Margins varied 30.1% around their average (limit 35%), and no loss years were recorded (limit 2).
- 10y median
- 14.9%
- Worst year
- 7.4%
- Latest · LTM
- 7.4%
# The Navigator Company (NVG.LS) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/NVG.LS Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:40:02.921Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2026. Listing currency: EUR. Reporting currency: EUR. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: EUR 3.06 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low EUR 3.33 per share, central EUR 3.76 per share, high EUR 4.33 per share. Buy at or below the central value EUR 3.76 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:40:02.921Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 11.8% at the stated quote. About 11.8% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; PT 10-year bond 3.9% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: pass - 5 revenue declines in the last 10 years (informational) - Financial history: 10 years - Years with declining revenue: 5 - Years with a net loss: 0 - Operating margin variation: 0.30× Chart: Operating margin; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: 0.15× - FY2018: 0.17× - FY2019: 0.14× - FY2020: 0.10× - FY2021: 0.14× - FY2022: 0.23× - FY2023: 0.19× - FY2024: 0.18× - FY2025: 0.10× - LTM to Jun 2026: 0.07× ### moat: fail - ROIC median below threshold - ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed) - ROIC, median of available years: 14.7% - ROIC, second-lowest year: 9.2% - Typical minus recent gross margin: 1.3 pp - Typical gross margin (annual median): 56.3% - Recent gross margin (lower of latest and 3-year median): 55.0% - Years with nonpositive capital: 0 - Capital spending / revenue: 8.7% - ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: 10.4% Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 18.4% - FY2017: 14.1% - FY2018: 15.3% - FY2019: 13.2% - FY2020: 8.8% - FY2021: 14.1% - FY2022: 32.9% - FY2023: 19.4% - FY2024: 18.5% - FY2025: 9.2% ### economics: fail - incremental invested capital return below threshold - Owner earnings / net income, 5-yr: 0.88× - Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No - Owner earnings, five-year total: EUR 1.1B - Net income, five-year total: EUR 1.3B - Return on incremental invested capital: 0.0% - Working capital / revenue, annual change: -2.3 pp - Working capital / revenue, change between three-year averages: -16.2 pp - Working capital / revenue, final three-year average: 6.9% Chart: Annual owner cash / profit; fiscal year observations. - FY2021: 1.04× - FY2022: 1.06× - FY2023: 0.72× - FY2024: 0.92× - FY2025: 0.38× ### management: pass - Historical market-dollar context (not the management verdict): 2017 to 2025 (8 years) - buybacks unrelated to price (informational) - ROIC first 3 years vs last 3 years: 15.3% vs 18.5% - Per-share earnings: 0.29 to 0.39 (three-year endpoint medians) - Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes - Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: -0.0% - Market cap gain: EUR -816M - Cumulative retained earnings: EUR 110M - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: -0.0% - $1 test, starting fiscal year: FY2017 - $1 test, ending fiscal year: FY2025 - Per-share value growth: 4.9% - Per-share value change: EUR 0.10 - Per-share value, starting three-year median: EUR 0.29 - Per-share value, ending three-year median: EUR 0.39 - Buybacks concentrated in cheaper years (correlation): -1.00 - Average buyback yield: 0.4% - Buyback history: 2 years - Debt-funded buybacks: No - Acquisition spending: EUR 228M - Cumulative net income, 10 years: EUR 2.2B - ROIC, first three-year median: 15.3% - ROIC, last three-year median: 18.5% Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: EUR 0.29 - FY2018: EUR 0.31 - FY2019: EUR 0.24 - FY2020: EUR 0.15 - FY2021: EUR 0.24 - FY2022: EUR 0.55 - FY2023: EUR 0.39 - FY2024: EUR 0.40 - FY2025: EUR 0.20 ### accounting: pass - Sloan accruals: -5.9% - Receivables to sales index (DSRI): 0.62× - Restructuring years, last five: 0 - Earnings backed by cash: Yes - Operating cash / earnings: 2.30× - Accounting red flags: 0 - Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 0.37× Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: -2.7% - FY2017: -4.0% - FY2018: -5.3% - FY2019: -8.3% - FY2020: -9.7% - FY2021: -7.2% - FY2022: -8.0% - FY2023: -3.4% - FY2024: -3.7% - FY2025: -5.9% ## Holders ## Price story Down 27% since May 2022 · sales -7.6% Story as of 2026-10-16T10:00:11.144Z; price observation 2026-10-15. Price needs cash profits to shrink 1.9% a year for ten years ### Sales · FY2025–2026 sales -7.6%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16. - FY2017: EUR 1.6B - FY2018: EUR 1.7B - FY2019: EUR 1.7B - FY2020: EUR 1.4B - FY2021: EUR 1.6B - FY2022: EUR 2.5B - FY2023: EUR 2.0B - FY2024: EUR 2.1B - FY2025: EUR 2.0B - FY2026: EUR 1.8B ### Gross margin · FY2025 gross margin 55%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16. - FY2016: 33.6% - FY2017: 34.5% - FY2018: 36.2% - FY2019: 58.2% - FY2020: 57.6% - FY2021: 60.4% - FY2022: 62.8% - FY2023: 54.9% - FY2024: 57.8% - FY2025: 55.0% ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in paper & paper products; annual sales are EUR 2 billion. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/NVG.LS.json#2025-12-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:40:02.921Z); FY2025: revenue 1969765842; grossProfit 1083522132; margin = grossProfit / revenue. ### Why customers stay Margins ranged from 54.9% to 57.8% during 2023–25; it earns 14.7% on its capital. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/NVG.LS.json#2023-12-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:40:02.921Z); FY2023: grossProfit / revenue = 54.9%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/NVG.LS.json#2024-12-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:40:02.921Z); FY2024: grossProfit / revenue = 57.8%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/NVG.LS.json#2025-12-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:40:02.921Z); FY2025: grossProfit / revenue = 55%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:40:02.921Z); 10-year return on capital observations [[2016,0.18407225410848324],[2017,0.14069060546667145],[2018,0.15300135842292598],[2019,0.1321613657697919],[2020,0.08827819194572245],[2021,0.1412439045338397],[2022,0.32871129074715627],[2023,0.19432970829915683],[2024,0.18529177449937143],[2025,0.09206187918323211]]; median 0.14712263147838284. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/NVG.LS.json#2016-12-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:40:02.921Z); FY2016: growth capex 0; upkeep 81185277; owner earnings 263528793. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/NVG.LS.json#2017-12-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:40:02.921Z); FY2017: growth capex 0; upkeep 98863395; owner earnings 207038534. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/NVG.LS.json#2018-12-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:40:02.921Z); FY2018: growth capex 0; upkeep 209311719; owner earnings 150843671. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/NVG.LS.json#2019-12-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:40:02.921Z); FY2019: growth capex 0; upkeep 176585023; owner earnings 120870140.6. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:40:02.921Z); FY2020: growth capex 0; upkeep 98807287; owner earnings 142561479.2. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:40:02.921Z); FY2021: growth capex 0; upkeep 104258178; owner earnings 178502790. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://query2.finance.yahoo.com/ws/fundamentals-timeseries/v1/finance/timeseries/NVG.LS (filed 2026-10-16T07:40:02.921Z); FY2022: growth capex 0; upkeep 124072233; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 417412559.2. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://query2.finance.yahoo.com/ws/fundamentals-timeseries/v1/finance/timeseries/NVG.LS (filed 2026-10-16T07:40:02.921Z); FY2023: growth capex 0; upkeep 201590142; cash acquisitions 55210602; owner earnings 199246829.8. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.2770965141850402. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/NVG.LS.json#2024-12-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:40:02.921Z); FY2024: growth capex 59351480; upkeep 164749474; cash acquisitions 150779060; owner earnings 264600815. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.7941416960488198. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/NVG.LS.json#2025-12-31 (filed 2026-10-16T07:40:02.921Z); FY2025: growth capex 0; upkeep 236955466; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 55162246.400000006. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:40:02.921Z); Dividend observations: [[2016,170004583],[2017,250007056],[2018,200002777],[2019,200003439],[2020,99138920],[2021,149561800],[2022,131632875],[2023,199984679],[2024,149995621],[2025,174993706]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 70% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); NVG.LS SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 70.03 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What the price says The price assumes cash profits shrink 1.9% yearly over ten years. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:40:02.921Z); Ten-year compound average after fade. Initial solved rate -0.039102750156590094. Price 3.056; FX 1; discount 0.1; same standard ten-year fade to terminal 0.03. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (EUR per share) - 2016-10: EUR 2.67 per share - 2016-11: EUR 2.93 per share - 2016-12: EUR 3.27 per share - 2017-01: EUR 3.37 per share - 2017-02: EUR 3.57 per share - 2017-03: EUR 3.77 per share - 2017-04: EUR 3.89 per share - 2017-05: EUR 4.03 per share - 2017-06: EUR 3.78 per share - 2017-07: EUR 3.64 per share - 2017-08: EUR 3.59 per share - 2017-09: EUR 4.12 per share - 2017-10: EUR 4.38 per share - 2017-11: EUR 4.18 per share - 2017-12: EUR 4.25 per share - 2018-01: EUR 4.52 per share - 2018-02: EUR 4.45 per share - 2018-03: EUR 4.79 per share - 2018-04: EUR 4.84 per share - 2018-05: EUR 5.34 per share - 2018-06: EUR 5.10 per share - 2018-07: EUR 4.88 per share - 2018-08: EUR 4.30 per share - 2018-09: EUR 4.22 per share - 2018-10: EUR 4.40 per share - 2018-11: EUR 3.70 per share - 2018-12: EUR 3.60 per share - 2019-01: EUR 4.27 per share - 2019-02: EUR 4.31 per share - 2019-03: EUR 4.08 per share - 2019-04: EUR 3.94 per share - 2019-05: EUR 3.20 per share - 2019-06: EUR 3.36 per share - 2019-07: EUR 3.05 per share - 2019-08: EUR 3.07 per share - 2019-09: EUR 3.28 per share - 2019-10: EUR 3.23 per share - 2019-11: EUR 3.49 per share - 2019-12: EUR 3.59 per share - 2020-01: EUR 3.24 per share - 2020-02: EUR 2.78 per share - 2020-03: EUR 2.16 per share - 2020-04: EUR 2.37 per share - 2020-05: EUR 2.23 per share - 2020-06: EUR 2.16 per share - 2020-07: EUR 2.11 per share - 2020-08: EUR 2.20 per share - 2020-09: EUR 2.12 per share - 2020-10: EUR 1.89 per share - 2020-11: EUR 2.50 per share - 2020-12: EUR 2.50 per share - 2021-01: EUR 2.47 per share - 2021-02: EUR 2.81 per share - 2021-03: EUR 2.79 per share - 2021-04: EUR 2.81 per share - 2021-05: EUR 2.82 per share - 2021-06: EUR 2.88 per share - 2021-07: EUR 3.04 per share - 2021-08: EUR 3.16 per share - 2021-09: EUR 3.04 per share - 2021-10: EUR 3.38 per share - 2021-11: EUR 3.11 per share - 2021-12: EUR 3.35 per share - 2022-01: EUR 3.34 per share - 2022-02: EUR 3.19 per share - 2022-03: EUR 3.38 per share - 2022-04: EUR 3.92 per share - 2022-05: EUR 4.16 per share - 2022-06: EUR 3.84 per share - 2022-07: EUR 4.03 per share - 2022-08: EUR 3.96 per share - 2022-09: EUR 3.49 per share - 2022-10: EUR 3.86 per share - 2022-11: EUR 3.87 per share - 2022-12: EUR 3.45 per share - 2023-01: EUR 3.21 per share - 2023-02: EUR 3.33 per share - 2023-03: EUR 3.30 per share - 2023-04: EUR 3.33 per share - 2023-05: EUR 3.08 per share - 2023-06: EUR 3.10 per share - 2023-07: EUR 3.19 per share - 2023-08: EUR 3.37 per share - 2023-09: EUR 3.57 per share - 2023-10: EUR 3.76 per share - 2023-11: EUR 3.77 per share - 2023-12: EUR 3.55 per share - 2024-01: EUR 3.82 per share - 2024-02: EUR 3.76 per share - 2024-03: EUR 4.05 per share - 2024-04: EUR 4.15 per share - 2024-05: EUR 4.01 per share - 2024-06: EUR 3.89 per share - 2024-07: EUR 3.75 per share - 2024-08: EUR 3.69 per share - 2024-09: EUR 3.69 per share - 2024-10: EUR 3.54 per share - 2024-11: EUR 3.43 per share - 2024-12: EUR 3.59 per share - 2025-01: EUR 3.53 per share - 2025-02: EUR 3.26 per share - 2025-03: EUR 3.27 per share - 2025-04: EUR 3.35 per share - 2025-05: EUR 3.44 per share - 2025-06: EUR 3.19 per share - 2025-07: EUR 3.10 per share - 2025-08: EUR 3.32 per share - 2025-09: EUR 3.27 per share - 2025-10: EUR 3.00 per share - 2025-11: EUR 3.04 per share - 2025-12: EUR 3.14 per share - 2026-01: EUR 3.19 per share - 2026-02: EUR 3.44 per share - 2026-03: EUR 3.36 per share - 2026-04: EUR 3.35 per share - 2026-05: EUR 3.40 per share - 2026-06: EUR 3.23 per share - 2026-07: EUR 3.26 per share - 2026-08: EUR 3.25 per share - 2026-09: EUR 3.21 per share - 2026-10: EUR 3.07 per share ## Annual estimated value (EUR per share) - FY2019: low EUR 2.87 per share, central EUR 3.24 per share, high EUR 3.73 per share - FY2020: low EUR 2.58 per share, central EUR 2.88 per share, high EUR 3.28 per share - FY2021: low EUR 2.82 per share, central EUR 3.16 per share, high EUR 3.63 per share - FY2022: low EUR 4.31 per share, central EUR 4.85 per share, high EUR 5.56 per share - FY2023: low EUR 3.27 per share, central EUR 3.70 per share, high EUR 4.27 per share - FY2024: low EUR 3.93 per share, central EUR 4.43 per share, high EUR 5.09 per share - FY2025: low EUR 3.51 per share, central EUR 3.98 per share, high EUR 4.60 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:45:44.312Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period. ## Sources Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
NVG · LS
PSI
Not a wonderful business
2 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.
Margins varied 30.1% around their average (limit 35%), and no loss years were recorded (limit 2).
Capital return excluding acquisitions: median 14.7% (minimum 15%), and the second-worst year 9.2% (minimum 10%).
New investment earned 0% (minimum 12%).
Per-share value rose from 0.29 to 0.39, comparing three-year medians at each end (must rise and stay positive).
Profits were backed by cash: accruals were -5.9% of assets (limit 10%).
Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 10 (at most 2), mean operating margin 15.9%, three-year average owner earnings per share 0.24 EUR.
| Value range | EUR 3.33 – EUR 4.33 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value EUR 3.76 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 3.06 / 3.76 = 18.7% |
| Return / year | About 11.8% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Owner cash EUR 0.29/share; 0.0% growth for 5 years, then fades to 3.0%; excess cash EUR 0.20/share today. |
| Required return | 10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value |