# CVR Partners LP (UAN.US)

Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/UAN

Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:32:38.787Z. Financial observations: FY2008–FY2026.

Listing currency: USD. Reporting currency: USD.

## Verdict

Not a wonderful business

Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: fail; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no.

Share price: $132.22 per share; close as of 2026-10-15.

Estimated value: low $183.95 per share, central $207.69 per share, high $239.30 per share. Buy at or below the central value $207.69 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:32:38.787Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals.

Expected annual return: 14.6% at the stated quote. About 14.6% a year at today's price (required return 10.0%). required return 10.0% a year (10% floor; US 10-year bond 5.1% + 4 points).

## Checklist

### understandable: fail

- 4 revenue declines in the last 10 years (informational)

- more than 2 net loss years

- operating margin variation exceeds 0.35

- Financial history: 10 years

- Years with declining revenue: 4

- Years with a net loss: 4

- Operating margin variation: 0.96×

Chart: Operating margin; fiscal year observations.

- FY2017: -0.03×

- FY2018: 0.02×

- FY2019: 0.07×

- FY2020: -0.10×

- FY2021: 0.25×

- FY2022: 0.38×

- FY2023: 0.30×

- FY2024: 0.17×

- FY2025: 0.21×

- LTM to Jun 2026: 0.28×

### moat: fail

- ROIC median below threshold

- ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed)

- ROIC, median of available years: 7.8%

- ROIC, second-lowest year: -0.7%

- Typical minus recent gross margin: -7.8 pp

- Typical gross margin (annual median): 19.2%

- Recent gross margin (lower of latest and 3-year median): 27.0%

- Years with nonpositive capital: 0

- Capital spending / revenue: 5.3%

- ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: 8.2%

Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: 1.8%

- FY2017: -0.7%

- FY2018: 4.4%

- FY2019: 2.2%

- FY2020: -3.0%

- FY2021: 15.9%

- FY2022: 36.2%

- FY2023: 24.9%

- FY2024: 11.3%

- FY2025: 16.4%

### economics: pass

- Owner earnings / net income, 5-yr: 1.33×

- Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No

- Owner earnings, five-year total: $925M

- Net income, five-year total: $697M

- Return on incremental invested capital: >100%

- Working capital / revenue, annual change: -0.0 pp

- Working capital / revenue, change between three-year averages: -1.9 pp

- Working capital / revenue, final three-year average: 15.3%

Chart: Annual owner cash / profit; fiscal year observations.

- FY2021: 1.68×

- FY2022: 1.13×

- FY2023: 1.32×

- FY2024: 1.84×

- FY2025: 1.31×

### management: pass

- Historical market-dollar context (not the management verdict): 2016 to 2025 (9 years)

- potential debt-funded buybacks (informational)

- buybacks unrelated to price (informational)

- ROIC first 3 years vs last 3 years: 1.8% vs 16.4%

- Per-share earnings: -2.61 to 9.33 (three-year endpoint medians)

- Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes

- Ordinary dilution, 10-year annual growth: 3.8%

- Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: -1.1%

- Market cap gain: $1.0B

- Cumulative retained earnings: -$282M

- Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 3.8%

- Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: -1.1%

- $1 test, starting fiscal year: FY2016

- $1 test, ending fiscal year: FY2025

- Per-share value change: $11.94

- Per-share value, starting three-year median: -$2.61

- Per-share value, ending three-year median: $9.33

- Buybacks concentrated in cheaper years (correlation): -0.60

- Average buyback yield: 3.1%

- Buyback history: 4 years

- Debt-funded buybacks: Yes

- Acquisition spending: $64M

- Cumulative net income, 10 years: $414M

- ROIC, first three-year median: 1.8%

- ROIC, last three-year median: 16.4%

Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: -$2.61

- FY2017: -$6.43

- FY2018: -$4.42

- FY2019: -$3.09

- FY2020: -$8.77

- FY2021: $7.31

- FY2022: $27.07

- FY2023: $16.31

- FY2024: $5.76

- FY2025: $9.33

### accounting: pass

- Sloan accruals: -5.3%

- Receivables to sales index (DSRI): 0.78×

- Restructuring years, last five: 2

- Stock compensation / operating cash flow: 6.6%

- Earnings backed by cash: Yes

- Operating cash / earnings: 1.52×

- Accounting red flags: 0

- Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 0.00×

Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations.

- FY2016: -5.5%

- FY2017: -6.7%

- FY2018: -6.6%

- FY2019: -6.5%

- FY2020: -11.4%

- FY2021: -9.8%

- FY2022: -1.3%

- FY2023: -7.3%

- FY2024: -8.8%

- FY2025: -5.3%

## Holders

- [Carl Icahn](https://gigainvestors.com/ic): tracked 13F investor; follow the investor page for holding quarter and amounts.

## Price story

Price needs cash profits to shrink 5.2% a year for ten years · sales +11.7%

Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:44.928Z; price observation 2026-10-15.

Price needs cash profits to shrink 5.2% a year for ten years

### Sales · FY2025–2026

sales +11.7%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1425292/000142529226000011/cvi-20251231.htm; observed 2026-02-18.

- FY2017: $331M 

- FY2018: $351M 

- FY2019: $404M 

- FY2020: $350M 

- FY2021: $533M 

- FY2022: $836M 

- FY2023: $681M 

- FY2024: $525M 

- FY2025: $606M 

- FY2026: $677M 

### Gross margin · FY2025

gross margin 27%; source https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1425292/000142529226000011/cvi-20251231.htm; observed 2026-02-18.

- FY2016: 15.7% 

- FY2017: 5.0% 

- FY2018: 9.0% 

- FY2019: 14.0% 

- FY2020: 7.1% 

- FY2021: 30.4% 

- FY2022: 42.2% 

- FY2023: 34.1% 

- FY2024: 22.6% 

- FY2025: 27.0% 

## Owner memo

Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z.

### How it makes money

Operates in agricultural inputs; annual sales are USD 606 million.

- Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1425292/000142529226000011/cvi-20251231.htm (filed 2026-02-18); FY2025: revenue 606038000; grossProfit 163370000; margin = grossProfit / revenue.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-15); UAN.US: CVR Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of nitrogen fertilizer in the United States. The company offers ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate products. It serves agricultural and industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Sugar Land, Texas.

### Why customers stay

Margins ranged from 22.6% to 34.1% during 2023–25; it earns 7.8% on its capital.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-18); FY2023: grossProfit / revenue = 34.1%.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-18); FY2024: grossProfit / revenue = 22.6%.

- Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1425292/000142529226000011/cvi-20251231.htm (filed 2026-02-18); FY2025: grossProfit / revenue = 27%.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-18); 10-year return on capital observations [[2016,0.018291654815503402],[2017,-0.006698708867932165],[2018,0.04394727799755068],[2019,0.022127855469509263],[2020,-0.029850071438397786],[2021,0.1593369899806297],[2022,0.3620270790962762],[2023,0.24882407460531936],[2024,0.11288672579559124],[2025,0.16429130259749797]]; median 0.07841700189657096. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity.

### Where the cash goes

Paid dividends in 10 of 10 years.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-18); FY2016: growth capex 0; upkeep 23231000; cash acquisitions 63869000; owner earnings 8077000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 7.907515166522224.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-18); FY2018: growth capex 0; upkeep 19806000; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 1742000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-18); FY2019: growth capex 0; upkeep 18656000; owner earnings 26214000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-18); FY2021: growth capex 0; upkeep 20594000; owner earnings 131041000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-18); FY2022: growth capex 0; upkeep 44668000; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 324270000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-18); FY2023: growth capex 0; upkeep 24196000; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 227957000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-18); FY2024: growth capex 0; upkeep 37074000; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 111922000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1425292/000142529226000011/cvi-20251231.htm (filed 2026-02-18); FY2025: growth capex 0; upkeep 50802000; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 129727000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-18); Dividend observations: [[2016,69589000],[2017,2266000],[2018,45313000],[2019,45313000],[2020,49669000],[2021,49669000],[2022,204790000],[2023,281364000],[2024,70710000],[2025,125991000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement.

### Are managers owners

Insiders own 0.3% of the company.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-15); UAN.US SharesStats.PercentInsiders = 0.315 percentage points; cache date 2026-10-15.

### What the price says

The price assumes cash profits shrink 5.2% yearly over ten years; actual growth was 2%.

- Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-02-18); Ten-year compound average after fade. Initial solved rate -0.08611398255279606. Price 132.22; FX 1; discount 0.1; same standard ten-year fade to terminal 0.03. FY2015 owner earnings/share 10.04649191177476 → FY2025 12.273131504257332. Closing-price date 2026-10-15.

## Monthly share-price history (USD per share)

- 2016-10: $4.56 per share

- 2016-11: $4.95 per share

- 2016-12: $6.01 per share

- 2017-01: $6.35 per share

- 2017-02: $5.19 per share

- 2017-03: $4.65 per share

- 2017-04: $4.91 per share

- 2017-05: $3.83 per share

- 2017-06: $3.49 per share

- 2017-07: $3.63 per share

- 2017-08: $2.61 per share

- 2017-09: $3.23 per share

- 2017-10: $3.56 per share

- 2017-11: $3.25 per share

- 2017-12: $3.28 per share

- 2018-01: $3.30 per share

- 2018-02: $3.45 per share

- 2018-03: $3.25 per share

- 2018-04: $2.84 per share

- 2018-05: $2.93 per share

- 2018-06: $3.30 per share

- 2018-07: $3.39 per share

- 2018-08: $3.89 per share

- 2018-09: $3.81 per share

- 2018-10: $4.04 per share

- 2018-11: $3.72 per share

- 2018-12: $3.40 per share

- 2019-01: $3.60 per share

- 2019-02: $4.01 per share

- 2019-03: $3.96 per share

- 2019-04: $3.66 per share

- 2019-05: $3.66 per share

- 2019-06: $4.09 per share

- 2019-07: $4.04 per share

- 2019-08: $3.53 per share

- 2019-09: $3.88 per share

- 2019-10: $3.30 per share

- 2019-11: $2.85 per share

- 2019-12: $3.10 per share

- 2020-01: $2.64 per share

- 2020-02: $1.90 per share

- 2020-03: $1.03 per share

- 2020-04: $0.98 per share

- 2020-05: $0.91 per share

- 2020-06: $0.85 per share

- 2020-07: $1.00 per share

- 2020-08: $0.92 per share

- 2020-09: $0.87 per share

- 2020-10: $0.65 per share

- 2020-11: $9.02 per share

- 2020-12: $16.02 per share

- 2021-01: $15.66 per share

- 2021-02: $25.88 per share

- 2021-03: $40.35 per share

- 2021-04: $56.01 per share

- 2021-05: $59.49 per share

- 2021-06: $61.93 per share

- 2021-07: $64.51 per share

- 2021-08: $57.39 per share

- 2021-09: $69.70 per share

- 2021-10: $79.09 per share

- 2021-11: $77.05 per share

- 2021-12: $82.69 per share

- 2022-01: $101.94 per share

- 2022-02: $107.69 per share

- 2022-03: $137.97 per share

- 2022-04: $149.46 per share

- 2022-05: $129.70 per share

- 2022-06: $99.85 per share

- 2022-07: $109.41 per share

- 2022-08: $124.23 per share

- 2022-09: $114.43 per share

- 2022-10: $121.00 per share

- 2022-11: $128.40 per share

- 2022-12: $100.58 per share

- 2023-01: $99.13 per share

- 2023-02: $113.59 per share

- 2023-03: $89.17 per share

- 2023-04: $89.71 per share

- 2023-05: $81.68 per share

- 2023-06: $80.68 per share

- 2023-07: $93.16 per share

- 2023-08: $74.81 per share

- 2023-09: $82.61 per share

- 2023-10: $78.83 per share

- 2023-11: $68.12 per share

- 2023-12: $65.50 per share

- 2024-01: $71.81 per share

- 2024-02: $68.19 per share

- 2024-03: $78.59 per share

- 2024-04: $80.60 per share

- 2024-05: $81.79 per share

- 2024-06: $75.66 per share

- 2024-07: $78.35 per share

- 2024-08: $70.24 per share

- 2024-09: $67.13 per share

- 2024-10: $66.18 per share

- 2024-11: $81.60 per share

- 2024-12: $75.96 per share

- 2025-01: $81.50 per share

- 2025-02: $77.79 per share

- 2025-03: $75.17 per share

- 2025-04: $79.80 per share

- 2025-05: $82.75 per share

- 2025-06: $88.84 per share

- 2025-07: $94.73 per share

- 2025-08: $89.73 per share

- 2025-09: $90.12 per share

- 2025-10: $94.69 per share

- 2025-11: $96.56 per share

- 2025-12: $102.50 per share

- 2026-01: $103.57 per share

- 2026-02: $99.56 per share

- 2026-03: $126.67 per share

- 2026-04: $128.81 per share

- 2026-05: $121.30 per share

- 2026-06: $111.48 per share

- 2026-07: $128.99 per share

- 2026-08: $126.40 per share

- 2026-09: $123.78 per share

- 2026-10: $132.22 per share

## Annual estimated value (USD per share)

- FY2016: low $100.47 per share, central $113.67 per share, high $131.25 per share

- FY2017: low $84.85 per share, central $96.03 per share, high $110.91 per share

- FY2018: low $12.51 per share, central $13.57 per share, high $14.98 per share

- FY2019: low $11.39 per share, central $12.61 per share, high $14.23 per share

- FY2020: low $3.80 per share, central $4.03 per share, high $4.34 per share

- FY2021: low $12.24 per share, central $12.61 per share, high $13.11 per share

- FY2022: low $62.49 per share, central $70.20 per share, high $80.47 per share

- FY2023: low $176.39 per share, central $200.29 per share, high $232.12 per share

- FY2024: low $141.26 per share, central $159.69 per share, high $184.22 per share

- FY2025: low $159.60 per share, central $180.86 per share, high $209.16 per share

Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year

Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year

Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates

## Sources

[Original 10-K filing](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1425292/000142529226000011/cvi-20251231.htm); period 2025-12-31, filed 2026-02-18.

Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.