Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 9 needed).
- 10y median
- $1.7B
- Worst year
- $991M
- Latest · 2025
- $2.1B
# Regions Financial (RF.US) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/RF Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:31:32.551Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2025. Listing currency: USD. Reporting currency: USD. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: $27.31 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low $28.57 per share, central $35.72 per share, high $47.62 per share. Buy at or below the central value $35.72 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:31:32.551Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 11.2% at the stated quote. About 11.2% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; US 10-year bond 5.1% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: pass - Financial history: 10 years - Profitable years in the last ten: 10 - Required profitable years: 9 - Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.50× Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: $1.1B - FY2017: $1.2B - FY2018: $1.7B - FY2019: $1.5B - FY2020: $991M - FY2021: $2.4B - FY2022: $2.1B - FY2023: $2.0B - FY2024: $1.8B - FY2025: $2.1B ### moat: fail - Tangible common book per share - return on tangible common equity below 5% in more than one year - Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 16.5% - Required median return: 12.0% - Return uses tangible common equity: Yes - Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 1.6% - Cost / income, median: 58.9% - Years with reported combined ratio: 0 Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 10.6% - FY2017: 12.0% - FY2018: 19.0% - FY2019: 15.5% - FY2020: 0.7% - FY2021: 1.6% - FY2022: 28.6% - FY2023: 22.1% - FY2024: 19.2% - FY2025: 17.5% ### economics: pass - Tangible common book per share - Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 10.7% - Book return interval: 10 years - Starting book value per share: $7.97 - Ending book value per share: $13.17 Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 6.6% - FY2017: 4.3% - FY2018: 2.2% - FY2019: 27.1% - FY2020: 1369.8% - FY2021: 11.9% - FY2022: -94.5% - FY2023: 30.1% - FY2024: 16.1% - FY2025: 40.7% ### management: pass - Tangible common book per share - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: -3.9% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: -1.4% - Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -3.9% - Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: -1.4% - Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0 - Book created / earnings retained after dividends and buybacks: 3.23× - Book value created per share: $5.20 - Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: $1.61 Chart: Shares (first year = 100); fiscal year observations. - FY2015: 100 - FY2016: 95 - FY2017: 90 - FY2018: 83 - FY2019: 75 - FY2020: 72 - FY2021: 72 - FY2022: 71 - FY2023: 70 - FY2024: 69 - FY2025: 67 ### accounting: fail - credit provisions persistently exceed same-year peers - Financial accounting warning count: 1 - Deposits, annualized growth: 2.9% - Known restatement years: 0 - Years loan growth exceeded twice deposit growth: 4 - Years credit losses exceeded peer median: 7 ## Holders - [Andrew Adams](https://gigainvestors.com/MPF): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts. - [Richard Pzena](https://gigainvestors.com/PIM): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts. ## Price story The price assumes profits grow 4.8% a year forever · net income +16.2% Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:29.570Z; price observation 2026-10-15. The price assumes profits grow 4.8% a year forever - 2025-07-18: Regions Financial beats estimates as Q2 revenue grows 10% YoY ([investing.com](https://www.investing.com/news/earnings/regions-financial-beats-estimates-as-q2-revenue-grows-10-yoy-93CH-4141589)) - 2026-01-16: Regions Financial Q4 Earnings Miss on Higher Expenses, Stock Down ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/regions-financial-q4-earnings-miss-185100047.html)) - 2026-04-19: RF Q1 Deep Dive: Loan Growth and Deposit Costs Shape Outlook Amid Margin Pressure ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/rf-q1-deep-dive-loan-070945321.html)) - 2026-07-17: Regions Financial Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates, NII, Expenses Up Y/Y ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/regions-financial-q2-earnings-beat-140600225.html)) ### Net income · FY2025 net income +16.2%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1281761/000128176126000019/rf-20251231.htm; observed 2026-02-24. - FY2016: $1.1B - FY2017: $1.2B - FY2018: $1.7B - FY2019: $1.5B - FY2020: $991M - FY2021: $2.4B - FY2022: $2.1B - FY2023: $2.0B - FY2024: $1.8B - FY2025: $2.1B ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in regional banking; annual sales are USD 7.5 billion. - Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1281761/000128176126000019/rf-20251231.htm#000128176126000019 (filed 2026-02-24); FY2025: revenue 7526000000. ### Why customers stay It earns 16.5% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-24); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0.10572390572390572],[2017,0.12044198895027625],[2018,0.19027840143691063],[2019,0.15510835913312693],[2020,0.0072570959899235475],[2021,0.015747514845313473],[2022,0.2862096559082422],[2023,0.22137575621779074],[2024,0.19168017287952457],[2025,0.1746462164223371]]; median 0.16487728777773203. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years; bought back USD 1.4 billion of shares. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-24); Dividend observations: [[2016,381000000],[2017,410000000],[2018,516000000],[2019,656000000],[2020,698000000],[2021,716000000],[2022,762000000],[2023,885000000],[2024,994000000],[2025,1003000000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. - Source: https://eodhd.com/api/fundamentals/RF.US.json#2025-12-31 (filed 2026-02-24); FY2025: cash repurchases 1417000000 USD. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 0.3% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); RF.US SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 0.265 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What could break it "Fluctuations in market interest rates" (SEC filing, Feb 2026) - Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1281761/000128176126000019/rf-20251231.htm (filed 2026-02-24); Fluctuations in market interest rates ### What the price says The price assumes profits grow 4.8% a year forever. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-24); Price 27.31; FX 1; original perpetual distributable cash 1.4286648614299857; discount 0.1; growth 0.04768711602233667. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (USD per share) - 2016-10: $10.71 per share - 2016-11: $13.54 per share - 2016-12: $14.36 per share - 2017-01: $14.41 per share - 2017-02: $15.27 per share - 2017-03: $14.53 per share - 2017-04: $13.75 per share - 2017-05: $13.84 per share - 2017-06: $14.64 per share - 2017-07: $14.60 per share - 2017-08: $14.11 per share - 2017-09: $15.23 per share - 2017-10: $15.48 per share - 2017-11: $16.59 per share - 2017-12: $17.28 per share - 2018-01: $19.23 per share - 2018-02: $19.41 per share - 2018-03: $18.58 per share - 2018-04: $18.70 per share - 2018-05: $18.24 per share - 2018-06: $17.78 per share - 2018-07: $18.61 per share - 2018-08: $19.46 per share - 2018-09: $18.35 per share - 2018-10: $16.97 per share - 2018-11: $16.45 per share - 2018-12: $13.38 per share - 2019-01: $15.17 per share - 2019-02: $16.40 per share - 2019-03: $14.15 per share - 2019-04: $15.53 per share - 2019-05: $13.83 per share - 2019-06: $14.94 per share - 2019-07: $15.93 per share - 2019-08: $14.62 per share - 2019-09: $15.82 per share - 2019-10: $16.10 per share - 2019-11: $16.64 per share - 2019-12: $17.16 per share - 2020-01: $15.57 per share - 2020-02: $13.52 per share - 2020-03: $8.97 per share - 2020-04: $10.75 per share - 2020-05: $11.31 per share - 2020-06: $11.12 per share - 2020-07: $10.86 per share - 2020-08: $11.56 per share - 2020-09: $11.53 per share - 2020-10: $13.30 per share - 2020-11: $15.27 per share - 2020-12: $16.12 per share - 2021-01: $17.01 per share - 2021-02: $20.63 per share - 2021-03: $20.66 per share - 2021-04: $21.80 per share - 2021-05: $23.41 per share - 2021-06: $20.18 per share - 2021-07: $19.25 per share - 2021-08: $20.43 per share - 2021-09: $21.31 per share - 2021-10: $23.68 per share - 2021-11: $22.75 per share - 2021-12: $21.80 per share - 2022-01: $22.94 per share - 2022-02: $24.19 per share - 2022-03: $22.26 per share - 2022-04: $20.72 per share - 2022-05: $22.09 per share - 2022-06: $18.75 per share - 2022-07: $21.18 per share - 2022-08: $21.67 per share - 2022-09: $20.07 per share - 2022-10: $21.95 per share - 2022-11: $23.21 per share - 2022-12: $21.56 per share - 2023-01: $23.54 per share - 2023-02: $23.32 per share - 2023-03: $18.56 per share - 2023-04: $18.26 per share - 2023-05: $17.27 per share - 2023-06: $17.82 per share - 2023-07: $20.37 per share - 2023-08: $18.34 per share - 2023-09: $17.20 per share - 2023-10: $14.53 per share - 2023-11: $16.68 per share - 2023-12: $19.38 per share - 2024-01: $18.67 per share - 2024-02: $18.63 per share - 2024-03: $21.04 per share - 2024-04: $19.27 per share - 2024-05: $19.35 per share - 2024-06: $20.04 per share - 2024-07: $22.37 per share - 2024-08: $23.42 per share - 2024-09: $23.33 per share - 2024-10: $23.87 per share - 2024-11: $27.26 per share - 2024-12: $23.52 per share - 2025-01: $24.64 per share - 2025-02: $23.71 per share - 2025-03: $21.73 per share - 2025-04: $20.41 per share - 2025-05: $21.44 per share - 2025-06: $23.52 per share - 2025-07: $25.33 per share - 2025-08: $27.39 per share - 2025-09: $26.37 per share - 2025-10: $24.20 per share - 2025-11: $25.45 per share - 2025-12: $27.10 per share - 2026-01: $28.50 per share - 2026-02: $27.83 per share - 2026-03: $26.12 per share - 2026-04: $28.55 per share - 2026-05: $28.00 per share - 2026-06: $30.20 per share - 2026-07: $30.95 per share - 2026-08: $29.88 per share - 2026-09: $26.88 per share - 2026-10: $27.31 per share ## Annual estimated value (USD per share) - FY2016: low $6.42 per share, central $8.03 per share, high $10.71 per share - FY2017: low $6.50 per share, central $8.12 per share, high $10.83 per share - FY2018: low $7.35 per share, central $9.18 per share, high $12.24 per share - FY2019: low $9.80 per share, central $12.25 per share, high $16.33 per share - FY2020: low $127.88 per share, central $159.85 per share, high $213.13 per share - FY2021: low $142.40 per share, central $178.00 per share, high $237.33 per share - FY2022: low $8.65 per share, central $10.82 per share, high $14.42 per share - FY2023: low $11.39 per share, central $14.24 per share, high $18.98 per share - FY2024: low $16.85 per share, central $21.07 per share, high $28.09 per share - FY2025: low $27.56 per share, central $34.45 per share, high $45.94 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates ## Sources [Original 10-K filing](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1281761/000128176126000019/rf-20251231.htm); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-02-24. Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
RF · US
S&P 500
Not a wonderful business
2 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.
Profits were positive in 10 years (at least 9 needed).
The second-worst year 1.6% (minimum 5%).
Book value plus dividends grew 10.7% a year (minimum 7%).
Ordinary share growth was -3.9% over the full period and -1.4% over five years (either must be at most 2% a year).
1 accounting warnings were found (none allowed).
Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 10 (at most 2), three-year average earnings per share 2.11 USD.
| Value range | $28.57 – $47.62 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value $35.72 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 27.31 / 35.72 = 23.5% |
| Return / year | About 11.2% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Book USD 15.24/share; ROE 15.4%; first payout USD 1.43/share, growing 6.0% perpetually (4× book payout cap applied). |
| Required return | 10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value |