Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 8 needed).
- 10y median
- AUD 155M
- Worst year
- AUD 90M
- Latest · 2026
- AUD 188M
# NIB Holdings (NHF.AU) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/NHF.AU Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:40:23.132Z. Financial observations: FY2016–FY2026. Listing currency: AUD. Reporting currency: AUD. ## Verdict A wonderful business at too high a price Quality tests for Buy: pass (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: AUD 6.62 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low AUD 4.46 per share, central AUD 5.58 per share, high AUD 7.43 per share. Buy at or below the central value AUD 5.58 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:40:23.132Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 9.4% at the stated quote. About 9.4% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; AU 10-year bond 5.2% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: pass - Financial history: 10 years - Profitable years in the last ten: 10 - Required profitable years: 8 - Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.18× Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: AUD 120M - FY2018: AUD 132M - FY2019: AUD 150M - FY2020: AUD 90M - FY2021: AUD 161M - FY2022: AUD 136M - FY2023: AUD 197M - FY2024: AUD 186M - FY2025: AUD 200M - FY2026: AUD 188M ### moat: pass - Common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 19.6% - Required median return: 10.0% - Return uses tangible common equity: No - Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 16.5% - Years with reported combined ratio: 0 Chart: Return on common equity; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: 27.9% - FY2018: 23.7% - FY2019: 23.7% - FY2020: 15.4% - FY2021: 23.3% - FY2022: 18.8% - FY2023: 20.4% - FY2024: 17.8% - FY2025: 18.0% - FY2026: 16.5% ### economics: pass - Common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 25.5% - Book return interval: 10 years - Starting book value per share: AUD 0.88 - Ending book value per share: AUD 2.33 Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: 28.2% - FY2018: 47.6% - FY2019: 30.2% - FY2020: 9.0% - FY2021: 28.3% - FY2022: 18.3% - FY2023: 47.7% - FY2024: 20.6% - FY2025: 17.5% - FY2026: 13.6% ### management: pass - Common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 1.1% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 1.3% - Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 1.1% - Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 1.3% - Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0 - Book created / earnings retained after dividends and buybacks: 1.46× - Book value created per share: AUD 1.45 - Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: AUD 0.99 Chart: Shares (first year = 100); fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 100 - FY2017: 102 - FY2018: 104 - FY2019: 104 - FY2020: 104 - FY2021: 104 - FY2022: 107 - FY2023: 108 - FY2024: 110 - FY2025: 111 - FY2026: 111 ### accounting: pass - Financial accounting warning count: 0 - Known restatement years: 0 ## Holders ## Price story Down 22% since May 2023 · net income -6.2% Story as of 2026-10-16T10:00:11.452Z; price observation 2026-10-15. The price is 0.8 times annual sales ### Net income · FY2026 net income -6.2%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16. - FY2017: AUD 120M - FY2018: AUD 132M - FY2019: AUD 150M - FY2020: AUD 90M - FY2021: AUD 161M - FY2022: AUD 136M - FY2023: AUD 197M - FY2024: AUD 186M - FY2025: AUD 200M - FY2026: AUD 188M ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in insurance specialty; annual sales are AUD 3.8 billion. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:40:23.132Z); FY2026: revenue 3817300000. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); NHF.AU: nib holdings limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the underwriting and distribution of private health, life, and living insurance to residents, international students, and visitors in Australia and New Zealand. The company operates in six segments: Australian Residents Health Insurance, International (Inbound) Health Insurance, New Zealand Insurance, nib Travel, nib Thrive, and nib Health Services. It also offers travel and disability insurance products. In addition, the company provides health and wellbeing, telehealth, and treatment delivery services, as well as health management programs. Further, it provides digital marketplace platform under the national disability insurance scheme (NDIS). The company was founded in 1952 and is based in Newcastle, Australia. ### Why customers stay It earns 19.6% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:40:23.132Z); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2017,0.2790480634624358],[2018,0.2373610613122983],[2019,0.23695033217336287],[2020,0.1536493860845839],[2021,0.2334444283437183],[2022,0.18844604915983892],[2023,0.20368072787427627],[2024,0.17798235519754507],[2025,0.1798217982179822],[2026,0.16464699683877765]]; median 0.1960633885170576. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years; bought back AUD 1.6 million of shares. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:40:23.132Z); Dividend observations: [[2017,76800000],[2018,87000000],[2019,95500000],[2020,104700000],[2021,63900000],[2022,114300000],[2023,113200000],[2024,145100000],[2025,119200000],[2026,128300000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:40:23.132Z); FY2026: cash repurchases 1600000 AUD. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 1.2% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); NHF.AU SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 1.205 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What the price says The price is 0.8 times annual sales. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:40:23.132Z); Closing price 6.62 AUD; reporting-to-trading FX 1; FY2026 annual sales per share 7.823939331830293; price multiple 0.8461210803447463. FY2026 cash earnings/share 0.4486575117852019. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (AUD per share) - 2016-10: AUD 4.82 per share - 2016-11: AUD 4.87 per share - 2016-12: AUD 4.75 per share - 2017-01: AUD 4.61 per share - 2017-02: AUD 5.33 per share - 2017-03: AUD 5.92 per share - 2017-04: AUD 6.00 per share - 2017-05: AUD 5.42 per share - 2017-06: AUD 5.75 per share - 2017-07: AUD 5.74 per share - 2017-08: AUD 5.91 per share - 2017-09: AUD 5.74 per share - 2017-10: AUD 6.30 per share - 2017-11: AUD 6.76 per share - 2017-12: AUD 6.76 per share - 2018-01: AUD 6.71 per share - 2018-02: AUD 7.04 per share - 2018-03: AUD 6.38 per share - 2018-04: AUD 5.57 per share - 2018-05: AUD 5.47 per share - 2018-06: AUD 5.73 per share - 2018-07: AUD 5.64 per share - 2018-08: AUD 6.52 per share - 2018-09: AUD 5.85 per share - 2018-10: AUD 5.54 per share - 2018-11: AUD 4.96 per share - 2018-12: AUD 5.20 per share - 2019-01: AUD 5.34 per share - 2019-02: AUD 5.77 per share - 2019-03: AUD 5.24 per share - 2019-04: AUD 5.75 per share - 2019-05: AUD 6.85 per share - 2019-06: AUD 7.67 per share - 2019-07: AUD 7.99 per share - 2019-08: AUD 7.39 per share - 2019-09: AUD 7.30 per share - 2019-10: AUD 7.01 per share - 2019-11: AUD 6.75 per share - 2019-12: AUD 6.27 per share - 2020-01: AUD 5.41 per share - 2020-02: AUD 4.63 per share - 2020-03: AUD 5.13 per share - 2020-04: AUD 4.92 per share - 2020-05: AUD 4.71 per share - 2020-06: AUD 4.61 per share - 2020-07: AUD 4.43 per share - 2020-08: AUD 4.61 per share - 2020-09: AUD 4.08 per share - 2020-10: AUD 4.16 per share - 2020-11: AUD 5.14 per share - 2020-12: AUD 5.97 per share - 2021-01: AUD 5.52 per share - 2021-02: AUD 5.54 per share - 2021-03: AUD 5.23 per share - 2021-04: AUD 6.18 per share - 2021-05: AUD 6.29 per share - 2021-06: AUD 6.51 per share - 2021-07: AUD 7.14 per share - 2021-08: AUD 6.77 per share - 2021-09: AUD 6.97 per share - 2021-10: AUD 6.62 per share - 2021-11: AUD 7.00 per share - 2021-12: AUD 7.01 per share - 2022-01: AUD 6.23 per share - 2022-02: AUD 6.53 per share - 2022-03: AUD 6.36 per share - 2022-04: AUD 7.08 per share - 2022-05: AUD 7.39 per share - 2022-06: AUD 7.38 per share - 2022-07: AUD 7.24 per share - 2022-08: AUD 8.18 per share - 2022-09: AUD 7.43 per share - 2022-10: AUD 6.67 per share - 2022-11: AUD 7.30 per share - 2022-12: AUD 7.75 per share - 2023-01: AUD 7.87 per share - 2023-02: AUD 7.60 per share - 2023-03: AUD 7.05 per share - 2023-04: AUD 7.72 per share - 2023-05: AUD 8.45 per share - 2023-06: AUD 8.45 per share - 2023-07: AUD 8.28 per share - 2023-08: AUD 8.32 per share - 2023-09: AUD 7.43 per share - 2023-10: AUD 7.24 per share - 2023-11: AUD 7.58 per share - 2023-12: AUD 7.39 per share - 2024-01: AUD 8.14 per share - 2024-02: AUD 7.32 per share - 2024-03: AUD 7.86 per share - 2024-04: AUD 7.45 per share - 2024-05: AUD 7.44 per share - 2024-06: AUD 7.35 per share - 2024-07: AUD 7.53 per share - 2024-08: AUD 6.26 per share - 2024-09: AUD 5.94 per share - 2024-10: AUD 5.78 per share - 2024-11: AUD 5.68 per share - 2024-12: AUD 5.48 per share - 2025-01: AUD 5.78 per share - 2025-02: AUD 6.68 per share - 2025-03: AUD 6.85 per share - 2025-04: AUD 6.84 per share - 2025-05: AUD 6.73 per share - 2025-06: AUD 7.08 per share - 2025-07: AUD 7.41 per share - 2025-08: AUD 7.68 per share - 2025-09: AUD 7.42 per share - 2025-10: AUD 7.54 per share - 2025-11: AUD 7.17 per share - 2025-12: AUD 6.86 per share - 2026-01: AUD 6.73 per share - 2026-02: AUD 6.41 per share - 2026-03: AUD 6.36 per share - 2026-04: AUD 6.65 per share - 2026-05: AUD 6.68 per share - 2026-06: AUD 7.06 per share - 2026-07: AUD 7.50 per share - 2026-08: AUD 6.80 per share - 2026-09: AUD 6.56 per share - 2026-10: AUD 6.59 per share ## Annual estimated value (AUD per share) - FY2017: low AUD 0.78 per share, central AUD 0.97 per share, high AUD 1.29 per share - FY2018: low AUD 0.92 per share, central AUD 1.14 per share, high AUD 1.53 per share - FY2019: low AUD 1.19 per share, central AUD 1.48 per share, high AUD 1.98 per share - FY2020: low AUD 0.18 per share, central AUD 0.22 per share, high AUD 0.29 per share - FY2021: low AUD 1.02 per share, central AUD 1.28 per share, high AUD 1.70 per share - FY2022: low AUD 0.98 per share, central AUD 1.23 per share, high AUD 1.63 per share - FY2023: low AUD 0.80 per share, central AUD 1.00 per share, high AUD 1.33 per share - FY2024: low AUD 3.32 per share, central AUD 4.15 per share, high AUD 5.53 per share - FY2025: low AUD 4.15 per share, central AUD 5.19 per share, high AUD 6.91 per share - FY2026: low AUD 4.49 per share, central AUD 5.61 per share, high AUD 7.48 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates ## Sources Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
NHF · AU
S&P/ASX 200
A wonderful business at too high a price
Passes the quality tests.
Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 8 needed).
Earned a median 19.6% on equity (minimum 10%).
Book value plus dividends grew 25.5% a year (minimum 7%).
Ordinary share growth was 1.1% over the full period and 1.3% over five years (either must be at most 2% a year).
0 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).
Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 0.39 AUD.
| Value range | AUD 4.46 – AUD 7.43 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value AUD 5.58 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 6.62 / 5.58 = -18.7% |
| Return / year | About 9.4% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Book AUD 1.39/share; ROE 25.0%; first payout AUD 0.22/share, growing 6.0% perpetually (4× book payout cap applied). |
| Required return | 10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value |