Profits were positive in 9 years (at least 9 needed).
- 10y median
- PLN 3.9B
- Worst year
- PLN -2.6B
- Latest · 2025
- PLN 11B
# Powszechna Kasa Oszczednosci Bank Polski (PKO.WAR) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/PKO.WAR Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:34:08.065Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2025. Listing currency: PLN. Reporting currency: PLN. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: PLN 115.84 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low PLN 36.05 per share, central PLN 44.29 per share, high PLN 57.43 per share. Buy at or below the central value PLN 44.29 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:34:08.065Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 7.7% at the stated quote. About 7.7% a year at today's price (required return 10.4%). required return 10.4% a year (PL 10-year bond 6.4% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: pass - Financial history: 10 years - Profitable years in the last ten: 9 - Required profitable years: 9 - Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.64× Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: PLN 2.9B - FY2017: PLN 3.1B - FY2018: PLN 3.7B - FY2019: PLN 4.0B - FY2020: PLN -2.6B - FY2021: PLN 4.9B - FY2022: PLN 3.3B - FY2023: PLN 5.5B - FY2024: PLN 9.3B - FY2025: PLN 11B ### moat: fail - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - median return on common equity below threshold - Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 10.5% - Required median return: 12.0% - Return uses tangible common equity: Yes - Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 9.4% - Years with reported combined ratio: 0 Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 9.9% - FY2017: 9.4% - FY2018: 10.4% - FY2019: 10.5% - FY2020: -7.0% - FY2021: 14.2% - FY2022: 10.4% - FY2023: 13.3% - FY2024: 19.3% - FY2025: 19.7% ### economics: pass - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 12.6% - Book return interval: 10 years - Starting book value per share: PLN 21.61 - Ending book value per share: PLN 43.46 Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 8.0% - FY2017: 15.6% - FY2018: 10.8% - FY2019: 11.6% - FY2020: 1.4% - FY2021: -0.3% - FY2022: -0.1% - FY2023: 29.4% - FY2024: 28.4% - FY2025: 26.9% ### management: pass - Tangible common book per share - Parent-total proxy for preferred equity and common earnings - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 0.0% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 0.0% - Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0.0% - Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0.0% - Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0 - Book created / earnings retained after dividends and buybacks: 1.17× - Book value created per share: PLN 21.85 - Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: PLN 18.64 Chart: Shares (first year = 100); fiscal year observations. - FY2015: 100 - FY2016: 100 - FY2017: 100 - FY2018: 100 - FY2019: 100 - FY2020: 100 - FY2021: 100 - FY2022: 100 - FY2023: 100 - FY2024: 100 - FY2025: 100 ### accounting: pass - Financial accounting warning count: 0 - Known restatement years: 0 ## Holders ## Price story The price assumes profits grow 8.7% a year forever · net income +14.8% Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:59.299Z; price observation 2026-10-15. The price assumes profits grow 8.7% a year forever ### Net income · FY2025 net income +14.8%; source https://filings.xbrl.org/P4GTT6GF1W40CVIMFR43/2022-12-31/ESEF/PL/0/PL_Skonsolidowane_sprawozdanie_finansowe_GKPKOBP_SA_31.12.2022/reports/PL_Skonsolidowane_sprawozdanie_finansowe_GKPKOBP_SA_31.12.2022.xhtml; observed 2023-05-02. - FY2016: PLN 2.9B - FY2017: PLN 3.1B - FY2018: PLN 3.7B - FY2019: PLN 4.0B - FY2020: PLN -2.6B - FY2021: PLN 4.9B - FY2022: PLN 3.3B - FY2023: PLN 5.5B - FY2024: PLN 9.3B - FY2025: PLN 11B ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in regional banking; annual sales are PLN 31.9 billion. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2023-05-02); FY2025: revenue 31868000000. ### Why customers stay It earns 10.5% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2023-05-02); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0.09855088366606544],[2017,0.0939894019682059],[2018,0.10415970598062145],[2019,0.10494936082688953],[2020,-0.06978140436099664],[2021,0.14233150332905034],[2022,0.10441075120606479],[2023,0.13315585672797678],[2024,0.19291697768930913],[2025,0.1966132891588441]]; median 0.10468005601647716. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 8 of 10 years. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2023-05-02); Dividend observations: [[2016,0],[2017,688000000],[2018,688000000],[2019,1663000000],[2020,2288000000],[2021,2288000000],[2022,2288000000],[2023,0],[2024,4837000000],[2025,6850000000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 31.4% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); PKO.WAR SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 31.392999999999997 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What the price says The price assumes profits grow 8.7% a year forever. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2023-05-02); Price 115.84; FX 1; original perpetual distributable cash 1.9365182398608287; discount 0.10372; growth 0.08700281906197489. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (PLN per share) - 2016-10: PLN 27.48 per share - 2016-11: PLN 25.56 per share - 2016-12: PLN 28.14 per share - 2017-01: PLN 30.67 per share - 2017-02: PLN 33.28 per share - 2017-03: PLN 32.06 per share - 2017-04: PLN 35.29 per share - 2017-05: PLN 36.51 per share - 2017-06: PLN 34.46 per share - 2017-07: PLN 36.83 per share - 2017-08: PLN 36.68 per share - 2017-09: PLN 35.33 per share - 2017-10: PLN 38.75 per share - 2017-11: PLN 42.30 per share - 2017-12: PLN 44.31 per share - 2018-01: PLN 45.66 per share - 2018-02: PLN 43.07 per share - 2018-03: PLN 40.44 per share - 2018-04: PLN 41.84 per share - 2018-05: PLN 37.54 per share - 2018-06: PLN 36.99 per share - 2018-07: PLN 41.70 per share - 2018-08: PLN 42.20 per share - 2018-09: PLN 42.90 per share - 2018-10: PLN 39.93 per share - 2018-11: PLN 40.91 per share - 2018-12: PLN 39.47 per share - 2019-01: PLN 39.51 per share - 2019-02: PLN 38.04 per share - 2019-03: PLN 38.58 per share - 2019-04: PLN 39.24 per share - 2019-05: PLN 39.30 per share - 2019-06: PLN 42.82 per share - 2019-07: PLN 40.87 per share - 2019-08: PLN 39.15 per share - 2019-09: PLN 39.32 per share - 2019-10: PLN 38.12 per share - 2019-11: PLN 36.14 per share - 2019-12: PLN 34.46 per share - 2020-01: PLN 34.21 per share - 2020-02: PLN 31.29 per share - 2020-03: PLN 22.62 per share - 2020-04: PLN 22.01 per share - 2020-05: PLN 22.30 per share - 2020-06: PLN 22.92 per share - 2020-07: PLN 21.75 per share - 2020-08: PLN 21.57 per share - 2020-09: PLN 21.21 per share - 2020-10: PLN 18.96 per share - 2020-11: PLN 26.40 per share - 2020-12: PLN 28.72 per share - 2021-01: PLN 28.88 per share - 2021-02: PLN 30.14 per share - 2021-03: PLN 32.73 per share - 2021-04: PLN 35.27 per share - 2021-05: PLN 40.67 per share - 2021-06: PLN 37.83 per share - 2021-07: PLN 37.84 per share - 2021-08: PLN 42.05 per share - 2021-09: PLN 42.24 per share - 2021-10: PLN 48.80 per share - 2021-11: PLN 43.54 per share - 2021-12: PLN 44.93 per share - 2022-01: PLN 47.64 per share - 2022-02: PLN 40.33 per share - 2022-03: PLN 39.84 per share - 2022-04: PLN 32.81 per share - 2022-05: PLN 31.88 per share - 2022-06: PLN 28.00 per share - 2022-07: PLN 26.19 per share - 2022-08: PLN 23.52 per share - 2022-09: PLN 21.84 per share - 2022-10: PLN 26.07 per share - 2022-11: PLN 28.35 per share - 2022-12: PLN 30.29 per share - 2023-01: PLN 32.16 per share - 2023-02: PLN 31.08 per share - 2023-03: PLN 28.52 per share - 2023-04: PLN 32.07 per share - 2023-05: PLN 32.08 per share - 2023-06: PLN 36.15 per share - 2023-07: PLN 40.66 per share - 2023-08: PLN 37.35 per share - 2023-09: PLN 34.72 per share - 2023-10: PLN 43.52 per share - 2023-11: PLN 47.53 per share - 2023-12: PLN 50.32 per share - 2024-01: PLN 51.00 per share - 2024-02: PLN 55.56 per share - 2024-03: PLN 59.34 per share - 2024-04: PLN 60.70 per share - 2024-05: PLN 59.36 per share - 2024-06: PLN 62.92 per share - 2024-07: PLN 58.96 per share - 2024-08: PLN 57.88 per share - 2024-09: PLN 55.98 per share - 2024-10: PLN 55.80 per share - 2024-11: PLN 55.90 per share - 2024-12: PLN 59.76 per share - 2025-01: PLN 66.92 per share - 2025-02: PLN 69.10 per share - 2025-03: PLN 75.20 per share - 2025-04: PLN 72.38 per share - 2025-05: PLN 75.28 per share - 2025-06: PLN 75.24 per share - 2025-07: PLN 82.38 per share - 2025-08: PLN 71.00 per share - 2025-09: PLN 70.48 per share - 2025-10: PLN 75.70 per share - 2025-11: PLN 77.40 per share - 2025-12: PLN 85.16 per share - 2026-01: PLN 92.58 per share - 2026-02: PLN 92.46 per share - 2026-03: PLN 86.86 per share - 2026-04: PLN 94.64 per share - 2026-05: PLN 103.00 per share - 2026-06: PLN 103.14 per share - 2026-07: PLN 111.92 per share - 2026-08: PLN 113.96 per share - 2026-09: PLN 124.00 per share - 2026-10: PLN 116.62 per share ## Annual estimated value (PLN per share) - FY2016: low PLN 31.33 per share, central PLN 34.35 per share, high PLN 38.01 per share - FY2017: low PLN 38.14 per share, central PLN 46.87 per share, high PLN 60.77 per share - FY2018: low PLN 36.50 per share, central PLN 44.85 per share, high PLN 58.15 per share - FY2019: low PLN 34.08 per share, central PLN 41.87 per share, high PLN 54.29 per share - FY2020: low PLN 24.31 per share, central PLN 29.87 per share, high PLN 38.73 per share - FY2021: low PLN 22.72 per share, central PLN 27.92 per share, high PLN 36.20 per share - FY2022: low PLN 20.90 per share, central PLN 25.68 per share, high PLN 33.29 per share - FY2023: low PLN 27.05 per share, central PLN 33.23 per share, high PLN 43.09 per share - FY2024: low PLN 31.57 per share, central PLN 38.79 per share, high PLN 50.29 per share - FY2025: low PLN 36.05 per share, central PLN 44.29 per share, high PLN 57.43 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:39:54.908Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period. ## Sources [Original ESEF filing](https://filings.xbrl.org/P4GTT6GF1W40CVIMFR43/2022-12-31/ESEF/PL/0/PL_Skonsolidowane_sprawozdanie_finansowe_GKPKOBP_SA_31.12.2022/reports/PL_Skonsolidowane_sprawozdanie_finansowe_GKPKOBP_SA_31.12.2022.xhtml); period 2022-12-31, filed 2023-05-02. Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
PKO · WAR
STOXX Europe 600
Not a wonderful business
1 quality test fails. A lower price would not fix the business.
Profits were positive in 9 years (at least 9 needed).
Earned a median 10.5% on tangible equity (minimum 12%).
Book value plus dividends grew 12.6% a year (minimum 7%).
Ordinary share growth was 0% over the full period and 0% over five years (either must be at most 2% a year).
0 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).
Profit record · pass 1 loss year in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 6.8 PLN.
| Value range | PLN 36.05 – PLN 57.43 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value PLN 44.29 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 115.84 / 44.29 = -161.5% |
| Return / year | About 7.7% a year at today's price (required return 10.4%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Book PLN 43.46/share; ROE 10.5%; first payout PLN 1.94/share, growing 6.0% perpetually (4× book payout cap applied). |
| Required return | 10.4% / year, earned by construction at the central value |