4 loss years were recorded (limit 2), and margins varied 97.5% around their average (limit 35%).
- 10y median
- 29.9%
- Worst year
- -16.7%
- Latest · LTM
- 46.7%
# Scorpio Tankers (STNG.US) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/STNG Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:32:08.441Z. Financial observations: FY2007–FY2026. Listing currency: USD. Reporting currency: USD. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: fail; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: $82.85 per share; close as of 2026-10-15. Estimated value: low $173.67 per share, central $192.61 per share, high $217.84 per share. Buy at or below the central value $192.61 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:32:08.441Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 27.8% at the stated quote. About 27.8% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; US 10-year bond 5.1% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: fail - 5 revenue declines in the last 10 years (informational) - more than 2 net loss years - operating margin variation exceeds 0.35 - Financial history: 10 years - Years with declining revenue: 5 - Years with a net loss: 4 - Operating margin variation: 0.97× Chart: Operating margin; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: -0.09× - FY2018: 0.02× - FY2019: 0.18× - FY2020: 0.27× - FY2021: -0.17× - FY2022: 0.51× - FY2023: 0.53× - FY2024: 0.61× - FY2025: 0.33× - LTM to Jun 2026: 0.47× ### moat: fail - ROIC median below threshold - ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed) - ROIC, median of available years: 2.7% - ROIC, second-lowest year: -0.8% - Typical minus recent gross margin: -14.6 pp - Typical gross margin (annual median): 31.6% - Recent gross margin (lower of latest and 3-year median): 46.2% - Years with nonpositive capital: 0 - Capital spending / revenue: 8.9% - ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: 1.2% Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: 2.0% - FY2017: -0.8% - FY2018: 0.2% - FY2019: 2.1% - FY2020: 3.2% - FY2021: -1.5% - FY2022: 18.0% - FY2023: 18.7% - FY2024: 18.2% - FY2025: 8.0% ### economics: pass - Owner earnings / net income, 5-yr: 1.38× - Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No - Owner earnings, five-year total: $2.7B - Net income, five-year total: $2.0B - Return on incremental invested capital: >100% - Working capital / revenue, annual change: 0.7 pp - Working capital / revenue, change between three-year averages: 4.0 pp - Working capital / revenue, final three-year average: 14.4% Chart: Annual owner cash / profit; fiscal year observations. - FY2021: 0.18× - FY2022: 1.27× - FY2023: 1.33× - FY2024: 1.14× - FY2025: 1.31× ### management: pass - Historical market-dollar context (not the management verdict): 2016 to 2025 (9 years) - potential debt-funded buybacks (informational) - buybacks leaned toward cheaper years (informational) - ROIC first 3 years vs last 3 years: 0.2% vs 18.2% - Per-share earnings: -1.54 to 10.03 (three-year endpoint medians) - Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes - Ordinary dilution, 10-year annual growth: 9.2% - Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: -2.0% - Market cap gain: $1.8B - Cumulative retained earnings: $1.4B - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 9.2% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: -2.0% - $1 test, starting fiscal year: FY2016 - $1 test, ending fiscal year: FY2025 - Per-share value change: $11.57 - Per-share value, starting three-year median: -$1.54 - Per-share value, ending three-year median: $10.03 - Buybacks concentrated in cheaper years (correlation): 0.45 - Average buyback yield: 5.0% - Buyback history: 9 years - Debt-funded buybacks: Yes - Acquisition spending: $27M - Cumulative net income, 10 years: $1.6B - ROIC, first three-year median: 0.2% - ROIC, last three-year median: 18.2% Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: -$1.54 - FY2017: -$5.58 - FY2018: -$4.10 - FY2019: -$0.85 - FY2020: $1.73 - FY2021: -$4.24 - FY2022: $10.03 - FY2023: $10.03 - FY2024: $13.15 - FY2025: $7.03 ### accounting: pass - latest-year receivables to sales index (DSRI) exceeds 1.465 - Sloan accruals: -3.8% - Receivables to sales index (DSRI): 1.60× - Restructuring years, last five: 0 - Stock compensation / operating cash flow: 14.6% - Earnings backed by cash: Yes - Operating cash / earnings: 1.43× - Accounting red flags: 1 - Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 0.00× Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations. - FY2016: -6.3% - FY2017: -4.4% - FY2018: -5.2% - FY2019: -5.0% - FY2020: -6.3% - FY2021: -6.1% - FY2022: -2.9% - FY2023: -7.5% - FY2024: -4.1% - FY2025: -3.8% ## Holders - [Matthew McLennan](https://gigainvestors.com/FE): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts. ## Price story Price needs cash profits to shrink 14.6% a year for ten years · sales +29.6% Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:38.175Z; price observation 2026-10-15. Price needs cash profits to shrink 14.6% a year for ten years - 2025-07-30: Scorpio Tankers Inc. (NYSE:STNG) Surpasses Q2 2025 Earnings Forecasts and Announces Dividend ([chartmill.com](https://www.chartmill.com/news/STNG/Chartmill-31861-Scorpio-Tankers-Inc-NYSESTNG-Surpasses-Q2-2025-Earnings-Forecasts-and-Announces-Dividend)) - 2026-09-30: Strong Rates Boost Revenues and Cash Flow at Scorpio Tankers ([finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/strong-rates-boost-revenues-cash-155200256.html)) ### Sales · FY2025–2026 sales +29.6%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1483934/000148393426000021/stng-20251231.htm; observed 2026-03-20. - FY2017: $513M - FY2018: $585M - FY2019: $704M - FY2020: $916M - FY2021: $541M - FY2022: $1.6B - FY2023: $1.3B - FY2024: $1.2B - FY2025: $938M - FY2026: $1.2B ### Gross margin · FY2025 gross margin 46.2%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1483934/000148393426000021/stng-20251231.htm; observed 2026-03-20. - FY2016: 25.6% - FY2017: 11.0% - FY2018: 10.8% - FY2019: 27.3% - FY2020: 35.9% - FY2022: 60.1% - FY2023: 60.4% - FY2024: 57.0% - FY2025: 46.2% ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in oil & gas midstream; annual sales are USD 938.2 million. - Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1483934/000148393426000021/stng-20251231.htm (filed 2026-03-20); FY2025: revenue 938222000; grossProfit 433104000; margin = grossProfit / revenue. ### Why customers stay Margins ranged from 46.2% to 60.4% during 2023–25; it earns 2.7% on its capital. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-20); FY2023: grossProfit / revenue = 60.4%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-20); FY2024: grossProfit / revenue = 57%. - Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1483934/000148393426000021/stng-20251231.htm (filed 2026-03-20); FY2025: grossProfit / revenue = 46.2%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-20); 10-year return on capital observations [[2016,0.019571280641602275],[2017,-0.008346290441997391],[2018,0.0020096304777715976],[2019,0.021016457773609516],[2020,0.03243075216024219],[2021,-0.015165716864899077],[2022,0.1801716655878936],[2023,0.18663412248216635],[2024,0.18232781472745746],[2025,0.08000569644054217]]; median 0.02672360496692585. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years; bought back USD 309000 of shares. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-20); FY2020: growth capex 0; upkeep 174477000; owner earnings 165465000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-20); FY2022: growth capex 0; upkeep 34480000; cash acquisitions 1750000; owner earnings 809606000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.002161545245465078. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-20); FY2023: growth capex 0; upkeep 23089000; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 726312000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-20); FY2024: growth capex 0; upkeep 93367000; cash acquisitions 1937000; owner earnings 760726000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.0025462518699242566. - Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1483934/000148393426000021/stng-20251231.htm (filed 2026-03-20); FY2025: growth capex 0; upkeep 74383000; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 450244000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-20); Dividend observations: [[2016,86923000],[2017,9561000],[2018,15127000],[2019,21278000],[2020,23302000],[2021,23320000],[2022,23313000],[2023,57660000],[2024,83515000],[2025,82520000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. - Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1483934/000148393426000021/stng-20251231.htm (filed 2026-03-20); FY2025: cash repurchases 309000 USD. ### Are managers owners Insiders own 16.7% of the company. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16); STNG.US SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 16.722 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-16. ### What the price says The price assumes cash profits shrink 14.6% yearly over ten years; actual decline was 1.6%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-03-20); Ten-year compound average after fade. Initial solved rate -0.21544906271529857. Price 82.85; FX 1; discount 0.1; same standard ten-year fade to terminal 0.03. FY2015 owner earnings/share 10.76840527963365 → FY2025 9.198128635454296. Closing-price date 2026-10-15. ## Monthly share-price history (USD per share) - 2016-10: $38.30 per share - 2016-11: $42.30 per share - 2016-12: $45.30 per share - 2017-01: $38.30 per share - 2017-02: $38.50 per share - 2017-03: $44.40 per share - 2017-04: $44.00 per share - 2017-05: $37.20 per share - 2017-06: $39.70 per share - 2017-07: $37.10 per share - 2017-08: $40.70 per share - 2017-09: $34.30 per share - 2017-10: $35.60 per share - 2017-11: $31.00 per share - 2017-12: $30.50 per share - 2018-01: $26.60 per share - 2018-02: $23.00 per share - 2018-03: $19.60 per share - 2018-04: $26.60 per share - 2018-05: $29.00 per share - 2018-06: $28.10 per share - 2018-07: $21.50 per share - 2018-08: $19.20 per share - 2018-09: $20.10 per share - 2018-10: $17.90 per share - 2018-11: $20.70 per share - 2018-12: $17.60 per share - 2019-01: $18.73 per share - 2019-02: $18.41 per share - 2019-03: $19.84 per share - 2019-04: $25.78 per share - 2019-05: $26.03 per share - 2019-06: $29.52 per share - 2019-07: $26.21 per share - 2019-08: $26.29 per share - 2019-09: $29.76 per share - 2019-10: $31.81 per share - 2019-11: $34.39 per share - 2019-12: $39.34 per share - 2020-01: $23.34 per share - 2020-02: $19.78 per share - 2020-03: $19.12 per share - 2020-04: $21.89 per share - 2020-05: $17.74 per share - 2020-06: $12.81 per share - 2020-07: $13.22 per share - 2020-08: $11.84 per share - 2020-09: $11.07 per share - 2020-10: $8.82 per share - 2020-11: $11.54 per share - 2020-12: $11.19 per share - 2021-01: $12.44 per share - 2021-02: $14.76 per share - 2021-03: $18.46 per share - 2021-04: $18.14 per share - 2021-05: $22.38 per share - 2021-06: $22.05 per share - 2021-07: $16.35 per share - 2021-08: $16.21 per share - 2021-09: $18.54 per share - 2021-10: $16.02 per share - 2021-11: $13.91 per share - 2021-12: $12.81 per share - 2022-01: $13.61 per share - 2022-02: $17.39 per share - 2022-03: $21.38 per share - 2022-04: $24.73 per share - 2022-05: $33.05 per share - 2022-06: $34.51 per share - 2022-07: $38.61 per share - 2022-08: $41.60 per share - 2022-09: $42.04 per share - 2022-10: $47.94 per share - 2022-11: $51.02 per share - 2022-12: $53.77 per share - 2023-01: $47.87 per share - 2023-02: $60.36 per share - 2023-03: $56.31 per share - 2023-04: $52.25 per share - 2023-05: $45.77 per share - 2023-06: $47.23 per share - 2023-07: $47.04 per share - 2023-08: $50.51 per share - 2023-09: $54.12 per share - 2023-10: $56.15 per share - 2023-11: $54.89 per share - 2023-12: $60.80 per share - 2024-01: $70.70 per share - 2024-02: $67.13 per share - 2024-03: $71.55 per share - 2024-04: $70.36 per share - 2024-05: $82.07 per share - 2024-06: $81.29 per share - 2024-07: $76.68 per share - 2024-08: $71.54 per share - 2024-09: $71.30 per share - 2024-10: $58.27 per share - 2024-11: $50.66 per share - 2024-12: $49.69 per share - 2025-01: $47.62 per share - 2025-02: $39.85 per share - 2025-03: $37.58 per share - 2025-04: $37.69 per share - 2025-05: $39.74 per share - 2025-06: $39.13 per share - 2025-07: $45.21 per share - 2025-08: $50.40 per share - 2025-09: $56.05 per share - 2025-10: $61.70 per share - 2025-11: $57.33 per share - 2025-12: $50.83 per share - 2026-01: $63.62 per share - 2026-02: $79.08 per share - 2026-03: $74.66 per share - 2026-04: $81.33 per share - 2026-05: $74.51 per share - 2026-06: $69.26 per share - 2026-07: $77.86 per share - 2026-08: $78.86 per share - 2026-09: $83.70 per share - 2026-10: $82.85 per share ## Annual estimated value (USD per share) - FY2023: low $66.44 per share, central $92.33 per share, high $107.40 per share - FY2024: low $152.14 per share, central $179.84 per share, high $208.14 per share - FY2025: low $123.51 per share, central $138.47 per share, high $158.39 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates ## Sources [Original 20-F filing](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1483934/000148393426000021/stng-20251231.htm); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-03-20. Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
STNG · US
Not a wonderful business
2 quality tests fail. A lower price would not fix the business.
4 loss years were recorded (limit 2), and margins varied 97.5% around their average (limit 35%).
Capital return excluding acquisitions: median 2.7% (minimum 15%), and the second-worst year -0.8% (minimum 10%).
Each $1 of profit left $1.38 for owners over five years (minimum $0.80).
Per-share value rose from -1.54 to 10.03, comparing three-year medians at each end (must rise and stay positive).
Profits were backed by cash: accruals were -3.8% of assets (limit 10%).
Profit record · fail 5 loss years in 10 (at most 2), mean operating margin 23.4%, three-year average owner earnings per share 12.49 USD. 5 loss years in the last 10; at most 2 allowed.
| Value range | $173.67 – $217.84 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value $192.61 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 82.85 / 192.61 = 57.0% |
| Return / year | About 27.8% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Owner cash USD 12.57/share; 0.0% growth for 5 years, then fades to 3.0%; excess cash USD 36.23/share today. |
| Required return | 10.0% / year, earned by construction at the central value |