 2019-12 · Price AUD 2.06 · Value 3.01 · Buy at or below 3.01; 2020-01 · Price AUD 1.88 · Value 3.01 · Buy at or below 3.01; 2020-02 · Price AUD 1.45 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2020-03 · Price AUD 1.39 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2020-04 · Price AUD 1.54 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2020-05 · Price AUD 1.35 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2020-06 · Price AUD 1.36 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2020-07 · Price AUD 1.31 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2020-08 · Price AUD 1.19 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2020-09 · Price AUD 1.28 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2020-10 · Price AUD 1.07 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2020-11 · Price AUD 1.31 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2020-12 · Price AUD 1.42 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2021-01 · Price AUD 1.34 · Value 2.99 · Buy at or below 2.99; 2021-02 · Price AUD 1.25 · Value 2.82 · Buy at or below 2.82; 2021-03 · Price AUD 1.42 · Value 2.82 · Buy at or below 2.82; 2021-04 · Price AUD 1.17 · Value 2.82 · Buy at or below 2.82; 2021-05 · Price AUD 1.46 · Value 2.82 · Buy at or below 2.82; 2021-06 · Price AUD 1.73 · Value 2.82 · Buy at or below 2.82; 2021-07 · Price AUD 2.00 · Value 2.82 · Buy at or below 2.82; 2021-08 · Price AUD 2.06 · Value 2.82 · Buy at or below 2.82; 2021-09 · Price AUD 2.40 · Value 2.82 · Buy at or below 2.82; 2021-10 · Price AUD 2.01 · Value 2.82 · Buy at or below 2.82; 2021-11 · Price AUD 2.06 · Value 2.82 · Buy at or below 2.82; 2021-12 · Price AUD 2.23 · Value 2.82 · Buy at or below 2.82; 2022-01 · Price AUD 2.27 · Value 2.82 · Buy at or below 2.82; 2022-02 · Price AUD 2.54 · Value 8.83 · Buy at or below 8.83; 2022-03 · Price AUD 3.40 · Value 8.83 · Buy at or below 8.83; 2022-04 · Price AUD 3.51 · Value 8.83 · Buy at or below 8.83; 2022-05 · Price AUD 3.71 · Value 8.83 · Buy at or below 8.83; 2022-06 · Price AUD 3.46 · Value 8.83 · Buy at or below 8.83; 2022-07 · Price AUD 4.39 · Value 8.83 · Buy at or below 8.83; 2022-08 · Price AUD 4.90 · Value 8.83 · Buy at or below 8.83; 2022-09 · Price AUD 6.29 · Value 8.83 · Buy at or below 8.83; 2022-10 · Price AUD 5.65 · Value 8.83 · Buy at or below 8.83; 2022-11 · Price AUD 5.95 · Value 8.83 · Buy at or below 8.83; 2022-12 · Price AUD 6.36 · Value 8.83 · Buy at or below 8.83; 2023-01 · Price AUD 5.86 · Value 8.83 · Buy at or below 8.83; 2023-02 · Price AUD 5.43 · Value 7.71 · Buy at or below 7.71; 2023-03 · Price AUD 5.68 · Value 7.71 · Buy at or below 7.71; 2023-04 · Price AUD 5.31 · Value 7.71 · Buy at or below 7.71; 2023-05 · Price AUD 4.61 · Value 7.71 · Buy at or below 7.71; 2023-06 · Price AUD 4.85 · Value 7.71 · Buy at or below 7.71; 2023-07 · Price AUD 5.31 · Value 7.71 · Buy at or below 7.71; 2023-08 · Price AUD 5.63 · Value 7.71 · Buy at or below 7.71; 2023-09 · Price AUD 6.35 · Value 7.71 · Buy at or below 7.71; 2023-10 · Price AUD 5.77 · Value 7.71 · Buy at or below 7.71; 2023-11 · Price AUD 5.20 · Value 7.71 · Buy at or below 7.71; 2023-12 · Price AUD 5.16 · Value 7.71 · Buy at or below 7.71; 2024-01 · Price AUD 5.40 · Value 7.71 · Buy at or below 7.71; 2024-02 · Price AUD 4.70 · Value 6.03 · Buy at or below 6.03; 2024-03 · Price AUD 4.65 · Value 6.03 · Buy at or below 6.03; 2024-04 · Price AUD 4.55 · Value 6.03 · Buy at or below 6.03; 2024-05 · Price AUD 4.97 · Value 6.03 · Buy at or below 6.03; 2024-06 · Price AUD 4.88 · Value 6.03 · Buy at or below 6.03; 2024-07 · Price AUD 4.87 · Value 6.03 · Buy at or below 6.03; 2024-08 · Price AUD 4.48 · Value 6.03 · Buy at or below 6.03; 2024-09 · Price AUD 5.21 · Value 6.03 · Buy at or below 6.03; 2024-10 · Price AUD 4.87 · Value 6.03 · Buy at or below 6.03; 2024-11 · Price AUD 4.70 · Value 6.03 · Buy at or below 6.03; 2024-12 · Price AUD 4.96 · Value 6.03 · Buy at or below 6.03; 2025-01 · Price AUD 4.84 · Value 6.03 · Buy at or below 6.03; 2025-02 · Price AUD 4.02 · Value 5.94 · Buy at or below 5.94; 2025-03 · Price AUD 3.71 · Value 5.94 · Buy at or below 5.94; 2025-04 · Price AUD 3.67 · Value 5.94 · Buy at or below 5.94; 2025-05 · Price AUD 3.72 · Value 5.94 · Buy at or below 5.94; 2025-06 · Price AUD 3.70 · Value 5.94 · Buy at or below 5.94; 2025-07 · Price AUD 4.18 · Value 5.94 · Buy at or below 5.94; 2025-08 · Price AUD 4.43 · Value 5.94 · Buy at or below 5.94; 2025-09 · Price AUD 3.92 · Value 5.94 · Buy at or below 5.94; 2025-10 · Price AUD 4.15 · Value 5.94 · Buy at or below 5.94; 2025-11 · Price AUD 3.82 · Value 5.94 · Buy at or below 5.94; 2025-12 · Price AUD 4.03 · Value 5.94 · Buy at or below 5.94; 2026-01 · Price AUD 4.51 · Value 5.94 · Buy at or below 5.94; 2026-02 · Price AUD 4.69 · Value 6.00 · Buy at or below 6.00; 2026-03 · Price AUD 5.87 · Value 6.00 · Buy at or below 6.00; 2026-04 · Price AUD 5.48 · Value 6.00 · Buy at or below 6.00; 2026-05 · Price AUD 5.84 · Value 6.00 · Buy at or below 6.00; 2026-06 · Price AUD 5.34 · Value 6.00 · Buy at or below 6.00; 2026-07 · Price AUD 5.19 · Value 6.00 · Buy at or below 6.00; 2026-08 · Price AUD 6.03 · Value 6.00 · Buy at or below 6.00; 2026-09 · Price AUD 5.95 · Value 6.00 · Buy at or below 6.00; 2026-10 · Price AUD 5.99 · Value 6.00 · Buy at or below 6.00; 2026-10 · Price AUD 5.71 · Value 6.00 · Buy at or below 6.00

AUD per share · annual estimates

Price & return math
Value range	AUD 5.38 – AUD 6.83
Buy at or below	Central value AUD 6.00
Discount to value	1 − 5.71 / 6.00 = 4.9%
Return / year	About 10.4% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%)
Cash-flow inputs	Owner cash AUD 0.41/share; 0.0% growth for 5 years, then fades to 3.0%; excess cash AUD 0.88/share today.
Required return	10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value

RevenueAUD 1.7B

Revenue

Owner earningsAUD 191M

Owner earnings

Operating margin15.3%

Operating margin

Net cash / debtAUD 389M

Net cash / debt

Diluted shares844M

Diluted shares

Prices 15 Oct 2026 · FY2026