# Rli (RLI.US)

Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/RLI

Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:31:36.533Z. Financial observations: FY2015–FY2025.

Listing currency: USD. Reporting currency: USD.

## Verdict

Not a wonderful business

Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no.

Share price: $59.48 per share; close as of 2026-10-15.

Estimated value: low $57.62 per share, central $72.03 per share, high $96.03 per share. Buy at or below the central value $72.03 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:31:36.533Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals.

Expected annual return: 10.8% at the stated quote. About 10.8% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; US 10-year bond 5.1% + 4 points).

## Checklist

### understandable: pass

- Financial history: 10 years

- Profitable years in the last ten: 10

- Required profitable years: 8

- Return on common equity variation (informational): 0.52×

Chart: Net income; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: $115M

- FY2017: $105M

- FY2018: $64M

- FY2019: $192M

- FY2020: $157M

- FY2021: $279M

- FY2022: $583M

- FY2023: $305M

- FY2024: $346M

- FY2025: $403M

### moat: pass

- Common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity

- Underwriting economics assessed through return on tangible common equity

- Bank / P&C ROTE, median of available years: 22.1%

- Required median return: 12.0%

- Return uses tangible common equity: Yes

- Bank ROTE, second-lowest year: 13.2%

- Years with reported combined ratio: 0

Chart: Return on tangible common equity; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: 15.1%

- FY2017: 13.2%

- FY2018: 8.5%

- FY2019: 20.4%

- FY2020: 14.5%

- FY2021: 23.8%

- FY2022: 58.6%

- FY2023: 25.1%

- FY2024: 26.6%

- FY2025: 26.0%

### economics: pass

- Common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity

- Book value per share + reinvested dividends, annualized return: 21.9%

- Book return interval: 10 years

- Starting book value per share: $9.33

- Ending book value per share: $19.25

Chart: Annual book + dividend return; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: 14.2%

- FY2017: 17.2%

- FY2018: 4.2%

- FY2019: 31.7%

- FY2020: 22.6%

- FY2021: 19.3%

- FY2022: 25.2%

- FY2023: 31.1%

- FY2024: 23.9%

- FY2025: 32.8%

### management: fail

- Common book per share

- Parent-total proxy for preferred equity

- book per share gain below retained common earnings per share

- Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 0.5%

- Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 0.4%

- Share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0.5%

- Five-year share growth excluding flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0.4%

- Flagged crisis recapitalisations: 0

- Book created / earnings retained after dividends and buybacks: 0.97×

- Book value created per share: $9.92

- Earnings retained per share after dividends and buybacks: $10.19

Chart: Shares (first year = 100); fiscal year observations.

- FY2015: 100

- FY2016: 101

- FY2017: 101

- FY2018: 101

- FY2019: 103

- FY2020: 103

- FY2021: 104

- FY2022: 104

- FY2023: 104

- FY2024: 105

- FY2025: 105

### accounting: pass

- Financial accounting warning count: 0

- Known restatement years: 0

## Holders

- [John Rogers](https://gigainvestors.com/AI): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts.

- [Thomas Gayner](https://gigainvestors.com/MKL): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts.

## Price story

Down 32% since Nov 2024 · "RLI Q1 Deep Dive: Competitive Market Pressures and Rate Discipline Shape Results" (finance.yahoo.com, Apr 2026) · net income +16.6%

Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:30.561Z; price observation 2026-10-15.

The price assumes profits grow 5.1% a year forever

- 2025-07-21: RLI Corp shares fall 2% as second quarter revenue misses estimates ([investing.com](https://www.investing.com/news/earnings/rli-corp-shares-fall-2-as-second-quarter-revenue-misses-estimates-93CH-4144724))

- 2025-10-22: RLI (RLI) Margin Drop Challenges Case for Premium Valuation into Earnings Season ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/rli-rli-margin-drop-challenges-050953615.html))

- 2026-04-24: RLI Q1 Deep Dive: Competitive Market Pressures and Rate Discipline Shape Results ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/rli-q1-deep-dive-competitive-132523321.html))

- 2026-07-24: RLI's Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates on Premium Growth, Investment Income ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/rlis-q2-earnings-beat-estimates-170800589.html))

### Net income · FY2025

net income +16.6%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/84246/000110465926018013/rli-20251231x10k.htm; observed 2026-02-20.

- FY2016: $115M 

- FY2017: $105M 

- FY2018: $64M 

- FY2019: $192M 

- FY2020: $157M 

- FY2021: $279M 

- FY2022: $583M 

- FY2023: $305M 

- FY2024: $346M 

- FY2025: $403M 

## Owner memo

Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z.

### How it makes money

Operates in insurance property & casualty; annual sales are USD 1.9 billion.

- Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/84246/000110465926018013/rli-20251231x10k.htm#000110465926018013 (filed 2026-02-20); FY2025: revenue 1882448000.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); RLI.US: RLI Corp., an insurance holding company, provides property, casualty, and surety insurance products. Its Casualty segment provides commercial excess, personal umbrella, general liability, transportation, and management liability coverages; professional liability and workers' compensation for office-based professional coverages; commercial automobile liability and physical damage insurance to local, intermediate and long haul truckers, public transportation entities, and other specialty commercial automobile risks; incidental related insurance coverages; inland marine coverages; directors and officers liability insurance, fiduciary liability and coverages, employment practice liability, public and private businesses risk, and home business insurance products. This segment also offers coverages for security guards and environmental liability for underground storage tanks, contractors and asbestos, and environmental remediation specialists; and professional liability coverages for errors and omission coverage for small to medium-sized design, technical, computer, and miscellaneous professionals. The company's Property segment offers commercial property insurance, such as fire, wind, difference in conditions, earthquake, flood, and collapse coverages; insurance for office buildings, apartments, condominiums, and industrial and mercantile structures; and cargo, hull, protection and indemnity, marine liability, inland marine, homeowners' and dwelling fire, and other property insurance products. Its Surety segment provides commercial surety bonds for medium and large-sized businesses; small bonds for businesses and individuals; and bonds for small to medium-sized contractors. The company offers reinsurance coverages. It markets its products through branch offices, wholesale and retail brokers, carrier partners, and underwriting and independent agents. RLI Corp. was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in Peoria, Illinois.

### Why customers stay

It earns 22.1% on shareholders’ money, excluding intangible assets.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-20); 10-year return on tangible equity observations [[2016,0.15136966363321439],[2017,0.13222778410063754],[2018,0.08530947431105346],[2019,0.20360133905473615],[2020,0.1451510220751225],[2021,0.2375865262685204],[2022,0.5858010683589043],[2023,0.2510421250945701],[2024,0.26553631533315775],[2025,0.2598844319471954]]; median 0.22059393266162827. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity.

### Where the cash goes

Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-20); Dividend observations: [[2016,122488000],[2017,113813000],[2018,83100000],[2019,85591000],[2020,87906000],[2021,135330000],[2022,364848000],[2023,140093000],[2024,235656000],[2025,241562000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement.

### Are managers owners

Insiders own 1.6% of the company.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); RLI.US SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 1.599 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16.

### What the price says

The price assumes profits grow 5.1% a year forever.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-20); Price 59.48; FX 1; original perpetual distributable cash 2.891701427750968; discount 0.1; growth 0.05138363436867909. Same book-value model and 4× ceiling; no ten-year operating fade applies. Closing-price date 2026-10-15.

## Monthly share-price history (USD per share)

- 2016-10: $27.87 per share

- 2016-11: $30.02 per share

- 2016-12: $31.57 per share

- 2017-01: $29.71 per share

- 2017-02: $29.23 per share

- 2017-03: $30.01 per share

- 2017-04: $28.61 per share

- 2017-05: $27.77 per share

- 2017-06: $27.31 per share

- 2017-07: $29.03 per share

- 2017-08: $26.76 per share

- 2017-09: $28.68 per share

- 2017-10: $29.55 per share

- 2017-11: $29.87 per share

- 2017-12: $30.33 per share

- 2018-01: $32.13 per share

- 2018-02: $30.40 per share

- 2018-03: $31.70 per share

- 2018-04: $31.64 per share

- 2018-05: $32.84 per share

- 2018-06: $33.10 per share

- 2018-07: $37.38 per share

- 2018-08: $38.49 per share

- 2018-09: $39.29 per share

- 2018-10: $36.97 per share

- 2018-11: $37.91 per share

- 2018-12: $34.50 per share

- 2019-01: $33.01 per share

- 2019-02: $35.26 per share

- 2019-03: $35.88 per share

- 2019-04: $40.67 per share

- 2019-05: $42.94 per share

- 2019-06: $42.86 per share

- 2019-07: $45.07 per share

- 2019-08: $45.79 per share

- 2019-09: $46.46 per share

- 2019-10: $48.66 per share

- 2019-11: $45.69 per share

- 2019-12: $45.01 per share

- 2020-01: $46.51 per share

- 2020-02: $40.19 per share

- 2020-03: $43.97 per share

- 2020-04: $36.42 per share

- 2020-05: $39.48 per share

- 2020-06: $41.05 per share

- 2020-07: $44.07 per share

- 2020-08: $46.90 per share

- 2020-09: $41.87 per share

- 2020-10: $43.35 per share

- 2020-11: $47.87 per share

- 2020-12: $52.08 per share

- 2021-01: $48.39 per share

- 2021-02: $52.17 per share

- 2021-03: $55.79 per share

- 2021-04: $55.73 per share

- 2021-05: $52.74 per share

- 2021-06: $52.30 per share

- 2021-07: $54.19 per share

- 2021-08: $54.62 per share

- 2021-09: $50.14 per share

- 2021-10: $54.16 per share

- 2021-11: $51.39 per share

- 2021-12: $56.05 per share

- 2022-01: $52.39 per share

- 2022-02: $50.75 per share

- 2022-03: $55.32 per share

- 2022-04: $57.39 per share

- 2022-05: $60.56 per share

- 2022-06: $58.30 per share

- 2022-07: $54.99 per share

- 2022-08: $54.88 per share

- 2022-09: $51.19 per share

- 2022-10: $65.04 per share

- 2022-11: $65.04 per share

- 2022-12: $65.64 per share

- 2023-01: $66.23 per share

- 2023-02: $68.96 per share

- 2023-03: $66.46 per share

- 2023-04: $69.53 per share

- 2023-05: $61.93 per share

- 2023-06: $68.24 per share

- 2023-07: $66.71 per share

- 2023-08: $65.76 per share

- 2023-09: $67.95 per share

- 2023-10: $66.62 per share

- 2023-11: $67.80 per share

- 2023-12: $66.56 per share

- 2024-01: $68.19 per share

- 2024-02: $73.23 per share

- 2024-03: $74.24 per share

- 2024-04: $70.68 per share

- 2024-05: $72.99 per share

- 2024-06: $70.35 per share

- 2024-07: $75.30 per share

- 2024-08: $77.05 per share

- 2024-09: $77.49 per share

- 2024-10: $77.99 per share

- 2024-11: $87.95 per share

- 2024-12: $82.42 per share

- 2025-01: $73.35 per share

- 2025-02: $76.09 per share

- 2025-03: $80.33 per share

- 2025-04: $74.01 per share

- 2025-05: $76.87 per share

- 2025-06: $72.22 per share

- 2025-07: $65.99 per share

- 2025-08: $67.73 per share

- 2025-09: $65.22 per share

- 2025-10: $58.96 per share

- 2025-11: $61.66 per share

- 2025-12: $63.98 per share

- 2026-01: $58.43 per share

- 2026-02: $62.32 per share

- 2026-03: $57.04 per share

- 2026-04: $51.77 per share

- 2026-05: $50.04 per share

- 2026-06: $59.07 per share

- 2026-07: $61.24 per share

- 2026-08: $63.47 per share

- 2026-09: $55.31 per share

- 2026-10: $59.48 per share

## Annual estimated value (USD per share)

- FY2016: low $13.86 per share, central $15.42 per share, high $17.38 per share

- FY2017: low $12.93 per share, central $14.23 per share, high $15.81 per share

- FY2018: low $12.25 per share, central $13.47 per share, high $14.97 per share

- FY2019: low $16.20 per share, central $17.82 per share, high $19.80 per share

- FY2020: low $17.28 per share, central $19.01 per share, high $21.12 per share

- FY2021: low $19.24 per share, central $21.39 per share, high $24.08 per share

- FY2022: low $19.62 per share, central $22.58 per share, high $26.59 per share

- FY2023: low $27.22 per share, central $32.19 per share, high $39.39 per share

- FY2024: low $37.53 per share, central $46.91 per share, high $62.55 per share

- FY2025: low $53.75 per share, central $67.19 per share, high $89.59 per share

Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year

Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year

Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates

## Sources

[Original 10-K filing](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/84246/000110465926018013/rli-20251231x10k.htm); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-02-20.

Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.