Margins varied 16.8% around their average (limit 35%), and no loss years were recorded (limit 2).
- 10y median
- 13.9%
- Worst year
- 11.2%
- Latest · 2026
- 14.0%
# UltraTech Cement (ULTRACEMCO.NSE) Canonical: https://gigainvestors.com/s/ULTRACEMCO.NSE Analysis as of: 2026-10-16T07:33:24.652Z. Financial observations: FY2012–FY2026. Listing currency: INR. Reporting currency: INR. ## Verdict Not a wonderful business Quality tests for Buy: not passed (profit record: pass; earnings resilience is evidence only). Published buy qualification: no. Share price: INR 10,795.00 per share; close as of 2026-10-14. Estimated value: low INR 3,098.89 per share, central INR 4,303.96 per share, high INR 4,917.82 per share. Buy at or below the central value INR 4,303.96 per share. Valuation as of 2026-10-16T07:33:24.652Z; scenarios are not confidence intervals. Expected annual return: 6.5% at the stated quote. About 6.5% a year at today's price (required return 11.4%). required return 11.4% a year (IN 10-year bond 7.4% + 4 points). ## Checklist ### understandable: pass - 0 revenue declines in the last 10 years (informational) - Financial history: 10 years - Years with declining revenue: 0 - Years with a net loss: 0 - Operating margin variation: 0.17× Chart: Operating margin; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: 0.15× - FY2018: 0.14× - FY2019: 0.12× - FY2020: 0.15× - FY2021: 0.20× - FY2022: 0.17× - FY2023: 0.12× - FY2024: 0.14× - FY2025: 0.11× - FY2026: 0.14× ### moat: fail - The return floor includes all equity, debt and leases without deducting cash or goodwill. Only a floor above the hurdle establishes a pass. - ROIC median below threshold - ROIC worst years below threshold (more than 1 bad year allowed) - ROIC, median of available years: 10.2% - ROIC, second-lowest year: 9.1% - Conservative return floor, median: 9.1% - Conservative return floor, second lowest: 6.3% - Years with nonpositive capital: 0 - Capital spending / revenue: 8.3% - ROIC including acquisitions, ten-year median: 8.3% Chart: ROIC excluding acquisitions; fiscal year observations. - FY2022: 13.7% - FY2023: 9.1% - FY2024: 11.3% - FY2025: 8.0% - FY2026: 10.2% ### economics: pass - Owner earnings / net income, 5-yr: 0.97× - Cash conversion uses consolidated totals: No - Owner earnings, five-year total: INR 326B - Net income, five-year total: INR 336B - Return on incremental invested capital: 29.2% - Working capital / revenue, annual change: -0.4 pp - Working capital / revenue, change between three-year averages: -2.7 pp - Working capital / revenue, final three-year average: 6.7% Chart: Annual owner cash / profit; fiscal year observations. - FY2022: 0.97× - FY2023: 0.98× - FY2024: 0.98× - FY2025: 0.96× - FY2026: 0.97× ### management: pass - Historical market-dollar context (not the management verdict): 2017 to 2026 (9 years) - buybacks leaned toward cheaper years (informational) - Per-share earnings: 90.30 to 242.87 (three-year endpoint medians) - Management verdict uses per-share economic progress: Yes - Ordinary dilution, 10-year annual growth: 0.7% - Ordinary dilution, 5-year annual growth: 0.4% - Market cap gain: INR 2.07T - Cumulative retained earnings: INR 405B - Diluted shares, 10-year annual growth: 0.7% - Diluted shares, 5-year annual growth: 0.4% - $1 test, starting fiscal year: FY2017 - $1 test, ending fiscal year: FY2026 - Per-share value growth: 13.2% - Per-share value change: INR 152.57 - Per-share value, starting three-year median: INR 90.30 - Per-share value, ending three-year median: INR 242.87 - Buybacks concentrated in cheaper years (correlation): 0.09 - Average buyback yield: 0.2% - Buyback history: 6 years - Debt-funded buybacks: No - Cumulative net income, 10 years: INR 522B - ROIC, last three-year median: 10.2% Chart: Earnings per share; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: INR 98.90 - FY2018: INR 80.92 - FY2019: INR 88.69 - FY2020: INR 201.55 - FY2021: INR 189.33 - FY2022: INR 254.53 - FY2023: INR 175.54 - FY2024: INR 242.87 - FY2025: INR 205.13 - FY2026: INR 277.45 ### accounting: pass - restructuring or one-time charges in at least three of five years - Sloan accruals: -5.1% - Receivables to sales index (DSRI): 0.88× - Restructuring years, last five: 3 - Stock compensation / operating cash flow: 0.3% - Earnings backed by cash: Yes - Operating cash / earnings: 1.88× - Accounting red flags: 1 - Goodwill and intangibles / equity: 0.24× Chart: Sloan accruals; fiscal year observations. - FY2017: -5.4% - FY2018: -2.9% - FY2019: -4.6% - FY2020: -4.1% - FY2021: -8.2% - FY2022: -2.3% - FY2023: -4.4% - FY2024: -3.9% - FY2025: -3.5% - FY2026: -5.1% ## Holders ## Price story Price needs cash profits to grow 18.6% a year for ten years · sales +16.5% Story as of 2026-10-16T09:59:56.075Z; price observation 2026-10-14. Price needs cash profits to grow 18.6% a year for ten years ### Sales · FY2025–2026 sales +16.5%; source https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/; observed 2026-10-16. - FY2017: INR 254B - FY2018: INR 310B - FY2019: INR 415B - FY2020: INR 424B - FY2021: INR 447B - FY2022: INR 526B - FY2023: INR 632B - FY2024: INR 709B - FY2025: INR 760B - FY2026: INR 885B ## Owner memo Memo as of 2026-10-16T08:06:05.509Z. ### How it makes money Operates in cement & cement products; annual sales are INR 885.1 billion. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/ULTRACEMCO/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:24.652Z); FY2026: revenue 885120000000; operatingIncome 123600000000; margin = operatingIncome / revenue. ### Why customers stay Margins ranged from 11.2% to 14% during 2024–26; it earns 10.2% on its capital. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/ULTRACEMCO/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:24.652Z); FY2024: operatingIncome / revenue = 13.9%. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/ULTRACEMCO/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:24.652Z); FY2025: operatingIncome / revenue = 11.2%. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/ULTRACEMCO/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:24.652Z); FY2026: operatingIncome / revenue = 14%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:24.652Z); 10-year return on capital observations [[2022,0.13727041372105506],[2023,0.0908017340503394],[2024,0.11281979569477218],[2025,0.07987434675549084],[2026,0.10177200764772174]]; median 0.10177200764772174. ROIC follows the displayed moat series; financial companies use return on tangible equity. ### Where the cash goes Reinvests 64.5% of cash earnings; earns 29.2% on new investment. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/ULTRACEMCO/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:24.652Z); FY2017: growth capex 540000000; upkeep 13480000000; owner earnings 27150000000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.019889502762430938. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/ULTRACEMCO/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:24.652Z); FY2018: growth capex 2550000000; upkeep 18480000000; owner earnings 22220000000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0.11476147614761475. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/ULTRACEMCO/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:24.652Z); FY2019: growth capex 0; upkeep 18080000000; owner earnings 30470000000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/ULTRACEMCO/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:24.652Z); FY2020: growth capex 0; upkeep 17660000000; owner earnings 67120000000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/ULTRACEMCO/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:24.652Z); FY2021: growth capex 0; upkeep 19250000000; owner earnings 62380000000. Growth capex / owner earnings = 0. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/ULTRACEMCO/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:24.652Z); FY2022: growth capex 29650000000; upkeep 27150000000; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 71212700000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.416358318108989. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/ULTRACEMCO/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:24.652Z); FY2023: growth capex 33120000000; upkeep 28880000000; cash acquisitions 193400000; owner earnings 49380200000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.6746307224353081. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/ULTRACEMCO/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:24.652Z); FY2024: growth capex 58610000000; upkeep 31450000000; cash acquisitions 0; owner earnings 68430100000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.8564944373893945. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/ULTRACEMCO/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:24.652Z); FY2025: growth capex 51140000000; upkeep 40150000000; cash acquisitions 101128500000; owner earnings 58131200000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 2.619393716283166. - Source: https://www.screener.in/company/ULTRACEMCO/consolidated/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:24.652Z); FY2026: growth capex 50340000000; upkeep 46440000000; cash acquisitions 527300000; owner earnings 78897100000. Growth capex plus acquisitions / owner earnings = 0.6447296541951478. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:24.652Z); Incremental return on capital 0.29221875, from the economics test's unchanged annual inputs. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:24.652Z); Dividend observations: [[2017,3120000000],[2018,3340000000],[2019,3460000000],[2020,3800000000],[2021,3750000000],[2022,10650000000],[2023,10910000000],[2024,10940000000],[2025,20120000000],[2026,22730000000]]. Zero only counted when supported by a complete cash-flow statement. - Source: https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/xbrl/INTEGRATED_FILING_INDAS_1659760_27042026081814_WEB.xml (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:24.652Z); FY2026: cash repurchases 1193500000 INR. ### What the price says The price assumes cash profits grow 18.6% yearly over ten years; actual growth was 11.5%. - Source: https://eodhd.com/financial-apis/stock-etfs-fundamental-data-feeds/ (filed 2026-10-16T07:33:24.652Z); Ten-year compound average after fade. Initial solved rate 0.25669327002631437. Price 10795; FX 1; discount 0.11391000000000001; same standard ten-year fade to terminal 0.03. FY2016 owner earnings/share 90.3 → FY2026 268.06270383296595. Closing-price date 2026-10-14. ## Monthly share-price history (INR per share) - 2016-11: INR 3,603.45 per share - 2016-12: INR 3,250.20 per share - 2017-01: INR 3,694.45 per share - 2017-02: INR 3,774.55 per share - 2017-03: INR 3,984.75 per share - 2017-04: INR 4,248.95 per share - 2017-05: INR 4,195.20 per share - 2017-06: INR 3,959.10 per share - 2017-07: INR 4,056.90 per share - 2017-08: INR 4,000.40 per share - 2017-09: INR 3,854.20 per share - 2017-10: INR 4,401.05 per share - 2017-11: INR 4,203.80 per share - 2017-12: INR 4,320.60 per share - 2018-01: INR 4,382.00 per share - 2018-02: INR 4,155.60 per share - 2018-03: INR 3,950.00 per share - 2018-04: INR 4,108.85 per share - 2018-05: INR 3,744.90 per share - 2018-06: INR 3,818.60 per share - 2018-07: INR 4,193.80 per share - 2018-08: INR 4,475.50 per share - 2018-09: INR 4,059.95 per share - 2018-10: INR 3,499.40 per share - 2018-11: INR 3,999.65 per share - 2018-12: INR 3,990.95 per share - 2019-01: INR 3,519.35 per share - 2019-02: INR 3,826.50 per share - 2019-03: INR 3,998.35 per share - 2019-04: INR 4,616.80 per share - 2019-05: INR 4,760.10 per share - 2019-06: INR 4,555.85 per share - 2019-07: INR 4,346.90 per share - 2019-08: INR 4,052.25 per share - 2019-09: INR 4,341.25 per share - 2019-10: INR 4,143.20 per share - 2019-11: INR 4,259.10 per share - 2019-12: INR 4,046.05 per share - 2020-01: INR 4,416.10 per share - 2020-02: INR 4,219.60 per share - 2020-03: INR 3,244.85 per share - 2020-04: INR 3,534.30 per share - 2020-05: INR 3,904.85 per share - 2020-06: INR 3,893.55 per share - 2020-07: INR 4,117.30 per share - 2020-08: INR 3,903.85 per share - 2020-09: INR 4,049.55 per share - 2020-10: INR 4,574.05 per share - 2020-11: INR 4,802.00 per share - 2020-12: INR 5,288.15 per share - 2021-01: INR 5,327.25 per share - 2021-02: INR 6,115.00 per share - 2021-03: INR 6,737.95 per share - 2021-04: INR 6,278.95 per share - 2021-05: INR 6,708.00 per share - 2021-06: INR 6,776.00 per share - 2021-07: INR 7,619.20 per share - 2021-08: INR 7,832.45 per share - 2021-09: INR 7,396.10 per share - 2021-10: INR 7,636.05 per share - 2021-11: INR 7,433.75 per share - 2021-12: INR 7,591.05 per share - 2022-01: INR 7,216.40 per share - 2022-02: INR 6,567.90 per share - 2022-03: INR 6,602.30 per share - 2022-04: INR 6,630.25 per share - 2022-05: INR 6,082.60 per share - 2022-06: INR 5,607.30 per share - 2022-07: INR 6,544.80 per share - 2022-08: INR 6,677.85 per share - 2022-09: INR 6,255.10 per share - 2022-10: INR 6,714.95 per share - 2022-11: INR 7,077.00 per share - 2022-12: INR 6,959.05 per share - 2023-01: INR 7,085.55 per share - 2023-02: INR 7,261.30 per share - 2023-03: INR 7,622.15 per share - 2023-04: INR 7,556.20 per share - 2023-05: INR 7,870.05 per share - 2023-06: INR 8,294.75 per share - 2023-07: INR 8,318.15 per share - 2023-08: INR 8,297.45 per share - 2023-09: INR 8,254.85 per share - 2023-10: INR 8,422.25 per share - 2023-11: INR 9,003.65 per share - 2023-12: INR 10,503.05 per share - 2024-01: INR 10,167.35 per share - 2024-02: INR 9,892.40 per share - 2024-03: INR 9,749.15 per share - 2024-04: INR 9,971.85 per share - 2024-05: INR 9,915.50 per share - 2024-06: INR 11,667.90 per share - 2024-07: INR 11,887.20 per share - 2024-08: INR 11,301.90 per share - 2024-09: INR 11,802.00 per share - 2024-10: INR 11,065.65 per share - 2024-11: INR 11,202.15 per share - 2024-12: INR 11,426.35 per share - 2025-01: INR 11,487.45 per share - 2025-02: INR 10,128.45 per share - 2025-03: INR 11,509.55 per share - 2025-04: INR 11,641.00 per share - 2025-05: INR 11,210.00 per share - 2025-06: INR 12,093.00 per share - 2025-07: INR 12,249.00 per share - 2025-08: INR 12,640.00 per share - 2025-09: INR 12,222.00 per share - 2025-10: INR 11,947.00 per share - 2025-11: INR 11,600.00 per share - 2025-12: INR 11,784.00 per share - 2026-01: INR 12,694.00 per share - 2026-02: INR 12,677.00 per share - 2026-03: INR 10,745.00 per share - 2026-04: INR 11,586.00 per share - 2026-05: INR 11,482.00 per share - 2026-06: INR 11,253.00 per share - 2026-07: INR 11,903.00 per share - 2026-08: INR 11,450.00 per share - 2026-09: INR 10,956.00 per share - 2026-10: INR 10,862.00 per share ## Annual estimated value (INR per share) - FY2019: low INR 1,289.48 per share, central INR 1,437.31 per share, high INR 1,624.81 per share - FY2020: low INR 1,370.91 per share, central INR 1,528.07 per share, high INR 1,727.41 per share - FY2021: low INR 1,591.68 per share, central INR 1,769.73 per share, high INR 1,995.57 per share - FY2022: low INR 2,311.26 per share, central INR 2,576.23 per share, high INR 2,912.31 per share - FY2023: low INR 2,779.33 per share, central INR 3,097.95 per share, high INR 3,502.10 per share - FY2024: low INR 3,116.93 per share, central INR 3,474.26 per share, high INR 3,927.49 per share - FY2025: low INR 2,883.57 per share, central INR 4,002.87 per share, high INR 4,573.04 per share - FY2026: low INR 3,098.89 per share, central INR 4,303.96 per share, high INR 4,917.82 per share Historical values use today's bond yield for every fiscal year Historical values use today's FX rate into trading currency for every fiscal year Historical values use current restated fundamentals and current commodity classification; they are not point-in-time estimates Prior published observations retained from 2026-10-15T06:39:10.276Z where newer inputs omit a numeric field or fiscal period. ## Sources Estimates depend on assumptions and are not guarantees or investment advice. Underlying data remains subject to its source licenses; public reading does not grant bulk redistribution rights.
ULTRACEMCO · NSE
Nifty 50
Not a wonderful business
1 quality test fails. A lower price would not fix the business.
Margins varied 16.8% around their average (limit 35%), and no loss years were recorded (limit 2).
Capital return excluding acquisitions: median 10.2% (minimum 15%), and the second-worst year 9.1% (minimum 10%).
Each $1 of profit left $0.97 for owners over five years (minimum $0.80).
Per-share value rose from 90.3 to 242.87, comparing three-year medians at each end (must rise and stay positive).
Profits were backed by cash: accruals were -5.1% of assets (limit 10%).
Profit record · pass 0 loss years in 10 (at most 2), mean operating margin 14.4%, three-year average owner earnings per share 234.26 INR.
| Value range | INR 3,098.89 – INR 4,917.82 |
|---|---|
| Buy at or below | Central value INR 4,303.96 |
| Discount to value | 1 − 10795.00 / 4303.96 = -150.8% |
| Return / year | About 6.5% a year at today's price (required return 11.4%) |
| Cash-flow inputs | Owner cash INR 268.06/share; 8.0% growth for 5 years, then fades to 3.0%; excess cash INR 0.00/share today. |
| Required return | 11.4% / year, earned by construction at the central value |